The Huddle on Facebook Facebook   The Huddle on Twitter Twitter   The Huddle Mobile Mobile Welcome, Guest. You are not logged in.JOINHELP
HOME FANTASY DRAFT KIT IN SEASON ARTICLES NEWS STATS FORUMS TEAMS PLAYERS NFL DRAFT NFL ABOUT myHuddle

FANTASY FOOTBALL IN-SEASON FEATURES

Predictions & Projections
David Dorey  

Sortable Player Projections | Game Predictions Summary | Projections by Team

WEEK 13
2011
PHI at SEA (thu) CIN at PIT * GB at NYG * OAK at MIA
* ATL at HOU DAL at ARI * IND at NE * STL at SF
BAL at CLE * DEN at MIN KC at CHI TEN at BUF
* Updated * CAR at TB * DET at NO NYJ at WAS SD at JAC (mon)

Prediction: GB 33, NYG 24

Update: Ahmad Bradshaw has not been ruled out this week though he did not practice until some limited work on Friday. I am not adding him in since he is no lock to even play and if he did, he would be limited.

The Packers remain a perfect 11-0 and have only allowed opponents to end within a touchdown of their score twice this year. The Giants are on a three game losing streak and come off a short week after waking up on Bourbon Street with a headache and no wallet.

Green Bay Packers
Homefield: Lambeau Field
Grass
  Opp Score   Opp Score
1 NO 42-34 10 MIN 45-7
2 @CAR 30-23 11 TB 35-26
3 @CHI 27-17 12 @DET 27-15
4 DEN 49-23 13 @NYG -
5 @ATL 25-14 14 OAK -
6 STL 24-3 15 @KC -
7 @MIN 33-27 16 CHI -
8 Bye - 17 DET -
9 @SD 45-38      
Packers Report | Statistics | Roster
GREEN BAY at NYG Rush Catch Pass
QB Aaron Rodgers - - 300,3
RB James Starks 50 10 -
TE Jermichael Finley - 40 -
WR Greg Jennings - 80,1 -
WR Jordy Nelson - 70 -
WR Donald Driver - 30 -
WR James Jones - 50,1 -
PK Mason Crosby 4 FG 3 XP -
Pregame Notes: Can they go 16-0? Sure it is possible and they will be favored in every game. Even their final two games when they might be tempted to rest players come at home against teams they already beat once this year. If the 2010 Packers can win the Super Bowl with half of their team on IR, the 2011 can certainly win out in the regular season. It hasn't even looked hard yet.

QUARTERBACK: The only question each week is how many touchdowns that Aaron Rodgers will throw. He pretty much always ends up around 300 yards and starts out at two scores and works his way up depending on how much of a shootout the game becomes. Rodgers already has 33 passing touchdowns on the season against just four interceptions. At this point, the only question is which passing records will he break and just how deeply is he going to bury them.

Rodgers also catches a break since RDE Osi Umenyiora is out with a sprained ankle.

RUNNING BACKS: Projecting for James Starks or any other Packer back is almost not worth doing. For being in the most powerful offense in the league, these backs just do not do much. Starks has rarely had more than 50 rushing yards and even with receiving yards he makes for a marginal start. He has not scored since the season opener and these last two weeks, John Kuhn has taken the short touchdown plunge. Ryan Grant is even worse than Starks and and has not had a fantasy relevant game in the last seven weeks.

The last four visitors to New York all featured a 100 yard rusher and three of those teams scored on the ground. The extra touchdown will either be defensive or a Kuhn rush. Starks is still not 100% recovered from his sprained knee.

WIDE RECEIVERS: This is the best unit in the NFL led by Greg Jennings who has eight touchdowns on the year and three efforts over 100 yards. Jordy Nelson was on a hot streak for three week when he scored five touchdowns and topped 100 yards twice but then fell back to only 26 yards on four catches in Detroit. Nelson has been huge at home where he scores in every game but on the road he's been less likely to show up big. He ended up with 105 yards and a score in San Diego to make it seem like he was breaking that trend finally but was back at it in Detroit. James Jones scored last week and has five touchdowns overall but he has also turned six games with only one or no catches.

Last week Brees posted four touchdowns to receivers and four of them had over 54 yards in the game. Six different wideouts have turned in around 90+ yards on this secondary. Jennings is a strong play here as he is in every road game. Nelson is less so since he disappears in most away venues and only accounted for 26 yards in Detroit. He could show up and is a must start but history favors a lower game for him this week.

