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Predictions & Projections
By David M. Dorey
 
The Huddle
WEEK 4
September 24, 2003
Season Ticket
Sun 1 PM Sun 1 PM Sun 4 PM Sun 8:30 PM Bye Week:
ARZ at STL KC at BAL ATL at CAR *IND at NO Miami
TEN at PIT *NE at WAS DAL at NYJ Mon 9 PM NY Giants
CIN at CLE *PHI at BUF *DET at DEN *GB at CHI Seattle
JAX at HOU *SF at MIN *SD at OAK *updated Tampa Bay
   
Dallas vs NY Jets Sun, Sep 28; 4 PM on FOX at Giants Stadium
  Dallas Rush Catch Pass
QB Quincy Carter 20 0 240,2
RB Richie Anderson 20 30,1 0
RB Troy Hambrick 70 0 0
TE Dan Campbell 0 20 0
WR Joey Galloway 0 70 0
WR Terry Glenn 0 40 0
WR Antonio Bryant 0 60,1 0
  New York Jets Rush Catch Pass
QB Vinny Testaverde 0 0 250,2
RB Curtis Martin 60,1 10 0
TE Anthony Becht 0 30,1 0
WR Wayne Chrebet 0 50 0
WR Curtis Conway 0 70 0
WR Santana Moss 0 70,1 0


Game Prediction: DAL 20, NYJ 21

Dallas comes off the bye week still feeling good about their exciting Monday night win over the Giants, but only as good as Bill Parcells will allow them which is not much.

Quincy Carter is averaging 294 yards passing this season and has one passing and one rushing touchdown. After two games, the new triplets in Dallas are Joey Galloway (10-180, 1 TD), Antonio Bryant (7-169) and Terry Glenn (8-113). When you start doling out 300 yard passing games each week, there seems to be plenty for everyone.

The Cowboys rushing game has not been so formidable, with Troy Hambrick (37-113) discovering that being the featured runner attracts far more attention than being the occasional third down back with the defense expecting the pass. Aveion Cason (5-88) has mainly been one long run away from obscurity while Richie Anderson (10-27) is gaining in use. Facing his employer of ten years, Anderson will have an extra reason to play hard this week.

The Dallas defense has been fairly solid against the run but missing CB Derek Ross and letting rookie Terrence Newman go through the learning curve has meant that Dallas still needs work on the secondary. The unit as a whole is playing better under Parcells and Newman is already learning the ropes quickly.

Bill Parcells returns to New York to face another old employer but claims that there is nothing special about this game.

The Jets fell to 0-3 with their latest loss to the Patriots in a game that continues to illustrate their problems in the redzone without a running game. Last week Curtis Martin rushed 15 times for 53 yards. The week before it was 10 carries for 32 yards and the season started with only 48 yards on 15 runs. Not only is Martin looking like he has lost that critical step, the limited use of Lamont Jordan has been even less successful.

Vinny Testaverde is still throwing a lot more than desired since the running game has disappeared and last week he turned in 264 yards with one touchdown and one interception which is his standard so far. After Santana Moss had a breakthrough game in week two of 142 yards and a touchdown, he followed that up with one catch for only 17 yards last week. This is not an offense that is working and only trash time yardage and scores are making it look better.

The Jets defense has made it no easier either, playing well against the pass statistically because they have been ran over by opponents. The Patriots don't even have a real rushing game and still logged 141 yards on the ground against them. Ricky Williams gained 125 yards. The duo of Trung Canidate and Ladell Betts racked up 123 yards rushing. There may be hope for Troy Hambrick yet.

There should be some good yardage in this game and if Curtis Martin can have a nice day, it will be against his favorite ex-coach. In the end, the Jets have to win this game in order to maintain the peace in the lockerroom and get rid of the building frustrations. Santana Moss should again have a good game if he can split the safeties on a long pass play and with CB Donnie Abraham out with a fractured right shoulder, the Cowboys should get good results through the air if only later in the game. This should be a close, hard fought game.

DAL
NYJ
2003 Averages
NYJ
DAL
Gains
Allows
QB's
Gains
Allows
295
185
Pass yards
247
247
0.5
0.7
Pass TDs
0.7
2.5
1.0
0.3
Interceptions
0.7
1.5
14
20
Rush yards
2
-2
0.5
0.7
Rush TDs
0.0
0.5
----
----
RB's
----
----
114
153
Rush yards
49
70
0.5
0.3
Rush TDs
0.3
0.0
32
32
Receive yards
55
25
0.0
0.0
Receive TD's
0.0
0.5
----
----
WR's
----
----
232
107
Receive yards
171
171
0.5
0.3
Receive TD's
0.7
1.0
----
----
TE's
----
----
31
46
Receive yards
21
51
0.0
0.3
Receive TD's
0.0
1.0
----
----
PK's
----
----
1.0
2.3
Field Goals
2.0
3.0
4.5
1.7
Extra Points
1.0
2.0
----
----
DEF/ST
----
----
0.5
0.3
Fumbles
1.0
1.0
1.5
0.3
Interceptions
0.3
0.5
0.5
0.3
Touchdowns
0.0
0.5
2.0
2.3
Sacks
3.3
3.5
0.0
0.0
Safeties
0.0
0.0
Cowboys (1-1)
Score Opp.
13-27 ATL
35-32 @NYG
Week 3 BYE
Week 4 @NYJ
Week 5 ARZ
Week 6 PHI
Week 7 @DET
Week 8 @TB
Week 9 WAS
Week 10 BUF
Week 11 @NE
Week 12 CAR
Week 13 MIA
Week 14 @PHI
Week 15 @WAS
Week 16 NYG
Week 17 @NO
Jets (0-3)
Score Opp.
13-16 @WAS
10-21 MIA
16-23 @NE
Week 4 DAL
Week 5 BYE
Week 6 BUF
Week 7 @HOU
Week 8 @PHI
Week 9 NYG
Week 10 @OAK
Week 11 @IND
Week 12 JAX
Week 13 TEN
Week 14 @BUF
Week 15 PIT
Week 16 NE
Week 17 @MIA
(Statistics are game averages from current season )