The
Huddle
WEEK 8
October 22, 2003
Season Ticket
|
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| |
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| Dallas vs Tampa Bay |
Sun, Oct 26; 1 PM on FOX at Raymond
James Stadium |
| |
Dallas |
Rush
|
Catch
|
Pass
|
| QB |
Quincy Carter |
20 |
0 |
210,1 |
| RB |
Richie Anderson |
20 |
20 |
0 |
| RB |
Troy Hambrick |
60,1 |
10 |
0 |
| TE |
Dan Campbell |
0 |
10 |
0 |
| WR |
Joey Galloway |
0 |
70,1 |
0 |
| WR |
Terry Glenn |
0 |
50 |
0 |
| WR |
Antonio Bryant |
0 |
60 |
0 |
|
| |
Tampa
Bay |
Rush
|
Catch
|
Pass |
| QB |
Brad Johnson
|
0 |
0 |
230,2 |
| RB |
Michael Pittman
|
50 |
40 |
0 |
| TE |
Ken Dilger |
0 |
20 |
0 |
| TE |
Heller / Yoder |
0 |
30,1 |
0 |
| WR |
Keyshawn Johnson
|
0 |
40 |
0 |
| WR |
Keenan McCardell
|
0 |
60,1 |
0 |
|
Game Prediction:
DAL 17, TB 20
This is a nearly impossible game to call. It pits the world
champions that are injured and looking terrible lately against
a team that has been the surprise of the NFL so far this season
(at least a good surprise). Parcells has the team firing on
all cylinders and believing in themselves and even a 1963
Dodge Dart can win a race if the other car breaks down or
takes time off.
The Bucs are facing a must win game really and are back at
home. This is a matchup of almost completely contrasting teams.
The bad team is playing great and the great team is playing
bad. Hard to imagine Tampa Bay overlooking the Cowboys but
they certainly fell flat against the 49ers. This game hinges
on the Bucs since Dallas merely is what they are - a team
that is becoming good but has so far made few mistakes and
come together as a team as well as they possibly could. Tampa
Bay has a lot of better pieces to put together, but with injuries
and the weekly Warren Sapp silliness, coming together as a
team has been a big challenge.
If Dallas wins, Parcells may have his name in the Ring of
Honor by early November. The Buccaneers have played well after
each loss this year and this game is actually a big one for
both franchises. A loss means the Bucs may not be able to
recover this season and yet if Dallas loses big it will undo
the confidence that Parcells has been able to build in Dallas.
Dallas Notes
The Cowboys have risen to 5-1 and have a full two game edge
on the NFC East and have won their last five games. Parcells
is proving to be the best investment that Jerry Jones has
ever made, assuming that Jerry Jones is still around since
you never see him anymore.
Quarterbacks: Quincy
Carter comes off his best game of his career, at least
in terms of effectiveness. He completed 11 of his first 12
passes and ended with 18 of 25 for 190 yards and three touchdowns.
Carter and the Cowboys were so good, that Carter was pulled
at the end of the game so that Chad Hutchinson could get some
reps. When was the last time the Cowboys had that luxury?
Running Backs: Troy
Hambrick had 74 yards and a score against the Lions last
week but Parcells is using other backs as well. Aveion
Cason had six runs for no gain and two catches for 20
yards while Richie Anderson ran seven times for 52
yards and added three catches as well. The Cowboys were looking
to involve Cason more but he was not as effective as Hambrick
or Anderson. Hambrick's been getting about two carries to
every one split out between Anderson and Cason.
Wide Receivers: The Big
3 receivers had a big day, but that was almost entirely for
Terry Glenn who caught three touchdowns in the first
half but only ended with 75 yards on six receptions. Joey
Galloway had only two passes and was unable to catch either
for the rare shutout. Antonio Bryant (4-57) was mixed
in as well but last week the game was already won in the second
quarter and none of them were needed in the second half. The
oddity here is that Glenn is turning in big games every other
week but neither of the other two are consistent. Glenn has
replaced Bryant at the split end position on most plays though
all three are used often.
