The
Huddle
WEEK 10
November 5, 2003
Season Ticket
|
|
| |
|
| Tampa Bay vs Carolina |
Sun, Nov 9; 1 PM on FOX at Ericsson
Stadium |
| |
Tampa
Bay |
Rush
|
Catch
|
Pass |
| QB |
Brad Johnson
|
0 |
0 |
280,2 |
| RB |
Michael Pittman
|
60 |
30 |
0 |
| TE |
Ken Dilger |
0 |
20,1 |
0 |
| WR |
Keyshawn Johnson
|
0 |
80 |
0 |
| WR |
Keenan McCardell
|
0 |
100,1 |
0 |
|
| |
Carolina |
Rush
|
Catch
|
Pass
|
| QB |
Jake Delhomme |
0 |
0 |
140,1 |
| RB |
Stephen Davis |
60 |
0 |
0 |
| RB |
De'Shaun Foster |
60 |
0 |
0 |
| TE |
Kris Mangum |
0 |
20,1 |
0 |
| WR |
Muhsin Muhammad |
0 |
40 |
0 |
| WR |
Ricky Proehl |
0 |
20 |
0 |
| WR |
Steve Smith |
0 |
50 |
0 |
|
Game Prediction: TB 20, CAR 17
Update: Now Stephen Davis has
missed the last two days of practice with a sprained ankle
that apparently just "popped up". He has not been
ruled out of the game this week but he has not practiced either,
receiving eight hours of treatment a day. He even conceded
there was a chance that he might not play, though he also
said he was sure he would play.
All we know is that he has not practiced,
is getting treatment all day every day and his coach is trying
to hide which ankle is actually bothering him. I am adding
in Foster into the rushing mix and lowering Davis' numbers.
He may play the entire game, he may play some and be limited
and could still miss the game all together depending on how
well obviously very dedicated treatment goes.
These two teams always play it tough and the Panthers have
a tendency to either lose a game outright or just barely win
it. Five of their six wins have been by less than a touchdown.
The Buccaneers are on an incredible every other game plan
and have yet to win or lose twice in a row this season. This
is a huge game - make no doubt. If Carolina wins, they rise
to 7-2 with a three game lead over the Bucs. If they lose,
there is only one game separating them with lots of time to
make it up.
This game could go either way but the Bucs can win it. They
should have won their week two matchup were it not for a series
of special team gaffes. The Panthers are playing well but
their passing game is limited to only Steve Smith who only
had 37 yards in the previous game. The Bucs are ready to make
a stand and their recent loss to the Saints is just one of
those odd matchup problems compounded, perhaps, by them looking
ahead to this week.
The Panthers have played just well enough to win six times
but have no passing game outside of covering one player. This
game is too big for Gruden not to rally the troops.
Tampa Bay Notes
The Buccaneers fall to 4-4 with their third home loss and
continue their trend of losing every other game this season.
Quarterbacks: Brad
Johnson is hardly to blame for the losses by the Bucs
this season. Johnson already has 2080 yards passing and his
16 touchdowns is tied for the league's best. Not surprisingly,
in the every other week loss his numbers normally exceed 300
yards. This week they are planning a win and normally he has
lesser games in those though he did have four touchdowns in
the win over the Redskins.
Running backs: Michael
Pittman only had 48 yards on 16 rushes last week against
the Saints but added 49 yards on six catches with one touchdown.
The Gruden system of sharing has been replaced with Pittman
carrying the full load now and gaining yards on catches if
the run is not working. Aaron Stecker and Thomas
Jones are rarely used anymore.
Pittman strained his left knee last week but is expected
to play this week with no problems.
RT Cornell Green has a left ankle sprain that will make him
questionable to play this week which makes the patchwork offensive
line that much weaker.
Wide Receivers: After
running mostly his mouth, Keyshawn Johnson finally
turned in a big game last week, catching 10 passes for 124
yards though as usual Keenan McCardell (5-75) scored
the touchdown for the wideouts. McCardell already has 580
yards receiving and five touchdowns on the season.
Joe Jurevicius will try to practice this week but
is still questionable to play.
Tight Ends: Last week
Ken Dilger and Todd Yoder only had one catch
each against the Saints and are getting less use every week.
Match against the defense: The last time these two
teams played - week two of this season - it ended up as a
12-9 Panther win when the Bucs could not keep an extra point
or field goal from getting blocked. These matchups are always
low scoring. Last season they split games 12-9 and 10-23.
Pittman only had 38 yards rushing in that game and his line
is worse now.
Brad Johnson threw for 339 yards and one score (to McCardell
of course) and Keyshawn Johnson had 102 yards on nine catches
in week two. Chances are very good he will be throwing a lot
this week as well.
Carolina Notes
The Panthers fall to 6-2 with their loss to Houston but still
command a two game lead over Tampa Bay in the NFC South.
Quarterbacks: Jake
Delhomme comes off a disappointing 13 of 23 for 193 yards
effort with one touchdown and an interception against the
Texans. While he managed 362 yards against the Titans in week
six, he remains a sure bet for a sub-200 yard game each week.
