The
Huddle
WEEK 10
November 5, 2003
Season Ticket
|
|
| |
|
| Minnesota vs San Diego |
Sun, Nov 9; 4 PM on FOX at Qualcomm
Stadium |
| |
Minnesota |
Rush
|
Catch
|
Pass
|
| QB |
Daunte
Culpepper |
20 |
0 |
260,2 |
| RB |
Michael Bennett |
60 |
10 |
0 |
| RB |
Moe Williams
|
50,1 |
10 |
0 |
| TE |
J. Kleinsasser
|
0 |
20 |
0 |
| WR |
Randy Moss |
0 |
110,2 |
0 |
| WR |
Nate Burleson |
0 |
50 |
0 |
| WR |
D'Wayne Bates |
0 |
40 |
0 |
|
| |
San
Diego |
Rush
|
Catch
|
Pass |
| QB |
Doug Flutie |
20 |
0 |
220,1 |
| RB |
L. Tomlinson |
130,2 |
30 |
0 |
| TE |
Josh Norman |
0 |
10 |
0 |
| WR |
David Boston |
0 |
100,1 |
0 |
| WR |
Reche Caldwell |
0 |
30 |
0 |
| WR |
Tim Dwight |
0 |
40 |
0 |
|
Game Prediction: MIN 27, SD 21
Update:
Schottenheimer still has not named a starting quarterback
since he feels it is a big strategic bonus for him to keep
the Vikings guessing. But the fact that Flutie took the majority
of snaps in practice the last two days seems sort of wasted
if Brees is the intended starter. Flutie seems the most likely
pick and there seems little reason to reduce the snaps that
Brees is taking in practice if he is struggling but is still
considered the starter.
Michael Bennett will be playing, but
he is not expected to carry a full load quite yet. I have
changed the numbers to respect this but realize with Bennett
that any single run could go for 60 yards and completely change
his production.
I'm not changing his numbers, but keep
an eye on Jim Kleinsasser this week. He is becoming a bigger
part of the gameplan. I am increasing Bates numbers at the
expense of Burleson since Bates has resumed the #2 role again.
Kelly Campbell will still figure in though just as likely
on a reverse as an actual pass.
Minnesota still has a great record but has been showing holes
in their defense in the past few weeks. The return of Michael
Bennett will help the offense but this game will be all about
catching Tomlinson and batting the ball away from Randy Moss.
In the end, the Chargers will make a game of it and fall short.
Minnesota Notes
The Vikings fall to 6-2 in the NFC North with the loss to
the Packers.
Quarterbacks: Daunte
Culpepper started out hot last week when he connected
on another touchdown with Randy Moss that looked ridiculously
easy. It was not to continue. Culpepper did end the game with
202 yards and two touchdowns and rushed in a third one himself
at the end of the game but once Moss was tripled teamed and
taken out of the equation, the Vikings were unable to keep
up with Green Bay.
Running backs: The positive
note from last week was the reappearance of Michael Bennett
who ran eight times for 43 yards and had 15 yards on three
catches. Bennett's quickness was apparently not affected during
his time away as he showed speed normally reserved for military
aircraft. Moe Williams had 12 carries for 63 yards
on Sunday but should start to see his numbers decline back
into the short yardage and touchdown stealing variety.
Onterrio Smith still returns kicks if he is on your
roster and you want to see him in uniform. If you have Doug
Chapman on your roster, you might consider dropping him since
the Vikings almost did the same thing last week when Bennett
returned.
Wide Receivers: Randy
Moss grabbed the early touchdown and ended with 87 yards
on six catches but was a non-factor after the first quarter.
Nate Burleson turned in 51 yards on three catches and
D'Wayne Bates finally made a reappearance in time to
catch one pass for five yards late in the game. He was bothered
by a hamstring in the game though he missed the last several
weeks with an injured foot. He is becoming oddly similar to
Brandon Stokely this season.
Tight Ends: Jim Kleinsasser
scored once in the game and actually had a three yard carry
in the game. With the injury to LT Bryant McKinnie last week,
Kleinsasser did more pass blocking.
Match against the defense: The Chargers defense has
been so across-the-board bad this year that teams get to choose
how they want to beat them. Look for Michael Bennett to ease
back into the primary rushing role against a soft defense
and Daunte Culpepper to also enjoy finding Moss against a
secondary that made Byron Leftwich and Brian Griese look like
scoring machines.
San Diego Notes
The Chargers fall to 1-7 and have a decent chance to beat
the Falcons to the first pick in the 2004 draft.
Quarterbacks: After Drew
Brees only completed 7 of 15 passes for 49 yards, he finally
got the hook last week in Chicago. Doug Flutie entered
the game and completed 8 or 11 passes for 70 yards and showed
enough spark to make Brees uncomfortable. The decision on
which will start this week will not be made until later, but
I am assuming that Flutie starts. Brees is the quarterback
of the future, but the Chargers need a win now and Schottenheimer
is not looking like the coach of the future anyway.
Running backs: LaDainian
Tomlinson ran for only 61 yards last week but had only
16 carries and he did score once. Guaranteed that LT likes
the visiting Vikings much more than the Bears.
