| |
Part
of the fun of fantasy football is getting to spend so much
time researching NFL players and projecting what their
upcoming season will be. Doing that - or relying on someone
else who did - is obviously critical to your chances of
drafting a successful team. A productive team. A championship
team.
As we have discussed in the two companion articles for
this, you can greatly aid your cause by understanding
your league's scoring rules (Analyze
Your League with LAG) and by tiering the players
on your cheatsheet (Blood,
Sweat and Tiers). This article will refer to concepts
and findings in those two articles.
What you need in your draft is not just an ability to
recognize the best available player, but to be able to
understand what the best available player truly is for
your team. The reality in fantasy football drafts is
that you are trying to build your team while eleven or
so other teams are doing the same thing. You are also
not trying to draft, in order, the highest scoring player
or you would end up with all quarterbacks and kickers.
You are building a team of players from which you will
be starting some select number of players per position
each week. The highest scoring bench gets you nothing,
the highest scoring set of starters gets you a championship.
Kudos on all your preparatory work, but you still have
to draft. And the big factor here is that you have to
go in some order. Almost all drafts use serpentine order
meaning you get the reverse slot every other round. Pick
#1 becomes pick #12 and then back to #1 and so on. Pick
#6 becomes pick #7 the next round and then back to pick
#6 in the next and so on.
Those draft picks ARE NOT for picking players that score
a lot of points..
Those draft picks ARE for building your team by choosing
the right mixture of players so your TEAM can score a lot
of points. Make that the most points. Of anyone. Like better
than when you go bowling.
Your Draft Slot
What draft slot you have is critical because it controls
what players are available to you and how you will be
able to build the optimal team considering only those
guys still available at your draft slot. You may think
that Terrell Owens, Jeremy Shockey or LaDainian Tomlinson
will have monster years in 2003. It really does not matter
if you never had a chance to draft them. The draft is
about getting the best value out of what is available
and building a team - not just picking players. Your
draft slot is your final tool to use. It both limits
and enables your team.
There is no bad draft slot and there is no good one
either. Everyone loves the earlier picks since they allow
the best access to superlative players but there is a
price to pay for that in waiting so long for your next
pick. Picking last in the first round may seem like a
disadvantage since you have the 12th best player. By
the same token, you will have two of the best 13 players.
Any slot can win, any slot can lose. It is all about
how you approach your picks in a plan to build a team
and how well the individual players contribute to your
team.
For the rest of this article, we will be considering the
most common scoring scenario where touchdowns are all six
points except passing scores are three. All yardage is divided
by ten except passing yardage which is divided by twenty.
Since defenses and kickers normally fall more deeply in drafts
(and appropriately), we will not discuss those because we
will be looking at your first picks based upon your draft
slot. We will also consider a twelve team league that starts
QB, 2 RB, 3 WR and a TE.
The first picks are critical since they build the nucleus
of your team and in almost all championship teams, at least
four of them end up as major contributors.
The reality of pick analysis is that it changes for each
draft pick because after the first selection, the rest of
the picks are controlled by what the others have left you.
There is an obvious and significant difference with what you
can do with the #12 and #13 picks, as opposed to what you
can get with the #1 and #24 picks. Knowing in advance the
realities of your draft slot will allow you to build the best
team and using tiers, recognize where undervalued players
are still left on the board. You have to enter into the draft
with a plan. It may change, but at least you have a starting
point with flexibility.
Enough of the text - we're better served by examining this
year's crops of fantasy players as they match up to the draft
slots and building a team considering the starters. Let's
take a look at how we can select players based on draft position
with a plan on how we can build a team. I'll be using the
most current Huddle rankings for this demonstration but will
not be updating it every time we change our rankings during
this month. This is to give you a look at the thought process
behind putting together positional value, tiering, understanding
what other drafts have indicated this season and draft slot
management.
