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This
is a weekly view of the upcoming games considering the
perspective of the sportsbooks to see how their information
about teams and trends can be relevant to your fantasy
football team. There are probably a few of you who feel
that the gaming industry should give to you for a change.
This view is interesting and different from fantasy football
since it considers the teams and games as a whole first
considering trends and motivations and only later the
players – almost
the exact opposite from when you decide your weekly starting
players.
If you would like a detailed introduction to this
new weekly feature at The Huddle please
click here.
New York Jets (0-2) at New England (1-1)
Vegas Line
Total Points = 37.5
Predicted Outcome
Total Points = 37
Jets 17, Patriots 20
Trends
| |
|
|
|
NYJ |
|
|
NE |
|
Date
|
Away |
Home |
Tot |
Rush |
Pass |
Tot |
Rush |
Pass |
| 12/22/2002 |
NYJ 30 |
NE 17 |
393 |
108 |
285 |
216 |
97 |
119 |
| 9/15/2002 |
NE 44 |
NYJ 7 |
200 |
32 |
168 |
432 |
163 |
269 |
| 12/2/2001 |
NE 17 |
NYJ 16 |
282 |
119 |
163 |
264 |
73 |
191 |
| 9/23/2001 |
NYJ 10 |
NE 3 |
238 |
111 |
127 |
308 |
107 |
201 |
| 10/15/2000 |
NYJ 34 |
NE 17 |
294 |
164 |
130 |
249 |
51 |
198 |
| 9/11/2000 |
NE 19 |
NYJ 20 |
330 |
59 |
271 |
293 |
100 |
193 |
Under is 8-2 in Jets last 10 games overall.
Under is 11-4 in the Pats last 15 overall.
Away has won the last five contests.
12 of 21 games in this series have gone
over since 1992.
Motivation
A big divisional game for both teams. The Jets will be
eager to avoid an 0-3 start and the Patriots will be looking
to avoid falling two divisional games behind the Bills. New
York got bombed on the road against the Buffalo in Week
2 while the Patriots bounced back against the Eagles.
Opinion
The handicappers have been all over the Jets this week. Their
offensive line and RB Curtis Martin have been getting the
most heat. The sportsbook's are saying that Martin looks
old and may be done. New York's offensive line has gotten
a lot of criticism for their play. Also, the Jets linebackers
are getting blasted again this week for being slow.
Vegas doesn't believe that the Patriots will be going
back to the Super Bowl any time soon. The soft offensive
line play and the lack of a running game has the handicappers
down on New England. The best the Patriots can do on offense
is put five receivers in the pattern and get rid of the
ball quickly.
Not much to chose from between these two teams. The defenses
and the receivers are about equal, so whichever quarterback
plays better will lead their team to victory. With the
away team winning the last five contests you have to give
a slight edge to the Jets.
The weather may effect this football game. If neither
team can throw, this will be a very low scoring football
game.
Pittsburgh (1-1) at Cincinnati (0-2)
Vegas Line
Total Points = 46.5
Predicted Outcome
Total points = 44
Cincinnati 24, Steelers 20
Trends
| |
|
|
|
PIT |
|
|
CIN |
|
| Date |
Away |
Home |
Tot |
Rush |
Pass |
Tot |
Rush |
Pass |
| 11/24/2002 |
CIN 21 |
PIT 29 |
391 |
156 |
235 |
352 |
54 |
298 |
| 10/13/2002 |
PIT 34 |
CIN 7 |
408 |
211 |
197 |
268 |
78 |
190 |
| 12/30/2001 |
PIT 23 |
CIN 26 |
313 |
73 |
240 |
544 |
141 |
403 |
| 10/7/2001 |
CIN 7 |
PIT 16 |
412 |
274 |
138 |
214 |
65 |
149 |
| 11/26/2000 |
PIT 48 |
CIN 28 |
372 |
185 |
187 |
309 |
209 |
100 |
| 10/15/2000 |
CIN 0 |
PIT 15 |
274 |
103 |
171 |
232 |
120 |
112 |
Over is 14-6 in Steelers last 20 games overall.
Pittsburgh
has won the last two games.
Motivation
Another divisional game featuring an 0-2 football team. The
Steelers are coming off a road loss to the Chiefs while
the Bengals are home after suffering a tough loss in Oakland.
