The
Huddle
WEEK 7
October 15, 2003
Season Ticket
|
|
| |
|
| Washington vs Buffalo |
Sun, Oct 19; 1 PM on FOX at Ralph
Wilson Stadium |
| |
Washington |
Rush
|
Catch
|
Pass |
| QB |
Patrick
Ramsey |
0 |
0 |
230,1 |
RB |
Trung
Canidate |
40 |
0 |
0 |
| RB |
Ladell
Betts |
70,1 |
20 |
0 |
| TE |
Byron Chamberlain |
0 |
20 |
0 |
| WR |
Lavernues Coles
|
0 |
70 |
0 |
| WR |
Rod Gardner |
0 |
80,1 |
0 |
| WR |
Darnerian McCants |
0 |
30 |
0 |
|
| |
Buffalo |
Rush
|
Catch
|
Pass
|
| QB |
Drew
Bledsoe |
0 |
0 |
200,1 |
| RB |
Travis
Henry |
70,2 |
30 |
0 |
| TE |
M. Campbell |
0 |
20,1 |
0 |
| WR |
Clarence
Coleman |
0 |
20 |
0 |
| WR |
Eric
Moulds |
Q |
Q |
Q |
| WR |
Josh
Reed |
0 |
60,1 |
0 |
| WR |
Bobby
Shaw |
0 |
50 |
0 |
|
Game Prediction: WAS 20, BUF 21
Update: Trung Canidate
is doubtful to play this week so I am removing him from the
projections. Eric Moulds has been upgraded from Doubtful
to Questionable this week due to his groin injury. He is still
not at a point that he is running full speed and could be
a gametime decision. I am not projecting for him but he may
play depending on how he feels Sunday. If Shaw fills in for
Moulds, he will be pitted against Champ Bailey which would
probably not help his numbers and if Moulds plays, he will
draw Bailey which could reduce his numbers more than his groin
potentially.
Washington Notes
Quarterbacks: There is a concern that Patrick Ramsey
is not going to last this season considering the beating he
is taking every week. While he ended with a respectable 211
yards and one touchdown against Tampa Bay, he threw an interception,
fumbled twice and was sacked six times. While Spurrier could
get away with using up a quarterback in college, that mentality
does not translate into the NFL where seasoning and experience
can count more than a big arm and the courage to stay in the
pocket.
Running backs: The results last week against the Bucs
were predictable - Trung Canidate had 27 yards on eight
carries and Ladell Betts covered 37 yards with 13 runs,
adding only 15 more on two receptions. Canidate suffered a
mild high ankle sprain in the game and was wearing a boot
on Monday but pending later information, I am assuming that
he can play and be limited.
After starting out the first two games of the season with
promising results, the Redskins running game has gotten progressively
worse.
Wide Receivers: In spite of the loss, Lavernues
Coles set the NFL record with five or more catches in
19 consecutive games and he ended with six grabs for 60 yards.
After a couple of lackluster outings, Rod Gardner came
back to like with nine catches for 88 yards while Darnerian
McCants (4-52) again had the touchdown pass.
Tight Ends: Robert Royal broke his right hip
and now will be out for the next six weeks and possibly even
longer. The newly signed Byron Chamberlain takes over
a position that is little used in the offense but he still
managed to catch three passes last week for 23 yards. Chamberlain
is a far better receiving tight end than the Redskins have
had since dumping Stephen Alexander long ago.
Match against the defense: This should present an
interesting matchup. The Bills have been soft against the
run but the Redskins have not been running well. There is
even a chance that Canidate is not healthy enough to play.
Both teams are 3-3 and fairly evenly matched weaknesses to
strengths
The Redskins will have moderate success running even if only
Betts can play, and they will have only moderate success against
a team that can defend the pass. Playing on the road should
result in the same thing it has all year for the Redskins
- a close game with nothing spectacular but nothing terrible
either. Buffalo just gave up 110 yards to Curtis Martin and
Lamont Jordan but Betts and Canidate have not proven to be
any better.
Bills Notes
Quarterbacks: Now we know that Drew Bledsoe
without Eric Moulds is not pretty. Bledsoe threw for 202 yards
in a blowout loss with no scores, one interception and a fumble.
Moulds had been the target for at least one of every three
passes thrown by Bledsoe this season and without him, he was
limited to largely shorter throws and was hurried in the pocket
last week as well. Playing without Moulds changes the entire
scope of the passing game and neither Shaw nor Reed were able
to step up enough to matter.
Running backs: The rushing game was abandoned last
week when the Bills fell behind but Travis Henry only
gained 53 yards on 16 carries. He did add seven catches for
35 yards which is his best this season. Henry had never had
more than three catches in any previous game and had not been
a factor in the passing until Moulds was gone.
Wide Receivers: Without Moulds, Bobby Shaw
led the receivers with six catches for 58 yards and while
Josh Reed needed to take a greater role, he only managed
three catches for 42 yards. The rookie Clarence Coleman
had three receptions for 19 yards as well.
Pending later information, I am assuming that Moulds is unable
to play again this week.
Tight Ends: Mark Campbell offered only three catches
for 19 yards as an occasional outlet.
