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Predictions & Projections
By David M. Dorey
 
The Huddle
WEEK 10
November 5, 2003
Season Ticket
Sun 1 PM TB at CAR Sun 4 PM Sun 8:30 PM Bye Weeks
ARZ at PIT HOU at CIN TB at CAR BAL at STL Denver
ATL at NYG IND at JAX MIN at SD Mon 9 PM New England
CHI at DET MIA at TEN BUF at DAL PHI at GB New Orleans
CLE at KC SEA at WAS NYJ at OAK *updated San Francisco
   
Seattle vs Washington Sun, Nov 9; 1 PM on FOX at FedEx Field
  Seattle Rush Catch Pass
QB Matt Hasselbeck 0 0 250,2
RB Shaun Alexander 100,1 30 0
TE Itula Mili 0 40,1 0
WR Darrell Jackson 0 80 0
WR Bobby Engram 0 60,1 0
WR Koren Robinson 0 30 0
  Washington Rush Catch Pass
QB Patrick Ramsey 0 0 200,1
RB Trung Canidate 60 10 0
RB Ladell Betts D D D
TE Byron Chamberlain 0 (wink) 0
WR Lavernues Coles 0 70,1 0
WR Rod Gardner 0 60 0
WR Darnerian McCants 0 50 0

Game Prediction: SEA 21, WAS 10

Update: Robinson is still listed as questionable this week and has not practiced but is still considered likely to play. How much and how well remains to be seen, so I am including him with minimal numbers. He is obviously not a safe start this week and Jackson and Engram are better bets to make a difference in the passing game.

The Seahawks visit the Redskins and while Washington is due to win one eventually, it may be 2004 at current rate.

Seattle has consistently scored around 24 points a game this season and the Redskins average allowing about 23 points at home. The Seahawks have held opponents to under 20 points in most games this season. No reason to expect much different this week.

Consider too that if Washington loses here, they go on two road trips to Miami and Carolina.

Seattle Notes

Seattle rises to 6-2 and has a one game lead on the Rams in the NFC West.

Quarterbacks: After posting a nice 347 yard, three touchdown game against the Bengals (though it was a loss), Matt Hasselbeck returned to more pedestrian numbers last week when he threw for 215 yards and one score against the Steelers. Just as importantly, he threw no interceptions for the first time in five games and now has scored in four consecutive games.

Running backs: Shaun Alexander only gained 48 yards on 20 carries last week but most of those were on his own effort and he scored one touchdown. The Steelers were very effective in shutting him down and daring the Seahawks to beat them with the pass which they did. Maurice Morris had his traditional three carries in the game but gained 47 yards thanks to ripping off a nice 43-yard run. Alexander should like his trip to our nation's capitol.

Wide Receivers: Darrell Jackson turned in a nice five catch, 85-yard effort against the Bengals last week with one touchdown though he dropped another that could have scored. Koren Robinson only managed two catches for 35 yards before leaving the game with yet another injury. This time he bruised his left ankle and it is unknown if he will play this week. I am assuming he is out until further word.

Tight Ends: Itula Mili had two touchdowns and 80 yards two weeks ago but only managed two catches for 21 yard on Sunday, a much more typical day.

Match against the defense: Everyone has delighted in playing the Redskins the past month.

Shaun Alexander faces the team that allowed Hambrick (100-2) and Henry (167-2) to rack up good numbers in the past two games.

The Redskins corners have been banged up but may both be okay this week. Champ Bailey has been bothered with a shoulder injury and would face Darrell Jackson on most plays. Fred Smoots should be back in time to cover either Robinson or his replacement if needed. Most teams fear Bailey enough to rarely throw against him so without Robinson in the lineup the passing could be tougher if Jackson goes against Bailey.

In any case, a team like the Redskins typically gives up bigger yards to tight ends and #3 receivers though teams will more often move receivers around to gain better matchups. Washington has only allowed one 100 yard receiver this season (Josh Reed - 109 yards).

Washington Notes

The Redskins drip down to 3-5 on the season with the Dallas loss and are on a four game losing skid.

Quarterbacks: Patrick Ramsey threw for two scores last week in Dallas but has had to be relieved in the past three games while he tries to catch his breath and tape back on any body parts that have been knocked off during the game. Ramsey is getting little protection in the pocket and he is being battered on almost every play.

