VOTED #1 FANTASY FOOTBALL SITE
1998, 1999, 2000, 2001 & 2002
PRIORITY NEWS   MESSAGE BOARDS JOIN   
HOME ARTICLES STATISTICS WEEKLY FEATURES TEAM LINKS NFL RESOURCES  
Predictions & Projections
By David M. Dorey
 
The Huddle
WEEK 5
October 1, 2003
Season Ticket
Sun 1 PM *TEN at NE Sun 4 PM Sun 8:30 PM Bye Week:
*ARZ at DAL *MIN at ATL DET at SF *CLE at PIT Ravens
CIN at BUF *NO at CAR WAS at PHI Mon 9 PM Texans
*DEN at KC OAK at CHI *SD at JAX *IND at TB Jets
MIA at NYG SEA at GB   *updated Rams
   
Miami vs NY Giants Sun, Oct 5; 1 PM on CBS at Giants Stadium
  Miami Rush Catch Pass
QB Jay Fielder 20 0 220,1
RB Ricky Williams 90,1 30 0
TE Randy McMichael 0 20,1 0
WR Chris Chambers 0 70 0
WR Derrius Thompson 0 40 0
WR James McKnight 0 50 0
  New York Giants Rush Catch Pass
QB Kerry Collins 0 0 240,2
RB Tiki Barber 70 20 0
TE Jeremy Shockey 0 50,1 0
WR Amani Toomer 0 70 0
WR Ike Hilliard 0 60,1 0
WR Tim Carter 0 30 0

Game Prediction: MIA 17, NYG 20

Miami comes off their bye week in great shape for three road trips during the next four games.

Ricky Williams has scored in each game this season and has exceeded 125 yards rushing the last two games. Williams tied an NFL record with 76 carries in a two game stretch.

After a lackluster sophomore campaign, Chris Chambers has been everything we all thought he would be last season. Chambers has three touchdowns in his first three weeks and is averaging 87 yards a game. The hot free agent Derrius Thompson that was so impressive during training camp now has totaled four catches for 56 yards.

After a big three touchdown game to open the season, Jay Fiedler has quickly settled down to his standard - about 180 yards a game with one passing score. That should see an increase this week in New York against a tough rushing defense and a very soft secondary.

Miami finally was able to hold Drew Bledsoe to a very pedestrian 98 yards passing in week three. In the previous two weeks, the secondary gave up big games to David Carr (266 yards, 1 TD) and Vinny Testaverde (373 yards, 1 TD). Miami is still adjusting to new zone schemes this season and while Bledsoe was stuffed, he had no rushing game to use. This week will be a new test against Kerry Collins and company.

The Giants also are coming off a bye week, taking a close win over the Redskins to stay above .500 after the Dallas fiasco the previous week.

One concern last season was that Tiki Barber might not hold up well if he was used heavily all 16 games. Evidently that memo never made it to HC Jim Fassel since Barber is still averaging over 22 carries a game and has every single handoff made to a running back this year by the Giants other than one given to Brian Mitchell (who as fate would have it score a touchdown).

Dorsey Levens and Ron Dayne own jerseys and pads, there just has not been any sign of why they still do this season. Backup Delvin Joyce did have one incomplete thrown to him in the first week. At current pace, Barber will have 357 carries this season and only Ricky Williams (383) and LaDainian Tomlinson (372) had more than that last season. Only seven backs had over 300 carries last season. Barber is either heading for a cool down period, a show of unexpected durability or an injury.

This week has two of the stingiest rushing defenses facing teams that have two of the most heavily used runners. Both teams have the ability to pass though the Giants have been far more successful through the air. Look for neither team to admit that the running game will not win the game until the fourth quarter when the score remains close and Chambers and Toomer try to top one another. This should prove to be a close game that will not be decided until the very end.

These teams have not met since 1996 and both will be rested. The slight difference in the game will be homefield for the better passing team.

MIA
NYG
2003 Averages
NYG
MIA
Gains
Allows
QB's
Gains
Allows
190
337
Pass yards
248
246
1.7
1.0
Pass TDs
2.0
0.7
1.3
1.0
Interceptions
0.7
1.3
17
12
Rush yards
-1
4
0.3
0.3
Rush TDs
0.0
0.0
----
----
RB's
----
----
126
67
Rush yards
105
63
0.7
0.0
Rush TDs
0.3
0.0
42
53
Receive yards
35
27
0.3
0.0
Receive TD's
0.0
0.0
----
----
WR's
----
----
117
259
Receive yards
168
206
1.0
1.0
Receive TD's
1.7
0.7
----
----
TE's
----
----
31
24
Receive yards
45
13
0.3
0.0
Receive TD's
0.3
0.0
----
----
PK's
----
----
0.3
2.0
Field Goals
2.3
2.0
2.7
3.3
Extra Points
2.3
1.0
----
----
DEF/ST
----
----
0.0
0.3
Fumbles
1.3
1.0
1.3
1.3
Interceptions
0.7
1.3
0.0
0.3
Touchdowns
0.7
0.3
1.7
1.3
Sacks
4.3
1.3
0.0
0.0
Safeties
0.0
0.0
Dolphins (2-1)
Score Opp.
20-21 HOU
21-10 @NYJ
17-7 BUF
Week 4 BYE
Week 5 @NYG
Week 6 @JAX
Week 7 NE
Week 8 @SD
Week 9 IND
Week 10 @TEN
Week 11 BAL
Week 12 WAS
Week 13 @DAL
Week 14 @NE
Week 15 PHI
Week 16 @BUF
Week 17 NYJ
Giants (2-1)
Score Opp.
23-13 STL
32-35 DAL
24-21 @WAS
Week 4 BYE
Week 5 MIA
Week 6 @NE
Week 7 PHI
Week 8 @MIN
Week 9 @NYJ
Week 10 ATL
Week 11 @PHI
Week 12 @TB
Week 13 BUF
Week 14 WAS
Week 15 @NO
Week 16 @DAL
Week 17 CAR
(Statistics are game averages from current season )