The
Huddle
WEEK 12
November 19, 2003
Season Ticket
|
|
| |
|
| Cincinnati vs San Diego |
Sun, Nov 23; 4 PM on CBS at Qualcomm
Stadium |
| |
Cincinnati |
Rush
|
Catch
|
Pass
|
| QB |
Jon Kitna |
0 |
0 |
250,2 |
| RB |
Rudi Johnson |
60,1 |
10 |
0 |
| RB |
Corey Dillon |
50 |
10 |
0 |
| TE |
Stewart/Schobel |
0 |
20 |
0 |
| WR |
Peter Warrick
|
0 |
80,1 |
0 |
| WR |
Kelly Washington
|
0 |
30 |
0 |
| WR |
Chad Johnson
|
0 |
90,1 |
0 |
|
| |
San
Diego |
Rush
|
Catch
|
Pass |
| QB |
Doug Flutie |
20 |
0 |
230,1 |
| RB |
L. Tomlinson |
100,1 |
30 |
0 |
| TE |
Stephen Alexander |
0 |
20 |
0 |
| WR |
David Boston |
0 |
80,1 |
0 |
| WR |
Reche Caldwell |
0 |
50 |
0 |
| WR |
K. Osgood |
0 |
40 |
0 |
|
Game Prediction: CIN
21, SD 20
Update: Corey Dillon is no longer
on the injury report and HC Marvin Lewis repeatedly has said
he is exploring ways to use both of them and possibly in the
same backfield. I am changing the numbers to reflect a greater
sharing of the carries but only the game will show how that
will transpire.
This is a nice combo - one team at home that comes off a
humiliating loss and the other coming off perhaps the biggest
win for the franchise in 15 or more years. San Diego is only
1-3 at home but the Bengals are only 1-3 on the road. What's
even stranger is that the Bengals are favored on the road.
This game is less clear cut than it seems since it includes
several emotional elements. The numbers favor the Bengals
since the Chargers defense is terrible and Cincinnati is merely
"bad but getting better". The Charger offense comes
off a display of ineptitude of gigantic proportions while
the Bengals are excited once again to be an NFL team.
This could make for an interesting upset but probably will
not.
Cincinnati Notes
The Bengals rise to 5-5 with their win over the Chiefs and
are now tied for the AFC North lead.
Quarterbacks::
Jon Kitna was efficient and effective last week against
the Chiefs, throwing for 233 yards and two scores while completing
19 of 32 passes. It was his best game in a month and his fourth
consecutive with a passing score.
Running Backs: Rudi Johnson
ran the ball only 22 times last week but gained 165 yards.
It was his first game without a score in four games and he
now has exceeded 100 yards in three of the last four weeks.
The Bengals beat a 9-0 team, are tied for the divisional lead
and are chanting "Ru-Di! Ru-Di!". Is this a great
country or what?
Corey Dillon went from questionable to doubtful and
then back to probable last week in the span of only a few
days and in the end, he only had six carries for 21 yards.
HC Marvin Lewis contends that Dillon will be the starting
back whenever he is healthy but since only Lewis can say when
that is, the safest bet is to jump on the Rudi train until
there is proof that it doesn't continue on a hot streak.
Receivers: Chad Johnson made
the guarantee last week that the Bengals - the "lowly"
Bengals - would beat the undefeated Chiefs and he was right.
Johnson had seven catches for 74 yards last week and Peter
Warrick ended up being the difference maker with six catches
for 114 yards and one very important touchdown.
The Bengals like to throw to their tight ends as well but
never used them much last week since Reggie Kelly was
out with a foot injury and will miss this game and Matt
Schobel suffered a hamstring pull but returned to the
game to help block for Rudi.
Match against the Defense:
This will be interesting since the Bengals have to fight the
urge to let last week affect this week. The Chargers feature
one of the worst defenses in the NFL and will likely miss
SS Kwamie Lassiter this week since he sprained his MCL knee
Sunday. There should be some Bengal points here and they could
come a number of ways.
Safest bet is that Kitna takes advantage of a terrible secondary
now one player worse and has a big passing game that benefits
both Warrick and Johnson. Since the Chargers will be likely
to throw up some points of their own, the Bengals will be
forced to remain productive the entire game in order to win.
Rudi Johnson and his sidekick Dillon will likely gain over
100 yards rushing though the split will not be completely
known until the game is over. Most likely Johnson enjoys another
nice afternoon.
San Diego Notes
The Chargers come off a thrashing by the Broncos of near
collegiate proportion. They are now 2-8 on the season and
no longer under the impression Flutie cures what ails you.
Quarterbacks::
Doug Flutie has now played both extremes - throwing
for 248 yards and two touchdowns while rushing in two more
against the Vikings and then following that up with a 9 of
25, 70 yard effort against the Broncos. The one trash time
drive that scored saved the game from being one of the all-time
best whooping either team had been party to in their history.
Good or bad, and he has been both, Flutie gets the start
again this week.
Running Backs: LaDainian
Tomlinson comes off his worst game since likely around
4th grade in his backyard. Tomlinson only gained 29 yards
and only was given the ball on nine carries. Like Flutie,
this comes only a week after he gained 205 total yards and
scored twice.
Unfortunately, RT Solomon Page is still about a week away
from even practicing.
Receivers: The rumors
that there were some wearing Charger uniforms proved to be
untrue.
