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Predictions & Projections
David Dorey  

Sortable Player Projections | Game Predictions Summary | Projections by Team

JAC at ATL (thu) * CIN at STL * MIA at BUF SEA at CHI
DAL at TB (sat) * CLE at ARI NE at DEN * TEN at IND
BAL at SD * DET at OAK * NO at MIN WAS at NYG
* UPDATED CAR at HOU GB at KC * NYJ at PHI * PIT at SF (mon)

Prediction: CIN 27, STL 14

Update: A.J. Feeley is out because of his thumb and Sam Bradford is still not practicing because of his ankle and is likely to miss this game as well meaning that Kellen Clemens is expecting to take the start.

The Bengals are on a two game losing streak and at 7-6 have to pretty much win out and get lucky to make the playoffs. But they are 4-3 in road games and the Rams have dropped their last four games and are only 1-5 at home anyway.

Cincinnati Bengals
Homefield: Paul Brown Stadium
  Opp Score   Opp Score
1 @CLE 27-17 10 PIT 17-24
2 @DEN 22-24 11 @BAL 24-31
3 SF 8-13 12 CLE 23-20
4 BUF 23-20 13 @PIT 7-35
5 @JAC 30-20 14 HOU 19-20
6 IND 27-17 15 @STL -
7 Bye - 16 ARI -
8 @SEA 34-12 17 BAL -
9 @TEN 24-17      
Bengals Report | Statistics | Roster
CINCINNATI at STL Rush Catch Pass
QB Andy Dalton - - 240,3
RB Cedric Benson 80 - -
TE Jermaine Gresham - 30 -
WR A.J. Green - 100,2 -
WR Jerome Simpson - 40 -
WR Andre Caldwell - 30,1 -
PK Mike Nugent 2 FG 3 XP -
Pregame Notes: Even if the Bengals take down the Rams and Cardinals, that final meeting with the Ravens is likely to mean what seed the Ravens get and they won't be laying down for the final week. But the season has to be already viewed as a wild success for a rebuilt offense that has shined using rookie players. Pick up a running back next year and this could be a dangerous team.

QUARTERBACK: Even as a rookie, Andy Dalton has scored in all but one game and posted three games with at over over 300 passing yards. And that includes facing the Ravens and Steelers (2). This week he goes against a secondary that has allowed 18 passing scores and it would be more except most opponents just prefer to run against them. That is less of an option with the Bengals and Cedric Benson.

Expect a nice game here by Dalton simply because he can and the Bengals are not nearly good enough to think about showing mercy.

RUNNING BACKS: Even though Cedric Benson takes the lion's share of the work, he still has been only marginal in most games and has just five touchdowns on the season and three games over 100 yards - two of those against the Browns. On the road even Benson won't be able to have a monster game against these Rams but he should turn in one of his better efforts.

WIDE RECEIVERS: There is no argument about A.J. Green being the best rookie wideout this year and he already has scored seven times and notched three 100 yard efforts. Jerome Simpson and Andre Caldwell support him and turn in the odd score but rarely do more than 40 yards in games and Simpson in particular is a risk since he has four games with just one catch and nearly no yards.

The Rams at home have allowed seven passing touchdowns to wide receivers and particularly by the fast players like Green. This should be a nice showing for Green who could break it into a really big game.

TIGHT ENDS: Jermaine Gresham remains a solid part of the game plan each week but he usually scores when at home and the Rams are the best against the position with only one score allowed. Figure on a down game for Gresham.

Gaining Fantasy Points CIN 22 28 11 15 11 10
Preventing Fantasy Points STL 8 26 28 1 23 32

St. Louis Rams
Homefield: Edward Jones Dome
  Opp Score   Opp Score
1 PHI 13-31 10 @CLE 13-12
2 @NYG 16-28 11 SEA 7-24
3 BAL 7-37 12 ARI 20-23
4 WAS 10-17 13 @SF 0-26
5 Bye - 14 @SEA 13-30
6 @GB 3-24 15 CIN -
7 @DAL 7-34 16 @PIT -
8 NO 31-21 17 SF -
9 @ARI 13-19      
Rams Report | Statistics | Roster
ST. LOUIS vs CIN Rush Catch Pass
QB Sam Bradford - - 180,1
QB Kellen Clemens - - 150
RB Steven Jackson 70,1 10 -
WR Brandon Lloyd - 50 -
WR Brandon Gibson - 40 -
WR Danario Alexander - 30 -
PK Josh Brown FG 1 XP -

Pregame Notes: It gets no better. The Rams are playing out a bad year where the offense never came to life and the complicated, pass-heavy scheme of Josh McDaniels just never clicked. The Offensive Rookie of the Year from 2010 took several steps backwards and the needs on the team remain so great that even the high draft pick will barely make a dent if they even get that right.

QUARTERBACK: Sam Bradford played through his high ankle sprain against the Cardinals on Monday night and only ended with his four game of the year without a touchdown. Bradford scored only six times this season and never more than once in any game. He is too high of a risk for a fantasy start this game or the final two weeks. The Bengals are nothing that special in their secondary but even one score would be a major success here.

RUNNING BACKS: The season winds down for Steven Jackson who turns 29 next summer and knows his window of opportunity for great things has pretty much closed. Jackson scored six times this year and was on a nice run in mid-season but has since been stuck at 60 yard games or less for the past month.

Playing at home, Jackson is still worthy of a fantasy start and has a decent shot at one touchdown against a defense that has allowed seven rushing scores over their seven road games.

WIDE RECEIVERS: Sadly this unit has remained easy to read all season long. Only Brandon Lloyd has mattered and he did not show up until week seven. But he has scored in all three home games since joining the team and remained around 60 or 70 yards in each. Brandon Gibson has remained amazingly mediocre with about 30 or 40 yards in almost every game and Austin Pettis still not making the youth movement look like a good thing. Danario Alexander has already had his two good games for the year so he just ends up with one or two catches in most every game.

Lloyd is worth a start here and so far he does score at home. At worse you would get around 50 or 60 yards.

TIGHT ENDS: No fantasy value.

Gaining Fantasy Points STL 31 30 24 30 31 19
Preventing Fantasy Points CIN 7 16 16 10 7 7

JAC at ATL (thu) CIN at STL MIA at BUF SEA at CHI
DAL at TB (sat) CLE at ARI NE at DEN TEN at IND
  CAR at HOU GB at KC NYJ at PHI PIT at SF (mon)

a d v e r t i s e m e n t