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Welcome
to Fantasy Football - Auction Style!
Before
you get to the point of wondering if you should drop
the extra buck on Hines Ward or hold on to it to secure
that backup QB you've been eyeing, you need to have a
plan. And there is no shortage of ideas, theories, recommendations,
and advice givers (including yours truly) when it comes
to deciding how you should spend you money, when you
should spend it, and how you should allocate it.
First
of all, and most importantly, know how your league runs
things in terms of rules. What is the salary cap (for
reference in this article we will use $100)? What is
the minimum bid ($1)? What increments do the bids have
to advance by (at least $1)? How many players, and what
positions need to be filled by the roster (2 QB, 4 RB,
6 WR, 2 K, 2 Def.)? Once you know this, as well as your
point system, you should be ready to assign value.
Assigning
Value
Start by assigning the minimum amount to the
two defenses, the two kickers, your last RB, and at least
your bottom two WRs. The reason behind this is simple.
Defenses are so unpredictable in terms of scoring, and shutouts, it is a
pure crapshoot as to which teams will rise up from year
to year. Kickers fall into
a similar category. The point differential between the #1 scoring kicker
last year and the #10 kicker was 23 points, or just over
1 point a game. So spending
extra money to gain that extra 1 point a week, probably isn't in your best
fantasy interest. Your roster should start shaping up like this:
#1
QB
#2 QB
#1 RB
#2 RB
#3 RB
#4 RB $1.00
#1 WR
#2 WR
#3 WR
#4 WR
#5 WR $1.00
#6 WR $1.00
#1 K $1.00
#2 K $1.00
#1 Def. $1.00
#2 Def. $1.00
Total: $7 Cap Remaining: $93
From
this point you can take a conservative approach and allocate
$31 to your QB, RB and WR positions as a whole. This
would give you a nice balanced team, with good depth,
some trade value, and some wiggle-room should any of
your players go down to injury. However, this approach
will also freeze you out of any of the top tier players
at each position.
In
years past, players such as Marshall Faulk, Terrell Owens,
Edgerrin James, Kurt Warner, Jeff Garcia, and Randy Moss
all took cap numbers ranging from $30 - $42. This gives
you an idea about how valuable fantasy owners view the
absolute top players. In fantasy football, superstars
win championships. Without at least one on your roster,
you will find yourself battling for the playoffs, but
the championship will be out of reach. So you may want
to allocate the bulk of your money to your #1 QB, your
#1 RB and your #1 WR, giving only slightly above the
minimum salary cap numbers to the remainder of your team.
#1
QB
#2 QB $3.00
#1 RB
#2 RB $4.00
#3 RB $2.00
#4 RB $1.00
#1 WR
#2 WR $4.00
#3 WR $3.00
#4 WR $2.00
#5 WR $1.00
#6 WR $1.00
#1 K $1.00
#2 K $1.00
#1 Def. $1.00
#2 Def. $1.00
Total: $25 Cap Remaining: $75
You
now have $75 to spend on your top three positions. And
once again, if you want to be sure of a balanced, yet
unspectacular team, you can spread that money out evenly
and secure yourself a $25 QB, RB and WR. But again, this
won't allow you to net a superstar.
So
how can you net a superstar? Create a list of 3-4 players
that are "sure-fire, hands-down, no-question-about-it" superstars
that you would like to target. Now assign them a value
of what you believe to be the highest price paid for
a player, right around the $42 mark, say $45 to be sure.
Now go out, spend $45 on the best player in the draft
(so you believe) and split the remaining money between
your final two positions, let's look at what your roster
and cap will look like.
#1
QB $15.00
#2 QB $3.00
#1 RB $45.00
#2 RB $4.00
#3 RB $2.00
#4 RB $1.00
#1 WR $15.00
#2 WR $4.00
#3 WR $3.00
#4 WR $2.00
#5 WR $1.00
#6 WR $1.00
#1 K $1.00
#2 K $1.00
#1 Def. $1.00
#2 Def. $1.00
Total: $100 Cap Room: 0
This
is nearly worst case scenario. You have allocated the
minimum cap number to the positions that are difficult,
if not impossible to gauge, the defenses. You have also
put the minimum amount into the kicking position. A position
that does not have a great differential in points. And
the minimum into your #5 and #6 WR, and #4 RB, positions
that if you need to play, may signal a problem with your
team regardless. You have also slightly upgraded in the
starting lineup prices as to give you a bit of flexibility
in deciding who you want on your team. And finally you
have secured a superstar and two top quality players
at other positions.
