The
Huddle
WEEK 11
November 12, 2003
Season Ticket
|
|
| |
|
| Houston vs Buffalo |
Sun, Nov 16; 1 PM on CBS at Ralph
Wilson Stadium |
| |
Houston |
Rush
|
Catch
|
Pass
|
| QB |
David Carr |
0 |
0 |
170,1 |
| RB |
Domanick Davis |
80,1 |
10 |
0 |
| TE |
Billy Miller
|
0 |
20,1 |
0 |
| WR |
Corey Bradford
|
0 |
40 |
0 |
| WR |
Andre Johnson
|
0 |
60 |
0 |
| WR |
Jabar Gaffney
|
0 |
40 |
0 |
|
| |
Buffalo |
Rush
|
Catch
|
Pass
|
| QB |
Drew Bledsoe
|
0 |
0 |
190,1 |
| RB |
Travis Henry |
130,2 |
20 |
0 |
| TE |
M. Campbell |
0 |
20 |
0 |
| WR |
Eric Moulds |
0 |
80,1 |
0 |
| WR |
Josh Reed |
0 |
40 |
0 |
| WR |
Bobby Shaw |
0 |
20 |
0 |
|
Game Prediction: HOU 14, BUF 24
The Bills should be able to run well the entire game and
with Bledsoe struggling lately, that fits nicely into the
game plan. The Texans will also see some success running,
but will lose the field position battle since the Bills can
defend the pass better.
Houston Notes
The Texans fall to 3-6 with their loss to the Bengals.
Quarterbacks: David
Carr returned from his ankle sprain last week and while
he threw for two scores, he only completed 11 of 25 for 146
yards with an interception. Take away the 73-yard touchdown
and the numbers are far worse. Carr said his ankle is fine
now but had some problems later in the game getting his feet
properly set on passes.
Running backs: Domanick
Davis ran well again, gaining his third 100 yard rushing
game last week and averaging 102 yards rushing in his four
starts. Davis has been starting slowly in games the past two
weeks and gained 82 of his 104 against the Bengals during
the second half.
Stacey Mack was held out last week since he is still
bothered by his hyper-extended knee. He is expected to get
an MRI this week.
Wide Receivers: Last
week Jabar Gaffney and Andre Johnson combined
for only five catches and 38 yards and the only decent play
in the entire game from the crew was Corey Bradford
scoring on a 73-yard pass. The Texans were so impressed with
his one catch that they threw the ball to Bradford seven times
in the game but he never caught another. Andre Johnson has
not scored since week two and Gaffney has a 61 yard game as
his best of the season.
Tight Ends: Billy
Miller came off consecutive games with touchdowns and
only had one catch for 11 yards last week. He actually fared
better with Banks as the quarterback.
Match against the defense:
Domanick Davis goes against a defense that has allowed
only Ricky Williams to gain over 100 yards this year but hidden
within that is the fact that teams have been fairly successful
rushing against them when they have a good ground game. More
importantly, they have been gashed by runners more of Davis
size and style. Priest Holmes scored three times against them
and both PHI and CIN scored on the ground as well as visitors
there.
The Bills have been good against the pass at home and only
yielded one passing score to the Redskins in week seven. Otherwise,
there have been no passing scores against them at home and
no quarterback there has gone over 225 yards passing. With
the passing game still struggling for the Texans, Carr and
company will have a problem getting much done in the air and
will, as always, rely on Davis to heat up and make a game
of it.
Buffalo Notes
The Bills fall to 4-5 and have lost their last two games.
They are three games out of first and sinking fast.
Quarterbacks: Drew
Bledsoe seemingly gets worse each game. He only managed
104 yards and two interceptions against the Cowboys even though
Eric Moulds was back on the field. He has not thrown a multiple
touchdown game but once this season way back in week two.
With a lack of pass protection and a case of the drops hitting
the receivers, the scenario here is not good.
Running backs: Going
against one of the best run defenses in the league, Travis
Henry gained four yards a carry last week in Dallas but
only had 21 runs. Henry is one of those runners that is as
good as the defense is bad. This week - going to be some good
numbers again.
Wide Receivers: Eric
Moulds was said to be completely healthy last week, but
his five catches for 32 yards did little to prove it. Josh
Reed has been getting at least seven throws a game the
past month and had only one decent game to show for it. He
ended with only 30 yards on four catches last week and has
been dropping balls lately. Bobby Shaw started the
season as a valuable #3 receiver but has done little in the
last three weeks where his combined total has been seven catches
for 45 yards.
Tight Ends: Mark Campbell
was also off the mark last week with only one catch, but is
normally good for about three receptions and 20 yards or so
a game.
