The
Huddle
WEEK 11
November 12, 2003
Season Ticket
|
|
| |
|
| Baltimore vs Miami |
Sun, Nov 16; 1 PM on CBS at Pro
Player Stadium |
| |
Baltimore |
Rush
|
Catch
|
Pass
|
| QB |
Anthony Wright |
20 |
0 |
160 |
| QB |
Chris Redman |
0 |
0 |
130 |
| RB |
Jamal Lewis |
90,1 |
20 |
0 |
| TE |
Todd Heap |
0 |
50 |
0 |
| WR |
Travis Taylor |
0 |
50 |
0 |
| WR |
Frank Sanders |
Q |
Q |
Q |
| WR |
Marcus Robinson |
0 |
20 |
0 |
|
| |
Miami |
Rush
|
Catch
|
Pass
|
| QB |
Brian Griese |
10 |
0 |
150,1 |
| RB |
Ricky Williams
|
60 |
10 |
0 |
| TE |
Randy McMichael
|
0 |
40,1 |
0 |
| WR |
Chris Chambers
|
0 |
40 |
0 |
| WR |
Derrius Thompson
|
0 |
20 |
0 |
| WR |
James McKnight
|
0 |
30 |
0 |
|
Game Prediction: BAL 10, MIA 13
Update:
The Ravens opted to use Anthony Wright as the starter over
Redman, preferring his running, passing, play calling and
all other non-Redman qualities. How that works out is hard
to project since Wright's last start was with the Cowboys
in 2001.
This is another coin flip game regardless of the six points
favoring the Fins. Miami is reeling right now and not playing
cohesively - something you do not want happening when facing
the Ravens. Miami is only 1-3 at home and starting to look
desperate.
But you cannot discount that the Ravens are saddled with
a likely ineffective passing game and will rely on running
Lewis as expected. The entire game comes down to being able
to stop Lewis because without him, the Ravens defense cannot
score enough points to keep up with the Dolphins.
This should be a very low scoring, defensive matchup that
could be decided on a long play or defensive score which favors
the Dolphins. If the Fins lose another one at home, Wannstedt
can pretty much call this job a wrap.
Baltimore Notes
The Ravens fall to 5-4 after their loss to the Rams and are
only one game ahead of Cincinnati in the AFC North.
Quarterbacks: Last week
was made the Ravens dream of games where Kyle Boller
would only throw for 95 yards and just one interception. While
Boller was injured last week, by the time the smoke cleared
he and Chris Redman combined for an astounding three
interceptions and two fumbles while passing for only 170 yards
and one score. Now that Boller is out of the picture, Redman
is back in. This is not a good thing.
Running backs: Jamal
Lewis still gained 111 yards and one touchdown last week
after missing the mark the previous Sunday. He has gone over
100 yards rushing in seven of nine games this season.
Wide Receivers: Travis
Taylor had 65 yards last week though the one 40 yard catch
made that difference. Hopefully he treasures last week's numbers
since last year he never had more than 57 yards in any game
where Redman was the quarterback. He also never has scored
with Redman as the passer.
Frank Sanders will be out for a few weeks with a sprained
ankle, so Marcus Robinson will move up to the #2 spot
to help block for Lewis.
Tight Ends: Todd Heap
had six catches for 49 yards last week, oddly all coming either
at the very start or end of the game. With Redman last season,
Heap had six games. He scored four times - two games with
two touchdowns each. Otherwise he had four games of only 20,
20, 53 and 38 yards receiving with no scores. It will be feast
or famine with Redman.
Match against the defense:
To no surprise, the Ravens will be thinking "RUN!".
The Dolphins likely have taped a picture of Jamal Lewis on
every locker. LB Zack Thomas should be back this week after
missing the Tennessee game with a groin strain and he will
be needed to slow Lewis. CB Patrick Surtain should be back
as well after missing last week with a sprained ankle.
The Dolphins have not allowed a 100 yard rusher this season
though Edgerrin James (89 yards, 1 TD) came close. Then again,
Manning and Harrison were a bigger concern than Redman and...
and... well anyone else. Lewis goes to Miami where they are
beside themselves wanting a good win. Other than James, Travis
Henry only gained seven yards in Miami. This will be a defense
loaded up extra for Lewis and should be able to handle him,
especially with Thomas back.
Last season these two teams met in Miami as well and Lewis
only managed 47 yards in that game.
Redman will throw but at this point it is expected he will
be handing off a lot and trying to occasionally throw it at
Heap.
Miami Notes
The Dolphins fall to 5-4 and are on a two game losing streak.
They trail the Patriots by two games in the AFC East. Dave
Wannstedt is entering into "save my job" mode now
which will be interesting.
Quarterbacks: The Dolphins
will not decide on the starting quarterback until after practice
on Wednesday. Brian Griese was horrible in Tennessee,
throwing three interceptions and losing two fumbles. Jay
Fiedler may not turn in big games, but he is the safer
alternative that Miami wants to use if he can go after missing
the last three games with a sprained knee.
I am assuming Griese gets one more chance pending any news
later this week.
Running backs: After
starting the season as expected, Ricky Williams has
gone into the tank. He has not gained over 100 yards rushing
in six games and has only 73 yards rushing in the last two
games combined. The blocking is definitely part of the problem
and comes from the same group that has given up nine sacks
in the past two weeks. The games have gotten away from Miami
lately such that Williams only has 13 carries in each of the
past two games. Facing the Ravens is not typically how you
improve a running problem.
