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FANTASY FOOTBALL IN-SEASON FEATURES

Predictions & Projections
David Dorey  

Sortable Player Projections | Game Predictions Summary | Projections by Team

WEEK 13
2011
PHI at SEA (thu) CIN at PIT * GB at NYG * OAK at MIA
* ATL at HOU DAL at ARI * IND at NE * STL at SF
BAL at CLE * DEN at MIN KC at CHI TEN at BUF
* Updated * CAR at TB * DET at NO NYJ at WAS SD at JAC (mon)

Prediction: PHI 24, SEA 17

The 4-7 Eagles hit the road where they have actually fared better at 3-2 and head to Seattle where the Seahawks are also 4-7 and have a 2-3 home record. This is a coin flip game since both teams are inconsistent but mostly bad. Somehow this ended up as the Thursday night game so both sides have less time to prepare or get players healthy.

Philadelphia Eagles
Homefield: Lincoln Financial Field
Turf
  Opp Score   Opp Score
1 @STL 31-13 10 ARI 17-21
2 @ATL 31-35 11 @NYG 17-10
3 NYG 16-29 12 NE 20-38
4 SF 23-24 13 @SEA -
5 @BUF 24-31 14 @MIA -
6 @WAS 20-13 15 NYJ -
7 Bye - 16 @DAL -
8 DAL 34-7 17 WAS -
9 CHI 24-30      
Eagles Report | Statistics | Roster
PHILADELPHIA at SEA Rush Catch Pass
QB Vince Young - - 270,2
RB LeSean McCoy 70,1 20 -
TE Brent Celek - 60,1 -
WR DeSean Jackson - 70 -
WR Jason Avant - 60,1 -
WR Riley Cooper - 50 -
PK Alex Henery 1 FG 3 XP -
Pregame Notes: The Eagles continue their swings between being a good team and a head-scratching bad team. At 4-7 the season is over and what started out with great promise is ending on a very bitter note. By now, the players and the coaches have to be thinking about looking good just to prevent the offseason looking bad. Missing Michael Vick and Jeremy Maclin this week is not going to help but the Seahawks have never had players like that at all.

QUARTERBACK: Michael Vick has not practiced as of Tuesday and is expected to miss this week because of his broken ribs. This would allow him to heal for another ten days and then hopefully finish the season on a higher note. In his place, Vince Young has not been bad. He passed for 258 yards and two scores in New York to beat the Giants and then 400 yards and one touchdown in the loss to the Patriots.

If he can get 60 minutes out of DeSean Jackson, he'll be that much better.

The Seahawks have allowed 250+ yards to all but one visitor and two scores or more to the better passers. Young is a lock for the one score and should find the second one as well.

RUNNING BACKS: LeSean McCoy has been limited in practice because of a sore toe but it is not turf toe and he is expected to play without any limitation on Thursday. McCoy has scored in all but one game this year though his role as a receiver has declined to only around three small catches per game.

The Seahawks have been solid against the run but have allowed five scores and McCoy almost always finds a way to score. Expect lesser yardage rushing but a good shot at one score and some receiving yardage.

WIDE RECEIVERS: Jeremy Maclin remains out with a bad hamstring and in his place Riley Cooper has turned in back-to-back games of around 70 yards and a touchdown in New York thanks to facing softer secondaries. DeSean Jackson is the starter for the start of the game and assumedly remains so until the end of the game though that is not always the case like just last week when he was benched for "lack of full and comprehensive effort" (AKA Alligator Arms). Jason Avant stepped up nicely last week with eight catches for 110 yards and one score.

I like one score ending up here where the Seahawks usually let the top wideout do well but Jackson is scary to rely on recently and has not scored since week five. Either Cooper or Avant are likely better candidates but nothing certain so rely only on the yardages which should be decent. Few teams have monster games on them but they always give up a couple of 50+ yardage games each week at the least.

TIGHT ENDS: Young has made good use of Brent Celek in the two starts. Celek turned in 6-60 in New York and then 5-75 against the Patriots. The Seahawks are weakest against the tight ends and Celek already connects with Young. Look for good yardage for the third straight week and a good chance at a touchdown.

RANKS (1-32, 1 = BEST) TEAM QB RB WR TE PK DEF
Gaining Fantasy Points PHI 6 7 7 19 15 12
Preventing Fantasy Points SEA 12 7 13 28 18 28


Seattle Seahawks
Homefield: Qwest Field
FieldTurf
  Opp Score   Opp Score
1 @SF 17-33 10 BAL 22-17
2 @PIT 0-24 11 @STL 24-7
3 ARI 13-10 12 WAS 17-23
4 ATL 28-30 13 PHI -
5 @NYG 36-25 14 STL -
6 Bye - 15 @CHI -
7 @CLE 3-6 16 SF -
8 CIN 12-34 17 @ARI -
9 @DAL 13-23      
Seahawks Report | Statistics | Roster
SEATTLE vs PHI Rush Catch Pass
QB Tarvaris Jackson - - 190,1
RB Marshawn Lynch 100,1 10 -
WR Doug Baldwin - 60,1 -
WR Mike Williams - 30 -
WR Ben Obamanu - 40 -
PK Steven Hauschka 1 FG 2 XP -

Pregame Notes: The Seahawks remain a very inconsistent team capable of beating the Ravens and yet losing to the visiting Redskins just last week. Notable this week is that Sidney RIce is likely to miss this week because of a concussion and a short week is no help in preparing to face the Eagles. So far the only positive development has been the revival of Marshawn Lynch's career but it will take more than rushing to beat the Eagles this week. When the Rams show up next week - then it will be enough.

QUARTERBACK: Tarvaris Jackson has only thrown a touchdown in five of ten games played and his nine scores go against 12 interceptions. He has topped 225 passing yards only once in the last six games and being without Sidney Rice leaves a big hole in a very small passing offense.

The Eagles on the road have only allowed three of five opponents to throw a touchdown pass and only one had more than just a single score. There is a chance that Jackson scores once if only at the end of the game but two would be a genuine surprise.

RUNNING BACKS: Every season has to have a handful of "go figure" players who end up greatly exceeding expectations. That would be Marshawn Lynch who was just his normal mediocre self through the first three weeks but then he scored and had some yardage. And then again. and again. And suddenly he has gone seven straight games with a touchdown and been around 100 total yards or more in five of the last six.

The Eagles have been softer against the run and more so in away games. The Seahawks are going to feed it to Lynch enough that he's bound to have a good game here and of course - score again. Never more than once. But never less than once.

WIDE RECEIVERS: Sidney Rice could miss this week because of a concussion and when he was gone last week, Jackson focused mostly on the rookie slot man Doug Baldwin who ended with 60 yards for the second week in a row. Baldwin only has one score from back in week five but has been consistent with 60 or so yards for the last month. Golden Tate scored once on the Redskins but it was his only catch in the game. Ben Obamanu and Mike Williams will also figure in but none of these receivers have any real fantasy value.

Baldwin gets credit for the score but mainly because he is the only wideout with any shred of consistency.

TIGHT ENDS: No fantasy value.

RANKS (1-32, 1 = BEST) TEAM QB RB WR TE PK DEF
Gaining Fantasy Points SEA 27 22 13 31 32 21
Preventing Fantasy Points PHI 24 24 23 13 4 18

WEEK 13
2011
PHI at SEA (thu) CIN at PIT GB at NYG OAK at MIA
ATL at HOU DAL at ARI IND at NE STL at SF
BAL at CLE DEN at MIN KC at CHI TEN at BUF
  CAR at TB DET at NO NYJ at WAS SD at JAC (mon)

a d v e r t i s e m e n t