The Huddle on Facebook Facebook   The Huddle on Twitter Twitter   The Huddle Mobile Mobile Welcome, Guest. You are not logged in.JOINHELP
HOME FANTASY DRAFT KIT IN SEASON ARTICLES NEWS STATS FORUMS TEAMS PLAYERS NFL DRAFT NFL ABOUT myHuddle

FANTASY FOOTBALL IN-SEASON FEATURES

Predictions & Projections
David Dorey  

Sortable Player Projections | Game Predictions Summary | Projections by Team

WEEK 17
2011
BAL at CIN * DAL at NYG * NYJ at MIA SF at STL
* BUF at NE DET at GB PIT at CLE TB at ATL
CAR at NO * IND at JAC * SD at OAK * TEN at HOU
* UPDATED CHI at MIN * KC at DEN SEA at ARI * WAS at PHI

Prediction: CAR 23, NO 27

The Saints have clinched the division but need a win to stay in contention for the #2 seed. They are tied with the 49ers who have the first tie breaker and yet both teams play in the early games so the Saints cannot know the outcome of the SF-STL game. Granted, probably a formality but still "on any given Sunday".

This is a replay of week five when the Saints won 30-27 in Carolina. The Panthers are 3-4 in road games.

Carolina Panthers
Homefield: Bank of America Stadium
Grass
  Opp Score   Opp Score
1 @ARI 21-28 10 TEN 3-30
2 GB 23-30 11 @DET 35-49
3 JAC 16-10 12 @IND 27-19
4 @CHI 29-34 13 @TB 38-19
5 NO 27-30 14 ATL 23-31
6 @ATL 17-31 15 @HOU 28-13
7 WAS 33-20 16 TB 48-16
8 MIN 21-24 17 @NO -
9 Bye -      
Panthers Report | Statistics | Roster
CAROLINA at NO Rush Catch Pass
QB Cam Newton 30,1 - 250,1
RB DeAngelo Williams 50 - -
RB Jonathan Stewart 30 20 -
TE Greg Olsen - 40 -
TE Jeremy Shockey - 10,1 -
WR Brandon LaFell - 50 -
WR Steve Smith - 80 -
PK Olindo Mare 3 FG 2 XP -
Pregame Notes: The Panthers may be just 6-9 but the offense has been prolific considering there is a rookie quarterback there and only bad special teams and defensive play kept this team from a winning season. This team is young and talented and just needs to upgrade the defense and get more than Steve Smith for consistent receiver play.

QUARTERBACK: Cam Newton passed for 224 yards and two scores versus the Saints and added a rushing touchdown and 27 yards on seven runs. But he has been less productive in most road games where he has scored only seven times in seven games as a passer. Of course he has added ten rushing touchdowns in those games as well. But Newton has cooled down lately with the rushing touchdowns and scored only once on a run in the last three games.

Newton is no less a good start this week and the Saints have allowed seven passers to exceed 300 yards and the last three in New Orleans all had more than 370 yards. That's a bit much for Newton but he remains a good play.

RUNNING BACKS: DeAngelo Williams turned in his best game of the year when he rushed for 115 yards and a score on only nine runs when the Saints visited in week five. Jonathan Stewart was held to just 20 yards on six runs in that game and Williams is on a hot streak. He has scored in each of the last three weeks though he still is limited to no more than 15 carries and usually more like 10.

The Saints at home have only allowed three rushing touchdowns and never more than 89 rushing yards to a runner. It gets split in two here anyway so expect a down game from both Williams and Stewart. Williams is the better play if needed, but the Saints are much tougher in New Orleans.

WIDE RECEIVERS: Legedu Naanee is out for the game with a broken bone in his foot but Brandon LaFell comes off his career best game (by a large margin) when he gained 103 yards and one touchdown on three receptions versus the Bucs. LaFell only had one catch for 20 yards in the first meeting with the Saints. Steve Smith has been largely quiet in the last month or so with just one score in the last five games and only moderate yardage per game at best. Smith scored once on his three catches for 79 yards in the previous Saints loss.