Wide Receivers: Chicago
has decent corners and the Chargers had no quarterback so
the wideouts had only five catches for 51 yards combined.
David Boston had only 29 yards on four catches but
both were team highs last week for all receivers. Reche
Caldwell finally returned to the playing field last week
but did not catch either of his passes.
Tight Ends: Justin
Peelle's two catches for 23 yards last week was actually
better than the last three games combined for Charger tight
ends.
Match against the defense: LaDainian Tomlinson should
have a big game here. The Vikings rush defense has been shredded
lately against top backs like Portis (117) and Ahman Green
(137) and those teams have better passing attacks.
Flutie could provide better numbers against a team that has
reverted to their old form in the secondary. In the past four
games, only Danny Kanell failed to score twice through the
air and he still managed one score. This should be the best
game for David Boston since his week five explosion back in
week five.
| Team Comparisons - Current team
rankings (1-32) for FF points scored or allowed
by position |
| Rank (1-32) |
QB
|
RB
|
WR
|
TE
|
PK
|
DEF
|
| MIN Scores |
2
|
12
|
4
|
27
|
18
|
6
|
| SD Allows |
22
|
22
|
23
|
30
|
23
|
13
|
| MIN AP |
20
|
10
|
19
|
3
|
5
|
7
|
|
| Rank (1-32) |
QB
|
RB
|
WR
|
TE
|
PK
|
DEF
|
| SD Scores |
28
|
5
|
24
|
28
|
27
|
18
|
| MIN Allows |
27
|
28
|
28
|
13
|
27
|
4
|
| SD AP |
-1
|
23
|
4
|
-15
|
0
|
-14
|
|
Offensive ranks lower = gains more points, Defensive
ranks lower = allows less points
AP = Advatage Points, the net difference between a positional
rank gained or allowed by the teams.
|
MIN
|
SD
|
2003 Game Averages
|
SD
|
MIN
|
|
Gains
|
Allows
|
QB's
|
Gains
|
Allows
|
|
253
|
232
|
Pass yards
|
189
|
272
|
|
2.3
|
1.8
|
Pass TDs
|
0.7
|
1.5
|
|
0.5
|
0.8
|
Interceptions
|
1.5
|
2.2
|
|
13
|
2
|
Rush yards
|
10
|
6
|
|
0.5
|
0.0
|
Rush TDs
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
|
---
|
---
|
RB's
|
---
|
---
|
|
103
|
109
|
Rush yards
|
117
|
120
|
|
0.7
|
0.8
|
Rush TDs
|
1.0
|
0.7
|
|
44
|
30
|
Receive yards
|
45
|
60
|
|
0.2
|
0.3
|
Receive TD's
|
0.0
|
0.3
|
|
---
|
---
|
WR's
|
---
|
---
|
|
195
|
168
|
Receive yards
|
131
|
167
|
|
1.8
|
0.8
|
Receive TD's
|
0.5
|
1.2
|
|
---
|
---
|
TE's
|
---
|
---
|
|
14
|
34
|
Receive yards
|
14
|
45
|
|
0.2
|
0.7
|
Receive TD's
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
|
---
|
---
|
PK's
|
---
|
---
|
|
1.0
|
1.7
|
Field Goals
|
1.2
|
2.0
|
|
3.5
|
2.8
|
Extra Points
|
1.8
|
2.2
|
|
---
|
---
|
DEF/ST
|
---
|
---
|
|
0.2
|
0.5
|
Fumbles
|
0.5
|
0.0
|
|
2.2
|
1.5
|
Interceptions
|
0.8
|
0.7
|
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
Touchdowns
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
|
2.3
|
2.0
|
Sacks
|
2.2
|
2.3
|
|
0.3
|
0.2
|
Safeties
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
|
|
Vikings (6-2) |
|
Score |
Opp. |
| 30-25 |
@GB |
| 24-13 |
CHI |
| 23-13 |
@DET |
| 35-7 |
SF |
| 39-26 |
@ATL |
| Week 6 |
BYE |
| 28-20 |
DEN |
| 17-29 |
NYG |
| 27-30 |
GB |
| Week 10 |
@SD |
| Week 11 |
@OAK |
| Week 12 |
DET |
| Week 13 |
@STL |
| Week 14 |
SEA |
| Week 15 |
@CHI |
| Week 16 |
KC |
| Week 17 |
@ARZ |
|
|
Chargers (1-7) |
|
Score |
Opp. |
| 14-27 |
@KC |
| 13-37 |
DEN |
| 10-24 |
BAL |
| 31-34 |
@OAK |
| 21-27 |
@JAX |
| Week 6 |
BYE |
| 26-20 |
@CLE |
| 10-26 |
MIA |
| 7-20 |
@CHI |
| Week 10 |
MIN |
| Week 11 |
@DEN |
| Week 12 |
CIN |
| Week 13 |
KC |
| Week 14 |
@DET |
| Week 15 |
GB |
| Week 16 |
@PIT |
| Week 17 |
OAK |
|
* Fantasy point rankings calculated using standard Huddle
fantasy points |