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FANTASY FOOTBALL IN-SEASON FEATURES

Upon Further Review: Week 10
David Dorey & John Tuvey
November 11, 2011
 

In order to help our members better use the starting information that The Huddle provides, the intent of this page is to discuss perceived differences between The Start Bench List and Predictions and Projections. The players below were identified by multiple members. The two reports are written by two different people so differences are always possible, but at least this page should help you make up your mind about these players on your roster.

LAURENT ROBINSON (vs. BUF) – PROJECTION: 60 YDS, SBL RATING: S2

TUVEY: I just spent two hours on Sirius XM Radio with DMD and all he could talk about was Laurent Robinson this and Laurent Robinson that, so clearly we’re in agreement here. Maybe the 60 is a bit of an undersell, but DMD confided in me that he has Robinson in his Sirius XM Salary Cap Challenge lineup, so there’s little question we’re both fond of his upside.

DOREY: Right, after Robinson had scored in each of the last two games and had 5-103 in Philly, I don't want to overplay what he could do so I gave him a decent showing of 4-60. But I agree - he has upside in this offense and in this game. It somewhat depends on how well DeMarco Murray rushes but secondaries are tending to respect Dez Bryant more and allowing more room for Robinson to operate.

CONSENSUS:  Consider Robinson as a decent start - unlikely a monster game but he should be no worse than decent and has upside for very nice stats. His upside warrants his start this week.

JERMICHAEL FINLEY (vs. MIN) – PROJECTION: 30 YDS, SBL RATING: S1

TUVEY: Finley has killed the Vikings before, Aaron Rodgers is on fire, and now Finley is playing for a franchise tag or a new contract. I don’t see any downside to this matchup, with the possible exception of there being too many Packers targets. That’s like asking for a different exotic dancer because this one is busty; just doesn’t resonate with me.

DOREY: What concerned me is twofold - first he has just not been nearly as productive as was expected this year. No games over 85 yards and scored in just three matchups. The other is that he scored a total of five touchdowns and all of them were in road games. Finley has only played in three home games - 3-53 (NO), 3-28) (DEN) and 1-20 (ATL). When a player shows such consistent trends it alarms me that he and the offense in general change at home where other aspects work better. It's not like the Packers need him to beat the Vikings anyway. You are expecting him to do something that he has not done this year in a home game.

CONSENSUS:  Finley certainly carries potential - he has that every week and he did score against the Vikings two games back. He also only had two catches for 13 yards in that meeting. Safest bet is to respect the risk and consider him as an S2. This is the opposite of Robinson who has been good and you have to worry if he can keep it up. Finley has not been good and you have to wonder when he will break his negative trend. It is always easier to bet on the one who has been doing it than the one who hasn't.

Start Bench List Ratings:
S1: Start 'em Tier One (Stud / Great matchup) U: Upside player (Possible sleeper)
S2: Start 'em Tier Two (Solid matchup) X: Unclear situation / Could go either way
S3: Start 'em Tier Three (Borderline / Barely) B: Bench 'em (Bad Matchup / Too much risk)
Predictions and Projections:
The projections are what is mostly likely to occur given everything that has recently happened added to the current team dynamics. They consider total rushing and passing yardage and scores and then distribute them between the most active starting players based on how the track record of the offense and the opposing defense along with variables like injuries, depth chart changes, venue, weather and so on.


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