Opinion
Vegas thinks the Bengals may be a "live dog" this week. They
looked a lot more like the team that was winning football
games at the end of 2002 last weekend against the Raiders
then the team that got blown out against he Broncos in
Week 1. If they've got it together, they may sneak up
on the Steelers this week.
Pittsburgh can't really take advantage of Cincinnati's
weakness (stopping the run) because they haven't been able
to run the ball themselves this year. Cincinnati's RB
Cory Dillon is injured, so the Bengals will be throwing
the ball as well. Dillon has been huge in games against
the Steelers averaging nearly 100 yards per contest.
Jacksonville (0-2) at Indianapolis (2-0)
Vegas Line
Total Points = 43.5
Predicted Outcome
Total Points = 42.5
Indianapolis 31, Jacksonville 10
Trends
| |
|
|
|
JAX |
|
|
IND |
|
| Date |
Away |
Home |
Tot |
Rush |
Pass |
Tot |
Rush |
Pass |
| 12/29/2002 |
JAC 13 |
IND 20 |
266 |
154 |
112 |
272 |
126 |
146 |
| 9/8/2002 |
IND 28 |
JAC 25 |
343 |
118 |
225 |
307 |
104 |
203 |
| 9/25/2000 |
JAC 14 |
IND 43 |
286 |
97 |
189 |
533 |
93 |
440 |
Over is 7-3-2 in Jags last 12 games overall.
Colts last four games overall played under.
Colts have won the last three games.
3 of 4 games in this series have gone over
since 1992.
In three career starts vs. Jacksonville, Colts QB Peyton
Manning has thrown for 797 yards, eight touchdowns and
zero interceptions.
Motivation
The Jaguars were awful in their loss to the Bills. The
Colts are coming off an emotional victory over their AFC
South rivals (the Titans). This is another divisional
game featuring a 0-2 team. Indy head coach Tony Dungy
used to coach Jaguars Head Coach Jack Del Rio, so there's
a little "inside baseball" to this game.
Opinion
Jacksonville has all sorts of players missing on defense. They
weren't very good to begin with and now they may be dreadful. Look
for the Colts to move the ball on the ground and play "Dungy
Ball". The Colts have dominated this series and Vegas
thinks they win this game going away. This is a lot of
handicapper's best play this week.
Minnesota (2-0) at Detroit (1-1)
Vegas Line
Total Points = 46.5
Predicted Outcome
Total Points = 47
Minnesota 27, Detroit 20
Trends
| |
|
|
|
MIN |
|
|
DET |
|
|
Date
|
Away
|
Home
|
Tot |
Rush |
Pass |
Tot |
Rush |
Pass |
| 12/29/2002 |
MIN 38
|
DET 36
|
450 |
154 |
296 |
386 |
93 |
293 |
| 10/13/2002 |
DET 24
|
MIN 31
|
402 |
111 |
291 |
354 |
53 |
301 |
| 12/16/2001 |
MIN 24
|
DET 27
|
314 |
80 |
234 |
369 |
167 |
202 |
| 10/14/2001 |
DET 26
|
MIN 31
|
343 |
145 |
198 |
457 |
129 |
328 |
| 11/30/2000 |
DET 17
|
MIN 24
|
305 |
145 |
160 |
352 |
139 |
213 |
| 10/1/2000 |
MIN 31
|
DET 24
|
439 |
178 |
261 |
355 |
129 |
226 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
The last four meetings have played over.
Over is 14-8 for the Vikings last 22 overall.
Over is 7-3 in Lions last 10 games
overall.
Minnesota has won 5 of the last 6 games in the series.
Minnesota QB Culpper
is 5-0 vs. the Lions.
The Vikings have won five straight going back to last
year.
Motivation
Minnesota come off two divisional wins and a third victory
would be huge, giving them no worse than a tie in head-to-head
match-ups within the division and an undefeated divisional
record at the halfway mark. Detroit comes off a big loss
on the road in Wisconsin, where they never seem to play
well.
Opinion
The handicappers love Minnesota in this game. The Vikings
offensive line has been outstanding. They're moving the
ball on the ground no matter who's carrying the football. Even
though Chicago and Green Bay don't have the best defenses
in the league, they're better than Detroit. Vegas thinks
that the visitors will move the ball up and down the field
in Detroit this weekend.