Match against the defense:
The good news here is that the Bills face a defense that has
given up 335 yards rushing in the past two games, including
allowing Rudi Johnson to set a Texan's record (the bad kind)
when he gained 182 last week. Lately everyone runs well against
the Texans and this should be one of Henry's better games
this season.
With the running lanes open, Bledsoe will not need to pass
as much which could lead to a more efficient game and possibly
better scoring as well. Look for Moulds to be the primary
target and for Shaw and Reed to offer less.
| Team Comparisons - Current team
rankings (1-32) for FF points scored or allowed
by position |
| Rank (1-32) |
QB
|
RB
|
WR
|
TE
|
PK
|
DEF
|
| HOU Scores |
17
|
10
|
18
|
14
|
32
|
32
|
| BUF Allows |
3
|
17
|
8
|
27
|
18
|
31
|
| HOU AP |
-14
|
7
|
-10
|
13
|
-14
|
-1
|
|
| Rank (1-32) |
QB
|
RB
|
WR
|
TE
|
PK
|
DEF
|
| BUF Scores |
29
|
28
|
25
|
30
|
31
|
28
|
| HOU Allows |
17
|
20
|
31
|
6
|
15
|
23
|
| BUF AP |
-12
|
-8
|
6
|
-24
|
-16
|
5
|
|
Offensive ranks = #1 gains most points, Defensive
ranks = #1 allows least points
AP = Advantage Points, the net difference between a positional
rank gained or allowed by the teams.
|
HOU
|
BUF
|
2003 Game Averages
|
BUF
|
HOU
|
|
Gains
|
Allows
|
QB's
|
Gains
|
Allows
|
|
206
|
170
|
Pass yards
|
189
|
223
|
|
1.3
|
1.1
|
Pass TDs
|
0.4
|
1.4
|
|
0.9
|
0.4
|
Interceptions
|
1.6
|
0.9
|
|
12
|
12
|
Rush yards
|
2
|
5
|
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
Rush TDs
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
|
---
|
---
|
RB's
|
---
|
---
|
|
107
|
105
|
Rush yards
|
83
|
107
|
|
1.0
|
1.0
|
Rush TDs
|
0.4
|
0.9
|
|
42
|
17
|
Receive yards
|
26
|
34
|
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Receive TD's
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
|
---
|
---
|
WR's
|
---
|
---
|
|
130
|
117
|
Receive yards
|
141
|
164
|
|
1.0
|
0.6
|
Receive TD's
|
0.3
|
1.3
|
|
---
|
---
|
TE's
|
---
|
---
|
|
35
|
36
|
Receive yards
|
22
|
25
|
|
0.3
|
0.6
|
Receive TD's
|
0.0
|
0.1
|
|
---
|
---
|
PK's
|
---
|
---
|
|
0.6
|
1.7
|
Field Goals
|
1.1
|
1.3
|
|
2.4
|
2.1
|
Extra Points
|
1.1
|
2.9
|
|
---
|
---
|
DEF/ST
|
---
|
---
|
|
0.6
|
1.1
|
Fumbles
|
0.4
|
0.7
|
|
1.0
|
1.6
|
Interceptions
|
0.4
|
1.1
|
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Touchdowns
|
0.1
|
0.4
|
|
0.6
|
3.4
|
Sacks
|
1.3
|
1.3
|
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Safeties
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
|
| Texans
(3-6) |
| Score |
Opp. |
| 21-20 |
@MIA |
| 10-31 |
@NO |
| 14-42 |
KC |
| 24-20 |
JAX |
| Week 5 |
BYE |
| 17-38 |
@TEN |
| 14-19 |
NYJ |
| 21-30 |
@IND |
| 14-10 |
CAR |
| 27-34 |
@CIN |
| Week 11 |
@BUF |
| Week 12 |
NE |
| Week 13 |
ATL |
| Week 14 |
@JAX |
| Week 15 |
@TB |
| Week 16 |
TEN |
| Week 17 |
IND |
|
|
Bills (4-5) |
|
Score |
Opp. |
| 31-0 |
NE |
| 38-17 |
@JAX |
| 7-17 |
@MIA |
| 13-23 |
PHI |
| 22-16 |
CIN |
| 3-30 |
@NYJ |
| 24-7 |
WAS |
| 5-38 |
@KC |
| Week 9 |
BYE |
| 6-10 |
@DAL |
| Week 11 |
HOU |
| Week 12 |
IND |
| Week 13 |
@NYG |
| Week 14 |
NYJ |
| Week 15 |
@TEN |
| Week 16 |
MIA |
| Week 17 |
@NE |
|
* Fantasy point rankings calculated using standard Huddle
fantasy points |