The Huddle on Facebook Facebook   The Huddle on Twitter Twitter   The Huddle Mobile Mobile Welcome, Guest. You are not logged in.   | Login  |  Help
HOME FANTASY DRAFT KIT IN SEASON ARTICLES NEWS STATS FORUMS TEAMS PLAYERS NFL DRAFT NFL ABOUT myHuddle

FANTASY FOOTBALL IN-SEASON FEATURES

Predictions & Projections
David Dorey  

Sortable Player Projections | Game Predictions Summary | Projections by Team

WEEK 11
2011
NYJ at DEN (thu) * CIN at BAL PHI at NYG * TEN at ATL
* ARI at SF * DAL at WAS SD at CHI KC at NE (mon)
* BUF at MIA * JAC at CLE SEA at STL Bye Week
* UPDATED * CAR at DET * OAK at MIN TB at GB HOU, IND, NO, PIT

Prediction: SEA 17, STL 20

Players to Watch: Marshawn Lynch

The Seahawks hit the road where they are only 1-4 and face off with the Rams who are just 1-3 at home. The Seahawks had owned the Rams for many years until finally the Rams won at home last year 20-3. They later lost 6-16 in Seattle.

Seattle Seahawks
Homefield: Qwest Field
FieldTurf
  Opp Score   Opp Score
1 @SF 17-33 10 BAL 22-17
2 @PIT 0-24 11 @STL -
3 ARI 13-10 12 WAS -
4 ATL 28-30 13 PHI -
5 @NYG 36-25 14 STL -
6 Bye - 15 @CHI -
7 @CLE 3-6 16 SF -
8 CIN 12-34 17 @ARI -
9 @DAL 13-23      
Seahawks Report | Statistics | Roster
SEATTLE at STL Rush Catch Pass
QB Tarvaris Jackson - - 230,1
RB Marshawn Lynch 80,1 20 -
TE Zach Miller - 10 -
WR Sidney Rice - 60 -
WR Doug Baldwin - 50,1 -
WR Mike Williams - 10 -
WR Ben Obamanu - 30 -
PK Steven Hauschka 1 FG 2 XP -
Pregame Notes: The Seahawks come off their trap game where they upset the Ravens but so far the only road effort they won was another trap game in New York against the Giants. The rushing game has received a recent boost from Marshawn Lynch who has been getting more carries thought not doing that much more in terms of average yards per carry. But Lynch has managed to become a serviceable fantasy player unlike the rest of this offense.

QUARTERBACK: Tarvaris Jackson has been back for three weeks and still - no passing touchdowns. He had 323 yards passing on the Bengals and then around 220 yards the next two games but he stands at only six touchdowns on the season and three of those came in one home game against the Falcons.

The Rams have always allowed at least one passing touchdown per opponent in St. Louis and and higher yardage but the Rams have faced off with quarterbacks like Brees, Romo, Rodgers and Eli Manning. Moderate pass yards and one score is success enough for Jackson.

RUNNING BACKS: The frustrating part about Marshawn Lynch is that he has rushed well in several games - all the ones you would least expect it. On the road to play the Giants (12-98, TD) and the Cowboys (23-135, TD) he had nice stats. Against the Ravens he ran 32 times and ended with 109 yards and one score. But at home against the Cardinals? 19 runs for 73 yards. The visiting Falcons limited him to only 24 yards on eight runs. The Bengals held him to 24 yards on 16 runs in St. Louis.

He comes out when the Seahawks play superior teams that do not take them as seriously as they should. He has scored once in each of the last five games though. The Rams have one of the worst rushing defenses but Lynch may end up with either 40 yards or 140 yards. Assume a decent showing and the one score but either he has recently turned it up a few notches or he just enjoyed lesser concern from better teams.

The Rams secondary is weak anyway and just lost another cornerback to the injured reserve (Al Harris). This is no time to have woozy receivers.

WIDE RECEIVERS: This group has been hard to rely on this year with every player producing the one odd good game and then toiling onward in mediocrity. Both Doug Baldwin and Sidney Rice suffered concussions that forced them from the Ravens win. Golden Tate stepped in to help out and ended with a season best three catches for 46 yards. Rice is the only fantasy starter here and just marginally so since he has only one touchdown on the year and turns in sub-40 yard games half of the time. The one passing score is likely to end up with this group but it could go anywhere. I will count both Baldwin and Rice in this week assuming they clear medical approval. Updates as warranted and missing the two will prove a huge disadvantage if it happens.


