The
Huddle
WEEK 8
October 22, 2003
Season Ticket
|
|
| |
|
| Cleveland vs New England |
Sun, Oct 26; 1 PM on CBS at Gillette
Stadium |
| |
Cleveland |
Rush
|
Catch
|
Pass
|
| QB |
Kelly Holcomb |
0 |
0 |
230,1 |
| RB |
William Green |
40 |
10 |
0 |
| RB |
Jamel White |
10 |
20 |
0 |
| TE |
Steve Heiden |
0 |
10 |
0 |
| WR |
Kevin Johnson |
0 |
50,1 |
0 |
| WR |
Dennis Northcutt |
0 |
70 |
0 |
| WR |
Quincy Morgan |
0 |
50 |
0 |
|
| |
New
England |
Rush
|
Catch
|
Pass
|
| QB |
Tom Brady |
0 |
0 |
170,1 |
| RB |
Kevin Faulk |
70 |
20 |
0 |
| RB |
Mike Cloud |
30,1 |
0 |
0 |
| TE |
Christian Fauria |
0 |
20 |
0 |
| WR |
Troy
Brown |
0 |
50,1 |
0 |
| WR |
Deion
Branch |
0 |
30 |
0 |
| WR |
David Patten |
0 |
20 |
0 |
|
Game Prediction: CLE
16, NE 20
Update:
Deion Branch is still bothered by his ankle injury and is
listed as questionable to play though is expected to suit
up.
The Browns on the road are far better than the home version
but the Patriots are playing well everywhere lately. New England
is on a three game winning streak and that just defies logic
in the AFC East.
Cleveland Notes
The Browns fall to 3-4 with the loss to the Chargers last
week. Still, incredibly, they are only a half game from the
top of the AFC North.
Quarterbacks: The Browns
quarterback situation is changing again. Tim Couch
was just as ineffective as the Couch of last season against
the Chargers and in retrospect, Couch may have been better
served if he would have just retired from the NFL after the
Pittsburgh triumph. He had only 13 completes on 24 passes
for 102 yards and two interceptions before Kelly Holcomb
hopped into the game to lead the Browns on two touchdown drives
and came close to saving the game.
Couch once again reverted to refusing to speak to the media
after the game. I am assuming that Holcomb plays this week.
Running Backs: Facing
what normally is a terrible rushing defense, the Browns accepted
their "curse of homefield" and struggled to establish
a running game. William Green managed 65 yards on 14
carries but fumbled twice and left the game after being speared
in the back . With the offensive line now using four backups,
the blocking was just not there against a bad defense. James
Jackson finished the game.
Wide Receivers: The return
of Holcomb marked a definite change in the passing game. Dennis
Northcutt had a touchdown reception and the receivers
came to life. It was too little, too late last week.
Tight Ends: While Darnell
Sanders had a touchdown, Steve Heiden continues
to be the starter and primary receiver for tight ends.
Match against the defense:
Assuming that Holcomb plays, the Browns face a solid defense
but one that has yielded passing yards in their two previous
homestands. Steve McNair threw for 391 yards and Kerry Collins
managed 314 yards. The Patriots are tough on the run and have
not allowed a 100 yard rusher this season. With the bad blocking
of Cleveland, Green is not likely to have even an average
day.
Holcomb could ignite some good passing yards, particularly
if the game takes a nice Patriot lead and the Browns get trash
time yards. Holcomb has the receivers to generate some good
production once the running game is abandoned as long as his
pass blocking holds up or unless the Pats drop back more players
into coverage and give him time. Holcomb favors Dennis Northcutt
typically but as always with the Browns, there are four receivers
that all mix and match differently each week.
New England Notes
The Patriots rise to 5-2 and are on a three game winning
streak. They lead the AFC East and last week beat the Dolphins
in Miami for a big morale victory as well since they had not
won there in six years.
Quarterbacks: Tom
Brady bounced back from his meager performance against
the Giants and threw for 283 yards and two touchdowns against
the Dolphins last week. Brady has been wildly inconsistent
per game this season and his numbers in Miami were helped
when he hit Troy Brown for an 82 yard game-winning touchdown
in overtime. Brady will be back to his lower numbers this
week against a defense that has been the best at keeping quarterbacks
at bay this season.
Running Backs: After
Kevin Faulk had his career best 87 yards against the
Giants, he followed that up with a big 38 yards on 19 carries
in Miami. Antowain Smith was a scratch for the game
but Mike Cloud fared no better when he had eight yards
on five carries. The Patriots are not good enough to gain
rushing yards against a solid run defense and need a below
average defense in order to succeed - oh look, here come the
Browns.
Wide Receivers: Much
like the Browns, the Patriots employ about 65 different wideouts
per game. Troy Brown turned in a great game last week
- 131 yards and a score but that all came on the 82 yard touchdown
in overtime. Deion Branch is as close to a favorite
target as it got last week but between David Patten,
Troy Brown, Deion Branch, Bethel Johnson
and now even David Givens, the complicated short passing
scheme rarely produces any one receiver of note and never
one of reliability.
Tight Ends: Just in case
you are relying on Christian Fauria, Brady split his
throws between Fauria and Daniel Graham last week.
It means nothing more than there is no consistent tight end
for the Patriots.
Match against the defense:
The Browns, once you remove the freak game in Pittsburgh,
have been wildly inconsistent this season. When they faced
the Bengals, Kitna drilled them for three passing touchdowns.
