The
Huddle
WEEK 6
October 8, 2003
Season Ticket
|
|
| |
|
| Carolina vs Indianapolis |
Sun, Oct 12; 1 PM on FOX at RCA
Dome |
| |
Carolina |
Rush
|
Catch
|
Pass
|
| QB |
Jake Delhomme |
0 |
0 |
150 |
| RB |
Stephen Davis |
120,1 |
0 |
0 |
| TE |
Mike Seidman |
0 |
20 |
0 |
| WR |
Muhsin Muhammad |
0 |
40 |
0 |
| WR |
Ricky Proehl |
0 |
30 |
0 |
| WR |
Steve Smith |
0 |
30 |
0 |
|
| |
Indianapolis |
Rush
|
Catch
|
Pass
|
| QB |
Peyton Manning |
0 |
0 |
260,2 |
| RB |
Ricky
Williams |
50,1 |
0 |
0 |
RB |
Edgerrin
James |
Q |
Q |
Q |
| TE |
Marcus Pollard |
0 |
40,1 |
0 |
| TE |
Dallas Clark |
0 |
30 |
0 |
| WR |
Marvin Harrison |
0 |
90,1 |
0 |
| WR |
Reggie Wayne |
0 |
60 |
0 |
|
Game Prediction: CAR 16, IND 24
Update: Here we go again. Reports
are very mixed on Edgerrin James. At best, it will
be a game-time decision on him though Dungy has sounded somewhat
optimistic. On the other hand there is a very real chance
that James is held out for one more week so that coupled with
the bye week, he will get maximum rest before embarking on
the rest of the season.There are some media accounts that
say that James has an injury to his transverse process in
his back which evidently is the popular injury this season.
The Colts certainly did well enough without him in Tampa Bay.
If he does not start, and given the questions I am going to
assume that he will not, Ricky Williams will get the
start again Even if he does play I would expect Williams to
get more relief work than normal.
Dominic Rhodes was able to practice
on Thursday and could be available but it appears that James
Mungro sprained knee will likely keep him out.
Carolina Notes
Quarterbacks: The Panthers are following the old Baltimore
plan. Play such dominating defense that the quarterback becomes
a middle manager in the game. Jake Delhomme got his
job by mounting a tremendous three touchdown effort at the
end of the season opener for the first Panther win and has
thrown only one since that game. Last week he had only 124
yards passing but a win is a win. The more important factor
is that he does not make mistakes and has no interceptions
to reduce the chances he gets to hand off to Stephen Davis.
Running backs: There are good free agent pickups and
then there is Stephen Davis. Averaging 141 yards per
game, Davis had his worst game in week one when he only gained
111 yards. Since then he has 140+ in every game. De'Shaun
Foster gets eight to ten carries a game because all the
Panthers do is run. After four games, there has been only
once that Carolina threw more passes than handoffs to Davis
and that was only a 27 to 25 difference. The biggest fear?
He gets worn out or you really regret passing on him in the
draft.
Wide Receivers: The only receiver that has done anything
for Carolina is Muhsin Muhammad and even he has never
had more than five catches or 61 yards in a game.
Tight Ends: Like other teams, here is where a small
change is likely happening. The rookie Mike Seidman
has two catches for 24 yards last week and starter Kris
Mangum is primarily a blocker for Davis (along with ten
other players). With such minimal throwing there is no great
value here, but Seidman is starting to make himself known.
Match against the defense: The Panthers catch a small
break by visiting the Colts after that lengthy and emotional
comeback win on Monday. They could be tired still.
The Colts rushing defense has still been suspect and allowed
good games to Fred Taylor (17-126) and Deuce McAllister (17-101)
and even Michael Pittman (16-106). This fact is not lost on
the Panthers.
The passing defense had been tremendous this season until
the Monday night shoot-out but there is little reason to expect
the Panthers to create a passing game overnight. The Panthers
will follow their formula which is limited to Davis up the
gut.
Indianapolis Notes
Quarterbacks: Peyton Manning proved that he
was a "decent" quarterback last week when he mounted
the greatest four minute comeback in the history of the NFL,
playing as a visitor against the toughest defense in the NFL.
He showed great poise and control and solid emotional stature
by leading the comeback and never once running around screaming
like a little girl "OH MY! I CANNOT FREAKING BELIEVE
THIS IS HAPPENING" though I personally will admit to
doing that. Just tremendous. Oh yes, and he has ten touchdowns
in the past three games.
Running backs: Edgerrin James missed last week
with his bad back after teasing the fantasy world with possibly
playing. While the full set of his backups played in Tampa
Bay, Ricky Williams (13-56, 2 TDs) served as the primary
back. I am assuming that James is available this week.
Wide Receivers: If any player is "un-coverable",
it is Marvin Harrison who had 11 catches for 176 yards
and both scores in spite of everyone knowing who was going
to get the throw. Reggie Wayne (4-59) and even Troy
Walters (4-42) made big time catches along the way.
Tight Ends: While Marcus Pollard had more yards,
Dallas Clark is getting more catches. Put them together
and you have a stud tight end. Keep them separate and you
have two solid tight ends.
Match against the defense:The Panther defense is concerned
that it has allowed T.J. Duckett 100 yards and Deuce McAllister
124 yards after only allowing one 100 yard game all last season.
