The
Huddle
WEEK 6
October 8, 2003
Season Ticket
|
|
| |
|
| Miami vs Jacksonville |
Sun, Oct 12; 1 PM on CBS at ALLTEL
Stadium |
| |
Miami |
Rush
|
Catch
|
Pass
|
| QB |
Jay Fiedler |
10 |
0 |
240,2 |
| RB |
Ricky Williams
|
70,1 |
10 |
0 |
| TE |
Randy McMichael
|
0 |
30 |
0 |
| WR |
Chris Chambers
|
0 |
80,1 |
0 |
| WR |
Derrius Thompson
|
0 |
30 |
0 |
| WR |
James McKnight
|
0 |
60,1 |
0 |
|
| |
Jacksonville |
Rush
|
Catch
|
Pass
|
| QB |
Byron Leftwich |
0 |
0 |
270,2 |
| RB |
Fred Taylor |
80 |
40 |
0 |
| TE |
Kyle Brady |
0 |
10 |
0 |
| WR |
Jimmy Smith |
0 |
100,1 |
0 |
| WR |
Matthew Hatchette |
0 |
40,1 |
0 |
| WR |
Troy Edwards |
0 |
70 |
0 |
|
Game Prediction: MIA 23, JAX 17
Miami Notes
Quarterbacks: Miami comes off a tough win and Jay
Fiedler started out badly in the NY Giants matchup, completing
only 7 of 17 passes in the first half and ending 14 of 26
for 167 yards and no scores. That makes three games since
the opener that Fiedler has failed to pass for over 200 yards
and was the first time he had no touchdowns in a game.
Running backs: Coming off his monster 153 yard rushing
effort and then bye week, Ricky Williams was absolutely
stuffed in the Giants game. He ran 22 times for only 39 yards
but had one score. It was hardly characteristic for him and
yet still a concern.
Wide Receivers: Oddly enough, the receivers were a
deciding factor in the game except it was not receiving the
ball. James McKnight turned an end-around into a 68
yard rushing score. That was more yardage on one run than
all wideouts combined caught in the game. The only wideout
with fantasy value is Chris Chambers and even he only managed
three catches for 19 yards last week.
Tight Ends: Thankfully, Randy McMichael stepped up
last week and led all receivers with 57 yards on two catches.
In the past three games, McMichael has either gained 50 yards
or scored a touchdown.
Match against the defense: This could be a problem.
The Jaguars are very tough against the run and have held
LaDainian Tomlinson (13-34), Stacey Mack (16-39), Travis Henry
(21-26) and were only hurt on the road to Carolina where Stephen
Davis gained 111 yards on 22 carries and that was back in
week one. This is a tough group to run and and will hold Ricky
Williams down this week.
The Jaguars are open to getting beaten in the air, though
that is the reverse of the Dolphin's strengths. In all four
games this season, opposing quarterbacks have had at least
two touchdowns and even Drew Brees comes off a 296 yard, 3
TD game against the Panthers. Carolina has never failed to
allow at least 97 yards to a opponent receiver in every game
and though they held Marvin Harrison to only 31 yards, they
gave a career game to Reggie Wayne.
The Dolphins will have to revert to the throw to win this
game and Miami has never been a good road team. Look for Fiedler
to have more success and Chambers to crawl out of his hole
again.
Jacksonville Notes
Quarterbacks: With Mark Brunell still out, Byron
Leftwich took his second start and looked like he had
been playing for years as he threw 19 of 28 for 336 yards,
two scores and no interceptions. Forget that it was against
the Chargers - the rookie showed tremendous accuracy and though
HC Jack Del Rio is still not saying it, there seems to be
no reason to switch back to Brunell.
Running backs: Though Fred Taylor only gained
87 yards on 27 carries against San Diego last week, he scored
on both a run and a 60-yard pass and ended with 77 total yards
receiving. The Jaguars also used Chris Fuamatu-Ma'afala
for six runs and he gained 30 yards. The Jaguars are committing
to running Taylor more each game and so far he has remained
durable.
Wide Receivers: The much anticipated return of Jimmy
Smith was warmly greeted when Smith turned in an eight
catch, 137 yard effort last week. Troy Edwards has
quickly worked himself up into the rotation and has a touchdown
in each of the two games with Leftwich at the helm. Matthew
Hatchette has taken a back seat, catching only one pass
for 45 yards last week while J.J. Stokes was inactive.
Stokes has likely seen his last chance as a starting NFL receiver
go by and can now sit and chat with Brunell on the bench about
the good old days.
Tight Ends: Kyle Brady and George Wrighster.
Nothing to see here, keep moving.
Match against the defense: Other than the beating
that Drew Bledsoe took in week three, this is a defense that
can be beaten by the pass. Testaverde (373 yards), Kerry Collins
(276) and even David Carr (266) have all done well. The main
saving grace for Miami has been gaining five interceptions
in the past two games and while Leftwich has been impressive,
you can be sure Patrick Surtain will be baiting him. Look
for the Jaguars to gain good yardage through the air but for
the Miami defense to force turnovers.