Tight Ends: The only
notable about tight ends for Dallas is that they mainly block
and Jason Witten played with a broken jaw because he
"did not want to let Parcells down". That is pretty
scary. Imagine Terrell Owens saying something like that.
Match against the defense:
The Buccaneers are banged up right now and losing so badly
in San Francisco may prove to be a motivator or a deflator.
S John Lynch is doubtful this week as is CB Brian Kelly. SS
John Howell had a concussion last week but should play but
problems with the secondary are not good when facing a Cowboys
passing attack that features three receivers that have little
in the way of consistency that makes them easier to cover.
Quincy Carter will not likely replicate Manning's success
in Tampa Bay, but will be looking to minimize his mistakes
and against an injury racked defense should find at least
moderate success.
The Buccaneers have become an average rushing defense when
opponents have the bigger players to run up the gut. Last
week they let Garrison Hearst and Kevan Barlow carve them
up for 192 rushing yards and a score. Stephen Davis gained
142 against them. The question is more if a team will have
the luxury of running the ball and not having to play catch
up through the air against the Bucs. Troy Hambrick
will be able to run as well as he has been and Parcells knows
that will be a key to controlling the game and not making
mistakes. Missing John Lynch actually makes the Bucs hurt
more on rushing defense than passing.
Tampa Bay Notes
The Buccaneers fall to 3-3 and are still two games behind
the Panthers in the NFC South. They still have not beaten
a team with a winning record and have been slammed with injuries
and distractions.
Quarterbacks: After looking
all-world against the Redskins, Brad Johnson threw
three interceptions against only one touchdown in San Francisco
and ended with 241 yards in a game that begged for passing
the entire second half. Johnson did not have the time to throw
well last week and was sacked twice and hurried more often
than not by a defense that only used four rushers against
him. Johnson is a leader for QB stats this season but now
faces a defense that has been tougher against the pass than
any he has faced this season.
Running Backs: Last week
the Buccaneers abandoned the running game in the ambush. They
rushed only 11 plays the entire game. Michael Pittman
was valuable catching the ball though, logging ten receptions
for 60 yards. Thomas Jones and Aaron Stecker
still offer spot duty but Pittman gets at least 2:1 over the
rest.
Wide Receivers: The Bucs
were definitely off their game last week and it showed with
the receiving numbers. Take away the one 75 yard pass to Keenan
McCardell and all wideouts only combined for 67 yards
and four catches. Keyshawn Johnson only had one catch
for four yards. He only had three passes thrown to him. The
pressure on Johnson prevented him having the time to look
downfield
Tight Ends: After the
previous week had used new tight ends with success, the Bucs
have continued to use their trio almost equally. Ken Dilger
(1-5), Will Heller (1-11) and Todd Yoder (1-12) all shared
evenly in the meager game last week.
Match against the defense:
This is a hard match to make - which version of the Bucs will
show up? The Cowboys have a top 5 defense in most categories
but have been fortuitous in their schedule so far.
CB's Mario Edwards and the rookie Terence Newman have been
adequate at the least and downright good on occasion. Dallas
has feasted on bad offenses in the past weeks - DET, PHI,
ARZ and NYJ. The only good passing team that Dallas has gone
against are the Giants and Amani Toomer (126) and Ike Hilliard
(86) both had good games. Will Dallas go after Brad Johnson?
Of course they will - it is the shortest route to stopping
the passing game and it has worked against the Bucs this season.
Johnson stands a better chance this week to return to more
respectable numbers against a team that has not faced even
an average passing attack in the last month.