Heck, they even like the Vikings defense. The sportsbooks
have noticed that Minnesota's defense has created some
turnovers and shown some cover skills. That's a huge improvement
in the secondary from the past five years when opposing
quarterbacks hurt them with impunity. Minnesota is also
strong on the road and should win this game by more than
ten points.
The handicappers have no mercy on the Lions. You get
statements like; "Detroit's defense is terrible. They
have absolutely no talent in the secondary." Gee, what
do you really think? The Lions offense did not have a
good week last Sunday, but should have a better effort
against the Vikings. The wise guys think this should be
a high scoring game.
New Orleans (1-1) at Tennessee (1-1)
Vegas Line
Off the Board
Predicted Outcome
Total Points = no prediction
Trends
No recent meetings between these teams.
Over is 5-1 in Saints last six Sep. games.
Under is 8-3 in New Orleans last 11 home games.
Motivation
Tennessee came out flat against the Colts on the road
last week. The Saints bounced back from a road loss at
Seattle to beat the Texans at home. The Titans have a
huge home field advantage and really get up for games at
Adelphi.
Opinion
As one handicapper said, "New Orleans often has brain
cramps. The make mistakes, take penalties, and turn the
ball over at inopportune times." He went further to name
New Orleans QB Aaron Brooks as the Saint most likely to
have a brain-freeze. The consensus is that Brooks, when
he's right is very good, but he isn't right that often.
The Saints got back into the game at Houston by bringing
the blitz. The Saints have been very aggressive this year,
which is a change in their defensive philosophy. However,
they have five of their starters out injured and its all
the best parts of this defense.
With a lot of new players in the line-up, the crowd noise
at Adelphi could cause a lot of problems. The Raiders
couldn't hear the snap count at all in their opening night
loss. The Saints could face the same problems this week. Look
for a sloppy game and lots of false starts on offense.
Tennessee got beat up against the Colts. Indy really took
it to the Titans physically. Normally, it's the Titans
offensive line and their defense that are bringing the
physical play. To make matters worse, the Tennessee offensive
line, the strength of this team, is now hurting. The power
game is gone and their wide receivers are inconsistent.
The handicappers think Eddie George can't run the football. Two
yards per carry isn't good enough to keep him in the starting
line-up and not having a running game puts more pressure
on a fragile QB Steve McNair. The pros think Robert Holcomb
may be the starting runningback for Tennessee very soon.
No line is up because McNair's status is unknown.
Tampa Bay (1-1) at Atlanta (1-1)
Vegas Line
Total points = 35.5
Predicted Outcome
Total Points = 37.5
Tampa Bay 24, Atlanta 13
Trends
| |
|
|
|
TB |
|
|
ATL |
|
| Date |
Away |
Home |
Tot |
Rush |
Pass |
Tot |
Rush |
Pass |
| 12/8/2002 |
ATL 10 |
TB 34 |
421 |
150 |
271 |
181 |
68 |
113 |
| 10/6/2002 |
TB 20 |
ATL 6 |
327 |
74 |
253 |
243 |
70 |
173 |
| 11/5/2000 |
TB 27 |
ATL 14 |
267 |
126 |
141 |
283 |
59 |
224 |
Under is 5-2 in Bucs last seven overall.
Over is 3-1 in the last four meetings.
Tampa Bay has won the last three games by more than 10 points and have won
five straight in this series.
Motivation
Tampa Bay is on the road after opening their home schedule
with an embarrassing overtime loss against the Panthers. Atlanta
collapsed late at home last week against Washington. Tampa
Bay has owned this series even with Atlanta QB Michael
Vick in the line-up.
Opinion
Tampa Bay moved the ball effectively, had plenty of opportunities,
but let last week's game against the Panthers get away. They're
probably not too pleased at the result and may take it
out on the Falcons. The casinos haven't yet seen the significant
offensive improvement they expected from Tampa this year,
but they've played two pretty good defensive teams. The
experts think Tampa should win this game easily
The word from the sportsbooks is, If you're going to beat
Tampa you have to cut off their running attack, make them
throw the ball, and run the ball against their defense. Atlanta
can't do any of those things. Atlanta averages 98 rushing
yards per game and 3.8 yards per carry. That's not good
enough. This is the worst of the three offenses Tampa's
played this season. The Falcons can't play defense either. Dallas
got lots of yards on this team and the Redskins quarterback
had his way with their secondary. Atlanta has allowed more
yards (419) than any other team in the league, and that
was against the Cowboys and Redskins, hardly two offensive
giants.
