The
Huddle
WEEK 6
October 8, 2003
Season Ticket
|
|
| |
|
| Tampa Bay vs Washington |
Sun, Oct 12; 1 PM on FOX at FedEx
Field |
| |
Tampa
Bay |
Rush
|
Catch
|
Pass |
| QB |
Brad
Johnson |
0 |
0 |
210,2 |
| RB |
Michael
Pittman |
90,1 |
20 |
0 |
| TE |
Ken
Dilger |
0 |
50,1 |
0 |
| WR |
Keyshawn
Johnson |
Q |
Q |
Q |
| WR |
Reggie
Barlow |
0 |
20 |
0 |
| WR |
Karl
Williams |
0 |
20 |
0 |
| WR |
Keenan
McCardell |
0 |
70,1 |
0 |
|
| |
Washington |
Rush
|
Catch
|
Pass |
| QB |
Patrick
Ramsey |
0 |
0 |
220,1 |
| RB |
Trung
Canidate |
30 |
30 |
0 |
| RB |
Ladell
Betts |
30 |
10 |
0 |
| TE |
Robert
Royal |
0 |
10 |
0 |
| WR |
Lavernues
Coles |
0 |
80,1 |
0 |
| WR |
Rod
Gardner |
0 |
60 |
0 |
| WR |
Darnerian
McCants |
0 |
20 |
0 |
|
Game Prediction: TB 24, WAS 10
Update:
Keyshawn Johnson is still bothered by his quadricep
bruise and is very questionable to play in Washington. I am
assuming that he is out. This will likely be more a gametime
decision and as of last week apparently that means Johnson
either does not play or will lead the league. I am assuming
he does not just to be safe though he has played with similar
injuries before.
Left cornerback Brian Kelly tore his
pectoral muscle on Monday night and will not play and may
end up needing surgery which would lose him for the season.
Kelly will probably be replaced by free safety Dwight Smith
who will shift over to being the left cornerback and Jermaine
Phillips would play at free safety. The Bucs may also go with
Tim Wansley as the new cornerback. Kelly would have lined
up across from Lavernues Coles and this could help
his numbers in the game. I am increasing Coles numbers slightly
up. There is even a chance that Ronde Barber could move over
to the left side and let someone else cover Rod Gardner.
Karl Williams has a hamstring
strain but has practiced and should play. Aaron Stecker
has a right knee sprain but is likely to see some action.
If he cannot play, then Thomas Jones would get a few
carries.
With the banged up receiving corps
short, I am lowering the passing numbers for Tampa Bay.
Patrick Ramsey and Ladell
Betts both have shoulder injuries but have practiced and
will play.
Tampa Bay Notes
Sure, it's all fun and games until you give up 21 points
in the final four minutes...
Quarterbacks: Brad Johnson comes off his best
game of the year against the Colts where he threw 26 of 39
for 318 yards and three touchdowns with only one interception.
That makes his second three hundred yard effort in only four
games and he is averaging two touchdowns per game. For at
least 50 minutes last week, he was the better passer in the
game.
Running backs: Logging his first 100 yard effort of
the year, Michael Pittman showed why he is the primary
back in Tampa Bay on Monday while Aaron Stecker (9-22)
showed why he isn't. Mike Alstott played with a neck
injury but only had three carries for one yard in the game.
While Thomas Jones (2-2) is still around it is clearly
Pittman's job. Alstott has been placed on injured reserve,
ending his season.
Wide Receivers: Keyshawn Johnson comes off
an embarrassing Monday night tilt where he only gained 62
yards on four catches after telling the world that he always
dominates his fellow receivers from the class of 1996 when
they play (pssst - not always). Johnson suffered a
thigh contusion in the game and may be not available this
week due to the swelling. I am considering him out for now.
Keenan McCardell had a monster game on Monday, a shame
given the ending, since he totaled four catches for 102 yards
and two touchdowns with a third scored on a fumble recovery
which may be credited as a defensive score depending on whom
you ask and when. If Keyshawn cannot play it makes a big hole
in the receiving crew that already miss Joe Jurevicius.