TIGHT ENDS: The "what ever happened to Jermichael Finley" search continues on with just two catches for 38 yards in Detroit and just a disappointing season outside of one game in Chicago long ago. Finley is not a goal line target of even a third down preference with fewer than four catches in almost every game. The Giants have not allowed a passing score to the position in New York so consider Finley a marginal play for yardage.

RANKS (1-32, 1 = BEST) TEAM QB RB WR TE PK DEF
Gaining Fantasy Points GB 1 26 1 12 6 3
Preventing Fantasy Points NYG 16 21 26 14 14 12


New York Giants
Homefield: Meadowlands Stadium
FieldTurf
  Opp Score   Opp Score
1 @WAS 14-28 10 @SF 20-27
2 STL 28-16 11 PHI 10-17
3 @PHI 29-16 12 @NO 24-49
4 @ARI 31-27 13 GB -
5 SEA 25-36 14 @DAL -
6 BUF 27-24 15 WAS -
7 Bye - 16 @NYJ -
8 MIA 20-17 17 DAL -
9 @NE 24-20 - - -
Giants Report | Statistics | Roster
NY GIANTS vs GB Rush Catch Pass
QB Eli Manning - - 300,2
RB Brandon Jacobs 60,1 10 -
TE Jake Ballard - 50 -
WR Victor Cruz - 100,1 -
WR Hakeem Nicks - 60,1 -
PK Lawrence Tynes 1 FG 3 XP -

Pregame Notes: This is sort of a good news, bad news week. The Giants have to know they are going to lose this week for the fourth straight time and that drives them further away from the playoffs that once seem so certain. But facing the Packers means fantasy bonanza time for the passing game! Maybe it is only fantasy owners actually pleased but not much else to cheer for around the Giants lately anyway. Not only are the Packers up this week, but two remaining games with the Cowboys wait along with an away game with the Jets that isn't really all that away.

QUARTERBACK: Eli Manning comes off a 406 yard, two touchdown effort in New Orleans for one of his most productive games ever. Manning has scored in all but one game this year and topped 300 yards five times and even crested 400 yards now twice. But he has not passed for more than two scores since week five and done that only twice this season.

The Packers on the road mean shootout and and they have already allowed eight opponents to pass for 270+ yards. Expect high yardage this week and at least two passing scores but three is harder to rely on.

RUNNING BACKS: Ahmad Bradshaw has been out since week eight and has yet to practice but is reportedly close according to HC Tom Coughlin. I will rule him out until it appears certain that he will play. Brandon Jacobs has hardly been a stud as his replacement and could only gain 46 yards on 13 runs but scored once in New Orleans. Jacobs has a shot at a score this week but he doesn't get enough carries to amass any significant stats and doesn't have the "per carry average" to make lower volume do much. I'll tentatively credit him with a score but if he falls short if would be no surprise.

WIDE RECEIVERS: Mario Manningham was adamant last week that he would play so of course he was inactive and his knee continues to issue. I will count him out again and adjust as needed. Manningham has been a minor factor anyway and has been eclipsed by Victor Cruz. He started as the slot guy but Cruz has clearly been the most productive wideout for the Giants for the past month or more and comes off a career best 9-157 with two scores in New Orleans. Cruz already has four games over 100 yards while Hakeem Nicks is second with just two. Cruz is enjoying the single coverage that Nicks so rarely sees.

Have to love both Nicks and Cruz this week against a secondary that has regularly been lit up by opposing wideouts. Both are considered must plays now and should have an outstanding game here.

TIGHT ENDS: Jake Ballard faces a weak secondary that has allowed five scores to the position but Ballard has only one score over the last six games and has been held to fewer than 50 yards in most recent games. He's a marginal play that has lost his scoring ability.

RANKS (1-32, 1 = BEST) TEAM QB RB WR TE PK DEF
Gaining Fantasy Points NYG 7 14 3 17 27 7
Preventing Fantasy Points GB 30 14 31 29 3 3

WEEK 13
2011
PHI at SEA (thu) CIN at PIT GB at NYG OAK at MIA
ATL at HOU DAL at ARI IND at NE STL at SF
BAL at CLE DEN at MIN KC at CHI TEN at BUF
  CAR at TB DET at NO NYJ at WAS SD at JAC (mon)

a d v e r t i s e m e n t