On the other hand, Tampa Bay can play defense. In this
series, they have allowed the Falcons 10 points per game
on average. Vegas is expecting Atlanta QB Doug Johnson
to be eaten up by the Buc's defense. Johnson has the capacity
to throw the long ball, but the Falcons didn't use it against
the Redskins. Part of the problem has been that the offensive
game plan has been very conservative. Atlanta has to get
production out of the passing game to be competitive this
week, but the play calling has to be there also.
Kansas City (2-0) at Houston (1-1)
Vegas Line
Total Points = 43.5
Predicted Outcome
Total Points = 41
Kansas City 24, Houston 17
Trends
No regular season meetings between these teams.
Over is 12-6 in Chiefs last 18 games overall.
Over is 4-2 in Texans last six games at home.
Motivation
The Chiefs have dominated their first two games against
the Chargers and the Steelers. Kansas City came from 17
points behind against Pittsburgh to blow out the visitors. Houston
has played hard in both their games so far this season,
but regressed on offense in the loss in New Orleans.
Opinion
The Texans played very well against Miami, and not so
well last week. Can they surprise this Chiefs team? Vegas
thinks it's possible.
With a 2-0 record, coming off a victory at home against
the Steelers, and going on the road against an underrated
Texans squad, this game sets up to be a letdown game for
Kansas City. You have a lot of handicappers taking a long,
hard look at the home dog and the points in this game.
While the Chiefs defense has been impressive in creating
turnovers, they are still giving up too many yards. Vegas
knows that you can't count on turnovers on the road. But
the big question on everyone's mind is the health of Kansas
City RB Priest Holmes. We don't know yet how serious his
injury is, but his back up is a huge drop-off and would
drastically change how 'Vegas looks at this game.
Houston has some things going for them. The Texans have
been willing to throw the long ball. The experts take
this as a sign that the organization is more confident
with their protection and their defense and is playing
to win football games, not just to avoid embarrassment. That
makes them more of a "live dog".
It's not all good news in Houston, however. The Texans
suffered another major loss on their defensive line, losing
their nose tackle. With two undrafted players on the front
three, the handicappers don't know if Houston will be able
to put pressure on the quarterback.
New York Giants (1-1) at Washington (2-0)
Vegas Line
Total Points = 41.5
Predicted Outcome
Total Points = 43
New York 23, Washington 20
Trends
| |
|
|
|
NYG |
|
|
WAS |
|
| Date |
Away |
Home |
Tot |
Rush |
Pass |
Tot |
Rush |
Pass |
| 12/8/2002 |
NYG 27 |
WAS 21 |
316 |
111 |
205 |
447 |
132 |
315 |
| 11/17/2002 |
WAS 17 |
NYG 19 |
299 |
88 |
211 |
166 |
60 |
106 |
| 10/28/2001 |
NYG 21 |
WAS 35 |
388 |
42 |
346 |
353 |
157 |
196 |
| 10/7/2001 |
WAS 9 |
NYG 23 |
310 |
135 |
175 |
180 |
56 |
124 |
| 12/3/2000 |
NYG 9 |
WAS 7 |
305 |
141 |
164 |
290 |
29 |
261 |
| 9/24/2000 |
WAS 16 |
NYG 6 |
261 |
93 |
168 |
394 |
110 |
284 |
The last three meetings have played over.
Over is 9-3 in the Giants last 12 overall.
Under is 4-1 in the Skins last five at home.
New York has won the last 2 games
and 4 of the last 6.
Motivation
This is a much bigger game for the Giants. If they lose,
they'll be -2 in the division and no better than a tie
in head-to-head competition. Washington is coming off
two victories, one at home and the latest on the road. If
they win, they take a commanding lead in the division. This
is one of the bigger rivalry games on the East Coast.
Opinion
The Redskins are having trouble protecting the quarterback
and are giving up five sacks per game. The Giants defensive
strength is getting pressure on the passer. Edge New York. Given
this advantage, most of the handicappers are expecting
the Giants will win this football game.
The Giants were taking hits for some of the decision-making
on Monday night. This has a lot of weight among the experts
as they expect that New York will be in a lot of tight
games this season. The Giants offense is good, but they
aren't capable of blowing out opponents. Dumb decisions
have cost them one victory after two games, how many more
games will they lose because of poor tactics and have they
learned anything from the loss? Until those questions
are answered, the wise guys don't like playing New York's
games.
