The
Huddle
WEEK 11
November 12, 2003
Season Ticket
|
|
| |
|
| Green Bay vs Tampa Bay |
Sun, Nov 16; 4 PM on FOX at Raymond
James Stadium |
| |
Green
Bay |
Rush
|
Catch
|
Pass
|
| QB |
Brett Favre |
0 |
0 |
200,1 |
| RB |
Ahman Green |
120,1 |
30 |
0 |
| TE |
Walls/Franks |
0 |
30 |
0 |
| WR |
Javon Walker |
0 |
50,1 |
0 |
| WR |
Donald Driver |
0 |
60 |
0 |
| WR |
Robert Ferguson |
0 |
20 |
0 |
|
| |
Tampa
Bay |
Rush
|
Catch
|
Pass |
| QB |
Brad Johnson
|
0 |
0 |
240,2 |
| RB |
Michael Pittman
|
60 |
40 |
0 |
| TE |
Ken Dilger |
Q |
Q |
Q |
| WR |
Keyshawn Johnson
|
0 |
70,1 |
0 |
| WR |
Keenan McCardell
|
Q |
Q |
Q |
|
Game Prediction: GB 20, TB 23
Update:
McCardell strained a hamstring in practice on Thursday and
is now questionable to play. Since it just happened, more
will be known on Friday and Saturday but I am lowering his
numbers now. He may not play at all and he may play only slightly
limited against a pretty bad secondary.
The Bucs may end up activating Joe
Jurevicius for the game even though he is also considered
questionable and has not played since week two due to his
knee injury. This situation will hopefully be resolved in
the next day or two and not become a gametime decision. There
is little hope that Reggie Barlow or Karl Williams will pick
up the significant slack of McCardell.
This will be a good test to see how things have changed.
When these two play each other, the last ten times the home
team has won. The Packers are on the road after a disappointing
loss on Monday night and have a short week to prepare. The
Bucs come off a tough loss but gain an advantage by having
a great passing attack going against a bad secondary.
Ahman Green will gain his yards and try to avoid the 137
times defenders try to strip the ball, but the game slightly
favors the home team versus the road team on a short week.
This is a coin toss game and should be an exciting finish
to watch.
Green Bay Notes
The Packers fall to 4-5 on the season with the loss to the
Eagles.
Quarterbacks: Brett
Favre had a rough time last Monday night in the cold rain
in Green Bay and only managed 109 yards and one touchdown
in the game with one interception. He handed the ball off
35 times while only attempting 25 passes. It was a big defensive
battle with Ahman Green as the showcase last week and Favre
turned in his first game without multiple touchdowns in seven
weeks.
Running backs: Ahman
Green had a career best 192 yards rushing against the
Eagles and had touchdowns both running and receiving. He added
32 yards with three catches but in spite of the tremendous
effort, he still gets a big knock for losing two fumbles in
the game. He is now tied with Tiki Barber with five as the
biggest fumblers.
Much like in New York with Barber, there is no expectation
of lessening his load - he pretty much carried the entire
game last week and has five 100 yard games this season.
Wide Receivers: In the
rain last week no one mattered but Ahman Green. The wideouts
only had seven catches for 58 yards evenly divided among the
four players. It seems incredible that after ten weeks not
one wideout for Green Bay has had over 100 yards receiving.
Tight Ends: Wesley
Walls had two catches last week and Bubba Franks
had one which is about average no matter what the weather
is.
Match against the defense:
The Buccaneers can be ran on and have allowed big yardage
games to Stephen Davis (142), Garrison Hearst (117) and Deuce
McAllister (110). Ahman Green certainly falls into that grouping
in terms of ability and LB Derrick Brooks has a right wrist
sprain that will make him questionable for this Sunday as
well along with LB Dwayne Rudd who is nursing a knee sprain.
Green should have some success running the ball.
The Buccaneers have been giving up the pass lately as well,
but mostly when they are on the road. They could not stop
Jake Delhomme in Carolina last week and were carved up in
San Francisco. At home they have held all opponent quarterbacks
to less than 150 yards except, of course, for Peyton Manning.
Farve will have limited success against them but the game
plan will clearly favor running the ball in order to gain
ground and use up the clock. The Packers are weak in their
secondary and do not want to allow Brad Johnson to shred them.
Tampa Bay Notes
The Buccaneers finally broke their win-loss-win-loss streak
but did so on the "loss" side last week when they
could not stop the Panthers passing attack. Tampa Bay falls
to only 4-5 on the season.
Quarterbacks: Other than
the one blowout of the Cowboys, Brad Johnson has been
tremendous this season, gaining 275 yards and two scores last
week. That makes the sixth time he has thrown for multiple
touchdowns and seven times he has exceeded 238 yards passing.
He has thrown at least one score in every game.
Running backs: Michael
Pittman had a respectable 50 yards rushing on 12 carries
last week and added 47 more on five catches. He has been good
for around 100 total yards the past seven weeks.
