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FANTASY FOOTBALL IN-SEASON FEATURES

Predictions & Projections
David Dorey  

Sortable Player Projections | Game Predictions Summary | Projections by Team

WEEK 15
2011
JAC at ATL (thu) * CIN at STL * MIA at BUF SEA at CHI
DAL at TB (sat) * CLE at ARI NE at DEN * TEN at IND
BAL at SD * DET at OAK * NO at MIN WAS at NYG
* UPDATED CAR at HOU GB at KC * NYJ at PHI * PIT at SF (mon)

Prediction: SEA 17, CHI 13

The Seahawks come off their Monday night win with a 5-7 record but only 2-4 in road games. The Bears have lost three in a row and are 7-6 with a realistic chance that they may miss the playoffs. Chances are pretty strong that this will not be a high points affair.

Seattle Seahawks
Homefield: Qwest Field
FieldTurf
  Opp Score   Opp Score
1 @SF 17-33 10 BAL 22-17
2 @PIT 0-24 11 @STL 24-7
3 ARI 13-10 12 WAS 17-23
4 ATL 28-30 13 PHI 31-14
5 @NYG 36-25 14 STL 30-13
6 Bye - 15 @CHI -
7 @CLE 3-6 16 SF -
8 CIN 12-34 17 @ARI -
9 @DAL 13-23      
Seahawks Report | Statistics | Roster
SEATTLE at CHI Rush Catch Pass
QB Tarvaris Jackson - - 190,1
RB Marshawn Lynch 90,1 10 -
TE Zach Miller - 10 -
WR Golden Tate - 30 -
WR Doug Baldwin - 60,1 -
WR Mike Williams - 20 -
WR Ben Obamanu - 30 -
PK Steven Hauschka 1 FG 2 XP -
Pregame Notes: The Seahawks may not be going anywhere in January but they continue to play hard and the team is coming together better as the season progresses. This is mainly led by Marshawn Lynch and a bag of Skittles but there is development in the receiving ranks as well as young players continue to improve. Don't tell Tarvaris, but this team may be one hot quarterback away from returning to prominence.

QUARTERBACK: Tarvaris Jackson claims to be completely healed from his pectoral injury but he still only passed for 224 yards and one touchdown on Monday night. Over the year he has just 11 passing touchdowns and remains below 230 passing yards for the last six games.

The Bears secondary remains one of the better ones that had to face Aaron Rodgers, Matt Stafford and Cam Newton to drop their ranking. But against the likes of Jackson expect just the same game manager sort of stats in a battle to see who makes the fewest mistakes.

RUNNING BACKS: Marshawn Lynch continues to amaze coming off his fifth 100+ yard rushing effort of the year and he has scored in nine straight games to tie a Seattle record held by Shaun Alexander. Beast mode almost defies explanation given his body of work in the NFL before landing in Seattle. He's a shoo-in for a Skittles commercial soon and a major benefit to fantasy owners who probably landed him as an afterthought in the 6th round of the drafts.

The Bears are good against the run. They have only allowed two 100 yard rushers all season and only two runner have scored in Chicago this season. But the loss of offensive ability by the Bears means field position goes to the Seahawks and eventually Lynch should score. Nine games in a row and working on a record tenth. This could be a 25 to 30 carry game for Lynch.

WIDE RECEIVERS: With Sidney Rice gone for the season, Doug Baldwin has stepped up and led the team with 93 yards on seven catches with one score in the Rams win. He had been at or above 50 yards in three of the four previous games and showed some nice chemistry with Jackson. Golden Tate scored in two straight games and then was held to just 39 yards on three catches on Monday. He is much hyped by coaches and media but has never turned in more than 47 yards in a game this year. Mike Williams has all but disappeared in recent weeks.