First - here is what I have to work with based on my
research and analysis considering the first round:
Running backs are going faster than a bag of french
fries on the way back to the George Foreman's house. Since
I know that runningbacks are scoring higher than any other
position except quarterback (and even higher than them in
some cases) I am certain the first seven picks will clear
out my top tier of Tomlinson, Williams, Portis, Holmes, Faulk,
Alexander and McAllister. The only question is the order they
go. If any other player is taken in the first seven selections,
I see the #8 pick getting a present.
This season is a little different since the tier one
is not the standard three players. While I do consider
Tomlinson, Portis and Williams as definitely less risk
with good production than the other four, there is no
reason to break this tier down since it should be the
first seven picks in the draft anyway.
I have four backs in my second tier that would be nice
to match up with a first tier back for a powerful backfield.
I have six more backs in my third tier which are decent
backs with some upside but likely a bit more risk. That
makes 17 running backs that I would really like to have
on my team and with 24 picks in the first two rounds,
I pretty much expect that all will be gone by the third
round. If not, they will be snapped up quickly in the
third. The next tier is 13 backs deep and are players
that I might be willing to settle for as my RB2 as long
as I can get a RB1 and a top WR or QB. If I make my first
two picks be from tier 2 and tier 3 for RBs, I have immediately
set myself up for an average season, have no difference
makers and will always behind the curve taken top positional
players.
Quarterbacks are being taken later this season than
any I recall in the past decade. I picked up Culpepper in
the third round in one draft. I have regularly seen NO quarterback
taken until the second half of the second round. No way I
would take a quarterback in the first round this season and
with the perceived depth I see in them, I'll probably wait
until at least half a dozen are gone and maybe longer. I know
from my tiers that there are a top five for quarterbacks,
and while they will score well, the next seven quarterbacks
will do pretty well and I can always get value later with
a QB if I see better picks for WR, RB or TE.
Wide Receivers are actually being taken earlier
than quarterbacks in most drafts, at least the top three
which mirrors my first tier. Harrison, Owens and Moss
- what's not to like? All three have shown great productivity
and consistency over a long period of time in a position
that is normally neither. I want those players pretty
bad actually, since I know my running back tiers in advance,
I can see what I leave myself with if I take on in the
first or second round. The position does not score as
well as RB or QB, but top guys with consistency are a
major benefit.
Knowing this, here is how I would draft the first round
by position and what the implications and plan would
be:
|
Pick |
Pos |
Player |
Why
and What's My Plan? |
|
1 |
RB |
LaDainian Tomlinson |
WHY?: Tomlinson is the first
pick because there is absolutely no questions revolving
around him of any kind. Great size, youth, speed,
power, durability, offense built around him, no sharing,
etc.. By taking LT, I can feel pretty good that I
will end up with a very highly productive RB that
should last the whole season.
THE PLAN: By the time the second
pick rolls around, I expect that Tier 1,2 and 3
RB's will be gone. If not, I take a RB for a great
1-2 and then look for my early 3rd pick to be a
top WR or QB depending on who is left when I finally
pick again 22 slots from now. I have to wait a
long time between picks and with the "swing" or
double picks I get from here on out, I need to
be watching for either early value in a position
that has not yet been raided or watch for important
tiers that are quickly clearing out. Since I have
the #1 player, I can take more calculated risks
later on. I am thinking of starting out RB-WR-QB
maybe - no need to get too concrete with so long
to wait. |
|
2 |
RB |
Clinton Portis |
WHY? I love the explosive
nature of Portis. He is a little small but is young and
so far durable. And he can turn in monster games that
can win my weekly matchups almost by themselves. I am
happy to have a RB with such tremendous upside.
THE PLAN: I am still too far away from
my #2 pick to have a very concrete plan. Same as
above, hope that someone from the Tier 3 RB's is
still left for me but if not, I would likely consider
a QB or WR. With such a good RB already, I am a
little less concerned with getting two RBs for
my first two picks and can always use my third
pick to either grab a Tier 4 RB or a Tier 1 QB.
