The
Huddle
WEEK 11
November 12, 2003
Season Ticket
|
|
| |
|
| Dallas vs New England |
Sun, Nov 16; 8:30 PM on ESPN at
Gillette Stadium |
| |
Dallas |
Rush
|
Catch
|
Pass
|
| QB |
Quincy Carter
|
0 |
0 |
170 |
| RB |
Richie Anderson |
10 |
20 |
0 |
| RB |
Adrian Murrell |
20 |
10 |
0 |
| RB |
Troy Hambrick
|
60 |
10 |
0 |
| TE |
Dan Campbell |
0 |
30 |
0 |
| WR |
Joey Galloway
|
0 |
20 |
0 |
| WR |
Terry Glenn |
0 |
30 |
0 |
| WR |
Antonio Bryant
|
0 |
40 |
0 |
|
| |
New
England |
Rush
|
Catch
|
Pass
|
| QB |
Tom Brady |
0 |
0 |
230,2 |
| RB |
Kevin Faulk |
30 |
30 |
0 |
| RB |
Antowain Smith |
50 |
10 |
0 |
| TE |
Daniel Graham |
0 |
50,1 |
0 |
| WR |
Troy Brown |
0 |
40,1 |
0 |
| WR |
Deion Branch |
0 |
50 |
0 |
| WR |
Bethel Johnson |
0 |
30 |
0 |
|
Game Prediction: DAL 9, NE 17
This is an absolutely fascinating game to analyze and watch
because it actually features the same team in different stages
of development. Bill Parcells and Bill Belichick are frick-n-frack
with these sort of franchises and considering their long association
it is not surprising.
Both squads have excellent safeties and cornerbacks. Both
have fast linebackers and yet are most susceptible to the
run up the gut from a lack of big run stoppers as about their
only weakness.
On offense you have sets of receivers that are mixed and
matched differently every game, a power runner that seems
to underperform (Smith and Hambrick) and quicker #2 backs
(Murrell and Faulk). The big difference to this game is that
Brady is much more developed than Carter and the Pats are
at home.
Both teams will likely be looking for a runner and both offensive
and defensive linemen in the draft.
This should be an interesting game but lower scoring from
two good defenses butting heads with two similar offenses.
Dallas Notes
The Cowboys rise to 7-2 and lead the NFC East by one game
over Philadelphia. They are tied for the second best record
in the NFL.
Quarterbacks: Quincy
Carter comes off his lowest passing total of the season
- only 116 yards against the Bills with one touchdown and
no interceptions. He has not exceeded 200 yards in five games
after a very hot start to the season. When faced with good
secondaries like the Eagles, Buccaneers and Bills, he has
not exceeded 150 yards and only scored once.
Running backs: Last week
provided some controversy when Parcells opted to run Adrian
Murrell 16 times for 76 yards while Troy Hambrick
only had 13 carries for 33 yards. Parcells was blunt about
the fact that there is no change in the rushing roles. He
saw Murrell doing better since he was faster and more elusive
than Hambrick and stuck with him. Hambrick is still the starter
and primary back, but the Cowboys will obviously use the player
that is working out better in the game. In Hambrick's case,
that has to hurt since Murrell has spent the last two years
taking naps and watching TV while Hambrick played.
This is a committee situation and always has been but against
weaker opponents, mashing Hambrick into the line has made
more sense. As the opponent's begin to get tougher (NE, CAR
and MIA are next), the actual game roles of Hambrick, Murrell,
Anderson and Cason may change week to week.
Wide Receivers: With
Carter's diminishing numbers, the wideouts have been hard
hit. Joey Galloway actually led the crew with only
30 yards on two catches and Terry Glenn settled back
down to only one catch for 19 yards. Facing the tough Patriot
defense will keep the numbers low.
Tight Ends: Dan Campbell
had the lone touchdown last week but is splitting catches
with Jason Witten.
Match against the defense:
Quincy Carter faces probably his toughest secondary of the
season when he goes against Ty Law, Tyrone Poole and Rodney
Harrison. Carter has been struggling against average secondaries
and now gets to face one of the most talented and complex
defenses in the league. Look for low passing numbers unless
Bill Parcells has been waiting years to spring some trick
play on his protégé Bill Belichick.
The running game is also going to be challenged to get on
track and will likely result in using more than Hambrick in
the game. The Cowboys may have better rush defense numbers,
but they have not faced runners like Clinton Portis or Ricky
Williams this season. Look for lower numbers for the Cowboys
offense in all facets.
New England Notes
The Patriots are 7-2 and lead the AFC East by two games.
They are on a five game winning streak and are 4-0 at home.
They are also coming off their bye week.
Quarterbacks: Tom
Brady shredded the Broncos in his last game, throwing
for 350 yards and three scores. That makes three consecutive
weeks he has exceeded 259 yards passing and oddly he either
has no touchdowns (4) or multiple passing scores (4) in games
this season with the lone exception of the Tennessee game
when he had only one touchdown. His lowest efforts have always
been at home, a function of leading in those games.
Running backs: The Patriot
rushing attack is still looking for the first 100 yard game
runner and Kevin Faulk has gone as high as 96 yards,
but the Patriots have always been a mix-n-match offense with
the tailbacks. While Faulk had 96 yards in week eight, he
only had 20 yards against the Broncos in week nine.
Antowain Smith mixes in as the power back but has
only one game over 56 yards rushing. Mike Cloud has
not had a carry in three weeks so you can drop him from your
fantasy roster now.
