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FANTASY FOOTBALL IN-SEASON FEATURES

Predictions & Projections
David Dorey  

Sortable Player Projections | Game Predictions Summary | Projections by Team

WEEK 17
2011
BAL at CIN * DAL at NYG * NYJ at MIA SF at STL
* BUF at NE DET at GB PIT at CLE TB at ATL
CAR at NO * IND at JAC * SD at OAK * TEN at HOU
* UPDATED CHI at MIN * KC at DEN SEA at ARI * WAS at PHI

Prediction: WAS 13, PHI 24

Update: LeSean McCoy is expected to play after having a couple of limited practices but his ankle is not 100% and the game is meaningless. McCoy is a warrior but there is still a bit of risk using him. HC Andy Reid says that he intends on using the starters. Roy Helu will test his ankle before the game again and see if he can play but expect Royster to play a role regardless. Helu is a risky start with a bad ankle.

The season concludes this week for both teams - the Eagles with their horribly misnamed Dream Team and the Redskins who mixed moments of inspiration with weeks of mediocrity. The Skins are 3-4 on the road which is actually better than their home record and the Eagles are just 2-5 at home. But this is a replay of week six when the Eagles won 20-13 in Washington. Plus the Eagles are on a three game winning streak while the Redskins lost nine of their last 11. Everything here points to a win for Philly though the Redskins somehow won 23-10 in New York against the Giants.

Washington Redskins
Homefield: FedEx Field
Grass
  Opp Score   Opp Score
1 NYG 28-14 10 @MIA 9-20
2 ARI 22-21 11 DAL 24-27
3 @DAL 16-18 12 @SEA 23-17
4 @STL 17-10 13 NYJ 19-34
5 Bye - 14 NE 27-34
6 PHI 13-20 15 @NYG 23-10
7 @CAR 20-33 16 MIN 26-33
8 @BUF 0-23 17 @PHI -
9 SF 11-19      
Redskins Report | Statistics | Roster
WASHINGTON at PHI Rush Catch Pass
QB Rex Grossman - - 190,1
RB Roy Helu 40 10 -
RB Evan Royster 40 - -
WR Santana Moss - 50 -
WR Donte Stallworth - 40 -
WR Jabbar Gaffney - 70,1 -
PK Graham Gano 2 FG 1 XP -
Pregame Notes: The Redskins season ends in yet another disappointing manner - the addition of Mike Shanahan has still not brought about any positive changes and at the forefront of that is the lack of a worthy quarterback. Shanahan wanted Beck to be the guy but that just did not work out and Rex Grossman is just the best on the roster for now. Disappointing too was the number of injuries at running back that constantly changed the backfield that was further hampered by Shanahan's tinkering with personnel.

QUARTERBACK: Rex Grossman closes out the season but there is no guarantee he opens 2012. Grossman has been mostly consistent with turnovers and has an impressive 19 interceptions and five lost fumbles against only 13 touchdowns. In week six when the Eagles visited, he passed for 143 yards, no scores and four interceptions for a season high (which says something for Grossman).

There is a chance he scores once if only during trash time but he's not worth a fantasy start here.

RUNNING BACKS: Roy Helu has been nursing a bad ankle that prevented him from playing last week though he made it to game time before the decision was made. Evan Royster took his place and ran for 132 yards on 19 carries against a soft Vikings defense. Back in week six, Ryan Torain was still the lead back and he only gained 22 yards on ten carries versus the Eagles.

Both backs are likely to play unless Helu ends up a scratch again. The Eagles at home have been very good against the run and that makes both runners not worth a fantasy start this week. There is just too much risk in a bad venue.

WIDE RECEIVERS: The wideouts did not score in the last meeting with the Eagles and Jabbar Gaffney led the group with 55 yards on just two catches. Santana Moss ended with 38 yards on two receptions while Donte Stallworth only managed 30 yards on three catches. This unit has been better in recent weeks though in part to facing weaker secondaries. Gaffney in particular has been effective with 70+ yards in four of the last five weeks. Moss should draw Nnamdi Asomugha but that hasn't been as tough this year as when he was a Raider.