The Seahawks will work five wideouts into the rotation every week but only Baldwin and Tate matter now and just Baldwin if you want actual yardage attached. This week the Seahawks face a secondary that has given up just one touchdown to a visiting wideout though eight receivers have logged 70 or more yards on them. Add in the depressed nature of the Bears offense and the likelihood for rushing by Lynch and only Baldwin holds any real attraction and that is barely enough to merit consideration for a fantasy start.

TIGHT ENDS: No fantasy value.

RANKS (1-32, 1 = BEST) TEAM QB RB WR TE PK DEF
Gaining Fantasy Points SEA 28 18 15 31 32 14
Preventing Fantasy Points CHI 19 7 12 30 25 15


Chicago Bears
Homefield: Soldier Field
Grass
  Opp Score   Opp Score
1 ATL 30-12 10 DET 37-13
2 @NO 13-30 11 SD 31-20
3 GB 17-27 12 @OAK 20-25
4 CAR 34-29 13 KC 3-10
5 @DET 13-24 14 @DEN 10-13
6 MIN 39-10 15 SEA -
7 @TB 24-18 16 @GB -
8 Bye - 17 @MIN -
9 @PHI 30-24      
Bears Report | Statistics | Roster
CHICAGO vs SEA Rush Catch Pass
QB Caleb Hanie - - 150
RB Marion Barber 100,1 10 -
WR Roy Williams - 30 -
WR Devin Hester - 20 -
WR Earl Bennett - 20 -
WR Johnny Knox - 60 -
PK Robbie Gould 2 FG 1 XP -

Pregame Notes: The loss of Jay Cutler and Matt Forte have been too much for this offense to withstand and the inability to post scores has been a death knell for the Bears. With a trip to Green Bay waiting on the other side of this matchup, the writing is pretty much already on the wall and the visiting Seahawks are not as bad as they might seem. Particularly to a team that just was beaten by the visiting Chiefs and then the Tebowcos.

QUARTERBACK: Caleb Hanie seemed like maybe a decent replacement when he posted 254 yards and two scores in Oakland but these last two games without a Matt Forte for support has seen him not score and pass for no more than 133 yards in a game. The spread offense that plays without stars turns into just a mishmash of mediocre receivers without a decent quarterback to direct it.

The Seahawks secondary is nothing special just like Caleb Hanie but have held over half of their opponents to just one or no passing touchdowns and moderate yardage at best. No reason to consider Hanie as a fantasy option.

RUNNING BACKS: No doubt Marion Barber is upset about last week but he never talks to the media and now probably will never start. Barber had the well publicized running out of bounds to allow the Broncos enough time to tie the game and then lost a fumble in overtime so the Broncos could fulfill Tebow's destiny. Barber rushed for 108 yards on 27 carries in that game but had only 44 yards on 14 runs as a starter against the Chiefs.

The Seahawks are tough on the run and that is where the Bears will hurt even more. I like Barber in this game to come out and play incredibly hard after last week and the Bears as a team will want him to get back to work. I like the chance that Barber gets enough work to offer moderate fantasy value and have a decent chance at scoring once. The Seahawks are good against the run and will be stacking the line but Barber has to prove something after last week.

WIDE RECEIVERS: All you need to know here is that the last two weeks with Hanie at the helm, no Bear receiver had more than 53 yards and none have scored. Take away Johnny Knox and his eight catches for 90 yards over the two weeks and there were only six catches for 62 yards shared among five different wideouts. Remember Earl Bennett? One catch for five yards total.

TIGHT ENDS: No fantasy value.

RANKS (1-32, 1 = BEST) TEAM QB RB WR TE PK DEF
Gaining Fantasy Points CHI 25 7 22 25 9 3
Preventing Fantasy Points SEA 10 8 11 23 11 26

WEEK 15
2011
JAC at ATL (thu) CIN at STL MIA at BUF SEA at CHI
DAL at TB (sat) CLE at ARI NE at DEN TEN at IND
BAL at SD DET at OAK NO at MIN WAS at NYG
  CAR at HOU GB at KC NYJ at PHI PIT at SF (mon)

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