Green Bay (1-1) at Arizona (0-2)
Vegas Line
Total Points = 43
Predicted Outcome
Total Points = 40
Green Bay 20, Arizona 10
Trends
| |
|
|
|
GB |
|
|
ARI |
|
| Date |
Away |
Home |
Tot |
Rush |
Pass |
Tot |
Rush |
Pass |
| 9/24/2000 |
GB 29 |
ARI 3 |
455 |
176 |
279 |
209 |
28 |
181 |
Under is 4-2 in the Packers last six overall.
Over is 7-2 in the Cards last nine overall.
Motivation
Green Bay comes off a bounce-back home victory over the
Lions and goes on the road for the first time this season. Arizona
got bombed last week at home against the Seahawks.
Opinion
Is Arizona the worst team in the NFL? Maybe not- Vegas
thinks they do have some very young, very raw talent. As
an example of progress, the Cardinals outgained Detroit
by 200 yards Week 1, but had three turnovers. Last week,
they had six turnovers in the big loss to the Seahawks. The
insiders think Arizona is going to beat a team like the
Packers some time this season, but they have so many injuries
that it will be difficult this week. QB Jeff Blake is
now probable (heal), but three of the Cardinals top four
receivers are questionable this week. All of their best
defenders are either questionable or doubtful and Arizona
had three players with concussions last Sunday. This team
needs to get healthy before they can upset an overconfident
opponent.
The Packers are very vulnerable this week. The handicappers
don't like Green Bay at all. They are coming off a big
home win and they have their own injuries at wide receiver
and they're on the road for the first time this year. Vegas
thinks this may be a low scoring game if both offenses
play sloppy football.
St. Louis (1-1) at Seattle (2-0)
Vegas Line
Total Points = 47.5
Predicted Outcome
Total Points = 44
Seattle 27, St. Louis 17
Trends
| |
|
|
|
STL |
|
|
SEA |
|
| Date |
Away |
Home |
Tot |
Rush |
Pass |
Tot |
Rush |
Pass |
| 12/22/2002 |
STL 10 |
SEA 30 |
271 |
17 |
254 |
392 |
100 |
292 |
| 10/20/2002 |
SEA 20 |
STL 37 |
478 |
218 |
260 |
290 |
50 |
240 |
| 9/10/2000 |
STL 37 |
SEA 34 |
476 |
97 |
379 |
340 |
101 |
239 |
Motivation
St. Louis is coming off a big overtime win at home against
their most hated rivals while Seattle is 2-0 after wiping
the floor with their first two opponents.
Opinion
Vegas has spent the week analyzing why QB Kurt Warner
has struggled and the Rams have lost with him in the line-up
while they've won with Bulger at quarterback. One theory
is Rams Head Coach Mike Martz has more confidence in QB
Kurt Warner's ability to absorb the entire playbook. On
the other hand, Bulger only gets about one third of the
playbook. As a result, they run the ball more with Bulger
out there, and St. Louis wins as a result. As Warner is
unlikely to start again as long as the Rams are winning,
just file that tidbit of information for future use.
St. Louis has disappointed the fans and the experts. They
were fortunate to get the victory last week when they had
the 49ers at home coming off a big victory. They had all
the itangibles going for them and yet they played badly
enough to almost lose that football game.
The experts don't like this football team. The consensus
among the handicappers is that St. Louis isn't nearly as
talented as they were during their glory years. The Rams
offensive line can't block the blitz and can't run the
ball well enough to be more than an average offensive football
team and they don't have that third and fourth receiver
they've had in the past. Even RB Marshall Faulk is being
questioned. The insiders think he isn't the back he used
to be.
Turnovers, turnovers, turnovers. St. Louis is among the
worst teams for turning over the football and the Seahawks
are the best at taking the football away. Seattle is +10
in the turnover margin coming into this game and the Rams
can't quit making mistakes. The Rams had seven fumbles
in their game against the Giants. Last week, St. Louis
gave up five sacks and QB Bulger was under constant pressure.
In addition to the turnover margin, the Seahawks have the
edge in coaching, rushing and special teams in this game. Vegas
considers the Seattle offense to be as good as there is
in their division and in the NFC.
