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FANTASY FOOTBALL IN-SEASON FEATURES

Predictions & Projections
David Dorey  

Sortable Player Projections | Game Predictions Summary | Projections by Team

WEEK 13
2011
PHI at SEA (thu) CIN at PIT * GB at NYG * OAK at MIA
* ATL at HOU DAL at ARI * IND at NE * STL at SF
BAL at CLE * DEN at MIN KC at CHI TEN at BUF
* Updated * CAR at TB * DET at NO NYJ at WAS SD at JAC (mon)

Prediction: KC 13, CHI 23

Players to Watch: Kyle Orton

The 4-7 Chiefs are on a four game losing streak and bring a 2-3 road record to Chicago where the Bears are 7-4 and still in the hunt for a wildcard but even the biggest Bears fan knows the division goes through Green Bay. The Bears are 5-1 at home and coming off a tough loss in Oakland.

Kansas City Chiefs
Homefield: Arrowhead Stadium
Grass
  Opp Score   Opp Score
1 BUF 7-41 10 DEN 10-17
2 @DET 3-48 11 @NE 3-34
3 @SD 17-20 12 PIT 9-13
4 MIN 22-17 13 @CHI -
5 @IND 28-24 14 @NYJ -
6 Bye - 15 GB -
7 @OAK 28-0 16 OAK -
8 SD 23-20 17 @DEN -
9 MIA 3-31      
Chiefs Report | Statistics | Roster
KANSAS CITY at CHI Rush Catch Pass
QB Kyle Orton - - 180,1
RB Dexter McCluster 30 10 -
RB Jackie Battle 50 - -
RB Thomas Jones 20 - -
WR Jonathan Baldwin - 30 -
WR Steve Breaston - 50 -
WR Dwayne Bowe - 60,1 -
PK Ryan Succop 2 FG 1 XP -
Pregame Notes: The Chiefs wasted no time is grabbing Kyle Orton off of waivers and with that perhaps start a new era in Kansas City. Matt Cassel has never proven to be anything more than average and Orton comes on board with a better resume anyway. Thrown in a need to throw from a lack of any credible rushing game and Orton gets a try out for 2012.

QUARTERBACK: HC Todd Haley repeats that Tyler Palko remains the starting quarterback and that Kyle Orton has to win the job. But he already has by virtue of being named Kyle Orton and not Tyler Palko. After two starts, Palko has thrown for no touchdowns and six interceptions. Thanks for the audition kid, don't call us, we'll call you.

First week out makes it unrealistic to give Orton a fantasy start but his signing is good for him and for the receivers of the Chiefs. A little more risky this week but soon enough a very good thing. The fun aspect here is that Orton gets to play against his old team. Think he would miss that?

RUNNING BACKS: Three-headed monster that even if you combined them all it would still be a mediocre back that has only scored once this entire season. Jackie Battle is a marginal starter for yardage in home games against weaker opponents but none of those conditions apply this week. The addition of Orton may help slightly but this remains a sad group since Jamaal Charles left.

WIDE RECEIVERS: Even with Tyler Palko, Dwayne Bowe was still bringing in around 70 yards per week. Granted - no Chief wideout has scored since week eight and there has only been seven touchdowns spread out over the three wide receivers. Jonathan Baldwin has not been able to show any progress yet and even Steve Breaston has been mostly quiet and only scored in one game so far. But the signing of Orton at least brings optimism that maybe touchdowns start to be seen from the Chiefs passing game and maybe Bowe can have a big game for the first time since week five.

But this week - only consider Bowe for a fantasy start since he at least brings the potential for a good game and has been maintaining his yardage even with Palko around.

TIGHT ENDS: No fantasy value.

RANKS (1-32, 1 = BEST) TEAM QB RB WR TE PK DEF
Gaining Fantasy Points KC 29 24 21 32 26 24
Preventing Fantasy Points CHI 25 9 14 32 28 14


Chicago Bears
Homefield: Soldier Field
Grass
  Opp Score   Opp Score
1 ATL 30-12 10 DET 37-13
2 @NO 13-30 11 SD 31-20
3 GB 17-27 12 @OAK 20-25
4 CAR 34-29 13 KC -
5 @DET 13-24 14 @DEN -
6 MIN 39-10 15 SEA -
7 @TB 24-18 16 @GB -
8 Bye - 17 @MIN -
9 @PHI 30-24      
Bears Report | Statistics | Roster
CHICAGO vs KC Rush Catch Pass
QB Caleb Hanie 30 - 220,1
RB Matt Forte 90 20 -
RB Marion Barber 30,1 - -
WR Roy Williams - 50 -
WR Earl Bennett - 40 -
WR Johnny Knox - 80,1 -
PK Robbie Gould 3 FG 2 XP -

Pregame Notes: The loss in Oakland ended a five game winning streak where four of the weeks featured 30+ points scored by the Bears. The defense and rushing offense can keep the Bears in most games but the season is going to end with a bumpy road of three road games over the final three weeks. All are winnable save perhaps the Packers tilt but Caleb Hanie needs to step up immediately to keep the Bears in the hunt. The absence of Jay Cutler was the killer last week.

QUARTERBACK: One start and Caleb Hanie has been a mixed bag as expected. He passed for a very respectable 254 yards and two scores in Oakland but had three interceptions and was sacked four times. Hanie also added 50 yards on five runs to help move the offense.

The Chiefs are nothing special on defense and typically allow one or more passing touchdowns along with moderate yardage. For his second start, look for Hanie to turn in roughly the same yardage but probably just one passing touchdown since Forte at home should be able to run more than he could in Oakland.

RUNNING BACKS: After starting the year on such a strong note, Matt Forte has slowed down considerably for the last three weeks with never more than 64 rushing yards, marginal production as a receiver and just one score over that period. Marion Barber was given ten carries in Oakland versus just 12 for Forte.

The Chiefs have allowed decent yardage to backs and at least on touchdown so consider Forte as a better start this week and he should end up with a higher number of receptions as he usually does in road games. Barber is likely to hawk the touchdown carry but this should prove to be Forte's best matchup of the last month.

WIDE RECEIVERS: The oddity here is that Earl Bennett returned in week nine after missing six games and became the #1 wideout though on this team it does not take that much. But with Caleb Hanie under center, Johnny Knox (4-145, TD) was the clear preferred receiver and the others were just hard to find. Bennett ended with only one catch for five yards and was targeted five times. This unit has always been difficult to nail down weekly and now Knox is the hot hand that will soon be beaten down into submission.

TIGHT ENDS: No fantasy value.

RANKS (1-32, 1 = BEST) TEAM QB RB WR TE PK DEF
Gaining Fantasy Points CHI 19 5 14 23 5 1
Preventing Fantasy Points KC 15 26 12 31 20 20

WEEK 13
2011
PHI at SEA (thu) CIN at PIT GB at NYG OAK at MIA
ATL at HOU DAL at ARI IND at NE STL at SF
BAL at CLE DEN at MIN KC at CHI TEN at BUF
  CAR at TB DET at NO NYJ at WAS SD at JAC (mon)

a d v e r t i s e m e n t