The
Huddle
WEEK 9
September 3, 2003
Season Ticket
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| Green Bay vs Minnesota |
Sun, Nov 2; 8:30 PM on ESPN at
Metrodome |
| |
Green
Bay |
Rush
|
Catch
|
Pass
|
| QB |
Brett Favre |
0 |
0 |
270,2 |
| RB |
Ahman Green |
60,1 |
30 |
0 |
| TE |
Bubba Franks |
0 |
20 |
0 |
| TE |
Wesley Walls |
0 |
40,1 |
0 |
| WR |
Javon Walker |
0 |
40 |
0 |
| WR |
Donald Driver |
0 |
80,1 |
0 |
| WR |
Robert Ferguson |
0 |
50 |
0 |
|
| |
Minnesota |
Rush
|
Catch
|
Pass
|
| QB |
Daunte
Culpepper |
20 |
0 |
260,2 |
| RB |
Onterrio Smith
|
30 |
10 |
0 |
| RB |
Michael Bennett |
20 |
0 |
0 |
| RB |
Moe Williams
|
30,1 |
20 |
0 |
| TE |
J. Kleinsasser
|
0 |
10 |
0 |
| WR |
Randy Moss |
0 |
120,1 |
0 |
| WR |
D'Wayne Bates |
0 |
30 |
0 |
| WR |
Kelly Campbell |
0 |
60,1 |
0 |
|
Game Prediction: GB 24, MIN 30
Update: Michael Bennett will
be playing this week, though he will not be starting. This
means that he will get at least one play and according to
HC Mike Tice, no where near 20 carries. I am including him
in the projections but realistically he may not do much -
his status will be literally play-to-play. But in light of
this I am lowering the other rushing numbers slightly. D'Wayne
Bates is also expected to play this week and I have replaced
Nate Burleson with Bates.
The Vikings are at home and come off their first loss. The
Packers are on the road, inside a dome, against a team that
knows them well and that is leading the league in interceptions.
This game should produce some nice points.
Green Bay Notes
The Packers come off their bye week with a 3-4 record. They
trail Minnesota bye three and a half games and a loss this
week pretty much writes off the division for them if not the
playoffs.
Quarterbacks: Brett
Favre suffered a hairline fracture to his right thumb
during the Rams game but played much of the game with it.
There is no question that he will be playing this week.
Running backs: Ahman
Green continues as one of the top runners in the league
though his most recent performance in St. Louis was no help.
He ended with only 35 yards on 20 carries but added 62 more
yards on six catches including a 21-yard touchdown. Najeh
Davenport ripped off a 76 yard touchdown run in the last
game during trash time but it meant little. With Tony Fisher
nursing a groin injury, Davenport has resumed the #2 role.
Wide Receivers: The wideouts
have been languishing in obscurity lately, thanks in no small
part to the passes going to the running backs and tight ends.
Donald Driver has topped out at only 71 yards receiving
since he has returned from his concussion and now Robert
Ferguson and Javon Walker are almost used interchangeably.
While Ferguson is still on the field for a few more plays,
neither of them have been even remotely productive. Between
the two, typically they are only gaining three to five catches
a game.
Tight Ends: Bubba
Franks remains the endzone tight end with a score in week
six, but Wesley Walls is adding to the mix. Favre throws
to Walls now as much as any receiver other than Driver but
has spread out the ball so well that no one player is catching
a significant portion of the passes.
Match against the defense:
When these two teams met in week one, Favre threw four interceptions
and started the Vikings out as the best intercepting defense
which still holds true. But Favre threw for 296 yards and
two scores in MIN last season and the receiving crew is as
healthy now as it has been the entire season. The Vikings
come off a game at home where they allowed 375 yards to Kerry
Collins.
Another factor is that Ahman Green almost always scores against
the Vikings and did so twice earlier this season. However,
on the road inside a dome he only managed 35 yards last week
and only had 53 yards on the road in Arizona.
This is a big game for the Packers but their defense has
not been able to keep them in games too often this season.
The Packers have been scoring well but allowing even more
and that will cause this game to turn more towards the passing
in the second half and away from Ahman Green running. Favre
is nursing a bad thumb but will play and yet will need his
accuracy to be dead on if he is to avoid another interception-fiesta
like he gave away in week one.
Minnesota Notes
The Vikings are 6-1 and come off their first loss of the
season. They have a three game lead on the Packers in the
NFC North.
Quarterbacks: Daunte
Culpepper comes off a 241 yard, two touchdown effort against
the Giants last week but finally threw an interception this
season when rookie Keenan Howry cut a route off short. Culpepper
was hot in the first half but could not manage much in the
second half with the Giants made adjustments.
Running backs: Last week,
Moe Williams gained 69 yards on only 11 carries in
the loss and Onterrio Smith gained 32 yards. They both
had 11 carries and this week they get to see Michael Bennett
likely line up for a few plays. The Vikings may allow Bennett
to have a few carries this week since he has looked so good
in practice but there are no plans to start him for several
more weeks.
Wide Receivers: Randy
Moss leads the league with eight touchdowns and 791 receiving
yards. He scored twice last week with catches that made the
difficult look merely routine. Kelly Campbell missed
last week with a bruised right calf and Keenan Howry
(2-15) and Nate Burleson (3-71) picked up the slack.