Baltimore (1-1) at San Diego (0-2)
Vegas Line
Total Points = 40.5
Predicted Outcome
Total Points = 37
Baltimore 20, San Diego 17
Trends
| |
|
|
|
BAL |
|
|
SD |
|
| Date |
Away |
Home |
Tot |
Rush |
Pass |
Tot |
Rush |
Pass |
| 12/10/2000 |
SD 3 |
BAL 24 |
276 |
110 |
166 |
128 |
64 |
64 |
The last three meetings have played under.
Baltimore's last four on the road have played over.
Motivation
Big game for San Diego- they need a victory or they're
fading playoff hopes may be dead after three games. Both
runningbacks are talking smack in the press. Ravens RB
Jamal Lewis more or less called Chargers RB LaDainian Tomlinson
just another runningback that was going to be hammered
by Baltimore MLB Ray Lewis. Tomlinson said he'll let his
play do his talking. As neither side is likely to have
much success throwing the football, it may well come down
to a battle of the ball carriers.
Opinion
SD are a young defense that haven't looked that good and
they are desperate for a win. But the Chargers may not
have enough talent on the field to come away with a good
performance.
Vegas faults the Chargers' organization for putting so
much into the acquisition of WR David Boston. San Diego
doesn't have any other receivers and Boston needs to play
football, because team's know all they have to do is take
away Tomlinson to win without Boston in the lineup. That
said, the experts think Boston probably will not play this
week, and may not play at all this season. Without him
in the lineup, San Diego can't pass the ball even against
lose zones late in the game.
On the opposite side of the ball, the Chargers have the
fourth worst rushing defense in the NFL. Handicappers
have San Diego as probably one of the five weakest teams
in the NFL right now because they are so helpless on defense.
Ravens thought they would not be able to practice on Thursday
and maybe Friday due to the hurricane if they stayed in
Baltimore. The team is already out on the West Cost and
will be making due on the road for an extended period this
week.
Cleveland (0-2) at San Francisco (1-1)
Vegas Line
Total Points = 44
Predicted Outcome
Total Points = 40
San Francisco 30, Cleveland 10
Trends
No recent meetings between these teams.
Under is 6-3-1 in the Browns last 10 overall.
Over is 6-2 in 49ers last eight at home.
Motivation
Carmon Policy is hated in San Francisco. The 49ers fans
blame him for the salary cap problems that led to the dismantling
of their Super Bowl teams. On the other hand, Policy would
like nothing better than beating the team that ran him
out of town.
Opinion
The experts' opinions are that the Browns can't start
0-3 any have much of a chance of making the playoffs. But
unless the offense gets out of its funk and the defense
begins to tackle, there's no reason to expect that they
will go on the road and beat the 49ers.
Starting three 2nd year linebackers has not
been good. They aren't making tackles and as a result
this is not a very good Browns defense. When you give
up nearly three hundred yards of rushing after the Ravens
announced they were going to run the football, your linebackers
are just not doing the job.
The 49ers are able to run the ball and should be able
to take advantage of the Browns problems on defense. Perhaps
SF would not be fired up if they hadn't lost a close game
last week and weren't playing at home this week. In a
letdown game, the underdog Browns may have a chance even
if they didn't bring their "A" game.
Buffalo (2-1) at Miami (1-1)
Vegas Line
Total Points = 40.5
Predicted Outcome
Total Points = 40
Buffalo 23, Miami 17
Trends
| |
|
|
|
BUF |
|
|
MIA |
|
| Date |
Away |
Home |
Tot |
Rush |
Pass |
Tot |
Rush |
Pass |
| 12/1/2002 |
MIA 21 |
BUF 38 |
431 |
161 |
270 |
300 |
270 |
30 |
| 10/20/2002 |
BUF 23 |
MIA 10 |
294 |
132 |
162 |
287 |
132 |
155 |
| 1/6/2002 |
BUF 7 |
MIA 34 |
250 |
39 |
211 |
289 |
202 |
87 |
| 11/25/2001 |
MIA 34 |
BUF 27 |
422 |
127 |
295 |
364 |
101 |
263 |
| 12/3/2000 |
MIA 33 |
BUF 6 |
196 |
160 |
36 |
333 |
133 |
200 |
| 10/8/2000 |
BUF 13 |
MIA 22 |
254 |
76 |
178 |
254 |
120 |
134 |
Over is 7-3 in the last 10 meetings.
