VOTED #1 FANTASY FOOTBALL SITE
1998, 1999, 2000, 2001 & 2002
PRIORITY NEWS   MESSAGE BOARDS JOIN   
HOME ARTICLES STATISTICS WEEKLY FEATURES TEAM LINKS NFL RESOURCES  
Predictions & Projections
By David M. Dorey
 
The Huddle
WEEK 4
September 24, 2003
Season Ticket
Sun 1 PM Sun 1 PM Sun 4 PM Sun 8:30 PM Bye Week:
ARZ at STL KC at BAL ATL at CAR *IND at NO Miami
TEN at PIT *NE at WAS DAL at NYJ Mon 9 PM NY Giants
CIN at CLE *PHI at BUF *DET at DEN *GB at CHI Seattle
JAX at HOU *SF at MIN *SD at OAK *updated Tampa Bay
   
Kansas City vs Baltimore Sun, Sep 28; 1 PM on CBS at Ravens Stadium
  Kansas City Rush Catch Pass
QB Trent Green 0 0 250,1
RB Priest Holmes 90,1 60 0
TE Tony Gonzalez 0 45,1 0
WR Johnnie Morton 0 25 0
WR Marc Boerigter 0 50 0
WR Eddie Kennison 0 40 0
  Baltimore Rush Catch Pass
QB Kyle Boller 10 0 150
RB Jamal Lewis 80,1 10 0
TE Todd Heap 0 50 0
WR Travis Taylor 0 40 0
WR Frank Sanders 0 20 0
WR Marcus Robinson 0 20 0

Game Prediction: KC 27, BAL 13

Kansas City once again leads the league in scoring this season and coming off a 42-14 trouncing of the Texans, there should be little to worry about - but not so.

Priest Holmes (156 yards, 2 TDs) turned in his usual sterling effort and once again donned the fourth quarter cap as Kansas City got a look at Larry Johnson (6-25) and Derrick Blaylock (2-19). Holmes went into the game listed as questionable but it was Houston who had no answer for him. The plan this season was to give him less work and keep him healthier all season but Holmes still ranks fourth for running backs in the number of plays called for him (78). This considering that he has not played full games either.

The Kansas City defense continued to be vastly improved, collecting four turnovers and a sack while scoring on one interception return and a punt return.

The problem continues to be within the passing game where Trent Green has thrown more interceptions (5) than touchdowns (3) even though the defenses are keying on Holmes and the Chiefs have had big leads in all games. Tony Gonzalez (3-52) had a better afternoon though he just missed catching one score. Green has underthrown several receivers and had more than a few drops in the past three weeks. Holmes was the most productive receiver last week as he was in week one. Johnnie Morton's one catch for 50 yards was tops for the wideouts that included Eddie Kennison (4-44) and Marc Boerigter (1-27). After such a nice 2002 season, Boerigter is little used this year with only five passes thrown his way in three games. He caught two of them.

Eddie Kennison had a mild ankle sprain in the game but is expected to play this week.

So far having a minimal passing attack has not mattered with Priest Holmes tearing up the field and the defense playing above expectations. With a schedule that looks lighter each week as other teams look worse, the Chiefs can mask that problem for a long time. But in the playoffs? Probably not.

The Ravens had little problem dispatching the Chargers last week even though CB Chris McAlister was benched for the game due to violating team rules. McAlister will play this week pending any new ill-advised infractions.

Jamal Lewis rushed for 132 yards and in a sign of how well the game went, he fumbled the ball which was picked up by FB Alan Ricard and turned into a 50 yard touchdown. You just cannot draw up plays like that. Lewis gained 5.8 yards a carry even though the defense was focused against him specifically and could not have stopped him even if they were allowed to stack equipment boxes across the field. Lewis receives a much better test this week.

Kyle Boller (12-19, 98 yards, 1 TD) salvaged a terrible outing with his one 25 yard score to Todd Heap. Oddly mirroring the Chiefs, Boller has been a problem that has not mattered the past two weeks with the defense dominating and the running game doing so well. Todd Heap is wisely his favorite target, but not unlike Chris Redman last season, the potential of Travis Taylor (3 passes, no catches) languishes in the background as another raw quarterback learns the ropes. Marcus Robinson (1-10) continues to start for no apparent reason, specializing in drops more than catches. There is just not enough passing on this team outside of Heap to make any fantasy relevant and Heap stands out only because tight ends normally do little. Frank Sanders (2-20) has made no splash yet in his two games played.

This will be an interesting game to watch since it pits the Chiefs against a team that also has a good defense and running game. The Ravens at home will play tough but the main difference is that the Chiefs - by comparison anyway - have the better passing game and their aggressive defense will be all over Kyle Boller every time he drops back to pass. As soon as Kansas City can get the Ravens out of their running game, this little matchup is over. Look for a slightly improved passing effort from Trent Green and a nice game by the KC defense. The Ravens defense will do well enough that the final score will look like it was a harder game than it really was.

I like the chance for a defensive score by the Chiefs in this game.

KC
BAL
2003 Averages
BAL
KC
Gains
Allows
QB's
Gains
Allows
223
226
Pass yards
109
252
1.0
1.3
Pass TDs
0.7
1.7
1.3
1.7
Interceptions
1.0
2.3
5
4
Rush yards
6
9
0.0
0.0
Rush TDs
0.0
0.0
----
----
RB's
----
----
142
88
Rush yards
187
61
2.7
0.7
Rush TDs
1.3
0.0
68
29
Receive yards
9
39
0.0
0.0
Receive TD's
0.0
0.0
----
----
WR's
----
----
128
176
Receive yards
50
180
0.7
1.0
Receive TD's
0.3
1.3
----
----
TE's
----
----
27
20
Receive yards
50
25
0.3
0.3
Receive TD's
0.3
0.3
----
----
PK's
----
----
1.3
1.7
Field Goals
1.7
0.7
5.0
2.0
Extra Points
2.3
2.0
----
----
DEF/ST
----
----
1.0
1.0
Fumbles
0.7
0.3
2.3
1.0
Interceptions
1.7
1.7
1.3
0.0
Touchdowns
0.3
0.3
2.7
2.3
Sacks
2.3
1.7
0.0
0.0
Safeties
0.0
0.0
Chiefs (3-0)
Score Opp.
27-14 SD
41-20 PIT
42-14 @HOU
Week 4 @BAL
Week 5 DEN
Week 6 @GB
Week 7 @OAK
Week 8 BUF
Week 9 BYE
Week 10 CLE
Week 11 @CIN
Week 12 OAK
Week 13 @SD
Week 14 @DEN
Week 15 DET
Week 16 @MIN
Week 17 CHI
Ravens (2-1)
Score Opp.
15-34 @PIT
33-13 CLE
24-10 @SD
Week 4 KC
Week 5 BYE
Week 6 @ARZ
Week 7 @CIN
Week 8 DEN
Week 9 JAX
Week 10 @STL
Week 11 @MIA
Week 12 SEA
Week 13 SF
Week 14 CIN
Week 15 @OAK
Week 16 @CLE
Week 17 PIT
(Statistics are game averages from current season )