The
Huddle
WEEK 7
October 15, 2003
Season Ticket
|
|
| |
|
| Baltimore vs Cincinnati |
Sun, Oct 19; 1 PM on CBS at Paul
Brown Stadium |
| |
Baltimore |
Rush
|
Catch
|
Pass
|
| QB |
Kyle Boller |
10 |
0 |
110 |
| RB |
Jamal Lewis |
130,2 |
20 |
0 |
| TE |
Todd Heap |
0 |
30 |
0 |
| WR |
Travis Taylor |
0 |
20 |
0 |
| WR |
Frank Sanders |
0 |
10 |
0 |
| WR |
Marcus Robinson |
0 |
10 |
0 |
|
| |
Cincinnati |
Rush
|
Catch
|
Pass
|
| QB |
Jon Kitna |
0 |
0 |
230,2 |
| RB |
Corey
Dillon |
60 |
10 |
0 |
| TE |
Kelly / Stewart |
0 |
30,1 |
0 |
| WR |
Peter Warrick |
0 |
70 |
0 |
| WR |
Kelly Washington |
0 |
20 |
0 |
| WR |
Chad Johnson |
0 |
80,1 |
0 |
|
Game Prediction: BAL 17, CIN 20
Ravens Notes
Update: Corey
Dillon is still questionable with a groin strain though
he has been at practice and is expected to play. I am lowering
his numbers because he does not appear to be 100% and the
Bengals will likely use Rudi Johnson a bit more than
usual to give Dillon a rest.
Quarterbacks: Only in Baltimore can a quarterback
throw for 75 yards in an entire game and get a thumbs up from
the head coach. Kyle Boller now is five games into
his NFL career and has totaled 543 yards, two touchdowns and
six interceptions. Still he receives the vote of confidence
from HC Brian Billick that Boller is getting better and learning
all the time. As the lowest rated passer in the NFL, he has
no where to go but up.
Running backs: Only in Baltimore can a rushing game
produce more yardage than the passing game - every week this
season except the opener and the bye week. Jamal Lewis
comes off a predictable 131 yard effort over the Cardinals
and was rested by Chester Taylor who also had 45 yards
on 10 carries. The running game is so hot in Baltimore, perhaps
Boller should try bootlegs?
The Ravens have literally gone to using a "U" formation
with two tight ends and two backs and only one wideout in
order to run better.
Wide Receivers: Not surprisingly, the absence of a
passing game has had a rather noticeable effect for all players
sporting jersey numbers that start with "8". Boller
tried to pass to Travis Taylor eleven times last game
and only completed three for 29 yards. Travis absolutely dropped
three passes which is not advisable when there are not many
passes to go around. The only reason that the Ravens split
out receivers is to make them run farther to tackle Lewis.
Tight Ends: Sadly the absence of any passing has led
to the demise of Todd Heap as a fantasy factor. Last
week, Heap had one catch for two yards. It was his only pass.
It even came late in the game.
Match against the defense: Throwing away the notion
that Baltimore is going to pass successfully, the matchup
against the rushing defense gets a major thumbs up this week.
Other than one freak game against the Browns, everyone runs
on the Bengals still. Even Oakland ran for 133 yards and a
score. Pittsburgh gained 128 yards and a score.
Look for more of the same from Baltimore.
Cincinnati Notes
Quarterbacks: The Bengals come off a bye week and
so far have not unveiled Carson Palmer. Jon Kitna has
so far had games ranging from 157 to 303 yards this season
and in true Bengal fashion has managed to throw six interceptions
with two being returned for touchdowns. Kitna has been adequate
at the least, but at 1-4 it will not take too many more losses
before Palmer might start taking some work to prepare for
2004.
Running backs: Corey Dillon is expected back this
week from his groin injury and the Bengals still have not
had a rusher gain 100 yards this season. Same thing will likely
be true next week.
Wide Receivers: The receiving cast is better than
in years for Cincinnati, with Chad Johnson and Peter
Warrick combining for a passing game that must be respected.
Johnson has three touchdowns and Warrick has two score while
no other receiver has scored.
The rookie Kelley Washington has only been good for
around two catches a game but T.J. Houshmandzadeh has
a realistic chance at finally playing this week after missing
the season with a hamstring injury.
Tight Ends: The Bengals are one team that actually
does use the tight end position and in most weeks will throw
five to ten passes to them. Problem is that the wealth is
shared among Tony Stewart, Reggie Kelly and Matt
Schobel.
Match against the defense: The Ravens are opportunistic
on defense, but they have allowed passing yardage. Jeff Blake
had 247 yards and two scores last week and Tommy Maddox hit
them up for 260 yards and three touchdowns. Even Drew Brees
connected for 270 yards. In 2002, Kitna shredded them for
272 and 308 yards in their two matchups, with two scores in
each game. Kitna will throw because he must throw. Chad Johnson
scored in both games and averaged about 90 yards receiving.
Even Corey Dillon recorded a 100 yard game last season but
that was when Ray Lewis was out.