Putting
Players up for Bid
This takes strategy, and shouldn't be taken lightly.
Early on in the nomination process you don't want to
nominate players you really want, because early on
is when people have the most money and are willing to throw and extra buck
or two at a player just because they have it. You don't want to lose out on
one of your players because Crazy Frank thought it would be a good idea to "make
things interesting" and bid another dollar.
What
you want to do is nominate players that may go for a
bloated price, are injury prone, or are group favorites.
Last year, players such as Daunte Culpepper, Randy Moss,
Lamar Smith or Stephen Davis would have fit into this
category. Or if you are in a group of Packer fans, throw
the names Donald Driver and Brett Favre out early because
they are sure to over pay for such players, like most
fans do. Defenses and kickers are also quality nominations,
because if you follow the above system, it doesn't matter
which defense or kicker you get, while other owners may
over spend on the Baltimore or Tampa Bay Defense.
Leading
up to the auction you should have a good idea of mid-level
players you want to try and get, or rookies you would
like to target. These are the players you want nominated
as late as possible. This will give you the best chance
at landing them, because other owners won't have the
money to spend on them, and will be less likely to get
into a bidding war with you.
Audible
Establish how much money you want to pay for each position,
not each player. This will allow you the flexibility to
adjust on the fly. You can move
and shift money as needed. If your superstar doesn't cost $45, say they
only cost $38, well then you take that extra $7 and disperse it to other
positions. This might allow you to bump up your #2 RB from $4 to $11.
And what if you can grab a top quality QB, say Rich Gannon,
for $14 instead
of $15? Now you move an extra dollar to your WRs. It is this flexibility
to adjust on the fly that will assist you in getting the best players,
at the best prices without breaking your salary cap.
The
key to the fantasy auction is research. You need to know
the second level of players. You never know where you
will be able to pick up a nugget of information, so the
more articles you read, the more training camp battles
you follow, and the more player profiles you see, the
better prepared you will be to be able to pick up a Hines
Ward, a Clinton Portis, a Travis Henry or an Amani Toomer
for cheap. All of these players mentioned went in the
$2 - $8 range last year, and all ended the year toward
the top half of the league in terms of statistics.
The
superstar will help get you there, but in order to get
you across the finish line, you will need a surprise
player or two to be consistent on a weekly basis.
Summary
NEVER nominate players you want early in an auction.
Have
your research done so you know who is going to be a quality
mid-level selection. Nothing says "no preparation" like
thumbing through a magazine when it comes time for you
to nominate a player.
Allocate
money to positions, not players. This give you the most
flexibility and you can change on the fly depending on
how your auction is going. There are times that WR prices
will start going up and up and up. This is when you adjust
and move money from one position to another. It is much
easier then altering your entire list of players with
their prices.
Don't
bid just to bid. Bid with a purpose. If you are trying
to drive the price up on someone, you may get stuck with
them, so be sure he fits into your plans or your entire
auction strategy could be out the door because you were
trying to stick another owner with a high priced player.
Most
importantly, have fun. In fact, have more fun then you
should, because that's what fantasy football is about.
Having more fun then is allowed!
Todd Kleinheinz is the
founder /commissioner of the auction-based SGFL (Sports
Geeks Fantasy League). The SGFL is an intricate league with a salary cap,
auction style draft, keepers and restricted free agents. If you have any
questions, comments or ideas, he can be reached at Fbxpert@aol.com. Previously,
Todd worked as a sports reporter for an NBC affiliate in Texas covering
Texas A&M and Baylor University Sports, and in Sports Radio for KNBR
and The Ticket 1050 in San Francisco.
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