Campbell should be back this week as well as D'Wayne Bates
who has missed the last four weeks with a bruised foot. Campbell
should return to the #2 role and Bates has likely lost it
for good.
Tight Ends: Jim Kleinsasser
has not exceeded 20 yards in the past month.
Match against the defense:
Culpepper and Moss always have a good game at home against
the Packers and even torched Green Bay as a visitor this season.
The Packers have been pretty soft against good wideouts lately,
allowing Bruce and Holt about 200 yards and two scores, Johnnie
Morton had 109 yards and only a schedule that has included
DET, ARZ and CHI has made their pass defense numbers look
average.
When these two teams played in week one, Moss had 150 yards
and a score, Culpepper had 195 yards passing and three touchdowns.
Moe Williams gained 80 yards but was not yet sharing the ball.
The Packers rushing defense is about average, but the way
the Vikings are mixing runners there is no one player that
seems to benefit.
| Team Comparisons - Current team
rankings (1-32) for FF points scored or allowed
by position |
| Rank (1-32) |
QB
|
RB
|
WR
|
TE
|
PK
|
DEF
|
| GB Scores |
16
|
1
|
25
|
9
|
15
|
16
|
| MIN Allows |
23
|
22
|
26
|
12
|
18
|
5
|
| GB AP |
7
|
21
|
1
|
3
|
3
|
-11
|
|
| Rank (1-32) |
QB
|
RB
|
WR
|
TE
|
PK
|
DEF
|
| MIN Scores |
2
|
8
|
3
|
25
|
19
|
5
|
| GB Allows |
30
|
15
|
28
|
18
|
31
|
9
|
| MIN AP |
28
|
7
|
25
|
-7
|
12
|
4
|
|
Offensive ranks lower = gains more points, Defensive
ranks lower = allows less points
AP = Advantage Points, the net difference between a positional
rank gained or allowed by the teams.
|
GB
|
MIN
|
2003 Game Averages
|
MIN
|
GB
|
|
Gains
|
Allows
|
QB's
|
Gains
|
Allows
|
|
220
|
262
|
Pass yards
|
246
|
255
|
|
1.9
|
1.1
|
Pass TDs
|
2.4
|
1.4
|
|
1.3
|
2.4
|
Interceptions
|
7.6
|
8.4
|
|
0
|
9
|
Rush yards
|
12
|
17
|
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Rush TDs
|
0.3
|
0.3
|
|
---
|
---
|
RB's
|
---
|
---
|
|
137
|
88
|
Rush yards
|
108
|
90
|
|
1.6
|
0.9
|
Rush TDs
|
0.7
|
0.6
|
|
58
|
52
|
Receive yards
|
45
|
31
|
|
0.9
|
0.1
|
Receive TD's
|
0.3
|
0.3
|
|
---
|
---
|
WR's
|
---
|
---
|
|
124
|
165
|
Receive yards
|
186
|
180
|
|
0.6
|
1.0
|
Receive TD's
|
1.7
|
1.0
|
|
---
|
---
|
TE's
|
---
|
---
|
|
39
|
45
|
Receive yards
|
16
|
44
|
|
0.4
|
0.0
|
Receive TD's
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
|
---
|
---
|
PK's
|
---
|
---
|
|
1.1
|
1.7
|
Field Goals
|
1.1
|
2.3
|
|
3.6
|
2.0
|
Extra Points
|
3.4
|
2.4
|
|
---
|
---
|
DEF/ST
|
---
|
---
|
|
0.6
|
0.6
|
Fumbles
|
0.3
|
0.6
|
|
1.3
|
0.6
|
Interceptions
|
2.4
|
1.4
|
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
Touchdowns
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
|
1.7
|
2.4
|
Sacks
|
2.4
|
1.0
|
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Safeties
|
0.3
|
0.0
|
|
|
Vikings (6-1) |
|
Score |
Opp. |
| 30-25 |
@GB |
| 24-13 |
CHI |
| 23-13 |
@DET |
| 35-7 |
SF |
| 39-26 |
@ATL |
| Week 6 |
BYE |
| 28-20 |
DEN |
| 17-29 |
NYG |
| Week 9 |
GB |
| Week 10 |
@SD |
| Week 11 |
@OAK |
| Week 12 |
DET |
| Week 13 |
@STL |
| Week 14 |
SEA |
| Week 15 |
@CHI |
| Week 16 |
KC |
| Week 17 |
@ARZ |
|
|
Packers
(3-4) |
|
Score |
Opp. |
| 25-30 |
MIN |
| 31-6 |
DET |
| 13-20 |
@ARZ |
| 38-23 |
@CHI |
| 35-13 |
SEA |
| 34-40 |
KC |
| 24-34 |
@STL |
| Week 8 |
BYE |
| Week 9 |
@MIN |
| Week 10 |
PHI |
| Week 11 |
@TB |
| Week 12 |
SF |
| Week 13 |
@DET |
| Week 14 |
CHI |
| Week 15 |
@SD |
| Week 16 |
@OAK |
| Week 17 |
DEN |
|
* Fantasy point rankings calculated using standard Huddle
fantasy points |