The
Huddle
WEEK 12
November 19, 2003
Season Ticket
|
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| |
|
| Jacksonville vs NY Jets |
Sun, Nov 23; 1 PM on CBS at Giants
Stadium |
| |
Jacksonville |
Rush
|
Catch
|
Pass
|
| QB |
Byron Leftwich |
0 |
0 |
180,1 |
| RB |
Fred Taylor |
80,1 |
10 |
0 |
| RB |
C. Fuamatu-Ma'afala |
20 |
0 |
0 |
| RB |
L. Toefield |
20 |
10 |
0 |
| TE |
Kyle Brady |
0 |
20 |
0 |
| WR |
Jimmy Smith |
0 |
50 |
0 |
| WR |
Kevin Johnson |
0 |
20 |
0 |
| WR |
Troy Edwards |
0 |
60,1 |
0 |
|
| |
New
York Jets |
Rush
|
Catch
|
Pass |
| QB |
Chad Pennington |
0 |
0 |
260,2 |
| RB |
Curtis Martin |
70,1 |
30 |
0 |
| RB |
Lamont Jordan |
30,1 |
0 |
0 |
| TE |
Anthony Becht |
0 |
10 |
0 |
| WR |
Jon Carter |
0 |
30 |
0 |
| WR |
Curtis Conway |
0 |
60,1 |
0 |
| WR |
Santana Moss |
0 |
100,1 |
0 |
|
Game Prediction: JAX 20, NYJ
28
Update:
Newly signed Kevin Johnson will be making his first
appearance this week but the Jaguars will not commit to how
much use he will receive beyond referring to a few packages
that have been tailored towards him (also read - he only knows
a few plays so far). I am not projecting for him but expect
to see him in at least a limited role.
Fred Taylor banged up his knees
last Sunday but an MRI showed that there was no damage and
he is listed as probable and is expected to play.
The Jets have taken a whole new look with Pennington back
- big time offense and still bad defense. But this week facing
the struggling rookie and with Taylor possibly out, they can
out score their opponent unlike last week against the Colts.
The Jaguars are 0-5 on the road with few signs of improving.
Jacksonville Notes
The Jaguars fall to 2-8 with their loss to the Titans.
Quarterbacks::
Byron Leftwich is redefining growing pains. Last week
he only completed 15 of 31 passes and ended with 151 yards
and two interceptions. He now has lost the ball 17 times in
only eleven games with six fumbles and 11 interceptions. He
comes off his second game without a touchdown pass.
Running Backs: Fred
Taylor injured his leg last week and ended with only 65
yards on 14 carries in a game where he was running well. He
was replaced by Chris Fuamatu-Ma'afala (9-40) and LaBrandon
Toefield (6-20) as the Jaguars racked up 125 rushing yards.
An MRI this week revealed that there was no damage to Taylor's
knees but he will likely be held out at least a practice or
two. I am considering him out but he may still play. Updates
as warranted.
Receivers: Leftwich's
growing pains are coming at the expense of Jimmy Smith
lately. Last week Smith only managed one catch for five yards
and Troy Edwards (6-67) was the one not being double-teamed.
The Jaguars picked up Kevin Johnson last week but pending
more information there, I am not including him in the projections
though he would likely play at least some.
The biggest problem here is when opponents have good enough
coverage to take Jimmy Smith from the equation. When that
happens, there is little else for Leftwich to rely on.
Match against the Defense:
Fred Taylor would tear this defense up, but he may not play.
In his place, the safest bet is that the same rotation between
Toefield and Fuamatu-Ma'afala will be used with good results.
The Jets biggest weakness is against the run.
Last week New York allowed Peyton Manning to throw for 401
yards but Leftwich is not exactly that caliber quite yet.
All but two opponent quarterbacks have thrown for less than
200 yards and only once has the secondary allowed more than
one touchdown. Leftwich should have moderate success, but
nothing nearly as impressive as Manning.
Leftwich also has to play against CB Donnie Abraham who will
likely start at left corner and allow CB Ray Mickens to return
to his role as the nickel back. That should help the secondary
and keep Leftwich still in the learning mode.
NY Jets Notes
Quarterbacks::
Chad Pennington only completed 11 passes against the
Colts, but he only threw 14 and he still ended with 219 yards
and three touchdowns. In three games back, he already has
nine passing touchdowns. Pennington lost nothing while recuperating
and has been as efficient as he left last season. Last week
he only completed 11 passes but still hit seven different
receivers.
Running Backs: Curtis Martin
looked absolutely rejuvenated last week when he ran for
105 yards on only 13 carries, average 8.1 yards each time.
This gives him three 100 yard efforts in the past four weeks
though he still has yet to score a touchdown this season.
LaMont Jordan gained 25 yards on two carries last
week and will be wearing a soft cast on his hand because of
a broken finger but it is not expected to cause him to miss
any time. Martin running so well is a much bigger cause of
Jordan seeing reduced carries.
Receivers: Pennington
loves to throw to wideouts and even when he only had 11 completions,
he threw touchdowns to Curtis Conway (2-38), Santana
Moss (3-67) and even Jon Carter (1-65). Santana
Moss has scored in all three games with Pennington and
has five touchdowns in the last three weeks.