Their concern should be more than they allowed Brad Johnson
to throw for 339 yards and Mark Brunell to carve them up for
272 yards. The defense also failed to register a sack for
the first time in nine games.
The Colts can fabricate at least a decent running game even
without James and if he returns he will have a huge challenge
to be the third 100 yard rusher against Carolina. That is
unlikely. What is more important is how the Panthers can defend
against Manning and company when they already allowed Keyshawn
Johnson (9-102), Jermaine Lewis (90) and hobbled Joe Horn
(4-56, 1 TD) to do well against them. Those players are not
Harrison, Wayne and PollardClark (one name now).
Game Prediction: Stephen Davis will run well against
a defense that comes off a short week. Carolina will not be
throwing very well or very often. The difference in this game
is if Manning and Harrison can rest up and get back to work
without the distractions and letdown after their big comeback.
Since they are more emotionally stable than I am, I like the
Colts in a tough, much lower scoring game between two unbeaten
teams.
| Team Comparisons - Current team
rankings (1-32) by position for FF points scored or allowed
by position |
| Rank (1-32) |
QB |
RB |
WR |
TE |
PK |
DEF |
| CAR Scores |
31
|
5
|
29
|
24
|
5
|
16
|
|
IND Allows |
8
|
9
|
17
|
19
|
5
|
2
|
| CAR AP |
-23 |
4 |
-12 |
-5 |
0
|
-14
|
|
| Rank (1-32) |
QB |
RB |
WR |
TE |
PK |
DEF |
| IND Scores |
5
|
11
|
5
|
6
|
1
|
17
|
| CAR Allows |
12
|
15
|
15
|
15
|
3
|
4
|
| IND AP |
7 |
4 |
10 |
9 |
2
|
-13
|
|
Offensive ranks - lower = gains more points, Defensive
Ranks lower = allows less points
AP = Indicates if position faces a matchup easier (positive)
or tougher (negative) than their average.
| CAR |
IND |
2003 Game Averages
|
IND |
CAR |
| Gains
|
Allows
|
QB's |
Gains |
Allows
|
|
132
|
210 |
Pass
yards |
263 |
238
|
|
1.0
|
1.2 |
Pass
TDs |
2.2 |
1.0
|
|
1.0
|
1.2 |
Interceptions |
0.8 |
0.8
|
|
-1
|
5 |
Rush
yards |
0 |
4
|
|
0.0
|
0 |
Rush
TDs |
0 |
0.0
|
|
----
|
----- |
RB's |
----- |
----
|
|
169
|
107 |
Rush
yards |
88 |
101
|
|
0.5
|
0.2 |
Rush
TDs |
0.8 |
0.3
|
|
21
|
30 |
Receive
yards |
37 |
54
|
|
0.0
|
0 |
Receive
TD's |
0.4 |
0.0
|
|
----
|
----- |
WR's |
----- |
----
|
|
84
|
130 |
Receive
yards |
169 |
129
|
|
1.0
|
1.2 |
Receive
TD's |
1.6 |
1.0
|
|
----
|
----- |
TE's |
----- |
----
|
|
28
|
50 |
Receive
yards |
57 |
42
|
|
0.0
|
0 |
Receive
TD's |
0.2 |
0.0
|
|
0
|
----- |
PK's |
----- |
----
|
|
2.5
|
1.2 |
Field
Goals |
2.6 |
1.3
|
|
1.8
|
1.8 |
Extra
Points |
3.4 |
1.0
|
|
----
|
----- |
DEF/ST |
----- |
----
|
|
0.3
|
0.2 |
Fumbles |
0.4 |
0.5
|
|
0.8
|
0.8 |
Interceptions |
0.8 |
1.0
|
|
0.3
|
0 |
Touchdowns |
0.4 |
0.0
|
|
2.8
|
0.8 |
Sacks |
1.6 |
1.3
|
|
0.3
|
0 |
Safeties |
0 |
0.0
|
|
|
Panthers
(4-0) |
|
Score |
Opp. |
| 24-23 |
JAX |
| 12-9 |
@TB |
| Week 3 |
BYE |
| 23-3 |
ATL |
| 19-13 |
NO |
| Week 6 |
@IND |
| Week 7 |
TEN |
| Week 8 |
@NO |
| Week 9 |
@HOU |
| Week 10 |
TB |
| Week 11 |
WAS |
| Week 12 |
@DAL |
| Week 13 |
PHI |
| Week 14 |
@ATL |
| Week 15 |
@ARZ |
| Week 16 |
DET |
| Week 17 |
@NYG |
|
|
Colts (5-0) |
|
Score |
Opp. |
| 9-6 |
@CLE |
| 33-7 |
TEN |
| 23-13 |
JAX |
| 55-21 |
@NO |
| 38-35 |
@TB |
| Week 6 |
CAR |
| Week 7 |
BYE |
| Week 8 |
HOU |
| Week 9 |
@MIA |
| Week 10 |
@JAX |
| Week 11 |
NYJ |
| Week 12 |
@BUF |
| Week 13 |
NE |
| Week 14 |
@TEN |
| Week 15 |
ATL |
| Week 16 |
DEN |
| Week 17 |
@HOU |
|
* Fantasy point rankings calculated using standard Huddle
fantasy points |