There is no great matchup here but Moss and Gaffney should offer moderate yardage. The one score could go anywhere if it even happens.

TIGHT ENDS: No fantasy value since Fred Davis was suspended.

RANKS (1-32, 1 = BEST) TEAM QB RB WR TE PK DEF
Gaining Fantasy Points WAS 20 25 18 15 15 27
Preventing Fantasy Points PHI 14 21 15 10 2 21


Philadelphia Eagles
Homefield: Lincoln Financial Field
Turf
  Opp Score   Opp Score
1 @STL 31-13 10 ARI 17-21
2 @ATL 31-35 11 @NYG 17-10
3 NYG 16-29 12 NE 20-38
4 SF 23-24 13 @SEA 14-31
5 @BUF 24-31 14 @MIA 26-10
6 @WAS 20-13 15 NYJ 45-19
7 Bye - 16 @DAL 20-7
8 DAL 34-7 17 WAS -
9 CHI 24-30      
Eagles Report | Statistics | Roster
PHILADELPHIA vs WAS Rush Catch Pass
QB Michael Vick 70,1 - 260,2
RB LeSean McCoy 70 10 -
TE Brent Celek - 70,1 -
WR DeSean Jackson - 50 -
WR Jason Avant - 20 -
WR Jeremy Maclin - 100,1 -
PK Alex Henery 1 FG 3 XP -

Pregame Notes: The season winds down and at least there is the chance to end with a four game winning streak. This has been the season where Michael Vick got paid and then maybe played like he had nothing to prove. He fell from nine rushing scores to only one this year. But LeSean McCoy exploded this year and has been everything that Brian Westbrook was and more. The defense was the big problem in the early going though and a new coordinator is coming for 2012.

QUARTERBACK: Michael Vick is ending the year not that differently than he did in 2010 with the exception of touchdowns. He served up 21 passing and nine rushing scores last year and yet currently stands at just 15 passing and one rushing touchdown. He is only 50 yards short for passing and about 90 yards short for running. He had five games with three or more touchdowns and has none this season.

Vick threw for 237 yards and one touchdown in week six in Washington and added 54 yards on seven runs. He's playing better here at the end of the year and with McCoy banged up, needs to take a bigger role. I like this to be his only three touchdown game.

RUNNING BACKS: LeSean McCoy is not a lock to play in the season finale because of his ankle and some reports have him in no way able to participate. He has nothing to prove and yet does not need to save himself for the playoffs. HC Andy Reid says he expects McCoy to play but that could be mostly posturing. I will project for a limited McCoy but if he cannot play, Ronnie Brown will take his place and be far less effective. McCoy only ran 13 times for 35 yards last week.

McCoy ran for 126 yards and one score in the first meeting.

WIDE RECEIVERS: DeSean Jackson was a disappointment this year with only three touchdowns and 875 yards so far and is destined to become a free agent unless re-signed. But Jackson only topped 100 yards twice this year and never since week four. He only had three catches for 46 yards in the first meeting with the Redskins. Jeremy Maclin only has five touchdowns but has been more consistent and had one of his best efforts of the year when he caught five passes for 101 yards in Washington. Look for Maclin to lead the receivers again this time and have a good shot at one score.

TIGHT ENDS: Brent Celek has gone from little used tight end to once again being a main component of the passing attack. He has scored in each of the last two games and topped 50 yards in seven of the last nine games including 156 yards versus the Jets in week 15 in the last home game. Celek scored once on his four catches for 42 yards in the last meeting, expect a nice season finale for Celek.

RANKS (1-32, 1 = BEST) TEAM QB RB WR TE PK DEF
Gaining Fantasy Points PHI 6 7 11 14 17 7
Preventing Fantasy Points WAS 12 17 6 29 30 22

WEEK 17
2011
BAL at CIN DAL at NYG NYJ at MIA SF at STL
BUF at NE DET at GB PIT at CLE TB at ATL
CAR at NO IND at JAC SD at OAK TEN at HOU
  CHI at MIN KC at DEN SEA at ARI WAS at PHI

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