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Predictions & Projections
By David M. Dorey
 
The Huddle
WEEK 11
November 12, 2003
Season Ticket
Sun 1 PM Sun 1 PM Sun 1 PM Sun 4 PM Sun 8:30 PM
ARZ at CLE JAX at TEN WAS at CAR NYJ at IND DAL at NE
ATL at NO KC at CIN Sun 4 PM GB at TB Mon 9 PM
BAL at MIA NYG at PHI DET at SEA MIN at OAK PIT at SF
HOU at BUF STL at CHI SD at DEN Updated Times EST
   
Detroit vs Seattle Sun, Nov 16; 4 PM on FOX at Seahawks Stadium
  Detroit Rush Catch Pass
QB Joey Harrington 0 0 160,1
RB Shawn Bryson 40 10 0
TE C. Fitzsimmons 0 40 0
WR Bill Schroeder 0 30 0
WR Az-Zahir Hakim 0 30 0
WR Scotty Anderson 0 50,1 0
  Seattle Rush Catch Pass
QB Matt Hasselbeck 0 0 260,2
RB Shaun Alexander 90,1 30 0
TE Itula Mili 0 20 0
WR Darrell Jackson 0 40 0
WR Bobby Engram 0 60,1 0
WR Koren Robinson 0 80,1 0

Game Prediction: DET 13, SEA 27

The notion that the Lions will end their road drought and maintain a three game winning streak is too hard to comprehend. The Seahawks have no room for error anymore and are 5-0 at home. The Lions are 0-forever on the road.

Detroit Notes

The Lions - I'm serious here - are currently on a two game winn - I said I mean this - winning streak and rise to a lofty 3-6 on the season.

Quarterbacks: Joey Harrington faced a decent Chicago secondary last week and turned in his most productive game of the season with 238 yards passing. He had no touchdowns - no one did for the Lions - but he also had no interceptions for the first time in five games.

Running backs: The Lions faced one of the below average rushing defenses last week, in Detroit, and following the oddities that make up every NFL week, they only managed to gain a total of 10 yards on 17 carries. They could have had 12 yards, but Olandis Gary lost two yards on his only carry. It marked the worst rushing effort of the season for all runners involved.

Wide Receivers: Scotty Anderson turned in 77 yards on five catches, roughly twice his best this season. The important thing to remember is that they won. Not much else is here.

Tight Ends: This is significant - Casey Fitzsimmons has taken over the starting tight end spot and had five catches for 33 yards last week. Mikhael Ricks was out last week but has struggled with running routes and catching passes. In one case Ricks had a pass carom off the back of his helmet a few weeks ago. Fitzsimmons is one to keep an eye on for the future.

Match against the defense: There is no real rushing matchup since the Lions have not had a good rushing effort pretty much the entire season. DT Norman Hand is gone but probably will not be missed this week anyway.

The Lions face a secondary that has been burned but they do not have the receivers to take advantage.

Seattle Notes

The Seahawks fall to 6-3 and are now tied with the Rams for the NFC West lead.

Quarterbacks: Matt Hasselbeck comes off a solid 18 of 31 for 241 yards and one score against the Redskins and had another pass make it to the one yard line. Hasselbeck has thrown for over 200 yards the past seven weeks and only had one game without at least one passing score. He continues to be hampered by receivers that drop passes.

Running backs: Shaun Alexander almost reached the century mark rushing last week when he gained 94 yards and scored once. For the first time this season he had no catches. Mack Strong had two receptions for 28 yards with one that went to the one-yard line.

Wide Receivers: Koren Robinson did not practice last week but still played and gained 88 yards on five catches. The problem spot has been Darrell Jackson who has been dropping far too many passes lately and last week let one get by him that was intercepted. Bobby Engram (6-65, 1 TD) has been more effective recently than Jackson but since Alex Bannister is the only other active receiver, the order does not change.

Tight Ends: Itula Mili only had two catches for 19 yards which is much closer to his norm than the 80 yard, two touchdown game three weeks ago.

Match against the defense: Matt Hasselbeck should have another nice game. The Lions have been much easier to burn on the road and almost all opponent quarterbacks have had multiple touchdown games.

CB Dre' Bly may play Sunday after missing two weeks and would be tasked against Koren Robinson on most plays but he may still miss one more Sunday. The Lions have not allowed a 100 yard receiver since week one but realistically that is because they have been allowing teams to beat them and not need to throw.

Shaun Alexander may run better this week since LB Boss Bailey is limited because of a shoulder injury and if the Seahawks get a decent lead, they will be content to run the clock out with Shaun.

Team Comparisons - Current team rankings (1-32) for FF points scored or allowed by position
Rank (1-32)
QB
RB
WR
TE
PK
DEF
DET Scores
30
24
30
16
18
14
SEA Allows
21
18
22
3
30
21
DET AP
-9
-6
-8
-13
12
7
Rank (1-32)
QB
RB
WR
TE
PK
DEF
SEA Scores
9
11
8
12
10
24
DET Allows
29
3
18
24
13
15
SEA AP
20
-8
10
12
3
-9
Offensive ranks = #1 gains most points, Defensive ranks = #1 allows least points
AP = Advantage Points, the net difference between a positional rank gained or allowed by the teams.
DET
SEA
2003 Game Averages
SEA
DET
Gains
Allows
QB's
Gains
Allows
171
205
Pass yards
244
213
0.7
1.3
Pass TDs
1.3
1.6
1.6
0.9
Interceptions
1.3
0.7
8
6
Rush yards
11
17
0.0
0.3
Rush TDs
0.0
0.4
---
---
RB's
---
---
76
105
Rush yards
106
85
0.4
0.7
Rush TDs
0.9
0.4
45
20
Receive yards
35
31
0.1
0.3
Receive TD's
0.1
0.0
---
---
WR's
---
---
97
163
Receive yards
179
145
0.3
1.0
Receive TD's
0.7
1.0
---
---
TE's
---
---
30
23
Receive yards
30
37
0.3
0.0
Receive TD's
0.4
0.4
---
---
PK's
---
---
1.6
2.0
Field Goals
1.7
1.3
1.4
2.4
Extra Points
2.3
2.6
---
---
DEF/ST
---
---
0.4
0.9
Fumbles
0.3
0.3
0.9
1.1
Interceptions
0.9
1.6
0.3
0.0
Touchdowns
0.1
0.3
2.1
3.1
Sacks
1.7
0.9
0.0
0.0
Safeties
0.0
0.0
Lions(3-6)
Score Opp.
42-24 ARZ
6-31 @GB
13-23 MIN
16-20 @DEN
17-24 @SF
Week 6 BYE
7-38 DAL
16-24 @CHI
23-13 OAK
12-10 CHI
Week 11 @SEA
Week 12 @MIN
Week 13 GB
Week 14 SD
Week 15 @KC
Week 16 @CAR
Week 17 STL
Seahawks (6-3)
Score Opp.
27-10 NO
38-0 @ARZ
24-23 STL
Week 4 BYE
13-35 @GB
20-19 SF
24-17 CHI
24-27 @CIN
23-16 PIT
20-27 @WAS
Week 11 DET
Week 12 @BAL
Week 13 CLE
Week 14 @MIN
Week 15 @STL
Week 16 ARZ
Week 17 @SF

* Fantasy point rankings calculated using standard Huddle fantasy points