Maybe a Tier 2 WR - still hard to say so far away
from my next pick. |
|
3 |
RB |
Ricky Williams |
WHY? Williams was a huge benefit
for Miami and will be for my team as well. Certainly
anyone of the top 3 players could be argued to be
first, so I like this spot. It's like getting a #1
player and yet I get to pick two slots earlier in
the second round. I am still in the vein of hoping
for a Tier 3 RB to fall to me and it is becoming
more possible for it to happen. Since there are 17
RBs I like in those first three tiers and three WR
I love in their first tier, and knowing that I go
again in 18 picks, all I need is for one person to
take a player outside my tiers to ensure that I get
that RB or WR that I really want the most. That almost
always happens.
THE PLAN: It is looking pretty favorable
that I will get to start RB-RB or RB-WR with that
WR being a stud. I think my third pick will probably
be a top QB or a top WR if I get that RB for my
second pick. |
|
4 |
RB |
Priest Holmes |
WHY? Holmes hip
and contract squabbles drops him to this spot - if
he had been healthy all last year and happy with
his salary, it would be pretty hard not to consider
him a top pick so while I assume some risk here,
I am also looking at potentially getting the best
player in the draft with a #4 pick - a risk I am
happy to take. This pick will probably force me into
taking his backup, and makes my selection for RB2
need to be a little safer than usual but considering
what I may be getting here, I can live with that.
THE PLAN: Not only will I be able to reach a
Tier 3 RB, with the higher risk I am taking here it is
probably a good idea. The worst I get is Holmes not 100%
but at least another RB to rely on as well. The best I
get is the hottest 1-2 in RBs for the league. Since I
will be going RB-RB, I know I need to get a QB or WR with
my #3. Since I am starting 2 or 3 receivers each week,
chances are best that I will be taking a WR with my #3
and then grabbing a QB and more WR in the following rounds.
It is getting less likely I will reach a great QB with
my 3rd pick. |
|
5 |
RB |
Marshall Faulk |
WHY? This spot is maybe better
than the first four - I not only get Faulk who could
obviously lead the league again, but I am mid-round
and get to go again in 14 picks. Like Holmes, Faulk
too means I would be best served by taking his backup,
but unlike Holmes I feel much better that his backup
(Gordon) will be very productive. Long as I snag
Gordon late, I do not really have the same need for
a "safe" RB2 and can gamble a little more.
THE PLAN: I am looking at grabbing either
a great WR if a top 3 falls to me or at the worst,
a RB that will be Tier 3 or maybe even Tier 2 since
all I need is for one or two teams behind me here
to get whacky with their first picks to help my
cause. It is very likely I am going RB-RB and then
using my 3rd on a top WR or QB. |
|
6 |
RB |
Deuce McAllister |
WHY? Knowing my scoring scenario,
I am still in the RB-hog club. There is just not
the same bang for the buck with a top WR as I know
from my league analysis. Deuce was a tremendous player
last year and both runs and catches. I am a little
leery about his schedule, but he played very well
in only his first starting season.
THE PLAN : I love the fact that I am
here in the middle of the rounds and able to get
a relatively low risk/ high reward RB and still
be in the middle of each round to scoop on any
undervalued players that fell and never getting
caught when a run develops on WR, TE, PK or DEF.
About the worst that will likely happen is that
I end up with a good instead of great player at
those positions and that's fine. I get to take
a top RB here and then in the 2nd, I think I will
take another RB from the Tier 3 pack and may even
get to make my choice from a couple there. I'll
start RB-RB and then scoop a WR or QB with my #3
depending on which I think offers the greatest
value. |
|
7 |
RB |
Shaun Alexander |
WHY? I have come to love this spot this
season. With the #7 pick I take Shaun Alexander
who is the final RB in Tier 1 and a player that
has turned in big seasons the last two years. He
should be even better this season though the holdout
of OT Walter Jones bothers me enough to keep him
at #7. The last of the top RBs is mine here and
I am well positioned in every round to get value
and players that fall. What's not to like?
