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Predictions & Projections
By David M. Dorey
 
The Huddle
WEEK 2
September 10, 2003
Season Ticket
Sun 1 PM Sun 1 PM Sun 1 PM Sun 4 PM Sun 8:30 PM
BUF at JAX MIA at NYJ WAS at ATL SEA at ARZ *CHI at MIN
CLE at BAL *PIT at KC Sun 4 PM *DEN at SD Mon 9 PM
*DET at GB SF at STL CAR at TB NE at PHI DAL at NYG
*HOU at NO *TEN at IND *CIN at OAK Times EST *updated
   
Buffalo vs Jacksonville Sun, Sep 14; 1 PM on CBS at ALLTEL Stadium
  Buffalo Rush Catch Pass
QB Drew Bledsoe 0 0 230,2
RB Travis Henry 100,1 20 0
TE M. Campbell 0 20 0
WR Eric Moulds 0 90,1 0
WR Josh Reed 0 40 0
WR Bobby Shaw 0 50,1 0
  Jacksonville Rush Catch Pass
QB Mark Brunell 0 0 210,1
RB Fred Taylor 60 30 0
TE Kyle Brady 0 20,1 0
WR J.J. Stokes 0 60 0
WR Matthew Hatchette 0 40 0
WR Jermaine Lewis 0 30 0

Game Prediction: BUF 24, JAX 16

The Bills started the year out with a bang, throttling their one-time nemisis of the Patriots 31-0 in a game that was not really that close. The Bills additions to their defense - Takeo Spikes, Sam Adams, Jeff Posey and Lawyer Milloy - was able to force four turnovers, two sacks and held Tom Brady to a career worst 20.4 QB rating.

Drew Bledsoe only had 230 yards and one touchdown passing, but was not necessary in the rout. Eric Moulds (4-81) was solid as always while second-year player Josh Reed (1-5) will not be an immediate 1:1 replacement for the departed Peerless Price. Bobby Shaw (3-51) started out the game very well but was little used in the second half since the game was already out of hand. Reed still has the starting #2 spot but Shaw continues to make that assignment less than certain all season.

Travis Henry only averaged three yards a carry on his 28 runs for a total of 86 yards but he scored twice and added three catches for 37 more yards. Henry's longest run was only 11 yards. Sammy Morris and Joe Burns were both given two carries each.

The Jaguars entered halftime against the Panthers ahead 17-0 in something of a shocker and then allowed Carolina to take the eventual win 24-23. While the loss was disappointing, there were several good elements in HC Jack Del Rio's first game. While Mark Brunell went from starter to old man to trade bait and then back to starter before the season begain, he turned in the third best game of his career by throwing 23 of 27 for 272 yards and two touchdowns with little more to work with than Matthew Hatchette (4-60, 1 TD), Jermaine Lewis (3-90, 1 TD) and J.J. Stokes (6-42).

Fred Taylor had 22 rushes for 71 yards and had five catches for 51 yards. He was spelled by LaBrandon Toefield only twice. Taylor needs to gain more than three yards per tote to keep this offense rolling.

The Jaguars defense may have ended Rodney Peete's career in only two quarters of play but was unable to stop Jake Delhomme when it counted. The Jaguars are a team that is rebuilding, but the task is not as great as was thought during the preseason.

Matthew Hatchette injured his shoulder but was able to continue to play last week and should be fine now.

This week pits two teams that have exceeded expectations so far. The Bills will be looking to continue their new found ratio of run to pass (33:28) and Travis Henry faces a defense that allowed Stephen Davis 111 yards last week. Jacksonville was hurt last Sunday by the long ball and the Bills will be mixing in heavy portions of the run to the occasional strike down field. The Jaguar's special teams breakdowns will hurt them in this game as well and the Bills should manage to get the lead by halftime that Henry will maintain during the second half.

BUF
JAX
2003 Averages
JAX
BUF
Gains
Allows
QB's
Gains
Allows
230
141
Pass yards
272
154
1
3
Pass TDs
2
0
1
2
Interceptions
0
4
0
1
Rush yards
-2
0
0
0
Rush TDs
0
0
---
---
RB's
---
---
104
121
Rush yards
77
105
2
0
Rush TDs
1
0
62
36
Receive yards
61
55
0
0
Receive TD's
0
0
---
---
WR's
---
---
137
77
Receive yards
200
91
0
3
Receive TD's
2
0
---
---
TE's
---
---
31
28
Receive yards
11
2
1
0
Receive TD's
0
0
---
---
PK's
---
---
1
1
Field Goals
1
0
4
3
Extra Points
2
0
---
---
DEF/ST
---
---
0
1
Fumbles
0
1
4
0
Interceptions
2
1
1
0
Touchdowns
0
0
2
4
Sacks
4
2
0
1
Safeties
0
0
Bills (1-0)
Score Opp.
31-0 NE
Week 2 @JAX
Week 3 @MIA
Week 4 PHI
Week 5 CIN
Week 6 @NYJ
Week 7 WAS
Week 8 @KC
Week 9 BYE
Week 10 @DAL
Week 11 HOU
Week 12 IND
Week 13 @NYG
Week 14 NYJ
Week 15 @TEN
Week 16 MIA
Week 17 @NE
Jaguars (0-1)
Score Opp.
23-24 @CAR
Week 2 BUF
Week 3 @IND
Week 4 @HOU
Week 5 SD
Week 6 MIA
Week 7 BYE
Week 8 TEN
Week 9 @BAL
Week 10 IND
Week 11 @TEN
Week 12 @NYJ
Week 13 TB
Week 14 HOU
Week 15 @NE
Week 16 NO
Week 17 @ATL
(Statistics are game averages from current season )