Wide Receivers: Only
Troy Brown and Bethel Johnson have been healthy
all season but David Givens and Deion Branch
have joined in along the way to provide a good, if not
hard to predict set of receivers. The group will be tested
against the top secondary of the Cowboys.
David Patten is now on injured reserve.
Tight Ends: Daniel
Graham has stepped up the last few weeks and totaled 149
yards, 11 catches and a score in the past two games. While
Christian Fauria was always been a security blanket
for Brady, he has not scored since week two nor had more than
two catches since week four. This is now Graham's role and
he is filling it nicely.
Match against the defense:
The Cowboys have not allowed an opposing quarterback to throw
for over 151 yards since week four. What gets a little lost
in the numbers is that they have not faced great quarterbacks
who needed to throw the ball to win. Brad Johnson only had
151 yards and one score but the Cowboys were shutout. When
Dallas faced Kerry Collins, they gave up 265 yards and three
touchdowns.
The challenge for Dallas is that while the secondary is very
good, there is not just one or two receivers for New England
that need to be locked down. The complicated passing scheme
will prove a new challenge but one that Dallas should manage
to hold to at least moderate success. Which receivers that
favors is hard to predict in this matchup.
The Patriots will also be challenged to establish a run though
the most successful runners (Buckhalter, Pittman and Henry)
are more similar to Antowain Smith than Kevin Faulk. The Cowboys
feature fast linebackers and the better bet is to bash Smith
inside where the Cowboys are weakest.
| Team Comparisons - Current team
rankings (1-32) for FF points scored or allowed
by position |
| Rank (1-32) |
QB
|
RB
|
WR
|
TE
|
PK
|
DEF
|
| DAL Scores |
26
|
12
|
23
|
26
|
27
|
9
|
| NE Allows |
16
|
10
|
9
|
13
|
27
|
9
|
| DAL AP |
-10
|
-2
|
-14
|
-13
|
0
|
0
|
|
| Rank (1-32) |
QB
|
RB
|
WR
|
TE
|
PK
|
DEF
|
| NE Scores |
13
|
13
|
17
|
7
|
5
|
7
|
| DAL Allows |
1
|
2
|
1
|
1
|
1
|
7
|
| NE AP |
-12
|
-11
|
-16
|
-6
|
-4
|
0
|
|
Offensive ranks = #1 gains most points, Defensive
ranks = #1 allows least points
AP = Advantage Points, the net difference between a positional
rank gained or allowed by the teams.
|
DAL
|
NE
|
2003 Game Averages
|
NE
|
DAL
|
|
Gains
|
Allows
|
QB's
|
Gains
|
Allows
|
|
176
|
238
|
Pass yards
|
242
|
138
|
|
1.1
|
0.4
|
Pass TDs
|
1.1
|
0.7
|
|
1.0
|
1.4
|
Interceptions
|
0.6
|
0.7
|
|
12
|
6
|
Rush yards
|
2
|
3
|
|
0.0
|
0.3
|
Rush TDs
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
|
---
|
-----
|
RB's
|
-----
|
---
|
|
111
|
81
|
Rush yards
|
105
|
83
|
|
0.7
|
0.4
|
Rush TDs
|
0.6
|
0.3
|
|
40
|
45
|
Receive yards
|
45
|
33
|
|
0.0
|
0.1
|
Receive TD's
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
|
---
|
-----
|
WR's
|
-----
|
---
|
|
114
|
144
|
Receive yards
|
138
|
89
|
|
0.9
|
0.3
|
Receive TD's
|
0.9
|
0.6
|
|
---
|
-----
|
TE's
|
-----
|
---
|
|
22
|
48
|
Receive yards
|
58
|
16
|
|
0.1
|
0
|
Receive TD's
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
|
---
|
-----
|
PK's
|
-----
|
---
|
|
1.1
|
2.3
|
Field Goals
|
2.1
|
1.0
|
|
2.0
|
1.3
|
Extra Points
|
2.1
|
1.1
|
|
---
|
-----
|
DEF/ST
|
-----
|
---
|
|
0.9
|
0.7
|
Fumbles
|
0.4
|
0.7
|
|
0.7
|
0.6
|
Interceptions
|
1.3
|
0.9
|
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
Touchdowns
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
|
2.3
|
1.9
|
Sacks
|
2.3
|
1.6
|
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
Safeties
|
0
|
0.0
|
|
|
Cowboys (7-2) |
|
Score |
Opp. |
| 13-27 |
ATL |
| 35-32 |
@NYG |
| Week 3 |
BYE |
| 17-6 |
@NYJ |
| 24-7 |
ARZ |
| 23-21 |
PHI |
| 38-7 |
@DET |
| 0-16 |
@TB |
| 21-14 |
WAS |
| 10-6 |
BUF |
| Week 11 |
@NE |
| Week 12 |
CAR |
| Week 13 |
MIA |
| Week 14 |
@PHI |
| Week 15 |
@WAS |
| Week 16 |
NYG |
| Week 17 |
@NO |
|
|
Patriots (7-2) |
| Score |
Opp. |
| 0-31 |
@BUF |
| 31-10 |
@PHI |
| 23-16 |
NYJ |
| 17-20 |
@WAS |
| 38-30 |
TEN |
| 17-6 |
NYG |
| 19-13 |
@MIA |
| 9-3 |
CLE |
| 30-26 |
@DEN |
| Week 10 |
BYE |
| Week 11 |
DAL |
| Week 12 |
@HOU |
| Week 13 |
@IND |
| Week 14 |
MIA |
| Week 15 |
JAX |
| Week 16 |
@NYJ |
| Week 17 |
BUF |
|
* Fantasy point rankings calculated using standard Huddle
fantasy points |