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Predictions & Projections
David Dorey  

Sortable Player Projections | Game Predictions Summary | Projections by Team

WEEK 17
2011
BAL at CIN * DAL at NYG * NYJ at MIA SF at STL
* BUF at NE DET at GB PIT at CLE TB at ATL
CAR at NO * IND at JAC * SD at OAK * TEN at HOU
* UPDATED CHI at MIN * KC at DEN SEA at ARI * WAS at PHI

Prediction: SEA 13, ARI 24

Both teams are out of the playoffs this year and this is a replay of week three when the Seahawks won 13-10 in Seattle. The Cardinals are 5-2 at home while the Seahawks are just 3-4 in road games. The winner gets a 8-8 record and avoids a losing record.

Seattle Seahawks
Homefield: Qwest Field
FieldTurf
  Opp Score   Opp Score
1 @SF 17-33 10 BAL 22-17
2 @PIT 0-24 11 @STL 24-7
3 ARI 13-10 12 WAS 17-23
4 ATL 28-30 13 PHI 31-14
5 @NYG 36-25 14 STL 30-13
6 Bye - 15 @CHI 38-14
7 @CLE 3-6 16 SF 17-19
8 CIN 12-34 17 @ARI -
9 @DAL 13-23      
Seahawks Report | Statistics | Roster
SEATTLE at ARI Rush Catch Pass
QB Tarvaris Jackson - - 170
RB Marshawn Lynch 100,1 10 -
TE Zach Miller - 20 -
WR Golden Tate - 40 -
WR Doug Baldwin - 40 -
WR Ben Obamanu - 30 -
PK Steven Hauschka 2 FG 1 XP -
Pregame Notes: This has been an interesting year for the Seahawks who had trouble finding a passing game with so many injuries and Tarvaris Jackson proving to be the same second-stringer we knew in Minnesota. Losing Sidney Rice and Mike Williams eventually for the year hurts but the undrafted rookie Doug Baldwin has been a genuine delight. More than anything is Marshawn Lynch who apparently waited five year before really trying in the NFL. There's plenty of good to look forward to next year but a change at quarterback seems the most pressing.

QUARTERBACK: Tarvaris Jackson winds down a mostly mediocre season with only 13 passing touchdowns and rarely exceeding 200 yards in most games. He has been on a six game streak with at least one passing score. Jackson passed for 171 yards and no touchdowns in the last meeting with the Cardinals though he ran in a touchdown for the only time this year.

The Cardinals defense has improved later in the season and allowed just two passing scores over their last four home games. No reason to consider Jackson as a start this week.

RUNNING BACKS: Sometimes it is just better to accept things rather than try to understand them. Such is the case of Marshawn Lynch who spent three lackluster years in Buffalo and then had the worse year of his career in Seattle for 2010. He even started the year out with the first four games with minimal results. Since then? Break out the Skittles, Beast Mode is on. Lynch has already scored 13 touchdowns and topped 100 rushing yards six times. He has scored in 11 straight games. His first meeting with the Cardinals resulted in 73 yards on 19 carries in the last game of the year where he did not score. Week three. And the best part of it all - he is a free agent in a month and gets to cash in.

The Cardinals are good against the run but Lynch is red hot and a must start.

WIDE RECEIVERS: This is the case of the last man standing. Mike Williams and Sidney Rice have already hit the injured reserve. Doug Baldwin is still playing but has a bad ankle and has been limited to one catch in each of the last three games. Ben Obomanu strained his knee last week and is questionable to start the week. Golden Tate is heralded as the next new hot receiver but has done little to deserve that accolade. Bottom line - no receiver here is an attractive start this week. There is a better chance this week since CB Patrick Peterson is likely out with an Achilles injury but no one here has stepped up in any other game.

TIGHT ENDS: No fantasy value.

RANKS (1-32, 1 = BEST) TEAM QB RB WR TE PK DEF
Gaining Fantasy Points SEA 28 15 16 31 32 10
Preventing Fantasy Points ARI 13 9 23 12 28 30


Arizona Cardinals
Homefield: University of Phoenix Stadium
Grass
  Opp Score   Opp Score
1 CAR 28-21 10 @PHI 21-17
2 @WAS 21-22 11 @SF 7-23
3 @SEA 10-13 12 @STL 23-20
4 NYG 27-31 13 DAL 19-13
5 @MIN 10-34 14 SF 21-19
6 Bye - 15 CLE 20-17
7 PIT 20-32 16 @CIN 16-23
8 @BAL 27-30 17 SEA -
9 STL 19-13 - - -
Cardinals Report | Statistics | Roster
ARIZONA vs SEA Rush Catch Pass
QB John Skelton - - 250,2
RB Beanie Wells 70,1 - -
TE Todd Heap - 40 -
WR Larry Fitzgerald - 80,1 -
WR Andre Roberts - 50,1 -
WR Early Doucet - 50 -
PK Jay Feely 1 FG 3 XP -

Pregame Notes: The Cardinals started their year out in opposite fashion of the Seahawks, For the first month, Beanie Wells was on fire as a running back, then got hurt again and has been back to mostly his disappointing self. The addition of Kevin Kolb paid little dividends since he has only been healthy for nine games and like last year, the offense still comes down to pitch and catch with Larry Fitzgerald regardless who the quarterback is. But the defense has quietly become much better and CB Patrick Peterson has stepped up to being the newest shutdown corner. A year with middling results and an appropriate 8-8 record.

QUARTERBACK: Kevin Kolb remains out with his concussion this week and the Cards claim they will not release him in the offseason despite being a disappointment in most weeks even when healthy. Kolb passed for 252 yards and one score in Seattle during week three. John Skelton takes the start again and he's thrown for over 280 yards in each of the last three games. That would be high-side for what the Seahawks generally allow but consider Skelton as a risky play with undeniable upside.

RUNNING BACKS: The weakness of the Seahawks has been against running backs and Beanie Wells did not play in that week three matchup. But he continues to deal with his sore knee that has left him with sub-70 yard games in seven of the last nine matchups. Wells has scored ten times so far and stands a decent chance of a touchdown in this game. Wells tends to play better at home.

WIDE RECEIVERS: Larry Fitzgerald winds down a decent year with eight touchdowns and 1261 yards on 71 catches so far. That's slightly better than the last two seasons though still pales compared to the Warner years. Fitzgerald caught five passes for 64 yards and one touchdown in Seattle while Early Doucet (5-50) and Andre Roberts (4-38) turned in their normal level of stats. Roberts has been better in recent weeks though and has scored in both of the last two home games.

Fitzgerald is always a must start and Roberts has a chance for better than usual numbers this week but is too big a risk to rely on.

TIGHT ENDS: The position has offered marginal production the entire season and scored just three times. Aside from a rare game, both Jeff King and Todd Heap rarely show up with more than 20 or 30 yards in any game. Heap accounted for 61 yards on six catches in Seattle though and could show up a bit more this week since the defense is weaker on tight ends but a score would be too much to expect.

RANKS (1-32, 1 = BEST) TEAM QB RB WR TE PK DEF
Gaining Fantasy Points ARI 18 21 8 24 30 16
Preventing Fantasy Points SEA 7 14 4 16 17 23

WEEK 17
2011
BAL at CIN DAL at NYG NYJ at MIA SF at STL
BUF at NE DET at GB PIT at CLE TB at ATL
CAR at NO IND at JAC SD at OAK TEN at HOU
  CHI at MIN KC at DEN SEA at ARI WAS at PHI

a d v e r t i s e m e n t