Ramsey currently has a dislocated left pinky finger and a bruised left forearm but is expected to play. Can you say safety blitz?

Running backs: The good news is that Trung Canidate is expected to return this week. That is fortunate since the Redskins just lost Chad Morton (ankle) this week and possibly Sultan McCullough as well. Ladell Betts is of course out with his broken forearm. Morton was also the punt and kick returner which now will be handled by Patrick Johnson.

Wide Receivers: Lavernues Coles managed a touchdown last week before the wheels wobbled off and Taylor Jacobs also scored on his one catch which makes him a touchdown machine since he has only ever had two receptions in the NFL. Coles actually led receivers with four catches and Patrick Johnson had three for 55 yards. If Ramsey finally breaks, Tim Hasselbeck is unlikely to have a positiive effect on this crew.

Tight Ends: If you want worthless, be a Redskin tight end. Last week Byron Chamberlain never had a catch because he was inactive for the game. But he still gets paid, so he has that going for him.

Match against the defense: DT Norman Hand is out indefinitely after suffering a torn tendon in his right biceps last week which will have a negative effect on the rush defense but it may not show up here.

The Redskins are at home where they play better so there is hope that Canidate's return will help spark the team in the way that Spurrier has been incapable of doing. The Seahawks last two road games have seen the opposing quarterback throw for two scores each but the success by Ramsey will depend on how long he is standing in the game. The Seahawks love a good safety blitz and there seems little reason to not expect it.

Trung Canidate has never scored a touchdown as a Redskin and never had a 100 yard game as well. That is unlikely to change.

Team Comparisons - Current team rankings (1-32) for FF points scored or allowed by position
Rank (1-32)
QB
RB
WR
TE
PK
DEF
SEA Scores
10
11
9
11
10
23
WAS Allows
28
27
20
32
7
25
SEA AP
18
16
11
21
-3
2
Rank (1-32)
QB
RB
WR
TE
PK
DEF
WAS Scores
18
29
7
32
16
20
SEA Allows
17
19
18
4
30
20
WAS AP
-1
-10
11
-28
-14
0
Offensive ranks lower = gains more points, Defensive ranks lower = allows less points
AP = Advatage Points, the net difference between a positional rank gained or allowed by the teams.
SEA
WAS
2003 Game Averages
WAS
SEA
Gains
Allows
QB's
Gains
Allows
244
238
Pass yards
211
199
1.3
2.0
Pass TDs
1.2
1.0
1.3
1.3
Interceptions
0.7
0.7
13
8
Rush yards
7
7
0.0
0.0
Rush TDs
0.2
0.3
---
---
RB's
---
---
103
122
Rush yards
74
102
0.8
0.8
Rush TDs
0.3
0.8
37
45
Receive yards
46
19
0.2
0.3
Receive TD's
0.0
0.2
---
---
WR's
---
---
176
141
Receive yards
158
155
0.7
1.2
Receive TD's
1.2
0.8
---
---
TE's
---
---
32
53
Receive yards
7
25
0.5
0.5
Receive TD's
0.0
0.0
---
---
PK's
---
---
1.7
0.8
Field Goals
1.7
2.0
2.3
3.2
Extra Points
1.7
2.3
---
---
DEF/ST
---
---
0.3
0.3
Fumbles
0.7
0.7
0.7
0.8
Interceptions
1.3
1.2
0.2
0.3
Touchdowns
0.0
0.0
2.0
3.2
Sacks
1.2
3.2
0.0
0.0
Safeties
0.0
0.0
Seahawks (6-2)
Score Opp.
27-10 NO
38-0 @ARZ
24-23 STL
Week 4 BYE
13-35 @GB
20-19 SF
24-17 CHI
24-27 @CIN
23-16 PIT
Week 10 @WAS
Week 11 DET
Week 12 @BAL
Week 13 CLE
Week 14 @MIN
Week 15 @STL
Week 16 ARZ
Week 17 @SF
Redskins (3-5)
Score Opp.
16-13 NYJ
33-31 @ATL
21-24 NYG
20-17 NE
25-27 @PHI
13-35 TB
7-24 @BUF
Week 8 BYE
14-21 @DAL
Week 10 SEA
Week 11 @CAR
Week 12 @MIA
Week 13 NO
Week 14 @NYG
Week 15 DAL
Week 16 @CHI
Week 17 PHI

* Fantasy point rankings calculated using standard Huddle fantasy points