The
Huddle
WEEK 12
November 19, 2003
Season Ticket
|
|
| |
|
| New England vs Houston |
Sun, Nov 23; 1 PM on CBS at Reliant
Stadium |
| |
New
England |
Rush
|
Catch
|
Pass
|
| QB |
Tom Brady |
0 |
0 |
230,1 |
| RB |
Kevin Faulk |
40 |
30 |
0 |
| RB |
Antowain Smith |
80,1 |
10 |
0 |
| TE |
Christian Fauria |
0 |
20 |
0 |
| TE |
Daniel Graham |
0 |
50,1 |
0 |
| WR |
Troy Brown |
Q |
Q |
Q |
| WR |
David Givens |
Q |
Q |
Q |
| WR |
Deion Branch |
0 |
50 |
0 |
| WR |
Bethel Johnson |
0 |
50 |
0 |
|
| |
Houston |
Rush
|
Catch
|
Pass
|
| QB |
Tony Banks |
10 |
0 |
170,1 |
| RB |
Domanick Davis |
70 |
20,1 |
0 |
| TE |
Billy Miller |
0 |
20 |
0 |
| WR |
Corey Bradford |
0 |
10 |
0 |
| WR |
Andre Johnson |
0 |
60 |
0 |
| WR |
Jabar Gaffney |
0 |
50 |
0 |
|
Game Prediction: NE 17, HOU
10
Update: Troy Brown and
David Givens have both been held out of practice and
both remain quesionable to play. In his press conference on
Thursday, HC Bill Belichick was noncommittal about Brown's
leg injury and would not confirm that it will get better any
time soon. Givens also looks like he will miss this week.
The Patriots have also signed J.J.
Stokes and Dedric Ward and either may see a little
time but since they are new, I am not including them in the
projections. I am leaving Brown and Givens as questionable.
Deion Branch missed practice
on Friday due to a ankle sprain and is not questionable. He
is still likely to play but the Patriots are more likely to
be running even more than they already would have. I have
adjusted numbers accordingly.
The Patriots come into the game after a hard fought win over
the Cowboys and the Texans are riding high after their win
over the Bills. This could be a trap game for the 8-2 Patriots
who have only lost on the road this season - the opener and
after a big home win over the Jets.
But the Patriot defense is playing very well unlike the Texans
and with Banks subbing for Carr, Domanick Davis alone cannot
win this game.
New England Notes
The Patriots rise to 8-2 and are on a six game winning streak.
Quarterbacks::
Tom Brady only completed 15 of 34 passes for 212 yards
against the Cowboys and was continually harassed by blitzes.
It was his lowest game in a month. It was the fifth time this
season he has had no touchdowns and the fourth time he followed
up a game in which he scored with a scoreless game the next
week. He is due for a touchdown on that trend and against
the Texans, he is almost guaranteed it.
Running Backs: Antowain Smith
scored his second touchdown of the season last week but only
gained 55 yards on 17 runs. Smith is remarkably consistent,
gaining between 51 and 55 yards rushing in half of his healthy
games. Kevin Faulk only gained 11 yards on 8 runs against
Dallas and has yielded the lead rusher role back to Smith
the past two weeks.
Receivers: Since David
Patten was placed on injured reserve and Troy Brown
was held out of the game, Brady had to work with Deion
Branch (2-69) and David Givens (2-67) who both
snagged long passes when Dallas got caught in a blitz.
Givens was forced to leave the game in the second quarter
last week with a leg injury and he already is playing with
a bruised chest. Troy Brown worked out before the game
but was a last minute scratch when he felt he would not be
able to play. He had played two weeks prior in Denver when
listed doubtful.
At this time, I am assuming Brown and Givens are still out.
Match against the Defense: Tom
Brady faces a defense that has allowed every opponent to score
via the pass except for last week in Buffalo. This is the
same team that gave 421 yards to McNair and 269 yards and
three scores to Manning. Most teams would have passed more
on Houston but were already successful rushing.
The receivers are in a state of flux for New England with
the injuries to Givens and Brown and Brady has been regularly
mixing in up to nine different ones each game, so no one position
is favored. The Texans have allowed six different 100 yard
receivers and oddly enough three of them had exactly 111 yards.
Antowain Smith and Kevin Faulk should combine for 100 yards
since all teams do and Houston has allowed monster games to
Rudi Johnson (182), Stephen Davis (153) and Travis Henry (149).