Expect that Karl Williams and Reggie Barlow
will fill in.
Tight Ends: Ken Dilger came up big on Monday
as well, catching six balls for 63 yards and receiving as
many throws as any other receiver. If Keyshawn is out, Dilger
will be needed again to contribute big.
Match against the defense: When the Skins have faced
a quarterback the caliber of Brad Johnson, they have given
up a lot of yards. Kerry Collins (276, 3 TDs) and Tom Brady
(289, 2 TDs) both had good outings and both those teams were
successful by spreading the ball around and not focusing on
one receiver (which it appears may be hard anyway for the
Bucs outside of McCardell).
Another interesting matchup is tight ends. The Redskins have
already allowed Crumpler (4-64, 1 TD), Shockey (5-65), Daniel
Graham (3-54) and L.J. Smith (4-39) to have good games. Basically,
every tight end that faces the Redskins has done well and
the Bucs may need to use Dilger anyway.
Other than Tiki Barber (28-126), the Redskins have handled
the opponent running backs well though they have hardly been
faced with any great ones. Michael Pittman should find moderate
success against the Skins.
Washington Notes
Quarterbacks: Patrick Ramsey still leads the
NFC with 1,307 passing yards and gained 271 yards last week
against the Eagles. He threw one score but had two tipped
passes intercepted which killed drives though overall he looked
better than the 147 yard effort the previous week against
the Patriots. Ramsey continues to get pounded in games as
well.
Running backs: After a decent showing in week one,
the only thing working about the Redskins running game is
when Trung Canidate gets a long run or Ladell Betts
scores a short touchdown. Otherwise, it seems to be getting
worse. Canidate had eight rushes for only 17 yards last week
and Betts gained 11 on his five runs. Unless the passing game
gets the ball close enough for a short Betts plunge, the running
game is a liability. Both Betts and Canidate were more used
in the passing scheme last week as both had three catches.
Wide Receivers: The hot start for Lavernues Coles
now has gone two weeks with only around 60 yards receiving
and Rod Gardner has only five catches for 44 yards
in the past two games combined. Slot receiver Darnerian
McCants now leads the team with three receiving scores
and while he had four catches for 79 yards last week, he had
no catches the previous game. The passing game has moved away
from using wideouts as much and relies more on the running
backs.
Tight Ends: Robert Royal is nothing special
and Zeron Flemister was just cut from the team. The
Redskins have signed Byron Chamberlain to a two year
deal but he is too new to the team to consider for this week.
Match against the defense: The Buccaneers were an
impregnable wall on defense until two days ago. They still
are, mostly anyway.
The Redskins are not Manning and Harrison and have not been
having as much success with the wideouts lately anyway. Tampa
Bay had stuffed McNabb, Doug Johnson and Jake Delhomme before
Manning came along. The problem for Ramsey is that he will
not have as good of protection as Manning did and the Bucs
will be looking to force Ramsey to revert to making mistakes.
Other than Stephen Davis, who was a Redskins but left nothing
similar behind, Tampa Bay is very tough to run on and the
Redskins are not running well anyway. Look for another low
rushing game but probably more use of short passes to the
backs.
Game Prediction: The only question in this game is
what mindset the Buccaneers bring to Washington. They could
be tired and drained from their Monday night fiasco and yet
they could use it as a wakeup call to never let up in any
game. Gruden will try to turn the painful loss into motivation
and Washington could be in the wrong place at the wrong time.
If Keyshawn is out for the game it could lessen the offense
some, but Brad Johnson still has personnel to catch
the ball and the Redskins can be victimized by Michael
Pittman if they worry about the pass. I like the Buccaneers
to rise up and make amends for one of the greatest chokes
in history and leave the Redskins wondering what just happened.