Game Prediction: This could be a very close matchup
actually. The Bengals have a great pass defense against no
passing game from Baltimore and the offense was able to throw
on the Ravens last season. The games last year both resulted
in 50+ total points but with Boller at the helm that is unlikely
this season, not to mention Ray Lewis back in the middle.
The Ravens swept the Bengals in 2003.
The Ravens are a tremendous running team but that is all
they are on offense. Their losses to Kansas City and Pittsburgh
underscored their inability to make up a deficit when they
fell behind and their three wins were over CLE, SD and ARZ
- not the highest caliber competition. I like the Bengals
to snatch a close home win over the Ravens because they can
offer a fairly balanced attack with a health Corey Dillon,
a decent passing attack and a defense that is improving and
only has to defend against the run. At home, coming off their
bye week, they will never be any more prepared than they should
for this game.
| Team Comparisons - Current team
rankings (1-32) by position for FF points scored or allowed
by position |
| Rank (1-32) |
QB |
RB |
WR |
TE |
PK |
DEF |
| BAL Scores |
32 |
3 |
32 |
15 |
10 |
5 |
| CIN Allows |
2 |
29 |
5 |
1 |
25 |
20 |
| BAL AP |
-30 |
26 |
-27 |
-14 |
15 |
15 |
|
| Rank (1-32) |
QB |
RB |
WR |
TE |
PK |
DEF |
| CIN Scores |
18 |
30 |
10 |
8 |
25 |
30 |
| BAL Allows |
12 |
7 |
17 |
26 |
9 |
14 |
| CIN AP |
-6 |
-23 |
7 |
18 |
-16 |
-16 |
|
Offensive ranks - lower = gains more points, Defensive
Ranks lower = allows less points
AP = Advantage Points, the net difference between a positional
rank gained or allowed by the teams.
| BAL |
CIN |
2003 Game Averages |
CIN |
BAL |
| Gains |
Allows |
QB's |
Gains |
Allows |
|
109 |
190 |
Pass
yards |
233 |
217 |
|
0.4 |
0.8 |
Pass
TDs |
1.2 |
1.4 |
|
1.2 |
1.0 |
Interceptions |
1.2 |
1.6 |
|
7 |
2 |
Rush
yards |
3 |
9 |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
Rush
TDs |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
---- |
---- |
RB's |
---- |
---- |
|
178 |
109 |
Rush
yards |
70 |
85 |
|
1.0 |
1.0 |
Rush
TDs |
0.4 |
0.4 |
|
21 |
41 |
Receive
yards |
20 |
35 |
|
0.0 |
0.4 |
Receive
TD's |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
---- |
---- |
WR's |
---- |
---- |
|
44 |
135 |
Receive
yards |
158 |
152 |
|
0.2 |
0.4 |
Receive
TD's |
1.0 |
0.8 |
|
---- |
---- |
TE's |
---- |
---- |
|
43 |
14 |
Receive
yards |
55 |
30 |
|
0.2 |
0.0 |
Receive
TD's |
0.2 |
0.6 |
|
---- |
---- |
PK's |
---- |
---- |
|
2.0 |
2.0 |
Field
Goals |
1.4 |
1.4 |
|
2.0 |
2.2 |
Extra
Points |
1.6 |
2.0 |
|
---- |
---- |
DEF/ST |
---- |
---- |
|
0.4 |
0.6 |
Fumbles |
0.0 |
0.8 |
|
1.6 |
1.2 |
Interceptions |
1.0 |
1.2 |
|
0.6 |
0.4 |
Touchdowns |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
2.4 |
2.2 |
Sacks |
1.6 |
2.2 |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
Safeties |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
|
Ravens (3-2) |
|
Score |
Opp. |
| 15-34 |
@PIT |
| 33-13 |
CLE |
| 24-10 |
@SD |
| 10-17 |
KC |
| Week 5 |
BYE |
| 26-18 |
@ARZ |
| Week 7 |
@CIN |
| Week 8 |
DEN |
| Week 9 |
JAX |
| Week 10 |
@STL |
| Week 11 |
@MIA |
| Week 12 |
SEA |
| Week 13 |
SF |
| Week 14 |
CIN |
| Week 15 |
@OAK |
| Week 16 |
@CLE |
| Week 17 |
PIT |
|
|
Bengals (1-4) |
|
Score |
Opp. |
| 10-30 |
DEN |
| 20-23 |
@OAK |
| 10-17 |
PIT |
| 21-14 |
@CLE |
| 16-22 |
@BUF |
| Week 6 |
BYE |
| Week 7 |
BAL |
| Week 8 |
SEA |
| Week 9 |
@ARZ |
| Week 10 |
HOU |
| Week 11 |
KC |
| Week 12 |
@SD |
| Week 13 |
@PIT |
| Week 14 |
@BAL |
| Week 15 |
SF |
| Week 16 |
@STL |
| Week 17 |
CLE |
|
* Fantasy point rankings calculated using standard Huddle
fantasy points |