The
Huddle
WEEK 7
October 15, 2003
Season Ticket
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| |
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| NY Jets vs Houston |
Sun, Oct 19; 4 PM on CBS at Reliant
Stadium |
| |
New
York Jets |
Rush
|
Catch
|
Pass |
| QB |
Vinny
Testaverde |
0 |
0 |
220,2 |
| RB |
Curtis Martin |
60 |
10 |
0 |
| RB |
Lamont Jordan |
20 |
0 |
0 |
| TE |
Anthony Becht |
0 |
10 |
0 |
WR |
Wayne
Chrebet |
d |
50 |
0 |
| WR |
Curtis
Conway |
0 |
70,1 |
0 |
| WR |
Santana Moss |
0 |
90,1 |
0 |
|
| |
Houston |
Rush
|
Catch
|
Pass
|
| QB |
David
Carr |
10 |
0 |
200,1 |
| RB |
Stacey
Mack |
30 |
10 |
0 |
| RB |
Domanick
Davis |
70,1 |
20 |
0 |
| TE |
Billy
Miller |
0 |
20 |
0 |
| WR |
Corey
Bradford |
0 |
20 |
0 |
| WR |
Andre
Johnson |
0 |
80,1 |
0 |
| WR |
Jabar
Gaffney |
0 |
40 |
0 |
|
Game Prediction: NYJ 14, HOU 17
NY Jets Notes
Update: Since
Domanick Davis practiced with the first team the most
this week, it is expected that his role will be expanding
at the expense of Stacey Mack. The Jets will be without
CB Donnie Abrahams and FS Jon McGraw so I have bumped the
passing numbers slightly. Ray Mickens will replace Abrahams.
Wayne Chrebet is not expected
to play this week with a back injury.
Quarterbacks: Doing more with less, Vinny Testaverde
only threw for 130 yards last week but completed 11 of 17
passes for three touchdowns and no interception during the
romp over the Bills. The main difference? The Jets ran the
ball well enough that Testaverde was not needed to revert
to the pass as the only means to stay in the game.
Running backs: Curtis Martin ran 20 times for
77 yards and Lamont Jordan gained 33 yards on 10 carries.
Nothing dramatic, but the gains were consistent and kept the
Bills from focusing only on the pass.
Wide Receivers: With only 130 yards passing and 11
completions, the wideouts were not a factor last week and
only Santana Moss had a touchdown from the group. Curtis
Conway led the receivers with only 41 yards on two catches.
Wayne Chrebet did not play in the second half last
week due to a concussion but until further word is available,
I am assuming that he will play.
Tight Ends: Just when you have dumped Anthony Becht
on the waiver wire, he had three catches for 41 yards and
two touchdowns. The previous week he only managed one catch
for two yards.
Match against the defense: Comparing the offense is
a challenge since the big win over the Bills was hardly characteristic
of the play by the Jets this season. Then again, it is entirely
like them to start slow and then get better.
The Texans are weak against the pass, evidenced by McNair's
421 yard effort last week, but the Jets do not employ a deep
scheme like the Titans either. Vinny Testaverde will find
success with Santana Moss who has the speed to cause problems
and should manage at least a respectable afternoon.
The Texans are likewise weak against the run but have faced
a running list of the best backs in the league - Ricky Williams,
Deuce McAllister, Priest Holmes and Fred Taylor. Last week
they held Eddie George to only 60 yards and Curtis Martin
is much closer to George than any of the other backs that
Houston has faced.
Houston Notes
Quarterbacks: David Carr threw for a career
high 371 yards and two scores last week against the Titans
thanks to trailing almost immediately in the game. The Texans
only had 16 rushing attempts compared to 42 passes by Carr.
What was further uncharacteristic is that Carr did not use
his two normal targets - Gaffney and Johnson - but instead
hit nine different receivers including three running backs,
two tight ends and his #3 and #4 wideouts.
Running backs: Domanick Davis had a nice statistical
game, rushing for 59 yards on seven carries and adding seven
catches for 70 yards while Stacey Mack only rushed
four times for 13 yards at the start of the game. Davis received
the heavy load since he was part of the "we're way behind,
let's throw" package and Mack is not. Davis also enjoyed
more running room since the Titans were dropped back in coverage
during most of the game.
Wide Receivers: The Titans took Andre Johnson
(2-49) and Jabar Gaffney (no catches) out of the passing
equation and forced Carr to find other alternatives. Derrick
Armstrong made his first NFL catch a good one with a 13
yard touchdown and Corey Bradford logged a big 127
yard, one touchdown effort. It was not a normal day at the
office for the Texans.
Tight Ends: Needing to get rid of the ball, both Jabari
Holloway (2-40) and Billy Miller (6-47) had big
games compared to their normal role.
Match against the defense: The question here is which
Jets show up this week? The league patsies that could not
stop a girl scout troop from skipping through the heart of
the defense or the gang of thugs that kept dropping Travis
Henry at the line of scrimmage?
The Jets allowed around 19 points a game the first four weeks
and last week held Buffalo to just one field goal.