If Tampa Bay falters again, they may be digging a bigger hole
than they can get out of this early.
| Team Comparisons - Current team
rankings (1-32) by position for FF points scored or allowed
by position |
| Rank (1-32) |
QB |
RB |
WR |
TE |
PK |
DEF |
| TB Scores |
6
|
6
|
6
|
16
|
30
|
14
|
| WAS Allows |
13
|
24
|
7
|
29
|
15
|
19
|
| TB AP |
7 |
18 |
1 |
13 |
-15
|
5
|
|
| Rank (1-32) |
QB |
RB |
WR |
TE |
PK |
DEF |
| WAS Scores |
7
|
12
|
3
|
32
|
4
|
24
|
| TB Allows |
3
|
13
|
4
|
10
|
8
|
1
|
| WAS AP |
-4 |
1 |
1 |
-22 |
4
|
-23
|
|
Offensive ranks - lower = gains more points, Defensive
Ranks lower = allows less points
AP (Advantage Points) = Shows comparison of position compared
to rank of opponent allowing.
| TB |
WAS |
2003 Game Averages
|
WAS |
TB |
| Gains
|
Allows
|
QB's |
Gains |
Allows
|
| 272 |
205
|
Pass
yards |
261
|
189 |
| 2.0 |
1.6
|
Pass
TDs |
1.2
|
0.5 |
| 1 |
1.4
|
Interceptions |
0.8
|
2.0 |
| 1 |
3
|
Rush
yards |
12
|
15 |
| 0 |
0.0
|
Rush
TDs |
0.2
|
0 |
| ----- |
----
|
RB's |
----
|
----- |
| 105 |
93
|
Rush
yards |
101
|
71.3 |
| 0.5 |
0.8
|
Rush
TDs |
0.8
|
1 |
| 70 |
33
|
Receive
yards |
47
|
33 |
| 0.3 |
0.4
|
Receive
TD's |
0.0
|
0 |
| ----- |
----
|
WR's |
----
|
----- |
| 164 |
114
|
Receive
yards |
204
|
123 |
| 1.5 |
1.0
|
Receive
TD's |
1.2
|
0.5 |
| ----- |
----
|
TE's |
----
|
----- |
| 37 |
58
|
Receive
yards |
11
|
34 |
| 0.3 |
0.2
|
Receive
TD's |
0.0
|
0 |
| ----- |
----
|
PK's |
0
|
----- |
| 0.8 |
1.4
|
Field
Goals |
2.4
|
1.5 |
| 3.0 |
2.6
|
Extra
Points |
2.2
|
1.5 |
| ----- |
----
|
DEF/ST |
----
|
----- |
| 0.8 |
0.6
|
Fumbles |
0.2
|
0.3 |
| 2.0 |
0.8
|
Interceptions |
1.4
|
0.8 |
| 0 |
0.2
|
Touchdowns |
0.0
|
0 |
| 1.8 |
3.4
|
Sacks |
1.8
|
0.5 |
| 0 |
0.0
|
Safeties |
0.2
|
0
|
|
|
Buccaneers (2-2) |
|
Score |
Opp. |
| 17-0 |
@PHI |
| 9-12 |
CAR |
| 31-10 |
@ATL |
| Week 4 |
BYE |
| 35-38 |
IND |
| Week 6 |
@WAS |
| Week 7 |
@SF |
| Week 8 |
DAL |
| Week 9 |
NO |
| Week 10 |
@CAR |
| Week 11 |
GB |
| Week 12 |
NYG |
| Week 13 |
@JAX |
| Week 14 |
@NO |
| Week 15 |
HOU |
| Week 16 |
ATL |
| Week 17 |
@TEN |
|
|
Redskins (3-2) |
|
Score |
Opp. |
| 16-13 |
NYJ |
| 33-31 |
@ATL |
| 21-24 |
NYG |
| 20-17 |
NE |
| 25-27 |
@PHI |
| Week 6 |
TB |
| Week 7 |
@BUF |
| Week 8 |
BYE |
| Week 9 |
@DAL |
| Week 10 |
SEA |
| Week 11 |
@CAR |
| Week 12 |
@MIA |
| Week 13 |
NO |
| Week 14 |
@NYG |
| Week 15 |
DAL |
| Week 16 |
@CHI |
| Week 17 |
PHI |
|
* Fantasy point rankings calculated using standard Huddle
fantasy points |