Wide Receivers: Keyshawn
Johnson gained 80 yards and a score on five catches last
week while Keenan McCardell had nine receptions for
118 yards and one score. While Keyshawn has been inconsistent,
McCardell has six touchdowns in the past eight games and logged
three 100 yard efforts.
Karl Williams will be questionable to play this week
with a right ankle sprain,
Tight Ends: Never had
a catch last week. The team has just added back Ricky Dudley
to the team and Ken Dilger is questionable this week
with a elbow strain.
Match against the defense:
The Packers have only an average rushing defense which matches
well with the average rushing attack of Michael Pittman.
Where the major advantage comes into play is the poor pass
defense of the Packers against the red hot Brad Johnson
and Keenan McCardell. This will end up the difference
in the game.
| Team Comparisons - Current team
rankings (1-32) for FF points scored or allowed
by position |
| Rank (1-32) |
QB
|
RB
|
WR
|
TE
|
PK
|
DEF
|
| GB Scores |
12
|
1
|
27
|
8
|
12
|
31
|
| TB Allows |
12
|
9
|
26
|
4
|
5
|
22
|
| GB AP |
0
|
8
|
-1
|
-4
|
-7
|
-9
|
|
| Rank (1-32) |
QB
|
RB
|
WR
|
TE
|
PK
|
DEF
|
| TB Scores |
5
|
16
|
7
|
6
|
29
|
5
|
| GB Allows |
32
|
16
|
25
|
22
|
32
|
8
|
| TB AP |
27
|
0
|
18
|
16
|
3
|
3
|
|
Offensive ranks = #1 gains most points, Defensive
ranks = #1 allows least points
AP = Advantage Points, the net difference between a positional
rank gained or allowed by the teams.
|
GB
|
TB
|
2003 Game Averages
|
TB
|
GB
|
|
Gains
|
Allows
|
QB's
|
Gains
|
Allows
|
|
209
|
219
|
Pass yards
|
258
|
249
|
|
2.0
|
1.1
|
Pass TDs
|
2.1
|
1.4
|
|
0.9
|
1.7
|
Interceptions
|
1.1
|
0.9
|
|
1
|
8
|
Rush yards
|
7
|
23
|
|
0
|
0.0
|
Rush TDs
|
0.0
|
0.6
|
|
-----
|
---
|
RB's
|
---
|
-----
|
|
164
|
84
|
Rush yards
|
95
|
100
|
|
1.3
|
0.7
|
Rush TDs
|
0.3
|
0.6
|
|
62
|
32
|
Receive yards
|
62
|
34
|
|
1.0
|
0.0
|
Receive TD's
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
|
-----
|
---
|
WR's
|
---
|
-----
|
|
111
|
161
|
Receive yards
|
162
|
169
|
|
0.6
|
1.1
|
Receive TD's
|
1.1
|
1.0
|
|
-----
|
---
|
TE's
|
---
|
-----
|
|
36
|
26
|
Receive yards
|
34
|
46
|
|
0.4
|
0.0
|
Receive TD's
|
0.6
|
0.3
|
|
-----
|
---
|
PK's
|
---
|
-----
|
|
1.3
|
1.1
|
Field Goals
|
0.7
|
2.0
|
|
3.3
|
2.1
|
Extra Points
|
3.0
|
2.7
|
|
-----
|
---
|
DEF/ST
|
---
|
-----
|
|
0.1
|
0.9
|
Fumbles
|
0.7
|
0.6
|
|
0.9
|
1.1
|
Interceptions
|
1.9
|
1.0
|
|
0
|
0.3
|
Touchdowns
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
|
1.7
|
1.6
|
Sacks
|
2.4
|
1.6
|
|
0
|
0.0
|
Safeties
|
0.0
|
0
|
|
|
Packers
(4-5) |
|
Score |
Opp. |
| 25-30 |
MIN |
| 31-6 |
DET |
| 13-20 |
@ARZ |
| 38-23 |
@CHI |
| 35-13 |
SEA |
| 34-40 |
KC |
| 24-34 |
@STL |
| Week 8 |
BYE |
| 30-27 |
@MIN |
| 14-17 |
PHI |
| Week 11 |
@TB |
| Week 12 |
SF |
| Week 13 |
@DET |
| Week 14 |
CHI |
| Week 15 |
@SD |
| Week 16 |
@OAK |
| Week 17 |
DEN |
|
|
Buccaneers (4-5) |
|
Score |
Opp. |
| 17-0 |
@PHI |
| 9-12 |
CAR |
| 31-10 |
@ATL |
| Week 4 |
BYE |
| 35-38 |
IND |
| 35-13 |
@WAS |
| 7-24 |
@SF |
| 16-0 |
DAL |
| 14-17 |
NO |
| 24-27 |
@CAR |
| Week 11 |
GB |
| Week 12 |
NYG |
| Week 13 |
@JAX |
| Week 14 |
@NO |
| Week 15 |
HOU |
| Week 16 |
ATL |
| Week 17 |
@TEN |
|
* Fantasy point rankings calculated using standard Huddle
fantasy points |