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FANTASY FOOTBALL IN-SEASON FEATURES

Predictions & Projections
David Dorey  

Sortable Player Projections | Game Predictions Summary | Projections by Team

WEEK 10
2011
OAK at SD (thu) DEN at KC * NE at NYJ * STL at CLE
* ARI at PHI * DET at CHI * NO at ATL * TEN at CAR
BAL at SEA HOU at TB * NYG at SF WAS at MIA
* UPDATED * BUF at DAL JAC at IND * PIT at CIN MIN at GB (mon)

Prediction: JAC 17, IND 6

Could this be the one? No. The Colts have long been a thorn to the Jags and they will return the favor in kind.

The Jaguars lost 24-34 in Indy last year.

Jacksonville Jaguars
Homefield: J'ville Municipal Stadium
Grass
  Opp Score   Opp Score
1 TEN 16-14 10 @IND -
2 @NYJ 3-32 11 @CLE -
3 @CAR 10-16 12 HOU -
4 NO 10-23 13 SD -
5 CIN 20-30 14 TB -
6 @PIT 13-17 15 @ATL -
7 BAL 9-7 16 @TEN -
8 @HOU 14-24 17 IND -
9 Bye -      
Jaguars Report | Statistics | Roster
JACKSONVILLE at IND Rush Catch Pass
QB Blaine Gabbert - - 150,1
RB Maurice Jones-Drew 110,1 10 -
TE Marcedes Lewis - 30 -
WR Jason Hill - 50,1 -
WR Mike Thomas - 60 -
PK Josh Scobee 1 FG 2 XP -
Pregame Notes: Not unlike the Vikings, Maurice Jones-Drew has been the offensive savior while the rookie quarterback learns the ropes and in the case of Blaine Gabbert - there is still lots of rope to go. This could easily be the final win for the Jags since the looming schedule is above average and the Buccaneers are not. That is other than Week 17 when the Colts come to town as an early Christmas present to send off the season with a bang.

QUARTERBACK: While Blaine Gabbert manages to get one touchdown per game in all but the Ravens matchup, he has been the picture of mediocrity with only one game topping 200 passing yards and the least two failing to crest even the 100 yard mark. Banking on the once score and mediocre yardage is the safest bet.

RUNNING BACKS: The amazing part of Maurice Jones-Drew in not that he is merely talented. He has to face defenses solely dedicated to stopping him and pretty much only him. And yet he rarely has a bad game. He has not been prolific so much as just really good against the greatest of adversity. The Colts are miserable against the run so start Jones-Drew with confidence. He should end up with good yardage and one score.

WIDE RECEIVERS: This has been the worst group of wideouts in the NFL. Mike Thomas usually has 50 or yards or fewer each week and Jason Hill has scored in three of four games but has been minimal in yardage. The Jags have recently signed Brian Robiskie as veteran depth. Passing scores usually end up here with Hill but yardage is pretty hard to come by.

With 13 touchdowns given up to opposing wideouts, even the Jaguars can score here. Hill is the most likely but with marginal yardage he is not worth a risk this week.

TIGHT ENDS: Marcedes Lewis provides marginal fantasy value and has yet to score this year. Best left on the waiver wire.

RANKS (1-32, 1 = BEST) TEAM QB RB WR TE PK DEF
Gaining Fantasy Points JAC 32 22 32 29 22 30
Preventing Fantasy Points IND 25 31 29 9 29 25


Indianapolis Colts
Homefield: Lucas Oil Stadium
FieldTurf
  Opp Score   Opp Score
1 @HOU 7-34 10 JAC -
2 CLE 19-27 11 Bye -
3 PIT 20-23 12 CAR -
4 @TB 17-24 13 @NE -
5 KC 24-28 14 @BAL -
6 @CIN 17-27 15 TEN -
7 @NO 7-62 16 HOU -
8 @TEN 10-27 17 @JAC -
9 ATL 7-31      
Colts Report | Statistics | Roster
INDIANAPOLIS vs JAC Rush Catch Pass
QB Curtis Painter - - 160
RB Delone Carter 30 - -
RB Donald Brown 40 10 -
WR Reggie Wayne - 60 -
WR Austin Collie - 30 -
WR Pierre Garcon - 50 -
PK Adam Vinatieri 2 FG - -

Pregame Notes: A horrific season gets no better and the offense is scoring less almost every week. Opponents take no pity on a team that had long been an AFC bully and the last three games have combined for 24-120. Dallas Clark has been lost for a while not that it matters and the team looks like they are working off probation on some manslaughter charge. It is desperation and really close to just acceptance.

QUARTERBACK: Now that teams have learned to just cover Pierre Garcon, Curtis Painter has not thrown a touchdown in the last three weeks and only once threw for more than 100 yards in a game. For a team that so long had the #1 passer, flirting with #32 is a tough thing to accept.

The Jags are very good against the pass and all opponents have scored once or more via the pass. But that cannot counteract how bad the passing is here and with Dallas Clark gone - even a little worse.

RUNNING BACKS:Joseph Addai has been back two weeks, dressed for games and then never played. Addai should be back for this one but I will ensure and update as needed. Delone Carter has slowed down to being only a marginal play and Donald Brown usually ends up well below 50 yards.

If a touchdown comes it will likely be a running back but none of three inspire much confidence. Go with the chance of no score to be safe. This is a good venue but less so for the Colts who struggle regardless where they are at.

WIDE RECEIVERS: Reggie Wayne has not scored since week one and it just gets worse from there. He manages to come up with around 60 yards per game but there is nearly no other fantasy value here and especially not in consistency. Pierre Garcon briefly stepped up but has since been mostly a nonfactor. Consider Wayne as a marginal starter but no other wideouts here justify being a starter.

TIGHT ENDS: Dallas Clark is out for the foreseeable future with an unnamed leg injury but there is no need to go grab Jacob Tamme this year. Leave them alone. Clark was bad enough.

RANKS (1-32, 1 = BEST) TEAM QB RB WR TE PK DEF
Gaining Fantasy Points IND 30 30 25 24 31 27
Preventing Fantasy Points JAC 8 13 5 30 6 17

WEEK 10
2011
OAK at SD (thu) DEN at KC NE at NYJ STL at CLE
ARI at PHI DET at CHI NO at ATL TEN at CAR
BAL at SEA HOU at TB NYG at SF WAS at MIA
  BUF at DAL JAC at IND PIT at CIN MIN at GB (mon)

 
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