The Dolphin rush defense has not allowed a 100 yard rusher
this year and just held Tiki Barber to only 71 yards on 20
carries. Fred will need the ball at least 25 times or more
if he is to challenge the century mark. If the Dolphins have
any trouble passing, which is not probable, Taylor could get
the mark through sheer volume. Junior Seau will likely miss
this week due to a strained hamstring which will help Taylor
some but not enough.
Game Prediction: The Jaguars finally managed a win
and the Dolphins are not typically road warriors, but given
the softness of both teams secondaries for yardage, this should
turn into an aerial war between Leftwich and Fiedler. While
you can argue which has the better receiver, it all comes
down to mistakes and the Jaguars are more likely to be making
them.
| Team Comparisons - Current team
rankings (1-32) by position for FF points scored or allowed
by position |
| Rank (1-32) |
QB |
RB |
WR |
TE |
PK |
DEF |
| MIA Scores |
18
|
9
|
25
|
14
|
29
|
23
|
| JAX Allows |
30
|
11
|
32
|
2
|
14
|
14
|
| MIA AP |
12 |
2 |
7 |
-12 |
-15
|
-7
|
|
| Rank (1-32) |
QB |
RB |
WR |
TE |
PK |
DEF |
| JAX Scores |
11
|
8
|
15
|
30
|
16
|
25
|
| MIA Allows |
6
|
4
|
22
|
11
|
11
|
16
|
| JAX AP |
-5 |
-4 |
7 |
-19 |
-5
|
-9
|
|
Offensive ranks - lower = gains more points, Defensive
Ranks lower = allows less points
| MIA |
JAX |
2003 Game Averages
|
JAX |
MIA |
| Gains
|
Allows
|
QB's |
Gains |
Allows
|
|
185
|
240
|
Pass
yards |
235
|
253
|
|
1.3
|
2.2
|
Pass
TDs |
1.4
|
0.5
|
|
1.0
|
1.0
|
Interceptions |
0.6
|
1.8
|
|
16
|
6
|
Rush
yards |
6
|
3
|
|
0.3
|
0.2
|
Rush
TDs |
0.2
|
0.0
|
|
----
|
----
|
RB's |
----
|
----
|
|
108
|
75
|
Rush
yards |
98
|
66
|
|
0.8
|
0.8
|
Rush
TDs |
0.6
|
0.3
|
|
45
|
28
|
Receive
yards |
58
|
29
|
|
0.3
|
0.0
|
Receive
TD's |
0.4
|
0.0
|
|
----
|
----
|
WR's |
----
|
----
|
|
102
|
187
|
Receive
yards |
160
|
188
|
|
0.8
|
2.2
|
Receive
TD's |
1.0
|
0.5
|
|
----
|
----
|
TE's |
----
|
----
|
|
38
|
25
|
Receive
yards |
17
|
37
|
|
0.3
|
0.0
|
Receive
TD's |
0.0
|
0.0
|
|
0
|
----
|
PK's |
0
|
----
|
|
1.0
|
1.2
|
Field
Goals |
1.6
|
1.8
|
|
2.5
|
3.2
|
Extra
Points |
2.0
|
1.0
|
|
----
|
----
|
DEF/ST |
----
|
----
|
|
0.3
|
1.0
|
Fumbles |
0.8
|
1.0
|
|
1.8
|
0.6
|
Interceptions |
1.0
|
1.0
|
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Touchdowns |
0.0
|
0.3
|
|
1.5
|
2.4
|
Sacks |
1.8
|
1.5
|
|
0.0
|
0.2
|
Safeties |
0.0
|
0.0
|
|
|
Dolphins (3-1) |
|
Score |
Opp. |
| 20-21 |
HOU |
| 21-10 |
@NYJ |
| 17-7 |
BUF |
| Week 4 |
BYE |
| 23-10 |
@NYG |
| Week 6 |
@JAX |
| Week 7 |
NE |
| Week 8 |
@SD |
| Week 9 |
IND |
| Week 10 |
@TEN |
| Week 11 |
BAL |
| Week 12 |
WAS |
| Week 13 |
@DAL |
| Week 14 |
@NE |
| Week 15 |
PHI |
| Week 16 |
@BUF |
| Week 17 |
NYJ |
|
| Jaguars
(1-4) |
| Score |
Opp. |
| 23-24 |
@CAR |
| 17-38 |
BUF |
| 13-23 |
@IND |
| 20-24 |
@HOU |
| 27-21 |
SD |
| Week 6 |
MIA |
| Week 7 |
BYE |
| Week 8 |
TEN |
| Week 9 |
@BAL |
| Week 10 |
IND |
| Week 11 |
@TEN |
| Week 12 |
@NYJ |
| Week 13 |
TB |
| Week 14 |
HOU |
| Week 15 |
@NE |
| Week 16 |
NO |
| Week 17 |
@ATL |
|
* Fantasy point rankings calculated using standard Huddle
fantasy points |