Wide Receivers: Chris
Chambers comes off his worst game in a month and gets
to face the only defense that shut down Tory Holt. Derrius
Thompson has yet to show why he owns a jersey, let alone
a starting spot. James McKnight is supposed to be getting
more play with the apparent inability of Thompson to get open
or make a catch, but even he had only one catch last week.
Tight Ends: Randy
McMichael had three catches last week but it was his worst
game in a month. McMichael had actually benefited from having
Griese this season until last week.
Match against the defense:
The Ravens rush defense has been great this season, allowing
only Tomlinson to eclipse the 100 yard mark in week 3 and
holding almost all runners to a sub-4.0 yard average. Faulk
only had 48 yards on 20 carries last week and that was with
a much vaunted passing game to worry about.
Ricky Williams had 102 yards and two scores against the Ravens
last season but considering how the two teams are playing
now, that is too much to hope to see.
Griese will need to pass and the Ravens no doubt saw the
success of blitzes by the Titans last week. This has the markings
of a low scoring, defensive match up.
| Team Comparisons - Current team
rankings (1-32) for FF points scored or allowed
by position |
| Rank (1-32) |
QB
|
RB
|
WR
|
TE
|
PK
|
DEF
|
| BAL Scores |
31
|
8
|
32
|
2
|
4
|
6
|
| MIA Allows |
13
|
5
|
14
|
9
|
6
|
27
|
| BAL AP |
-18
|
-3
|
-18
|
7
|
2
|
21
|
|
| Rank (1-32) |
QB
|
RB
|
WR
|
TE
|
PK
|
DEF
|
| MIA Scores |
28
|
27
|
26
|
9
|
23
|
4
|
| BAL Allows |
6
|
12
|
6
|
21
|
17
|
24
|
| MIA AP |
-22
|
-15
|
-20
|
12
|
-6
|
-20
|
|
Offensive ranks = #1 gains most points, Defensive
ranks = #1 allows least points
AP = Advantage Points, the net difference between a positional
rank gained or allowed by the teams.
|
BAL
|
MIA
|
2003 Game Averages
|
MIA
|
BAL
|
|
Gains
|
Allows
|
QB's
|
Gains
|
Allows
|
|
154
|
227
|
Pass yards
|
186
|
197
|
|
0.9
|
0.7
|
Pass TDs
|
1.0
|
1.0
|
|
2.9
|
1.7
|
Interceptions
|
1.1
|
1.6
|
|
3
|
10
|
Rush yards
|
4
|
8
|
|
0.0
|
0.1
|
Rush TDs
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
|
---
|
---
|
RB's
|
---
|
---
|
|
136
|
71
|
Rush yards
|
80
|
84
|
|
0.9
|
0.6
|
Rush TDs
|
0.6
|
0.6
|
|
28
|
42
|
Receive yards
|
33
|
37
|
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Receive TD's
|
0.0
|
0.1
|
|
---
|
---
|
WR's
|
---
|
---
|
|
61
|
146
|
Receive yards
|
100
|
124
|
|
0.3
|
0.7
|
Receive TD's
|
0.9
|
0.4
|
|
---
|
---
|
TE's
|
---
|
---
|
|
65
|
39
|
Receive yards
|
53
|
36
|
|
0.6
|
0.0
|
Receive TD's
|
0.1
|
0.4
|
|
---
|
---
|
PK's
|
---
|
---
|
|
2.4
|
1.3
|
Field Goals
|
1.3
|
1.7
|
|
2.1
|
1.7
|
Extra Points
|
2.0
|
2.0
|
|
---
|
---
|
DEF/ST
|
---
|
---
|
|
0.6
|
1.3
|
Fumbles
|
0.9
|
1.1
|
|
1.6
|
1.0
|
Interceptions
|
1.9
|
1.3
|
|
0.3
|
0.3
|
Touchdowns
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
|
2.9
|
2.1
|
Sacks
|
2.9
|
2.1
|
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Safeties
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
|
|
Ravens (5-4) |
|
Score |
Opp. |
| 15-34 |
@PIT |
| 33-13 |
CLE |
| 24-10 |
@SD |
| 10-17 |
KC |
| Week 5 |
BYE |
| 26-18 |
@ARZ |
| 26-34 |
@CIN |
| 26-6 |
DEN |
| 24-17 |
JAX |
| 22-33 |
@STL |
| Week 11 |
@MIA |
| Week 12 |
SEA |
| Week 13 |
SF |
| Week 14 |
CIN |
| Week 15 |
@OAK |
| Week 16 |
@CLE |
| Week 17 |
PIT |
|
|
Dolphins (5-4) |
|
Score |
Opp. |
| 20-21 |
HOU |
| 21-10 |
@NYJ |
| 17-7 |
BUF |
| Week 4 |
BYE |
| 23-10 |
@NYG |
| 24-10 |
@JAX |
| 13-19 |
NE |
| 26-10 |
@SD |
| 17-23 |
IND |
| 7-31 |
@TEN |
| Week 11 |
BAL |
| Week 12 |
WAS |
| Week 13 |
@DAL |
| Week 14 |
@NE |
| Week 15 |
PHI |
| Week 16 |
@BUF |
| Week 17 |
NYJ |
|
* Fantasy point rankings calculated using standard Huddle
fantasy points |