THE PLAN: in Tier 1 and this
late, I get to scoop on my second RB next round
from a Tier 3 and maybe Tier 2. I would love
to get a strong RB-RB set and then start attacking
WR and QB from then on. In most drafts so far
this summer, this spot has been great for allowing
a top team to be built.
|
|
8 |
WR |
Marvin Harrison |
WHY? That top tier of RBs just finished
and the #1 WR and #1 QB is available. But QBs are
dropping hard this year and yet WRs are still going
early. I know I can get a decent RB with my second
pick - and I probably should do just that - but
I cannot reach for a lesser RB when the best WR
is still on the board.
THE PLAN: Taking a WR first
pretty much locks me into take a RB with my
second pick and maybe even with my third. It
is great to have a top WR like Harrison who
is almost no risk and pure production, but
I am taking it in the shorts for getting top
RBs. I can reach a decent RB with my second
pick and then I have to either use my third
on a unexciting RB2 or scoop a good WR or QB
and know I need to get lucky with my RB2 in
the fourth round. This is not a great season
for later sleeper RBs but you never know and
at least I have the best receiver in a position
that normally is not consistent or that productive.
I can be a little more risk tolerant on RB
since I have a no risk receiver.
|
|
9 |
RB |
William Green |
WHY? Now that the top receiver
is gone and all the Tier 1 RB as well, I have to
decide - take a Tier 2 back or the second WR in the
draft? I see just a little more risk with Owens than
Harrison since he is in a new offensive scheme with
a new coach. Owens is a great receiver, obviously,
but with a slight question. I have my Tier 2 RBs
starting out with William Green who too is a risk,
but with upside considering his great second half
of 2002.
THE PLAN: If I take Green, I can
still reach either Owens or Moss or at worst a
decent Tier 3 RB for a nice RB-RB start. Solid
with some upside in the highest scoring position.
I will be going WR or QB with my third pick depending
on the greatest value I see. The problem I know
is that by taking a RB here, I can not have a top
QB or WR likely unless I take one with my second
pick. But if I do, my third pick on RB is so deep
that I will be building a team with average players.
My best bet right now looks like I should take
RB here, then RB in the second, and then probably
a QB in the third since I will reach a pretty good
one or a top WR will fall. As bad as starting out
with two unspectacular RBs seems, this draft spot
means that I have to accept that my 4th player
is not going to be very attractive and if that
has to happen, I will likely make the pick a WR
in the 4th leaving a QB for me to take in the 3rd.
At least if I have to make up a position and land
a sleeper, it is easiest with a WR. |
|
10 |
RB |
Edgerrin James |
WHY? The next available RB is Edgerrin
James and the best WR is Terrell Owens. Like Green,
I see tons of potential in James and yet slightly
more risk since he has not performed well since
2000 due to injury. This is a risky pick to be
sure but with undeniable upside. I am taking a
chance here that I could see Moss and Owens gone
before my #2 pick, but RBs score a lot in this
scoring system and James gives me a homerun swing
for a top RB all the way back here in the 10th.
I am willing to take that risk since I am going
to be either getting a Top WR in Moss or Owens,
or I will get a solid RB to pair with James to
give me a safety net with my RBs.
THE PLAN: Take my RB here
and hope that Owens or Moss falls to me. If
not, I get to take my pick of Tier 3 RBs. If
I get a WR at my #2, I hope that my #3 sees
a RB fall or I will need to get lucky. If I
take a RB in round 2, I can use my #3 and #4
for the best available WR and QB. I might even
go WR-WR at the 3-4 if QBs are dropping more
than normal which I can assess by my #4 pick.
|
|
11 |
WR |
Terrell Owens |
WHY? As I see it, the two risky
upside guys in James and Green are now gone and I
have to choose between safe guy Barber or Owens.
Since my chances are much slimmer I can land a top
RB now, I may as well get a top WR and prevent that
guy at #12 from taking both Moss and Owens. I can
either take Barber here - 'yawn' - and let him decide
what WR I get with my #2 or I can take my choice
of WR (Owens) and still get a Tier 2 RB anyway.
