The
Huddle
WEEK 11
November 12, 2003
Season Ticket
|
|
| |
|
| Kansas City vs Cincinnati |
Sun, Nov 16; 1 PM on CBS at Paul
Brown Stadium |
| |
Kansas
City |
Rush
|
Catch
|
Pass
|
| QB |
Trent Green |
0 |
0 |
250,2 |
| RB |
Priest Holmes |
100,1 |
30 |
0 |
| TE |
Tony Gonzalez |
0 |
50,1 |
0 |
| WR |
Johnnie Morton |
0 |
50 |
0 |
| WR |
Dante Hall |
0 |
30 |
0 |
| WR |
Eddie Kennison |
0 |
70,1 |
0 |
|
| |
Cincinnati |
Rush
|
Catch
|
Pass
|
| QB |
Jon Kitna |
0 |
0 |
210,1 |
| RB |
Rudi Johnson |
80,1 |
10 |
0 |
| TE |
Stewart/Schobel |
0 |
40 |
0 |
| WR |
Peter Warrick
|
0 |
70,1 |
0 |
| WR |
Kelly Washington
|
0 |
10 |
0 |
| WR |
Chad Johnson
|
0 |
70 |
0 |
|
Game Prediction: KC 27, CIN 20
There should be some good points in this game. The Bengals
have scored at least 27 points in each of their last three
home games and the Chiefs lead the league in that category
anyway. There is a growing sense of purpose in Cincinnati
(outside of Dillon) and they are gaining confidence. They
must be - Chad Johnson has already guaranteed a win.
But the Chiefs are playing better than any other team right
now and while they are due a loss in a season filled with
weekly upset minefields, they are hard to bet against.
Kansas City Notes
The Chiefs rise to an incredible 9-0 on the season and are
already four games in the lead for the AFC West. Their biggest
foe now is lethargy.
Quarterbacks: Trent
Green was almost flawless last week, completing 29 of
42 passes for 368 yards and three scores against the Browns.
He has only two interceptions in the past six games.
Running backs: Priest
Holmes gained 92 yards on 19 carries last week and scored
three times. He added 66 yards on seven receptions and has
over 100 total yards in every game played this season. He
already has 14 touchdowns though none via the pass.
Larry Johnson was elevated to the #2 spot last week
and had two token carries in the game.
Wide Receivers: Last
week's explosion benefited the wideouts more than any other
position. Johnnie Morton had 49 yards and a touchdown,
Eddie Kennison had 115 yards and a score and even Marc
Boerigter had two catches for 45 yards. Green will throw
almost a standard amount to Holmes and Gonzalez, but anything
over 180 yards in a game goes towards the wideouts.
Tight Ends: Tony Gonzalez
had seven catches for 70 yards and a score last week and he
has scored in five of the past six games.
Match against the defense:
With the offense hitting on all cylinders, it becomes more
of a "pick your death" than exploiting weaknesses
of the defense.
The Bengals pass defense has been bad, they have allowed
multiple touchdowns to passers in each of the past four games
and watched Boller and Hasselbeck shred them for 300+ yards.
Green should have a nice game here with a diverse set of receivers
against a secondary that is most often beaten by a wideout.
CB Jeff Burris had a concussion last week and is questionable
to play on Sunday.
Consider too that Itula Mili had two scores against them
and then compare him to Gonzalez.
The Bengals have allowed over 100 yards rushing in the past
four games though they have faced some of the best runners
in the business. Guess what - here comes the best.
Cincinnati Notes
The Bengals rise to 4-5 with their win over the Texans and
are only one game out of the lead in the AFC North. Oh, the
times they are a changing.
Quarterbacks: Jon
Kitna comes off an efficient 182 yard, one touchdown game
against Houston and has been throwing much less now that Rudi
Johnson is playing as opposed to Corey Dillon pulling apparent
part-time duty this season.
Running backs: Rudi
Johnson comes off a monster 182 yard game with two scores
last week when he tied the second-best game of all-time with
43 carries. Corey Dillon may be back this week depending
on whom you ask and when but for a perpetually young franchise
with a perpetually new head coach, it is nice not to perpetually
struggle every game. I am assuming that Johnson starts the
game and that HC Marvin Lewis does not make starting decisions
under the influence of illegal substances.
Dillon is already considered questionable this week so do
not hold your breath on him playing.
Wide Receivers: Chad
Johnson comes off a career best nine catches for 89 yards
last week and even with the rushing of Rudi, he provides constant
possession catches. Peter Warrick only had 39 yards
last week because someone had to block during Rudi's 43 carries.
While Chad Johnson maintains his good numbers in every
game, Warrick is a little more sensitive to the success of
the running game.
Tight Ends: The interesting
factor is that the tight ends are always a big part of the
passing game, but when the running game goes well, they have
to naturally block. Reggie Kelly is already considered
out this week with his foot injury and Matt Schobel
and Tony Stewart will have to get back to receiving
if the Bengals want to stay in the game.
