The
Huddle
WEEK 7
October 15, 2003
Season Ticket
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| Tennessee vs Carolina |
Sun, Oct 19; 1 PM on CBS at Ericsson
Stadium |
| |
Tennessee |
Rush |
Catch |
Pass |
| QB |
Steve McNair |
30 |
0 |
290,2 |
| RB |
Eddie George |
40 |
10 |
0 |
| TE |
Erron Kinney |
0 |
20 |
0 |
| WR |
Derrick Mason |
0 |
90 |
0 |
| WR |
Tyrone Calico |
0 |
70,1 |
0 |
| WR |
Justin McCareins |
0 |
50 |
0 |
| WR |
Drew Bennett |
0 |
30,1 |
0 |
|
| |
Carolina |
Rush
|
Catch
|
Pass
|
| QB |
Jake Delhomme |
0 |
0 |
190,1 |
| RB |
Stephen Davis |
110,1 |
10 |
0 |
| TE |
Kris Mangum |
0 |
10 |
0 |
| WR |
Muhsin Muhammad |
0 |
50 |
0 |
| WR |
Ricky Proehl |
0 |
40,1 |
0 |
| WR |
Steve Smith |
0 |
60 |
0 |
|
Game Prediction: TEN 23, CAR 17
Tennessee Notes
Quarterbacks: It has only taken Steve McNair
a short nine years to turn into an NFL version of what he
was in college. A premier long baller. Now that the Titan
rushing game is buried beside Elvis, the Titans have not only
come out throwing, they are not even using the popular dink-n-dunk
west coast offense. McNair threw for 421 yards last Sunday
against the Texans and gained over 15 yards per pass ATTEMPT.
He had over 23 yards per completion. He has 821 yards passing
in the last two games. It would take players like Kyle Boller
two years to accomplish that many yards.
Running backs: According to game programs, the Titans
do have some on the roster. Eddie George plugged along
last week for 60 yards on 19 carries, eclipsing the elusive
three yards per carry mark only because he accidentally gained
17 yards on one run. At the rate McNair is going, George should
see better numbers from the entire defense playing 15 yards
off the line of scrimmage.
Chris Brown (4-15) had his hamstring tighten up again
and had less work than intended.
Wide Receivers: Last week Derrick Mason had
a career game, gaining 177 yards and three touchdowns on only
six passes. Mason scored on passes of 32, 46 and 50 yards.
That's a far cry from the one catch for four yards he had
two weeks before against the Steelers.
Tyrone Calico had four catches for 92 yards while
Justin McCareins had two catches for "only"
68 yards. While Calico has seven catches the past two weeks,
he had seventeen passes. McCareins only had five passes.
Tight Ends: The loss of Frank Wycheck coupled
with the poor running game has led to this explosion of passing.
The Titans normally like a two tight end set but without Wycheck
and having Shad Meier miss the Texan game with a concussion,
Tennessee had little choice but to pursue the passing game
with the wideouts.
Meier may be back this week but the Titans are starting to
shift away from their tight ends. Erron Kinney only
had three catches for 38 yards during the two week hail storm.
Match against the defense: The Panthers are slightly
better than average against the run but the Titans do not
have a decent rushing game anyway. Expect the same results
here.
The Panthers weak link is against the pass. This is not a
good thing for them this week. While they have scratched out
a 5-0 mark, they have allowed quarterbacks to shine - Brunell
(272 yards, 2 TDs), Brad Johnson (349 yards, 1 TD) and Manning
(293 yards, 1 TD). Their numbers appear stronger than they
are thanks to Atlanta and New Orleans.
Carolina knew Marvin Harrison was coming and still allowed
him 119 yards. Where they were worse was against the Buccaneers
who have a diverse passing attack (read - no great receivers)
and Tennessee is able to mix Mason, Calico and McCareins in
ways Carolina has not yet faced. The Titans can and must succeed
through the air and the Panthers have been susceptible to
that.
Carolina Notes
Quarterbacks: The Panthers come off their best passing
effort of the year but that only meant that Jake Delhomme
threw for 181 yards with one touchdown. Other than week one
against the Jaguars, Delhomme has played the role of a game
manager, handing off the ball and minimizing mistakes. That
probably will not be enough this week.
Running backs: After gaining 76 yards on 15 carries
with one touchdown, Stephen Davis was forced from the
game last week with a bruised forearm. HC John Fox literally
had to have someone hide his helmet to keep him out of the
game. Davis had an MRI on his arm which was negative and he
is expected to play this week.
In his place, De'Shaun Foster was no drop-off, gaining
85 yards on 16 carries and showing a nice speed to the outside
on several runs. While Davis will return this week, Fox has
stated the Foster will continue his role as relief for Davis
which previously has meant around eight to ten carries for
the run-happy team.
Wide Receivers: After five games, the Panthers finally
produced a 100 yard receiver when Steve Smith ran in
a 52 yard touchdown and finished with 103 yards on six catches.
Muhsin Muhammad only managed two catches for ten yards
and for both receivers, no incompletions were thrown to them.
Tight Ends: Kris Mangum had one catch last
week but that was all the tight end work doled out.
Match against the defense: The Titans have allowed
Edgerrin James to gain 120 yards this season though it took
him 30 carries to get there during a blowout. The Titans also
allowed the Patriots to combine Antowain Smith and Mike Cloud
for 153 yards on only 23 carries in their other loss this
season. The Titans can be ran on and that is about all the
Panthers do anyway though Deuce McAllister was held to only
8 yards on 11 carries.