THE PLAN: Since I have a top WR
now, I pretty much will need to go RB with my #2
and get someone solid. That will allow me to evaluate
my 3rd pick as to whether it will be a RB, WR or
QB since much will happen by then and players falling
through the cracks can be shagged by me. Since
I will already have RB-WR, I am free to make "best
player" decisions instead of needing to take
a position. |
|
12 |
RB |
Tiki Barber |
WHY? Because I am pretty unhappy
right now. The two best WR's are gone and the best
nine RBs too. I get two picks here in a serpentine
and I need to make them count because it will feel
like three years (and 22 players) until I get to
go again. I know I am taking Moss - why not? The
only top tier WR left which I will take with my #2
and I go with Barber here as a safe, productive pick
at RB. Barber will not be a huge difference maker
but at least gets me decent points - something I
cannot assume I can get with my RB taken back in
round #3.
THE PLAN: I take a safe, solid
RB with this pick and pair him with the final WR
from Tier 1 in Randy Moss. That gives me a great
WR and a solid RB and sets me up in March, 2004
when I finally get to go again with my 3rd pick.
At least then I can look for value picks and take
a RB at either my #3 or #4. Probably a riskier
player with upside like Anthony Thomas or Correll
Buckhalter. Who knows? But at least I can take
advantage of what is still there and not have to
take a positional pick. The swing pick is normally
more fun than this year is making it be, but the
way QBs are dropping this summer in drafts, I may
be okay waiting on QB anyway and land some prospects
at RB and WR. |
This leaves me with the following rankings/tiers on my personal cheatsheet for
positions I would consider in round two (gray means already taken):
| Tier |
|
QB |
| 1 |
1 |
Culpepper, Daunte |
| 2 |
Manning, Peyton |
| 3 |
Vick, Michael |
| 4 |
McNabb, Donovan |
| 5 |
Gannon, Rich |
| 2 |
6 |
Brooks,
Aaron |
| 7 |
Warner,
Kurt |
| 8 |
Garcia,
Jeff |
| 9 |
Hasselbeck,
Matt |
| 10 |
Green,
Trent |
| 11 |
Favre,
Brett |
| 12 |
McNair,
Steve |
| 3 |
13 |
Pennington, Chad |
| 14 |
Bledsoe, Drew |
| 15 |
Maddox, Tommy |
| 16 |
Collins, Kerry |
| |
6 More QBs |
|
| Tier |
|
RB |
|
1 |
1 |
Tomlinson,
LaDainian |
|
2 |
Portis,
Clinton |
|
3 |
Williams,
Ricky |
|
4 |
Holmes,
Priest |
|
5 |
Faulk,
Marshall |
|
6 |
Alexander,
Shaun |
|
7 |
McAllister,
Deuce |
|
2 |
8 |
Green,
William |
|
9 |
James,
Edgerrin |
|
10 |
Barber,
Tiki |
|
11 |
Green,
Ahman |
|
3 |
12 |
Dillon, Corey |
|
13 |
Lewis, Jamal |
|
14 |
Taylor, Fred |
|
15 |
Davis, Stephen |
|
16 |
Henry, Travis |
|
17 |
Garner, Charlie |
|
| Tier |
|
WR |
|
1 |
1 |
Harrison,
Marvin |
|
2 |
Owens,
Terrell |
|
3 |
Moss,
Randy |
|
2 |
4 |
Robinson, Koren |
|
5 |
Burress,
Plaxico |
|
6 |
Moulds,
Eric |
|
7 |
Holt,
Torry |
|
8 |
Horn,
Joe |
|
9 |
Johnson,
Chad |
|
10 |
Ward,
Hines |
|
11 |
Booker,
Marty |
|
3 |
12 |
Coles, Laveranues |
| 13 |
Driver, Donald |
| 14 |
Mason, Derrick |
| 15 |
Price, Peerless |
| 16 |
Boston, David |
| |
13 More WRs |
|
For purposes of how I would conduct round two and a look
down the road for each draft slot, let's complete one more
round as I would see it and plan it. This is based on if
the first round actually went as described above.
