The
Huddle
WEEK 12
November 19, 2003
Season Ticket
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| Indianapolis vs Buffalo |
Sun, Nov 23; 1 PM on CBS at Ralph
Wilson Stadium |
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Indianapolis |
Rush |
Catch |
Pass |
| QB |
Peyton Manning |
0 |
0 |
250,1 |
| RB |
Edgerrin James |
80,1 |
10 |
0 |
| TE |
Joe Dean Davenport |
0 |
20 |
0 |
| TE |
Dallas Clark |
0 |
50 |
0 |
| WR |
Aaron Moorehead |
0 |
40 |
0 |
| WR |
Troy Walters |
Q |
Q |
Q |
| WR |
Marvin Harrison |
Q |
Q |
Q |
| WR |
Reggie Wayne |
0 |
80,1 |
0 |
|
| |
Buffalo |
Rush
|
Catch
|
Pass
|
| QB |
Drew Bledsoe
|
0 |
0 |
180,1 |
| RB |
Travis Henry |
Q |
Q |
Q |
| RB |
Joe Burns |
50 |
0 |
0 |
| RB |
Sammy Morris |
20 |
20 |
0 |
| TE |
M. Campbell |
0 |
20 |
0 |
| WR |
Eric Moulds |
Q |
Q |
Q |
| WR |
Josh Reed |
0 |
60 |
0 |
| WR |
Bobby Shaw |
0 |
80,1 |
0 |
|
Game Prediction: IND
23, BUF 10
Update:
Troy Walters has not practiced and is not expected
to play.
Marvin Harrison also has not
practiced but is expected to work on today. Since HC Tony
Dungy wants to see him practice and then how well he feels
on Saturday afterwards, this is smacking of another gametime
decision. Since Harrison has not practiced the entire week
and was unable to play last week, I am not projecting numbers
for him though he could end up being active for the game.
How well he plays will obviously depend on his gametime health
though he does make one of the best decoys in the game no
matter what.
Eric Moulds is another player
that is questionable and has not practiced this week after
missing the game last Sunday. He plans on testing his groin
on Friday and the decision on his status may also extend to
gametime as it did last week. I am not projecting for him
either since he has not practiced and would play less than
100% in the best case scenario.
Travis Henry has not practiced
and wore a boot this week to help his leg that has a cracked
bone. He too is questionable and the decision on his status
will not be final until possibly gametime though he seems
less likely to play and would not be 100% if he does. Joe
Burns was named the starting running back if Henry cannot
play though Sammy Morris would remain the third down
back and play in pass situations.
The Bills are struggling on offense and being possibly without
Travis Henry is like an ice pick to the tires of a car that
was sputtering anyway. The Colts defense is soft, but since
the Bills look less likely to take advantage, Manning and
James will be enough to keep the two teams heading in their
respective directions.
Indianapolis Notes
The Colts rise to 8-2 and remain tied with the Titans in
the AFC South.
Quarterbacks::
Peyton Manning already has 2876 passing yards this
season to lead the NFL and has 19 passing touchdowns to lead
the NFL and he is already getting tired of hearing about his
little brother. Manning comes off 401 yard passing effort
last week when Marvin Harrison and Marcus Pollard did not
play. Not a good sign for opponents.
Running Backs: Edgerrin James
was the workhorse last week, carrying the ball 36 times
for 127 yards and three touchdowns. It was his first 100 yard
game in a month and he scored more touchdowns than he had
the entire season. Hope you played him.
Receivers: Marvin Harrison
missed last week with a hamstring injury and is questionable
to play this week so I am assuming he will still be out pending
future developments. He did not practice on Monday. Troy
Walters filled in for him last week and had 88 yards and
one score before leaving the game in the third quarter with
a hamstring strain as well but still had his career best game.
Reggie Wayne had 141 receiving yards which is sort
of freaky since his only other 100 yard game as when he gained
exactly 141 against the Jaguars in week three. Aaron Moorehead
had his first action of the season and caught two passes for
30 yards last week when Walters left the game. Being a receiver
with Peyton Manning as your quarterback is like joining the
marines and getting assigned to a post in Hawaii.
I am considering Walters as questionable this week since
the extent of his injury is not yet known. Brandon Stokley
may get cleared again to play this week but if you have been
sitting on him hoping to see something you are not likely
vying for a championship anyway.
Marcus Pollard is also not likely to return this week
and I am considering him as out again. Dallas Clark
and even Joe Dean Davenport will take up the slack.
Match against the Defense: The
Bills defense has been pretty bad lately, allowing the big
play to kill them and missing tackles both individually and
even as a group. Edgerrin James could break 100 yards again
against the average rushing defense if he gets 25+ carries
this week which is likely given the injury situation to the
receivers.
The Bills have been tough against passers in yardage, allowing
only Trent Green to really have a nice game but then again
- it's Manning here so all bets are off. The cornerback matchups
favor Wayne a little more than Morehead/Walters/Harrison,
but Buffalo has been playing so poorly as of late it is anyone's
guess which receiver will get the score really.
Buffalo Notes
The Bills freefall to 4-6 on the season and have lost their
last three games.
Quarterbacks::
Drew Bledsoe is struggling in a major way. He has only
one game this season with more than one touchdown and that
was ten weeks ago. He has gone three weeks with no passing
scores and has not eclipsed 184 passing yards since week seven.
Running Backs: Travis Henry
comes off his third 100 yard game of the season when he rushed
for 149 yards on only 23 carries in a game that he played
with a cracked fibula. Pending further news, I am assuming
that Henry will be questionable to play this week and that
Sammy Morris will take the start. While Henry continued
to play on the leg, that is no guarantee he will do so again.