The Panthers must establish the ground game and be successful
with it in order to win. They know it, the Titans know it,
and so far no one has been able to do much against it. The
Titans will be stacking the line and daring the Panthers to
throw.
Tennessee has given up 300 yard games to both Maddox and
Carr this season, but Carolina has nothing even close to the
passing weapons of those teams. If Carolina is forced to throw,
they will likely lose.
Game Prediction: The Panthers have also only really
been behind in one game when Delhomme saved the day in week
one. Otherwise, they have controlled the scoreboard and not
been forced to come from behind and make up any significant
deficit. They simply do not have the means to do that.
Tennessee is red hot right now with McNair passing, but Carolina
at home presents a good challenge and the only two Titan losses
have been on the road this year.
The key to the game is if McNair can get a lead - via the
pass - and force the Panthers out of their game plan. He should
be able to do this considering the different style of passing
the Titans present lately and the effect on the opposing defenses.
Look for McNair to buy more time running this week and gain
some yards on the ground as well. Played in Carolina should
make this a closer game, but the Titans are playing great
everywhere but rushing while the Panthers are playing great
everywhere but passing.
If Tennessee can get past the Panthers, they are setting
themselves up for a definite playoff run since their week
nine bye neatly separates the season into two halves. The
first eight weeks have five road games but the second half
has five home games.
| Team Comparisons - Current team
rankings (1-32) by position for FF points scored or allowed
by position |
| Rank (1-32) |
QB |
RB |
WR |
TE |
PK |
DEF |
| TEN Scores |
3
|
31
|
2
|
11
|
8
|
4
|
| CAR Allows |
13
|
12
|
23
|
14
|
3
|
7
|
| TEN AP |
10 |
-19 |
21 |
3 |
-5 |
3 |
|
| Rank (1-32) |
QB |
RB |
WR |
TE |
PK |
DEF |
| CAR Scores |
31
|
4
|
25
|
28
|
2
|
20
|
| TEN Allows |
18
|
23
|
22
|
20
|
23
|
23
|
| CAR AP |
-13 |
19 |
-3 |
-8 |
21 |
3 |
|
Offensive ranks - lower = gains more points, Defensive
Ranks lower = allows less points
AP = Advantage Points, the net difference between a positional
rank gained or allowed by the teams.
| TEN |
CAR |
2003 Game Averages
|
CAR |
TEN |
| Gains
|
Allows
|
QB's |
Gains |
Allows
|
|
282
|
249
|
Pass
yards |
142
|
257
|
|
1.8
|
1
|
Pass
TDs |
1.0
|
1.2
|
|
0.5
|
0.8
|
Interceptions |
1.0
|
0.3
|
|
8
|
5
|
Rush
yards |
0
|
4
|
|
0.3
|
0.0
|
Rush
TDs |
0.0
|
0.0
|
|
----
|
----
|
RB's |
----
|
----
|
|
64
|
94
|
Rush
yards |
170
|
78
|
|
0.3
|
0.4
|
Rush
TDs |
0.6
|
0.8
|
|
20
|
44
|
Receive
yards |
30
|
57
|
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Receive
TD's |
0.0
|
0.2
|
|
----
|
----
|
WR's |
----
|
----
|
|
212
|
150
|
Receive
yards |
89
|
149
|
|
1.7
|
1.0
|
Receive
TD's |
1.0
|
1.0
|
|
----
|
----
|
TE's |
----
|
----
|
|
50
|
45
|
Receive
yards |
23
|
51
|
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
Receive
TD's |
0.0
|
0.0
|
|
----
|
----
|
PK's |
----
|
----
|
|
1.8
|
1.4
|
Field
Goals |
2.6
|
1.8
|
|
2.8
|
1.2
|
Extra
Points |
1.8
|
2.3
|
|
----
|
----
|
DEF/ST |
----
|
----
|
|
0.5
|
0.6
|
Fumbles |
0.6
|
0.7
|
|
0.8
|
1.0
|
Interceptions |
0.6
|
0.5
|
|
1.0
|
0.0
|
Touchdowns |
0.2
|
0.7
|
|
1.8
|
1.6
|
Sacks |
2.2
|
1.7
|
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
Safeties |
0.2
|
0.2
|
|
|
Panthers
(5-0) |
|
Score |
Opp. |
| 24-23 |
JAX |
| 12-9 |
@TB |
| Week 3 |
BYE |
| 23-3 |
ATL |
| 19-13 |
NO |
| 23-20 |
@IND |
| Week 7 |
TEN |
| Week 8 |
@NO |
| Week 9 |
@HOU |
| Week 10 |
TB |
| Week 11 |
WAS |
| Week 12 |
@DAL |
| Week 13 |
PHI |
| Week 14 |
@ATL |
| Week 15 |
@ARZ |
| Week 16 |
DET |
| Week 17 |
@NYG |
|
|
Tennessee (4-2) |
|
Score |
Opp. |
| 25-20 |
OAK |
| 7-33 |
@IND |
| 27-12 |
NO |
| 30-13 |
@PIT |
| 30-38 |
@NE |
| 38-17 |
HOU |
| Week 7 |
@CAR |
| Week 8 |
@JAX |
| Week 9 |
BYE |
| Week 10 |
MIA |
| Week 11 |
JAX |
| Week 12 |
@ATL |
| Week 13 |
@NYJ |
| Week 14 |
IND |
| Week 15 |
BUF |
| Week 16 |
@HOU |
| Week 17 |
TB |
|
* Fantasy point rankings calculated using standard Huddle
fantasy points |