Smith always remains a worthy start but this week is no more attractive than any other. He's a sure bet for decent yardage but a touchdown is less likely.

TIGHT ENDS: Greg Olsen scored on his three catches for 21 yards in week five but he has only been in the endzone once in the last six weeks and Jeremy Shockey has turned into the "two catches for no yardage and a touchdown" guy for the last three weeks. Like the passing score ending up here more but not marginal yardage for both a flip a coin who catches it.

RANKS (1-32, 1 = BEST) TEAM QB RB WR TE PK DEF
Gaining Fantasy Points CAR 3 18 17 3 19 24
Preventing Fantasy Points NO 25 25 26 6 22 3


New Orleans Saints
Homefield: Superdome
Sportexe Turf
  Opp Score   Opp Score
1 @GB 34-42 10 @ATL 26-23
2 CHI 30-13 11 Bye -
3 HOU 40-33 12 NYG 49-24
4 @JAC 23-10 13 DET 31-17
5 @CAR 30-27 14 @TEN 22-17
6 @TB 20-26 15 @MIN 42-20
7 IND 62-7 16 ATL 45-16
8 @STL 21-31 17 CAR -
9 TB 27-16 - - -
Saints Report | Statistics | Roster
NEW ORLEANS vs CAR Rush Catch Pass
QB Drew Brees - - 300,2
RB Pierre Thomas 50,1 20 -
RB Darren Sproles 40 40 -
TE Jimmy Graham - 80,1 -
WR Marques Colston - 70,1 -
WR Devery Henderson - 30 -
WR Robert Meachem - 60 -
PK John Kasay 2 FG 3 XP -

Pregame Notes: The Saints are on a short week after taking down the Falcons and there is some risk this week. You have to assume that they play the entire game. But what happens if the 49ers are ahead 28-0 at the half in St. Louis and the Saints can reasonable determine that a win or loss is meaningless? The 49ers are heavily favored in that game and if that happens it will impact this game. Drew Brees has already locked up the single season passing record. Could happen - why subject Brees to sacks if there is nothing to win?

QUARTERBACK: Now that Drew Brees has set the single season record for passing yardage and thereby knocking Dan Marino off the mountain top, why play here? Granted, the Rams beat the Saints in a dumfounding game but it will be easier enough to track and Brees has nothing to prove or gain. I will assume the Brees plays a full game - 300 yards as always - but that could be called off.

RUNNING BACKS: Mark Ingram should remain out with his turf toe and allow the other three backs to take care of business. In the first meeting, Ingram (9-32) scored once and Darren Sproles turned in 51 rush yards and 40 as a receiver. Pierre Thomas gained 42 total yards and scored as a receiver as did fullback Jed Collins. This should turn into a run heavy game when the Saints get the lead and especially if they pull Brees before the game is over. But playing at home in a probably meaningless game could mean any running back may excel or do nothing.

WIDE RECEIVERS: Lance Moore aggravated his hamstring injury on Monday night and will likely miss this week. No Saints receiver had a score or gained more than 69 yards in the last meeting with the Panthers but chances are better that a home game will see at least one touchdown here. Marques Colston is the only receiver that merits a fantasy start and he led the unit against the Panthers in week five with 69 yards on five receptions.

TIGHT ENDS: Jimmy Graham toasted the Panthers in the last meeting with eight catches for 129 yards. He remains a must start and should end up with a score in this game as well.

RANKS (1-32, 1 = BEST) TEAM QB RB WR TE PK DEF
Gaining Fantasy Points NO 2 1 6 2 2 28
Preventing Fantasy Points CAR 18 31 11 17 26 14

WEEK 17
2011
BAL at CIN DAL at NYG NYJ at MIA SF at STL
BUF at NE DET at GB PIT at CLE TB at ATL
CAR at NO IND at JAC SD at OAK TEN at HOU
  CHI at MIN KC at DEN SEA at ARI WAS at PHI

a d v e r t i s e m e n t