This is similar to McNabb last year who also played a game
with a broken leg before missing appreciable time. This is
something to keep an eye on because the Colts run defense
has been terrible lately.
Receivers: Eric Moulds was
supposed to play last week but ended up as a game time scratch.
His groin continues to bother him and he has stated that it
likely will for the rest of the season. I am assuming that
he will not play again this week but he might. In his place,
Bobby Shaw took the start and turned in a respectable
92 yards on five catches but Josh Reed only gained
59 yards on six catches in a game where he needed to step
up and did not. The passing attack was already lessened without
Peerless Price this season and now that Moulds is going in
and out of the lineup there is even less happening.
Mark Campbell again had a one catch game and has done
nothing since the week nine bye.
Match against the Defense: This
is a defense that makes offenses look good, even if the Colts
can still outscore almost any team. If Henry can play, he
can easily exceed 100 yards though Morris may not be quite
as good if he takes the start. Whoever is the starter will
have a very nice game since the Colts have already yielded
six 100 yard runners for opponents and have allowed multiple
rushing touchdowns twice in the past three games.
The bad news is that Bledsoe probably will not turn around
his season here. While Pennington had three scores last week,
he was the first to have more than one since week five and
it has been six weeks since any QB has thrown for over 231
yards.
| Team Comparisons - Current team
rankings (1-32) for FF points scored or allowed
by position |
| Rank (1-32) |
QB
|
RB
|
WR
|
TE
|
PK
|
DEF
|
| IND Scores |
2
|
12
|
2
|
4
|
1
|
23
|
| BUF Allows |
3
|
15
|
6
|
28
|
19
|
30
|
| IND AP |
1
|
3
|
4
|
24
|
18
|
7
|
|
| Rank (1-32) |
QB
|
RB
|
WR
|
TE
|
PK
|
DEF
|
| BUF Scores |
30
|
27
|
23
|
30
|
30
|
29
|
| IND Allows |
18
|
23
|
17
|
17
|
9
|
2
|
| BUF AP |
-12
|
-4
|
-6
|
-13
|
-21
|
-27
|
|
Offensive ranks = #1 gains most points, Defensive
ranks = #1 allows least points
AP = Advantage Points, the net difference between a positional
rank gained or allowed by the teams.
|
IND
|
BUF
|
2003 Game Averages
|
BUF
|
IND
|
|
Gains
|
Allows
|
QB's
|
Gains
|
Allows
|
|
313
|
188
|
Pass yards
|
176
|
204
|
|
2.3
|
0.4
|
Pass TDs
|
1.1
|
1.5
|
|
0.8
|
1.4
|
Interceptions
|
0.5
|
0.8
|
|
0
|
2
|
Rush yards
|
10
|
5
|
|
0.0
|
0.1
|
Rush TDs
|
0.0
|
0.1
|
|
---
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---
|
RB's
|
---
|
---
|
|
90
|
93
|
Rush yards
|
101
|
128
|
|
1.0
|
0.4
|
Rush TDs
|
0.9
|
0.9
|
|
35
|
24
|
Receive yards
|
19
|
37
|
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
Receive TD's
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
|
---
|
---
|
WR's
|
---
|
---
|
|
208
|
145
|
Receive yards
|
124
|
123
|
|
1.6
|
0.3
|
Receive TD's
|
0.6
|
1.4
|
|
---
|
---
|
TE's
|
---
|
---
|
|
71
|
20
|
Receive yards
|
33
|
44
|
|
0.4
|
0.0
|
Receive TD's
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
|
---
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---
|
PK's
|
---
|
---
|
|
2.3
|
1.3
|
Field Goals
|
1.8
|
1.1
|
|
3.5
|
1.0
|
Extra Points
|
2.0
|
2.9
|
|
---
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---
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DEF/ST
|
---
|
---
|
|
0.8
|
0.4
|
Fumbles
|
1.1
|
0.6
|
|
0.5
|
0.5
|
Interceptions
|
1.4
|
0.6
|
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
Touchdowns
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
|
2.0
|
1.6
|
Sacks
|
3.5
|
0.9
|
|
0.0
|
0.4
|
Safeties
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
|
|
Colts (8-2) |
|
Score |
Opp. |
| 9-6 |
@CLE |
| 33-7 |
TEN |
| 23-13 |
JAX |
| 55-21 |
@NO |
| 38-35 |
@TB |
| 20-23 |
CAR |
| Week 7 |
BYE |
| 30-21 |
HOU |
| 23-17 |
@MIA |
| 23-28 |
@JAX |
| 38-31 |
NYJ |
| Week 12 |
@BUF |
| Week 13 |
NE |
| Week 14 |
@TEN |
| Week 15 |
ATL |
| Week 16 |
DEN |
| Week 17 |
@HOU |
|
|
Bills (4-6) |
|
Score |
Opp. |
| 31-0 |
NE |
| 38-17 |
@JAX |
| 7-17 |
@MIA |
| 13-23 |
PHI |
| 22-16 |
CIN |
| 3-30 |
@NYJ |
| 24-7 |
WAS |
| 5-38 |
@KC |
| Week 9 |
BYE |
| 6-10 |
@DAL |
| 10-12 |
HOU |
| Week 12 |
IND |
| Week 13 |
@NYG |
| Week 14 |
NYJ |
| Week 15 |
@TEN |
| Week 16 |
MIA |
| Week 17 |
@NE |
|
* Fantasy point rankings calculated using standard Huddle
fantasy points |