This will most likely be a tough match for both teams since
they match up well in strengths and weaknesses. The Texans
are not great against the run but the Jets are still giggling
that Curtis Martin could gain 77 yards on the ground in one
game. Houston has been obviously weak against the pass but
the Jets have been one of the worst passing teams.
The player most likely to benefit is Santana Moss since Houston
now stands as the weakest defense against wideouts and yet
are one of the strongest against tight ends which is more
a function of not facing an offense that employs a tight end
much.
Game Prediction: Only the Texans could face a visiting
team that ranks so low in every category and yet still not
be favored. This game could go either way very easily. The
Jets may be starting to rise from the ashes for the third
straight season and yet the Texans could be .500 with a win
here. I'm counting on the Jets to repeat their pattern - lose
their pre-bye games by a terrible margin, come off their bye
with a shocking win and then lose their next game by a close
margin before starting to string together some wins.
| Team Comparisons - Current team
rankings (1-32) by position for FF points scored or allowed
by position |
| Rank (1-32) |
QB |
RB |
WR |
TE |
PK |
DEF |
| NYJ Scores |
28
|
28
|
20
|
18
|
13
|
14
|
| HOU Allows |
30
|
28
|
32
|
5
|
15
|
29
|
| NYJ AP |
2 |
0 |
12 |
-13 |
2 |
15 |
|
| Rank (1-32) |
QB |
RB |
WR |
TE |
PK |
DEF |
| HOU Scores |
5
|
24
|
6
|
25
|
19
|
24
|
| NYJ Allows |
8
|
25
|
2
|
13
|
17
|
5
|
| HOU AP |
3 |
1 |
-4 |
-12 |
2 |
-19 |
|
Offensive ranks - lower = gains more points, Defensive
Ranks lower = allows less points
AP = Advantage Points, the net difference between a positional
rank gained or allowed by the teams.
| NYJ |
HOU |
2003 Game Averages
|
HOU |
NYJ |
| Gains
|
Allows
|
QB's |
Gains |
Allows
|
|
218
|
266
|
Pass
yards |
260
|
185
|
|
1.0
|
2.0
|
Pass
TDs |
1.2
|
0.6
|
|
0.4
|
1.4
|
Interceptions |
1.2
|
0.8
|
|
1
|
5
|
Rush
yards |
9
|
12
|
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Rush
TDs |
0.4
|
0.4
|
|
----
|
----
|
RB's |
----
|
----
|
|
66
|
102
|
Rush
yards |
91
|
135
|
|
0.2
|
1.0
|
Rush
TDs |
0.2
|
0.4
|
|
51
|
55
|
Receive
yards |
44
|
37
|
|
0.0
|
0.2
|
Receive
TD's |
0.0
|
0.0
|
|
----
|
----
|
WR's |
----
|
----
|
|
146
|
195
|
Receive
yards |
186
|
117
|
|
0.6
|
1.6
|
Receive
TD's |
1.2
|
0.4
|
|
----
|
----
|
TE's |
----
|
----
|
|
21
|
16
|
Receive
yards |
30
|
31
|
|
0.4
|
0.2
|
Receive
TD's |
0.0
|
0.2
|
|
----
|
----
|
PK's |
----
|
----
|
|
2.2
|
0.8
|
Field
Goals |
1.6
|
1.8
|
|
1.2
|
4.2
|
Extra
Points |
1.8
|
1.4
|
|
----
|
----
|
DEF/ST |
----
|
----
|
|
1.0
|
0.8
|
Fumbles |
0.8
|
0.6
|
|
0.8
|
1.8
|
Interceptions |
1.4
|
0.2
|
|
0.0
|
0.8
|
Touchdowns |
0.0
|
0.2
|
|
3.8
|
1.6
|
Sacks |
1.2
|
1.8
|
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Safeties |
0.0
|
0.0
|
|
|
Texans (2-3) |
|
Score |
Opp. |
| 21-20 |
@MIA |
| 10-31 |
@NO |
| 14-42 |
KC |
| 24-20 |
JAX |
| Week 5 |
BYE |
| 17-38 |
@TEN |
| Week 7 |
NYJ |
| Week 8 |
@IND |
| Week 9 |
CAR |
| Week 10 |
@CIN |
| Week 11 |
@BUF |
| Week 12 |
NE |
| Week 13 |
ATL |
| Week 14 |
@JAX |
| Week 15 |
@TB |
| Week 16 |
TEN |
| Week 17 |
IND |
|
|
Jets (1-4) |
|
Score |
Opp. |
| 13-16 |
@WAS |
| 10-21 |
MIA |
| 16-23 |
@NE |
| 6-17 |
DAL |
| Week 5 |
BYE |
| 30-3 |
BUF |
| Week 7 |
@HOU |
| Week 8 |
@PHI |
| Week 9 |
NYG |
| Week 10 |
@OAK |
| Week 11 |
@IND |
| Week 12 |
JAX |
| Week 13 |
TEN |
| Week 14 |
@BUF |
| Week 15 |
PIT |
| Week 16 |
NE |
| Week 17 |
@MIA |
|
* Fantasy point rankings calculated using standard Huddle
fantasy points |