Under is 12-6 in Miami's last 18 games overall.
Buffalo has won the last two
games.
Motivation
The Bills are looking to go 3-0 against their division,
while Miami looks to regain their dominance in this series. These
teams are long rivals going back to the 70's when O.J.
and the great Dolphins' teams of that era were going at
it.
Opinion
No consensus on this game. The handicappers seem equally
divided between the two sides.
This Buffalo team may be very good. Head Coach Greg Williams
turned down a contract this off-season because he thought
he would have a very good team this year and could cash
in after the season. He looks like a genius right now. Buffalo
gave up over 33 points per game in the first six games
of 2002 and less than 16 points per game down the stretch. The
Bills defense has played very well and the offense has
been outstanding. But, they haven't run the ball very
well and that may hurt them in this game as the Dolphins
will come after the immobile Drew Bledsoe if the Bills
can't keep them honest by establishing some kind of running
attack. Bledsoe has had huge games against the Dolphins
in his career and will murder them again if he's allowed
to be comfortable in the pocket and fire the football.
On the other hand, the handicappers think the Miami defense
may not be as good as in prior seasons. They have not
been impressed by the changes that have been made. Miami
had zero sacks and zero turnovers against the Texans. They
had one sack and one turnover against the Jets. This week,
the Miami secondary does not match up well against the
Buffalo WRs.
Last year, Buffalo played a 5-1 Miami team that was favored
by five. This year, Buffalo has been the better team and
they're getting three points. what gives? A lot of it has
to do with the lack of success Buffalo's had in South Florida
over the years. History, rather than talent is driving
this line.
Oakland (1-1) at Denver (2-0)
Vegas Line
Total Points = 45
Predicted Outcome
Total Points = 43
Oakland 23, Denver 20
Trends
| |
|
|
|
OAK |
|
|
DEN |
|
| Date |
Away |
Home |
Tot |
Rush |
Pass |
Tot |
Rush |
Pass |
| 12/22/2002 |
DEN 16 |
OAK 28 |
322 |
136 |
186 |
324 |
81 |
243 |
| 11/11/2002 |
OAK 34 |
DEN 10 |
374 |
27 |
347 |
342 |
77 |
265 |
| 12/30/2001 |
OAK 17 |
DEN 23 |
334 |
51 |
283 |
231 |
106 |
125 |
| 11/5/2001 |
DEN 28 |
OAK 38 |
356 |
114 |
242 |
366 |
119 |
247 |
| 11/13/2000 |
OAK 24 |
DEN 27 |
411 |
38 |
373 |
329 |
71 |
258 |
| 9/17/2000 |
DEN 33 |
OAK 24 |
263 |
123 |
140 |
387 |
182 |
205 |
Under is 12-3 in the Raiders last 15 overall.
Oakland
has won three of the last four meetings.
Motivation
Denver Head Coach Mike Shanahan hates Raider owner Al
Davis. Davis fired Shanahan and the Broncis coach still
contends the Raiders' owner owes him money. This will
be a very intense week for both teams. There is no bigger
rivalry in the West.
Opinion
The Oakland Raiders have been disappointing. Terms like "lackluster" and "Super
Bowl hangover" are getting tossed about in the sportsbooks. To
be fair, they don't seem to be quite right after two weeks. They're
not clicking right now on either side of the ball. If
any team other than Cincinnati or Arizona had played them
last week, Oakland would have lost that football game.
A lot of handicappers are looking towards history for
guidance this week. Oakland went on an 0-4 stretch last
season, looked old and terrible, and went on the road to
Denver and smoked them. The Raiders have won three of the
last four meetings, including both last year 34-10 in Denver
and 28-16 in Oakland a month later. QB Rich Gannon completed
23 passes in a row against the Bronco's defense in Denver. While
Vegas haven't seen anything out of Oakland yet this season,
there's a thought circulating that this may finally be
the game where they reestablish themselves as the team
to beat in the AFC.
The experts are questioning the Broncos even after their
dominating performances against the Bengals and the Chargers. The
reasoning goes, sure they looked good, but that was against
two very bad football teams. What's going to happen when
their injured quarterback and runningback have to play
a fired up Oakland Raiders football team? Vegas expects
the Raiders to reestablish their running game and to pound
the ball at the questionable Bronco front wall and then
throw play action and take advantage of Denver's inexperienced
secondary.
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