They turn around and dominate the Raiders which by this time
seems almost hard not to do and then follow that up with allowing
the Chargers to beat them using nothing more than Ladainian
Tomlinson who gained 200 yards rushing. When a team yields
two games of over 200 yard rushing in a six game span, there
are major problems. The Browns lost last week and yet held
Drew Brees to only 74 yards passing.
And yet this same defense occasionally looks stout. To complicate
matters, the Browns are 1-3 at home and 2-1 on the road. They
beat PIT and SF as a visitor and then fall to SD and CIN at
home.
After the team gave up the record to Jamal Lewis, they beat
the 49ers. After they were beaten at home by the Bengals,
they whipped the Steelers. If Cleveland were to win this game,
they would be doing the exact opposite of what is expected
each week. The only factor that prevents following that trend
is that the Browns are not consistent enough to be consistent
in their inconsistency... yeah... I think that is correct.
Cleveland fans must consume massive amounts of Excedrin as
they follow their team.
The Browns have been tough against the pass, for the most
part, though flavor that with two games of enormous rushing
yardage allowed. They have been weak against the run, for
the most part, though temper that with some nice performances.
It all boils down to the expectation that Cleveland once again
rises up after an embarrassing loss and plays surprising well.
New England does not have the top grade runner to take advanatage
of the weakness in the middle but the shorter passing scheme
of Brady will work reasonably well in tandem with the defense.
| Team Comparisons Current
team rankings (1-32) by position for FF points scored
or allowed by position |
| Rank (1-32) |
QB |
RB |
WR |
TE |
PK |
DEF |
| CLE Scores |
22
|
28
|
13
|
28
|
19
|
23
|
| NE Allows |
20
|
12
|
5
|
24
|
27
|
10
|
| CLE AP |
-2 |
-16 |
-8 |
-4 |
8 |
-13 |
|
| Rank (1-32) |
QB |
RB |
WR |
TE |
PK |
DEF |
| NE Scores |
20
|
14
|
21
|
13
|
21
|
4
|
| CLE Allows |
1
|
20
|
1
|
17
|
26
|
18
|
| NE AP |
-19 |
6 |
-20 |
-4 |
5 |
-14 |
|
Offensive ranks - lower =
gains more points, Defensive Ranks lower = allows less points
AP = Advantage Points, the net difference between a positional
rank gained or allowed by the teams.
| CLE |
NE |
2003 Game Averages
|
NE |
CLE |
| Gains
|
Allows
|
QB's |
Gains |
Allows
|
|
194
|
255
|
Pass
yards |
213
|
157
|
|
1.3
|
0.4
|
Pass
TDs |
1.1
|
0.6
|
|
1.3
|
1.6
|
Interceptions |
1.0
|
1.0
|
|
3
|
13
|
Rush
yards |
3
|
8
|
|
0.1
|
0.3
|
Rush
TDs |
0.1
|
0.0
|
|
---
|
---
|
RB's |
---
|
---
|
|
88
|
74
|
Rush
yards |
102
|
124
|
|
0.1
|
0.7
|
Rush
TDs |
0.6
|
0.6
|
|
26
|
54
|
Receive
yards |
43
|
31
|
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
Receive
TD's |
0.1
|
0.0
|
|
---
|
---
|
WR's |
---
|
---
|
|
151
|
155
|
Receive
yards |
134
|
96
|
|
1.0
|
0.3
|
Receive
TD's |
0.7
|
0.3
|
|
---
|
---
|
TE's |
---
|
---
|
|
17
|
47
|
Receive
yards |
36
|
30
|
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
Receive
TD's |
0.3
|
0.3
|
|
---
|
---
|
PK's |
---
|
---
|
|
1.7
|
2.3
|
Field
Goals |
1.4
|
2.4
|
|
1.6
|
1.6
|
Extra
Points |
2.3
|
1.1
|
|
---
|
---
|
DEF/ST |
---
|
---
|
|
0.6
|
0.6
|
Fumbles |
1.1
|
0.6
|
|
1.0
|
1.0
|
Interceptions |
1.4
|
1.3
|
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
Touchdowns |
0.6
|
0.3
|
|
1.7
|
2.3
|
Sacks |
3.0
|
2.0
|
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Safeties |
0.0
|
0.0
|
|
|
Browns(3-4) |
|
Score |
Opp. |
| 6-9 |
IND |
| 13-33 |
@BAL |
| 13-12 |
@SF |
| 14-21 |
CIN |
| 33-13 |
@PIT |
| 13-7 |
OAK |
| 20-26 |
SD |
| Week 8 |
@NE |
| Week 9 |
BYE |
| Week 10 |
@KC |
| Week 11 |
ARZ |
| Week 12 |
PIT |
| Week 13 |
@SEA |
| Week 14 |
STL |
| Week 15 |
@DEN |
| Week 16 |
BAL |
| Week 17 |
@CIN |
|
|
Patriots (5-2) |
| Score |
Opp. |
| 0-31 |
@BUF |
| 31-10 |
@PHI |
| 23-16 |
NYJ |
| 17-20 |
@WAS |
| 38-30 |
TEN |
| 17-6 |
NYG |
| 19-13 |
@MIA |
| Week 8 |
CLE |
| Week 9 |
@DEN |
| Week 10 |
BYE |
| Week 11 |
DAL |
| Week 12 |
@HOU |
| Week 13 |
@IND |
| Week 14 |
MIA |
| Week 15 |
JAX |
| Week 16 |
@NYJ |
| Week 17 |
BUF |
|
* Fantasy point rankings calculated using standard Huddle
fantasy points |