Michael Pittman's numbers will reflect how well the
game goes for TB. Unlike great runners, he does as well as
the team does. Look for Dallas to hold this average back to
average numbers.
| Team Comparisons Current
team rankings (1-32) by position for FF points scored
or allowed by position |
| Rank (1-32) |
QB |
RB |
WR |
TE |
PK |
DEF |
| DAL Scores |
11
|
13
|
11
|
30
|
13
|
6
|
| TB Allows |
8
|
15
|
17
|
4
|
9
|
2
|
| DAL AP |
-3 |
2 |
6 |
-26 |
-4 |
-4 |
|
| Rank (1-32) |
QB |
RB |
WR |
TE |
PK |
DEF |
| TB Scores |
4
|
10
|
6
|
5
|
32
|
9
|
| DAL Allows |
3
|
6
|
3
|
16
|
3
|
12
|
| TB AP |
-1 |
-4 |
-3 |
11 |
-28 |
3 |
|
Offensive ranks - lower =
gains more points, Defensive Ranks lower = allows less points
AP = Advantage Points, the net difference between a positional
rank gained or allowed by the teams.
| DAL |
TB |
2003 Game Averages
|
TB |
DAL |
| Gains
|
Allows
|
QB's |
Gains |
Allows
|
|
228
|
204
|
Pass
yards |
271
|
173
|
|
1.2
|
0.8
|
Pass
TDs |
2.2
|
1.2
|
|
0.8
|
1.7
|
Interceptions |
1.2
|
1.3
|
|
13
|
13
|
Rush
yards |
4
|
4
|
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
Rush
TDs |
0.0
|
0.2
|
|
---
|
---
|
RB's |
---
|
---
|
|
114
|
91
|
Rush
yards |
95
|
68
|
|
0.7
|
0.8
|
Rush
TDs |
0.3
|
0.3
|
|
38
|
32
|
Receive
yards |
73
|
36
|
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Receive
TD's |
0.2
|
0.3
|
|
---
|
---
|
WR's |
---
|
---
|
|
167
|
142
|
Receive
yards |
161
|
111
|
|
1.0
|
0.8
|
Receive
TD's |
1.3
|
0.5
|
|
---
|
---
|
TE's |
---
|
---
|
|
23
|
29
|
Receive
yards |
36
|
26
|
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Receive
TD's |
0.7
|
0.3
|
|
---
|
---
|
PK's |
---
|
---
|
|
1.5
|
1.5
|
Field
Goals |
0.5
|
1.3
|
|
3.2
|
1.7
|
Extra
Points |
3.0
|
1.5
|
|
---
|
---
|
DEF/ST |
---
|
---
|
|
0.8
|
0.3
|
Fumbles |
0.8
|
0.7
|
|
1.3
|
1.0
|
Interceptions |
1.8
|
0.5
|
|
0.5
|
0.0
|
Touchdowns |
0.2
|
0.3
|
|
1.8
|
0.7
|
Sacks |
2.3
|
2.0
|
|
0.3
|
0.0
|
Safeties |
0.0
|
0.0
|
|
|
Cowboys (5-1) |
|
Score |
Opp. |
| 13-27 |
ATL |
| 35-32 |
@NYG |
| Week 3 |
BYE |
| 17-6 |
@NYJ |
| 24-7 |
ARZ |
| 23-21 |
PHI |
| 38-7 |
@DET |
| Week 8 |
@TB |
| Week 9 |
WAS |
| Week 10 |
BUF |
| Week 11 |
@NE |
| Week 12 |
CAR |
| Week 13 |
MIA |
| Week 14 |
@PHI |
| Week 15 |
@WAS |
| Week 16 |
NYG |
| Week 17 |
@NO |
|
|
Buccaneers (3-3) |
|
Score |
Opp. |
| 17-0 |
@PHI |
| 9-12 |
CAR |
| 31-10 |
@ATL |
| Week 4 |
BYE |
| 35-38 |
IND |
| 35-13 |
@WAS |
| 7-24 |
@SF |
| Week 8 |
DAL |
| Week 9 |
NO |
| Week 10 |
@CAR |
| Week 11 |
GB |
| Week 12 |
NYG |
| Week 13 |
@JAX |
| Week 14 |
@NO |
| Week 15 |
HOU |
| Week 16 |
ATL |
| Week 17 |
@TEN |
|
* Fantasy point rankings calculated using standard Huddle
fantasy points |