|
Pick |
Pos |
Round Two |
Pos |
Already
Have |
The Plan
for #3 and #4 |
|
12
|
WR
|
Randy Moss |
RB
|
Tiki Barber |
Going to need a RB with my 3rd and then
value pick WR or QB for 4th. |
|
11
|
RB
|
Ahman Green |
WR
|
Terrell Owens |
Have to get a RB then probably a WR unless
a Tier 1 QB falls that far. |
|
10
|
RB
|
Corey Dillon |
RB
|
Edgerrin
James |
Solid start - probably a WR
next unless a Tier 1 QB falls which would make my #4
be the WR. |
|
9
|
RB
|
Jamal Lewis |
RB
|
William Green |
Another solid start for RB - likely get
a WR and then WR again unless I see a QB I love. |
|
8
|
RB
|
Fred Taylor |
WR
|
Marvin Harrison |
Need a RB and a safe pick at that with
Fragile Fred. Probably looking at going RB and then maybe
even RB again unless a WR fell I loved. |
|
7
|
RB
|
Stephen Davis |
RB
|
Shaun Alexander |
Solid start - looking for a good WR or
a Tier 1 QB to fall here. In a position to grab best
value. |
|
6
|
RB
|
Travis Henry |
RB
|
Deuce McAllister |
Solid start - looking for a good WR or
a Tier 1 QB to fall here. In a position to grab best
value. |
|
5
|
QB
|
Daunte Culpepper |
RB
|
Marshall Faulk |
This is a "go for the throat" risk
play. I can take the best QB here, have a chance to have
the best RB in Faulk already, and then use my #3 to get
a Tier 4 RB followed by my #4 for a WR. |
|
4
|
RB
|
Charlie Garner |
RB
|
Priest Holmes |
With a little risk right now in Priest
Holmes, I am happy to get the final Tier 3 RB on my team
and a safe pick at that. Garner may not replicate 2002,
but he will offer something every game. This allows me
to look for the best value in WR or QB in the 3rd and
4th rounds. |
|
3
|
QB
|
Peyton Manning |
RB
|
Ricky Williams |
with the Manning pick, I am staking
claim to two top, extremely solid players in the two highest
scoring positions. This forces me to take a RB from Tier
4 with my #3, but then likely to WR with my #4. This strong
a start lets me grab value, not positions. |
|
2
|
QB
|
Michael Vick |
RB
|
Clinton Portis |
Now that I have two of the most exciting
players in the two highest scoring positions, I can grab
a Tier 4 RB or a Tier 3 WR with my next pick, though
most likely I will need to get that second RB knowing
how drained they will be by my #5 pick. |
|
1
|
QB
|
Donovan McNabb |
RB
|
LaDainian Tomlinson |
I take a Tier 1 QB to match with the #1
RB on my board. I like Tomlinson so much I would likely
take a top WR with my #3 pick for an impressive 1-2-3
start. I would need to find some RB with my 4-5 swing
picks, but can take the chance and would likely grab
my second WR then as well. |
This has shown not the way your draft will go, but the way
that different draft slots can work out, knowing what the
scoring scenario does to positions, what other drafts are
like this summer and using tiers to keep me alert to positional
depth in an easy manner. Draft slot management is critical
in those first four or five picks since teams will follow
positional plans as they try to build a set of starters.
After that - it's mostly about getting sleepers and strategic
picks considering bye weeks, the NFL teams already on your
roster (avoiding loading up on, say, ARZ players) and respecting
the relative scoring values of TE, PK and DEF in your league.