Kevin Lockett was signed last week and may be ready
by this weekend. He is expected to play the slot role vacated
by Wayne Chrebet who was placed on injured reserve due to
his concussion. I am not including him until a move is made.
Match against the Defense:
The Jets defense may have been bad, but there is no question
that their offense has been great since Pennington returned.
This week he will face the Jaguars that have given up multiple
passing scores in half of their games and that has been shredded
by the likes of Manning, Bledsoe and even Brees.
Look for more of the same from Pennington and a very good
chance that Moss can stretch his consecutive score streak
yet another week.
The Jaguars rushing defense has been fairly sound this season
and only gives up scores to teams that have had success with
the pass. Martin and Jordan have a good chance to score here
but this should not be a monster rushing game unless New York
can grab a very early lead and try to run out the clock.
| Team Comparisons - Current team
rankings (1-32) for FF points scored or allowed
by position |
| Rank (1-32) |
QB
|
RB
|
WR
|
TE
|
PK
|
DEF
|
| JAX Scores |
16
|
8
|
19
|
20
|
22
|
24
|
| NYJ Allows |
10
|
30
|
8
|
15
|
10
|
12
|
| JAX AP |
-6
|
22
|
-11
|
-5
|
-12
|
-12
|
|
| Rank (1-32) |
QB
|
RB
|
WR
|
TE
|
PK
|
DEF
|
| NYJ Scores |
10
|
20
|
5
|
21
|
9
|
25
|
| JAX Allows |
21
|
8
|
18
|
23
|
27
|
28
|
| NYJ AP |
11
|
-12
|
13
|
2
|
18
|
3
|
|
Offensive ranks = #1 gains most points, Defensive
ranks = #1 allows least points
AP = Advantage Points, the net difference between a positional
rank gained or allowed by the teams.
|
JAX
|
NYJ
|
2003 Game Averages
|
NYJ
|
JAX
|
|
Gains
|
Allows
|
QB's
|
Gains
|
Allows
|
|
216
|
170
|
Pass yards
|
229
|
219
|
|
1.0
|
0.6
|
Pass TDs
|
1.9
|
1.4
|
|
1.5
|
0.5
|
Interceptions
|
0.5
|
1.1
|
|
6
|
4
|
Rush yards
|
2
|
7
|
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
Rush TDs
|
0.0
|
0.1
|
|
---
|
---
|
RB's
|
---
|
---
|
|
109
|
119
|
Rush yards
|
108
|
81
|
|
0.5
|
0.9
|
Rush TDs
|
0.4
|
0.6
|
|
47
|
38
|
Receive yards
|
47
|
36
|
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
Receive TD's
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
|
---
|
---
|
WR's
|
---
|
---
|
|
139
|
97
|
Receive yards
|
160
|
140
|
|
0.5
|
0.5
|
Receive TD's
|
1.5
|
1.1
|
|
---
|
---
|
TE's
|
---
|
---
|
|
30
|
34
|
Receive yards
|
22
|
43
|
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
Receive TD's
|
0.3
|
0.3
|
|
---
|
---
|
PK's
|
---
|
---
|
|
1.3
|
1.1
|
Field Goals
|
1.8
|
1.9
|
|
1.9
|
1.9
|
Extra Points
|
2.4
|
2.4
|
|
---
|
---
|
DEF/ST
|
---
|
---
|
|
1.0
|
0.8
|
Fumbles
|
0.6
|
1.1
|
|
1.1
|
0.4
|
Interceptions
|
0.5
|
1.6
|
|
0.0
|
0.3
|
Touchdowns
|
0.0
|
0.1
|
|
1.0
|
1.8
|
Sacks
|
2.9
|
1.9
|
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Safeties
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
|
|
Jaguars (2-8) |
|
Score |
Opp. |
| 23-24 |
@CAR |
| 17-38 |
BUF |
| 13-23 |
@IND |
| 20-24 |
@HOU |
| 27-21 |
SD |
| 10-24 |
MIA |
| Week 7 |
BYE |
| 17-30 |
TEN |
| 17-24 |
@BAL |
| 28-23 |
IND |
| 3-10 |
@TEN |
| Week 12 |
@NYJ |
| Week 13 |
TB |
| Week 14 |
HOU |
| Week 15 |
@NE |
| Week 16 |
NO |
| Week 17 |
@ATL |
|
|
Jets (3-7) |
|
Score |
Opp. |
| 13-16 |
@WAS |
| 10-21 |
MIA |
| 16-23 |
@NE |
| 6-17 |
DAL |
| Week 5 |
BYE |
| 30-3 |
BUF |
| 19-14 |
@HOU |
| 17-24 |
@PHI |
| 28-31 |
NYG |
| 27-24 |
@OAK |
| 31-38 |
@IND |
| Week 12 |
JAX |
| Week 13 |
TEN |
| Week 14 |
@BUF |
| Week 15 |
PIT |
| Week 16 |
NE |
| Week 17 |
@MIA |
|
* Fantasy point rankings calculated using standard Huddle
fantasy points |