Running backs: Stephen
Davis carried 30 times for 153 yards last week and has
absolutely feasted on bad defenses this season. That makes
his sixth 100 yard game of the year.
Wide Receivers: Steve
Smith has been a major surprise this season and again
turned in a nice 88 yard effort with one touchdown last week.
He has either a touchdown and/or 100 yards the past four weeks.
Since Muhsin Muhammad continues to struggle with drops
and getting open, there is little reason to expect anything
to change soon here.
Tight Ends: No real impact
lately. Mike Seidman has a sprained ankle but may play
this week.
Match against the defense: S John Lynch is expected
back this week after missing the last two games with nerve
damage but S Jermaine Phillips broke his right forearm and
S John Howell has a hamstring strain that will keep them out
this week.
The Panthers only had 96 yards passing in their previous
matchup but Stephen Davis had 33 carries for 142 yards in
that game. With the injuries to the Bucs defense and Davis
being healthy again, there is little reason to expect much
more than another 30 carry day by Davis.
| Team Comparisons - Current team
rankings (1-32) for FF points scored or allowed
by position |
| Rank (1-32) |
QB
|
RB
|
WR
|
TE
|
PK
|
DEF
|
| TB Scores |
5
|
10
|
12
|
5
|
30
|
5
|
| CAR Allows |
15
|
4
|
15
|
20
|
14
|
8
|
| TB AP |
10
|
-6
|
-3
|
-15
|
-16
|
3
|
|
| Rank (1-32) |
QB
|
RB
|
WR
|
TE
|
PK
|
DEF
|
| CAR Scores |
27
|
3
|
23
|
24
|
7
|
19
|
| TB Allows |
6
|
17
|
17
|
5
|
4
|
17
|
| CAR AP |
-21
|
14
|
-6
|
-19
|
-3
|
-2
|
|
Offensive ranks lower = gains more points, Defensive
ranks lower = allows less points
AP = Advatage Points, the net difference between a positional
rank gained or allowed by the teams.
|
TB
|
CAR
|
2003 Game Averages
|
CAR
|
TB
|
|
Gains
|
Allows
|
QB's
|
Gains
|
Allows
|
|
255
|
194
|
Pass yards
|
196
|
210
|
|
2.2
|
1.2
|
Pass TDs
|
0.8
|
1.0
|
|
1.2
|
0.7
|
Interceptions
|
0.3
|
1.7
|
|
6
|
12
|
Rush yards
|
2
|
9
|
|
0.0
|
0.2
|
Rush TDs
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
|
---
|
---
|
RB's
|
---
|
---
|
|
98
|
107
|
Rush yards
|
162
|
89
|
|
0.3
|
0.3
|
Rush TDs
|
0.8
|
0.8
|
|
63
|
20
|
Receive yards
|
39
|
38
|
|
0.3
|
0.0
|
Receive TD's
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
|
---
|
---
|
WR's
|
---
|
---
|
|
153
|
127
|
Receive yards
|
125
|
145
|
|
1.0
|
1.0
|
Receive TD's
|
0.7
|
1.0
|
|
---
|
---
|
TE's
|
---
|
---
|
|
39
|
47
|
Receive yards
|
32
|
28
|
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
Receive TD's
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
|
---
|
---
|
PK's
|
---
|
---
|
|
0.7
|
1.7
|
Field Goals
|
2.2
|
1.0
|
|
3.0
|
1.8
|
Extra Points
|
1.8
|
2.0
|
|
---
|
---
|
DEF/ST
|
---
|
---
|
|
0.8
|
1.2
|
Fumbles
|
0.5
|
1.0
|
|
1.8
|
0.3
|
Interceptions
|
0.7
|
1.0
|
|
0.2
|
0.2
|
Touchdowns
|
0.2
|
0.2
|
|
2.5
|
1.3
|
Sacks
|
2.3
|
1.5
|
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Safeties
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
|
|
Buccaneers (4-4) |
|
Score |
Opp. |
| 17-0 |
@PHI |
| 9-12 |
CAR |
| 31-10 |
@ATL |
| Week 4 |
BYE |
| 35-38 |
IND |
| 35-13 |
@WAS |
| 7-24 |
@SF |
| 16-0 |
DAL |
| 14-17 |
NO |
| Week 10 |
@CAR |
| Week 11 |
GB |
| Week 12 |
NYG |
| Week 13 |
@JAX |
| Week 14 |
@NO |
| Week 15 |
HOU |
| Week 16 |
ATL |
| Week 17 |
@TEN |
|
|
Panthers
(6-2) |
|
Score |
Opp. |
| 24-23 |
JAX |
| 12-9 |
@TB |
| Week 3 |
BYE |
| 23-3 |
ATL |
| 19-13 |
NO |
| 23-20 |
@IND |
| 17-37 |
TEN |
| 23-20 |
@NO |
| 14-10 |
@HOU |
| Week 10 |
TB |
| Week 11 |
WAS |
| Week 12 |
@DAL |
| Week 13 |
PHI |
| Week 14 |
@ATL |
| Week 15 |
@ARZ |
| Week 16 |
DET |
| Week 17 |
@NYG |
|
* Fantasy point rankings calculated using standard Huddle
fantasy points |