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FANTASY FOOTBALL IN-SEASON FEATURES

Predictions & Projections
David Dorey  

Sortable Player Projections | Game Predictions Summary | Projections by Team

WEEK 17
2011
BAL at CIN * DAL at NYG * NYJ at MIA SF at STL
* BUF at NE DET at GB PIT at CLE TB at ATL
CAR at NO * IND at JAC * SD at OAK * TEN at HOU
* UPDATED CHI at MIN * KC at DEN SEA at ARI * WAS at PHI

Prediction: KC 10, DEN 20

Update: Jackie Battle is ruled out of the finale because of his foot.

The Chiefs may have beaten the Packers but losing to the Raiders last week sealed their chances for the playoffs. Denver will advance as the AFC West title owner with a win here or a loss by the Raiders to the Chargers. This is a replay of week ten when the Broncos won 17-10 in Kansas City. This is also the chance for Kyle Orton to say thank you for getting dumped by the Broncos after week five.

Kansas City Chiefs
Homefield: Arrowhead Stadium
Grass
  Opp Score   Opp Score
1 BUF 7-41 10 DEN 10-17
2 @DET 3-48 11 @NE 3-34
3 @SD 17-20 12 PIT 9-13
4 MIN 22-17 13 @CHI 10-3
5 @IND 28-24 14 @NYJ 10-37
6 Bye - 15 GB 19-14
7 @OAK 28-0 16 OAK 13-16
8 SD 23-20 17 @DEN -
9 MIA 3-31      
Chiefs Report | Statistics | Roster
KANSAS CITY at DEN Rush Catch Pass
QB Kyle Orton - - 260,1
RB Dexter McCluster 50 20 -
RB Jackie Battle 40 10 -
RB Thomas Jones 50 - -
WR Jonathan Baldwin - 30 -
WR Steve Breaston - 80 -
WR Dwayne Bowe - 100,1 -
PK Ryan Succop 1 FG 1 XP -
Pregame Notes: The Chiefs get to decide if they want to retain Romeo Crennel as the head coach or try someone else but regardless what happens, the offense needs some work. These last eight weeks have seen the Chiefs exceed ten points only twice and never more than 19. The addition of Jamaal Charles will be a big boost assuming he returns in good shape but the season slowly draws to a close with one of the lowest scoring offenses in the league.

QUARTERBACK: Kyle Orton has thrown for right around 300 yards in both of his starts for the Chiefs though both were home games against the Packers and Raiders secondaries. Matt Cassel's final game of the year was in Denver when he and Tyler Palko combined for just 140 pass yards and one touchdown. Figuring on a motivated Orton, the pass yardage could go high here but more than one touchdown would be a surprise from this offense.

RUNNING BACKS: The three-headed monster here has never amounted to much and divided into three ensured no fantasy value. In week seven, the trio combined for only 123 yards on 35 carries. No reason to expect a starter to come out of this group now.

WIDE RECEIVERS: Dwayne Bowe (6-76) was the most productive wideout in week 10 when the Broncos visited and Steve Breaston (5-64) was right behind him. Those were solid stats from an offense that had very limited passing yards that week, Kyle Orton brings an improved ability t o throw and should manage to feed both Breaston and Bowe in this game. With a marginal rushing attack and no real use of the tight end, it will be up to these wideouts to keep the Chiefs in the game.

TIGHT ENDS: No fantasy value.

RANKS (1-32, 1 = BEST) TEAM QB RB WR TE PK DEF
Gaining Fantasy Points KC 29 23 20 32 25 23
Preventing Fantasy Points DEN 26 22 20 9 31 31


Denver Broncos
Homefield: Invesco Field
Grass
  Opp Score   Opp Score
1 OAK 20-23 10 @KC 17-10
2 CIN 24-22 11 NYJ 17-13
3 @TEN 14-17 12 @SD 16-13
4 @GB 23-49 13 @MIN 35-32
5 SD 24-29 14 CHI 13-10
6 Bye - 15 NE 23-41
7 @MIA 18-15 16 @BUF 14-40
8 DET 10-45 17 KC -
9 @OAK 38-24      
Broncos Report | Statistics | Roster
DENVER vs KC Rush Catch Pass
QB Tim Tebow 50,1 - 170,1
RB Willis McGahee 80 - -
WR Eric Decker - 50 -
WR Eddie Royal - 20 -
WR Demaryius Thomas - 80,1 -
PK Matt Prater 2 FG 2 XP -

Pregame Notes: One win and they are in. This is a crucial game to the mini-legacy that is Tim Tebow and a loss here could make the team officials start thinking again. But the passing game is improving if only incrementally and Demaryius Thomas is finally making good on his promise. Hosting a playoff game would be a huge feather in new HC John Fox's hat.

QUARTERBACK:Tim Tebow only completed two passes in the last meeting with the Chiefs but had the winning touchdown pass and added a rushing score of his own. Tebow is passing for more yardage now and certainly completes more than just two passes. Tebow is more likely to run at home, so expect a decent showing here much like the last time they played but with more yardage.

RUNNING BACKS: Lance Ball took most of the load in week ten when he rushed 30 times for 96 yards on the Chiefs while Willis McGahee (4-17) was injured and Knowshon Moreno was lost for the season. McGahee will tote the load this time and should have moderate success with at least yardage if not a score. Most road opponents have featured a back with around 80 rushing yards or more when playing the Chiefs.

WIDE RECEIVERS: Eric Decker came through with the 56-yard game winning touchdown in the previous meeting but he's been mostly cool ever since and more so when at home. Demaryius Thomas did not record a catch in that game but has been on a roll in the last four matchups with never fewer than 76 yards and a total of three touchdowns scored. Thomas is a lower end fantasy start but could move up as both he and Tebow continue to play together and evolve.

TIGHT ENDS: No fantasy value.

RANKS (1-32, 1 = BEST) TEAM QB RB WR TE PK DEF
Gaining Fantasy Points DEN 11 20 26 29 27 14
Preventing Fantasy Points KC 15 24 9 22 14 13

WEEK 17
2011
BAL at CIN DAL at NYG NYJ at MIA SF at STL
BUF at NE DET at GB PIT at CLE TB at ATL
CAR at NO IND at JAC SD at OAK TEN at HOU
  CHI at MIN KC at DEN SEA at ARI WAS at PHI

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