Match against the defense:
The Chiefs have been ran on by almost every running back they
have faced and there is no doubt that the Bengals want to
keep KC off the field. Look for a heavy rushing game by Rudi
Johnson at least until the game gets out of hand. Johnson
should have at least moderate success and almost all runners
score one time against the Chiefs.
Kitna has a chance to post some decent numbers though that
has not been done since Favre in week six. As usual with the
Chiefs, you have to hope for trash time yards and scores but
Peter Warrick has as good a chance to do well as Chad Johnson
does. The split ends have fared better than the flankers in
most games.
| Team Comparisons - Current team
rankings (1-32) for FF points scored or allowed
by position |
| Rank (1-32) |
QB
|
RB
|
WR
|
TE
|
PK
|
DEF
|
| KC Scores |
6
|
3
|
14
|
1
|
9
|
1
|
| CIN Allows |
26
|
22
|
23
|
31
|
12
|
2
|
| KC AP |
20
|
19
|
9
|
30
|
3
|
1
|
|
| Rank (1-32) |
QB
|
RB
|
WR
|
TE
|
PK
|
DEF
|
| CIN Scores |
21
|
32
|
13
|
10
|
26
|
21
|
| KC Allows |
7
|
28
|
2
|
19
|
8
|
1
|
| CIN AP |
-14
|
-4
|
-11
|
9
|
-18
|
-20
|
|
Offensive ranks = #1 gains most points, Defensive
ranks = #1 allows least points
AP = Advantage Points, the net difference between a positional
rank gained or allowed by the teams.
|
KC
|
CIN
|
2003 Game Averages
|
CIN
|
KC
|
|
Gains
|
Allows
|
QB's
|
Gains
|
Allows
|
|
257
|
242
|
Pass yards
|
190
|
207
|
|
1.7
|
1.9
|
Pass TDs
|
1.4
|
0.9
|
|
0.6
|
1.0
|
Interceptions
|
0.6
|
2.0
|
|
6
|
6
|
Rush yards
|
7
|
11
|
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
Rush TDs
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
|
---
|
---
|
RB's
|
---
|
---
|
|
108
|
107
|
Rush yards
|
57
|
122
|
|
1.4
|
0.6
|
Rush TDs
|
0.4
|
0.9
|
|
53
|
32
|
Receive yards
|
16
|
55
|
|
0.0
|
0.4
|
Receive TD's
|
0.0
|
0.1
|
|
---
|
---
|
WR's
|
---
|
---
|
|
137
|
163
|
Receive yards
|
130
|
120
|
|
1.0
|
1.0
|
Receive TD's
|
1.1
|
0.3
|
|
---
|
---
|
TE's
|
---
|
---
|
|
67
|
47
|
Receive yards
|
44
|
32
|
|
0.7
|
0.4
|
Receive TD's
|
0.3
|
0.4
|
|
---
|
---
|
PK's
|
---
|
---
|
|
1.1
|
1.3
|
Field Goals
|
1.1
|
1.4
|
|
4.1
|
2.4
|
Extra Points
|
2.0
|
1.7
|
|
---
|
---
|
DEF/ST
|
---
|
---
|
|
1.3
|
0.1
|
Fumbles
|
0.7
|
0.4
|
|
2.0
|
0.7
|
Interceptions
|
0.9
|
0.4
|
|
0.6
|
0.0
|
Touchdowns
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
|
2.4
|
1.7
|
Sacks
|
2.0
|
1.3
|
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Safeties
|
0.0
|
0.1
|
|
| Chiefs
(9-0) |
| Score |
Opp. |
| 27-14 |
SD |
| 41-20 |
PIT |
| 42-14 |
@HOU |
| 17-10 |
@BAL |
| 24-23 |
DEN |
| 40-34 |
@GB |
| 17-10 |
@OAK |
| 38-5 |
BUF |
| Week 9 |
BYE |
| 41-20 |
CLE |
| Week 11 |
@CIN |
| Week 12 |
OAK |
| Week 13 |
@SD |
| Week 14 |
@DEN |
| Week 15 |
DET |
| Week 16 |
@MIN |
| Week 17 |
CHI |
|
|
Bengals (3-6) |
|
Score |
Opp. |
| 10-30 |
DEN |
| 20-23 |
@OAK |
| 10-17 |
PIT |
| 21-14 |
@CLE |
| 16-22 |
@BUF |
| Week 6 |
BYE |
| 34-26 |
BAL |
| 27-24 |
SEA |
| 14-17 |
@ARZ |
| 34-27 |
HOU |
| Week 11 |
KC |
| Week 12 |
@SD |
| Week 13 |
@PIT |
| Week 14 |
@BAL |
| Week 15 |
SF |
| Week 16 |
@STL |
| Week 17 |
CLE |
|
* Fantasy point rankings calculated using standard Huddle
fantasy points |