The Huddle on Facebook Facebook   The Huddle on Twitter Twitter   The Huddle Mobile Mobile Welcome, Guest. You are not logged in.   | Login  |  Help
HOME FANTASY DRAFT KIT IN SEASON ARTICLES NEWS STATS FORUMS TEAMS PLAYERS NFL DRAFT NFL ABOUT myHuddle

FANTASY FOOTBALL IN-SEASON FEATURES

Predictions & Projections
David Dorey  

Sortable Player Projections | Game Predictions Summary | Projections by Team

WEEK 14
2011
CLE at PIT (thu) * HOU at CIN NE at WAS PHI at MIA
ATL at CAR IND at BAL NO at TEN SF at ARI
BUF at SD KC at NYJ * NYG at DAL TB at JAC
* Update * CHI at DEN * MIN at DET * OAK at GB * STL at SEA (mon)

Prediction: IND 10, BAL 34

The Colts remain perfect at 0-12 though last week made the score look like a competitive game which it was not. The Ravens are 9-3 and on top of the AFC North and in a tie for the #1 seed in the AFC. The Ravens have won their last three games and all six games at home. This would be an upset if the Colts won. A huge one no less.

Indianapolis Colts
Homefield: Lucas Oil Stadium
FieldTurf
  Opp Score   Opp Score
1 @HOU 7-34 10 JAC 3-17
2 CLE 19-27 11 Bye -
3 PIT 20-23 12 CAR 19-27
4 @TB 17-24 13 @NE 24-31
5 KC 24-28 14 @BAL -
6 @CIN 17-27 15 TEN -
7 @NO 7-62 16 HOU -
8 @TEN 10-27 17 @JAC -
9 ATL 7-31      
Colts Report | Statistics | Roster
INDIANAPOLIS at BAL Rush Catch Pass
QB Dan Orlovsky - - 200,1
RB Joseph Addai 40 - -
RB Donald Brown 40 10 -
TE Jacob Tamme - 30 -
WR Reggie Wayne - 50 -
WR Austin Collie - 40 -
WR Pierre Garcon - 60,1 -
PK Adam Vinatieri 1 FG 1 XP -
Pregame Notes: The Colts appeared to regain some offense lately with 19 and 24 point efforts but they went against the paper soft defenses of the visiting Panthers and the Patriots who amazingly stopped caring at 31-3 and allowed the Colts to score 21 points in the fourth quarter. Make no mistake - this is still a bad team with a new quarterback. And on the road to face one of the best defenses in the NFL.

QUARTERBACK : Dan Orlovsky passed for an eye-popping 353 yards and two scores in New England but so does everyone else and it all happened in trash time when they were pulling random people from the stands to let them play defensive back. The Ravens have never allowed more than one touchdown to any opposing quarterback and most remain below 200 yards. No reason to think Orlovsky will get Patriot quality trash time here.

RUNNING BACKS: Joseph Addai has been back for two meaningless games and never carried more than 13 times or gained more than 41 total yards. Donald Brown is playing out his final days as a Colt with a score in each of the last two games thanks to facing weak defenses. That is not the case this Sunday where the Ravens have only allowed two runners to score in Baltimore and no has gained more than 83 rushing yards. Divide by two and leave these guys alone this week.

WIDE RECEIVERS: The jury is still out what Orlovsky brings to table since the Patriots game was an unrealistic measurement. Austin Collie (7-70) had a season best showing as did Pierre Garcon (9-150, 2 TD) and yet Reggie Wayne remains a cruel joke with only 55 yards on five catches. The Ravens might allow one score to the wide receivers and the only certainty appears to be that Wayne will be too covered to catch it. That leaves Austin Collie who has never scored this year and Pierre Garcon who either has two scores and monster yardage or almost nothing.

The four wideouts who have scored in Baltimore were all the #2 or #3 for their team so Garcon is the most likely. Collie doesn't score and Wayne is not allowed.

TIGHT ENDS: Jacob Tamme has been used more in recent weeks but he has never scored this year and the Ravens have only allowed one all season anyway. No reason to take a chance on Tamme this week.

RANKS (1-32, 1 = BEST) TEAM QB RB WR TE PK DEF
Gaining Fantasy Points IND 29 31 21 24 30 31
Preventing Fantasy Points BAL 2 4 8 2 5 19


Baltimore Ravens
Homefield: M&T Bank Stadium
Sport Turf
  Opp Score   Opp Score
1 PIT 35-7 10 @SEA 17-22
2 @TEN 13-26 11 CIN 31-24
3 @STL 37-7 12 SF 16-6
4 NYJ 34-17 13 @CLE 24-10
5 Bye - 14 IND -
6 HOU 29-14 15 @SD -
7 @JAC 7-9 16 CLE -
8 ARI 30-27 17 @CIN -
9 @PIT 23-20   - -
Ravens Report | Statistics | Roster
BALTIMORE vs IND Rush Catch Pass
QB Joe Flacco - - 240,1
RB Ray Rice 110,2 30 -
TE Ed Dickson - 20 -
WR Anquan Boldin - 80,1 -
WR Torrey Smith - 60 -
PK Billy Cundiff 2 FG 4 XP -

Pregame Notes: The Ravens are in a good place at 9-3 and owning the tie breaker over the 9-3 Steelers. The remaining schedule should see the Ravens favored each week and with a #1 seed and a division to win, chances are the Ravens have to give full effort through week 17. This is the easiest remaining game but at home the Ravens have yet to lose. That won't change this week.

I like a defensive score in this game.

QUARTERBACK: The Colts are weak everywhere on defense but Joe Flacco has been little more than a game manager since week four. Flacco has only thrown six scores over the last nine games and more often ended with just moderate yardage. Ask any Flacco owner and he'll tell you what other quarterback he is using for a starter.

There could be more yardage and scores but the Ravens do not need them and rarely reach for them. Expect the same Flacco.

RUNNING BACKS: Make no mistake. Ray Rice is usually good for around 100 total yards and he is better against bad defenses and better when he is at home. Now the 30th ranked Colts show up as the visitor and the worry is that Rice gives way to Ricky Williams at some point and shortcuts a monster game.

Expect a big effort from Rice this week. No - bigger than that.

WIDE RECEIVERS: The tough part is that either Torrey Smith or Anquan Boldin could have a big game here but Smith has only been big in road games or divisional matchups. Boldin has been a marginal play in this offense for the last month or so but at home should be a nice place for a touchdown. The risk here is that the Colts score little and the Ravens just run the ball, control the clock and bother little with the pass. It still seems like a nice setup for a decent showing by Boldin who has been pretty quiet for the second half of the season.

TIGHT ENDS: Minimal fantasy value from Ed Dickson and Dennis Pitta though they occasionally score. The yardage is almost always well below any fantasy relevance though. No need for a fantasy start here.

RANKS (1-32, 1 = BEST) TEAM QB RB WR TE PK DEF
Gaining Fantasy Points BAL 25 5 26 13 4 2
Preventing Fantasy Points IND 25 30 27 19 27 27

WEEK 14
2011
CLE at PIT (thu) HOU at CIN NE at WAS PHI at MIA
ATL at CAR IND at BAL NO at TEN SF at ARI
BUF at SD KC at NYJ NYG at DAL TB at JAC
  CHI at DEN MIN at DET OAK at GB STL at SEA (mon)

a d v e r t i s e m e n t