Before we end, let's take a general overview of ways to
build your team positionally and what it most likely would
mean to your team. I am only considering the first picks
as a RB or WR because this season I see no reason to take
a QB in the first round. Remember - different tactics
take on different results depending on the draft slot used.
|
Strategy |
What it
means |
| RB - RB - RB |
The classic Stud-RB start means
you better be very good with WR and QB, cherry picking
sleepers to make up for some lost opportunity early. You
just took only two starters with your valuable first three
picks. Feels good but puts a lot of pressure on the team
in later rounds. Can strategically hurt other teams that
waited on their RB2. |
| RB - RB - QB |
Normally a solid start - filled the three
highest scoring starter slots with your first three picks
and likely with great value. Now then - can you pick
a couple of good WR after the first 15 are gone? |
| RB - RB - WR |
As long as that WR is a Top 3, this makes
great sense. Plenty of QBs left and you start out solid
on RB with a great WR. Plenty of time to get value picks
from WR and QB in later rounds. |
| RB - WR - RB |
As long as that WR is a Top 3, this makes
sense. Plenty of QBs left and you start out solid on
RB with a great WR. Probably a little weaker than the
RB - RB -WR unless receivers are valued higher than most
leagues. |
| RB - WR - WR |
This can be deadly effective but
only if you get a sleeper RB. This year seems to be less
abundant in them but then again - we always say that.
You have wrapped up two great starting WR in a position
that is the hardest to get right. Good start but good
luck on that RB2. |
| RB - WR -QB |
This works well only when you have top
tier players from all the positions. If you do, then
you are in a great spot to take the players that fell
in the draft. If you got one of these wrong, you can
be hurting your chances to compete. |
| RB - QB - WR |
Same as RB - WR - QB but likely a bit less
workable since QBs are falling this year in drafts. Likely
lost some opportunities by going this route and will
need to get lucky from here on out. |
| RB - QB - RB |
This is fine if your QB scoring is well
above the other positions. Probably stronger if your
RB1 is a big stud player since your RB2 will be Tier
4 and your WR's will be weak unless you get lucky with
sleeper WRs. |
| WR - RB - RB |
Starting with a top tier WR is a decent
idea if you draft late in the first round and you can
get enough value with RBs to make a solid start that
can address value picks later. |
| WR - RB - QB |
As tempting as this may seem, taking a
top tier WR and following it with a Tier 3 or 4 RB means
you have set your team up for about average scoring so
far in your first two picks. Taking a QB had better be
a Tier 1 QB and even then, chances are good you would
have been better off overall waiting on QB. |
| WR - WR - RB |
Only when you make the play to grab two
Tier 1 WRs because you were drafting at the end of the
first round and they fell. You have two great WR in a
normally inconsistent position. You can always get a
QB later of some note, and you get a Tier 4 RB for something
solid. Just need to land one RB sleeper to make this
work. |
| WR - TE - PK |
We told you not to drink before the draft.
Someone run to the bank and cash his check now. |
So after all of this, I am here to say that the above is
well thought out and in no way applies 1:1 to your draft.
But is does give reason to what your plans are in the draft
and a basis for building a team - not just picking players.
This is the application of the previous concepts discussed
in the other articles Analyzing
Your League where you can determine the value of positions
in your scoring rules and how they play out in your particular
league. Only when you understand the effects of the scoring
in your league can you understand player value. Then all
those cheatsheets come to life as you understand how it all
comes together to build an optimal team.
Once you know your players and their relative importance
between positions, you can use tiering to create a roadmap
during your draft as discussed in the article Blood,
Sweat and Tiers . This helps you to prepare in advance
what you want to accomplish and allows you to make faster
decisions when the draft does not happen as you planned or
when that player you loved is snapped up in the pick before
you. Just keep going in the right direction knowing the tiers
you have still available.
Above all - have some fun in your draft! If you really want
a player - take him early. There is nothing as fun as landing
your sleeper and being correct. No draft will happen like
you think and that is what makes it so entertaining. Just
prepare for your draft, be armed with a plan, understand
positional values and tiers and then dance through your draft
like Fred Astaire while all the other Gingers try to keep
up. In the end, it all comes down to what U.T. Coach Darrel
Royal once said:
"Luck is what happens when preparation meets opportunity"
Are you ready for some football?
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