David Boston had seven catches for 82 yards and one
score two weeks ago with Flutie. It may be repeating old news
but it is the last good news that this unit has seen. Boston
only had two catches for 14 yards last week.
Tim Dwight spent the night in a Denver hospital with
a partially collapsed lung and is not expected to play this
week.
Match against the Defense: With
Flutie safely back at home, the Chargers should be better
than last week as if that is not a lock anyway. He faces the
Bengals secondary that has allowed multiple passing scores
in each of the past five games and given up three 300 yard
efforts during that timespan.
To make matters worse for Cincinnati, CB Jeff Burris is likely
out with a concussion though he would have lined up across
from Tim Dwight on many plays. Reche Caldwell could have a
better game here if in fact he does not continue to drop passes
at an alarming rate.
The Bengals are also one of the worst teams at stopping tight
ends which could bode well for Stephen Alexander who actually
played last week but missed all four of his passes (he did
score a two point conversion). The Bengals have allowed five
tight end touchdowns in the past three games. However, the
Chargers have not shown to have ones that actually can catch
which may negate that advantage.
LaDainian Tomlinson faces a defense that should get him back
into the 100 yard area again, the same defense that allowed
Marcel Shipp to gain 141 yards during the last Bengal road
trip.
| Team Comparisons - Current team
rankings (1-32) for FF points scored or allowed
by position |
| Rank (1-32) |
QB
|
RB
|
WR
|
TE
|
PK
|
DEF
|
| CIN Scores |
20
|
31
|
14
|
11
|
25
|
22
|
| SD Allows |
31
|
25
|
23
|
32
|
29
|
17
|
| CIN AP |
11
|
-6
|
9
|
21
|
4
|
-5
|
|
| Rank (1-32) |
QB
|
RB
|
WR
|
TE
|
PK
|
DEF
|
| SD Scores |
24
|
6
|
24
|
26
|
29
|
17
|
| CIN Allows |
28
|
20
|
24
|
31
|
13
|
1
|
| SD AP |
4
|
14
|
0
|
5
|
-16
|
-16
|
|
Offensive ranks = #1 gains most points, Defensive
ranks = #1 allows least points
AP = Advantage Points, the net difference between a positional
rank gained or allowed by the teams.
|
CIN
|
SD
|
2003 Game Averages
|
SD
|
CIN
|
|
Gains
|
Allows
|
QB's
|
Gains
|
Allows
|
|
195
|
252
|
Pass yards
|
182
|
251
|
|
1.5
|
2.3
|
Pass TDs
|
0.9
|
1.9
|
|
0.5
|
1.0
|
Interceptions
|
1.3
|
0.9
|
|
6
|
9
|
Rush yards
|
11
|
5
|
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Rush TDs
|
0.3
|
0.0
|
|
---
|
---
|
RB's
|
---
|
---
|
|
73
|
110
|
Rush yards
|
112
|
102
|
|
0.4
|
0.6
|
Rush TDs
|
1.0
|
0.5
|
|
19
|
42
|
Receive yards
|
42
|
34
|
|
0.1
|
0.5
|
Receive TD's
|
0.0
|
0.4
|
|
---
|
---
|
WR's
|
---
|
---
|
|
137
|
164
|
Receive yards
|
122
|
165
|
|
1.1
|
0.9
|
Receive TD's
|
0.6
|
0.9
|
|
---
|
---
|
TE's
|
---
|
---
|
|
39
|
45
|
Receive yards
|
18
|
52
|
|
0.3
|
0.9
|
Receive TD's
|
0.3
|
0.6
|
|
---
|
---
|
PK's
|
---
|
---
|
|
1.1
|
1.6
|
Field Goals
|
0.9
|
1.4
|
|
2.1
|
3.1
|
Extra Points
|
2.3
|
2.4
|
|
---
|
---
|
DEF/ST
|
---
|
---
|
|
0.6
|
0.5
|
Fumbles
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
|
0.8
|
1.4
|
Interceptions
|
1.0
|
0.6
|
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
Touchdowns
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
|
1.9
|
2.0
|
Sacks
|
2.1
|
1.8
|
|
0.0
|
0.1
|
Safeties
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
|
|
Bengals (4-6) |
|
Score |
Opp. |
| 10-30 |
DEN |
| 20-23 |
@OAK |
| 10-17 |
PIT |
| 21-14 |
@CLE |
| 16-22 |
@BUF |
| Week 6 |
BYE |
| 34-26 |
BAL |
| 27-24 |
SEA |
| 14-17 |
@ARZ |
| 34-27 |
HOU |
| 24-19 |
KC |
| Week 12 |
@SD |
| Week 13 |
@PIT |
| Week 14 |
@BAL |
| Week 15 |
SF |
| Week 16 |
@STL |
| Week 17 |
CLE |
|
|
Chargers (2-8) |
|
Score |
Opp. |
| 14-27 |
@KC |
| 13-37 |
DEN |
| 10-24 |
BAL |
| 31-34 |
@OAK |
| 21-27 |
@JAX |
| Week 6 |
BYE |
| 26-20 |
@CLE |
| 10-26 |
MIA |
| 7-20 |
@CHI |
| 42-28 |
MIN |
| 8-37 |
@DEN |
| Week 12 |
CIN |
| Week 13 |
KC |
| Week 14 |
@DET |
| Week 15 |
GB |
| Week 16 |
@PIT |
| Week 17 |
OAK |
|
* Fantasy point rankings calculated using standard Huddle
fantasy points |