TIGHT ENDS: No fantasy value.

RANKS (1-32, 1 = BEST) TEAM QB RB WR TE PK DEF
Gaining Fantasy Points SEA 27 25 14 31 32 25
Preventing Fantasy Points STL 16 25 28 2 18 29
Advantage +31 to -31 SEA -11 0 14 -29 -14 4


St. Louis Rams
Homefield: Edward Jones Dome
FieldTurf
  Opp Score   Opp Score
1 PHI 13-31 10 @CLE 13-12
2 @NYG 16-28 11 SEA -
3 BAL 7-37 12 ARI -
4 WAS 10-17 13 @SF -
5 Bye - 14 @SEA -
6 @GB 3-24 15 CIN -
7 @DAL 7-34 16 @PIT -
8 NO 31-21 17 SF -
9 @ARI 13-19      
Rams Report | Statistics | Roster
ST. LOUIS vs SEA Rush Catch Pass
QB Sam Bradford - - 250,1
RB Steven Jackson 100,1 20 -
TE Lance Kendricks - 10 -
WR Brandon Lloyd - 90,1 -
WR Brandon Gibson - 50 -
WR Austin Pettis - 40 -
PK Josh Brown 2 FG 2 XP -

Pregame Notes: The Rams dodged a bullet when the Browns could not kick a simple 22-yard field goal at the end of their game. This is the first week that the Rams get to face a NFC West rival at home. The offense has slogged along with an inability to score more than one touchdown in all but the trap win over the Saints. But that should change this week finally at home against an actual peer.

QUARTERBACK: Sam Bradford has been back for two weeks after missing time with a high ankle sprain and is still trudging along at a pace that makes a mockery of his outstanding play last season. Bradford was knocked out of the Browns game temporarily with a big hit to his thigh but returned and is expected to be fine this week as well. He'll likely rest up some this week but start without limitation.

The Seahawks secondary is nothing special and only one quarterback failed to score on them (Colt McCoy). The Seahawks have given up as many as 420 pass yards in a game but one score and moderate yardage is hard enough to expect from Bradford this season.

RUNNING BACKS: Steven Jackson is running like a mad man in recent weeks. He gained over 130 rushing yards in each of the last three games and crushed the Saints for 159 yards and two scores in the most recent home game. He's stuck around 20 to 30 receiving yards in most games but has looked as better as a runner than he has in years.

The Seahawks are better than most at stopping the run though two weeks ago DeMarco Murray posted 139 yards on them in Dallas. This is an inter-divisional game and Jackson is running really well - no reason to bench him this week. Look for one score and at least 100 total yards.

WIDE RECEIVERS: Austin Pettis has taken over for Greg Salas in the slot but two games have not produced more than 43 yards and the rookie is still a raw product. Brandon Gibson was blanked last week by the Browns but had been good for around 50 yards in most games. Brandon Lloyd is still the only wide receiver that "gets" the offense installed by Josh McDaniels. In four games with the Rams, Lloyd has two scores and average around 60 yards per matchup. That's exponentially more than any other wideout here.

The Seahawks are only average against the position and Lloyd is the only one here with any notable fantasy value. This should end up as Lloyd's best game in his short career with the Rams.

TIGHT ENDS: No fantasy value and no touchdowns this season. Michael Hoomanawanui tore his right ACL last week and is gone for the season. Lance Kendricks has been little more than a one catch receiver lately.

RANKS (1-32, 1 = BEST) TEAM QB RB WR TE PK DEF
Gaining Fantasy Points STL 30 18 22 28 28 20
Preventing Fantasy Points SEA 12 6 13 28 26 30
Advantage +31 to -31 STL -18 -12 -9 0 -2 10

WEEK 11
2011
NYJ at DEN (thu) CIN at BAL PHI at NYG TEN at ATL
ARI at SF DAL at WAS SD at CHI KC at NE (mon)
BUF at MIA JAC at CLE SEA at STL Bye Week
  CAR at DET OAK at MIN TB at GB HOU, IND, NO, PIT

a d v e r t i s e m e n t