Match against the defense: As mentioned previously,
these two teams actually match up fairly evenly. The Redskins
can give up the run, but the Bills do not run very well. The
Redskins are below average against the pass but without Moulds,
the Bills are too.
The Bills enter the game with no apparent strength on offense
right now to pit against a defense that has been picked apart
lately. If Moulds can play, then it definitely favors the
Bills since even Tom Brady had a big game against the Redskins.
It is safe to assume that Buffalo will be trying to establish
the run but as shown last week it does not take too long for
them to determine that it is not working and shift into passing
mode. The Redskins can be beaten through the air without a
doubt, but without Moulds it becomes a question if Buffalo
can produce enough firepower to take that advantage.
Game Prediction: The game favors the Bills hoping
to give Henry the short yardage scores that he needs to matter
and with a homefield advantage, it should prove just enough
since Washington has not played well on the road this season.
This could go either way with a special teams play or a turnover
and it is almost certain to be a close match, but in the end
the Bills have to take a stand here or already have any post
season hopes reduced.
| Team Comparisons - Current team
rankings (1-32) by position for FF points scored or allowed
by position |
| Rank (1-32) |
QB |
RB |
WR |
TE |
PK |
DEF |
| WAS Scores |
9
|
15
|
5
|
32
|
5
|
29
|
| BUF Allows |
6
|
17
|
3
|
21
|
19
|
15
|
| WAS AP |
-3 |
2 |
-2 |
-11 |
14 |
-14 |
|
| Rank (1-32) |
QB |
RB |
WR |
TE |
PK |
DEF |
| BUF Scores |
23
|
23
|
18
|
21
|
28
|
16
|
| WAS Allows |
21
|
24
|
12
|
32
|
13
|
24
|
| BUF AP |
-2 |
1 |
-6 |
11 |
-15 |
8 |
|
Offensive ranks - lower = gains more points, Defensive
Ranks lower = allows less points
AP = Advantage Points, the net difference between a positional
rank gained or allowed by the teams.
| WAS |
BUF |
2003 Game Averages
|
BUF |
WAS |
| Gains
|
Allows
|
QB's |
Gains |
Allows
|
|
253
|
175
|
Pass
yards |
225
|
215
|
|
1.2
|
0.8
|
Pass
TDs |
0.8
|
2.0
|
|
0.8
|
1.2
|
Interceptions |
1.0
|
1.2
|
|
10
|
12
|
Rush
yards |
2
|
3
|
|
0.2
|
0.2
|
Rush
TDs |
0.2
|
0.0
|
|
----
|
----
|
RB's |
----
|
----
|
|
96
|
108
|
Rush
yards |
55
|
96
|
|
0.7
|
0.7
|
Rush
TDs |
1.0
|
0.7
|
|
43
|
28
|
Receive
yards |
32
|
40
|
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Receive
TD's |
0.2
|
0.3
|
|
----
|
----
|
WR's |
----
|
----
|
|
197
|
113
|
Receive
yards |
168
|
121
|
|
1.2
|
0.5
|
Receive
TD's |
0.5
|
1.0
|
|
----
|
----
|
TE's |
----
|
----
|
|
13
|
34
|
Receive
yards |
26
|
55
|
|
0.0
|
0.3
|
Receive
TD's |
0.2
|
0.7
|
|
----
|
----
|
PK's |
----
|
----
|
|
2.3
|
1.8
|
Field
Goals |
1.0
|
1.2
|
|
2.0
|
1.7
|
Extra
Points |
2.3
|
3.0
|
|
----
|
----
|
DEF/ST |
----
|
----
|
|
0.2
|
0.7
|
Fumbles |
0.3
|
0.7
|
|
1.2
|
1.0
|
Interceptions |
1.2
|
1.0
|
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Touchdowns |
0.3
|
0.3
|
|
1.5
|
3.2
|
Sacks |
1.8
|
3.8
|
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
Safeties |
0.0
|
0.0
|
|
|
Redskins (3-3) |
|
Score |
Opp. |
| 16-13 |
NYJ |
| 33-31 |
@ATL |
| 21-24 |
NYG |
| 20-17 |
NE |
| 25-27 |
@PHI |
| 13-35 |
TB |
| Week 7 |
@BUF |
| Week 8 |
BYE |
| Week 9 |
@DAL |
| Week 10 |
SEA |
| Week 11 |
@CAR |
| Week 12 |
@MIA |
| Week 13 |
NO |
| Week 14 |
@NYG |
| Week 15 |
DAL |
| Week 16 |
@CHI |
| Week 17 |
PHI |
|
|
Bills (3-3) |
|
Score |
Opp. |
| 31-0 |
NE |
| 38-17 |
@JAX |
| 7-17 |
@MIA |
| 13-23 |
PHI |
| 22-16 |
CIN |
| 3-30 |
@NYJ |
| Week 7 |
WAS |
| Week 8 |
@KC |
| Week 9 |
BYE |
| Week 10 |
@DAL |
| Week 11 |
HOU |
| Week 12 |
IND |
| Week 13 |
@NYG |
| Week 14 |
NYJ |
| Week 15 |
@TEN |
| Week 16 |
MIA |
| Week 17 |
@NE |
|
* Fantasy point rankings calculated using standard Huddle
fantasy points |