Smith should be the primary runner since the beefier backs
have more success.
The Texans are getting CB Marcus Coleman back in the lineup
after missing last week due to one game suspensions by the
team which should help but CB Aaron Glenn is still bothered
by a groin injury anyway.
Houston Notes
The Texans rise to 4-6 in the AFC South with their win over
Buffalo.
Quarterbacks::
David Carr sprained his right shoulder last week and
an MRI confirmed it. He will likely be out at least this week
and maybe more. Tony Banks will take his second start
as a Texan.
Running Backs: Domanick
Davis only gained 68 yards on 26 carries but added 33
more with three receptions. That sounds like a low day, but
it was better than any that Stacey Mack provided other
than the season opener. Davis never shared any carries in
the game.
Receivers: Andre Johnson
turned in the best game of his career with 122 yards receiving
and one score on a 46 yard play when defenders were unable
to knock him down near midfield. The game plan was supposed
to include getting the ball to him more, but he still only
had four catches. He has not had more than six balls thrown
to him since week four. Corey Bradford followed up
his 73 yard touchdown of week ten with a more normal one catch
for seven yards.
This group will have to operate with Banks now, and do so
against one of the better defenses in the league.
Match against the Defense: The
Patriots secondary can be beaten, but it takes Kerry Collins
or Steve McNair to do it. In the last three weeks, there has
only been one passing score allowed and no opponent quarterback
has gained over 210 yards. Banks will find this defense tough
to throw against since the Texans receiving threats are few
and, well, he is Tony Banks. In the entire season, no opponent
wideout has exceeded 100 yards and only two have ever caught
a touchdown.
Domanick Davis also faces a defense that has only allowed
Clinton Portis to hit the century mark and on the road no
runner has gained over 71 yards rushing against them.
| Team Comparisons - Current team
rankings (1-32) for FF points scored or allowed
by position |
| Rank (1-32) |
QB
|
RB
|
WR
|
TE
|
PK
|
DEF
|
| NE Scores |
17
|
18
|
18
|
7
|
6
|
6
|
| HOU Allows |
14
|
21
|
29
|
6
|
17
|
25
|
| NE AP |
-3
|
3
|
11
|
-1
|
9
|
-19
|
|
| Rank (1-32) |
QB
|
RB
|
WR
|
TE
|
PK
|
DEF
|
| HOU Scores |
15
|
13
|
16
|
16
|
32
|
31
|
| NE Allows |
15
|
12
|
5
|
12
|
18
|
6
|
| HOU AP |
0
|
-1
|
-9
|
-4
|
-14
|
-25
|
|
Offensive ranks = #1 gains most points, Defensive
ranks = #1 allows least points
AP = Advantage Points, the net difference between a positional
rank gained or allowed by the teams.
|
NE
|
HOU
|
2003 Game Averages
|
HOU
|
NE
|
|
Gains
|
Allows
|
QB's
|
Gains
|
Allows
|
|
238
|
218
|
Pass yards
|
208
|
234
|
|
1.0
|
1.3
|
Pass TDs
|
1.3
|
0.4
|
|
0.5
|
0.8
|
Interceptions
|
0.9
|
1.6
|
|
2
|
4
|
Rush yards
|
11
|
9
|
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
Rush TDs
|
0.1
|
0.3
|
|
---
|
---
|
RB's
|
---
|
---
|
|
100
|
114
|
Rush yards
|
102
|
77
|
|
0.6
|
0.8
|
Rush TDs
|
0.9
|
0.4
|
|
43
|
31
|
Receive yards
|
41
|
53
|
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
Receive TD's
|
0.0
|
0.1
|
|
---
|
---
|
WR's
|
---
|
---
|
|
143
|
164
|
Receive yards
|
136
|
137
|
|
0.8
|
1.1
|
Receive TD's
|
1.0
|
0.3
|
|
---
|
---
|
TE's
|
---
|
---
|
|
52
|
22
|
Receive yards
|
31
|
44
|
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
Receive TD's
|
0.3
|
0.0
|
|
---
|
---
|
PK's
|
---
|
---
|
|
2.1
|
1.4
|
Field Goals
|
0.8
|
2.0
|
|
2.0
|
2.5
|
Extra Points
|
2.3
|
1.1
|
|
---
|
---
|
DEF/ST
|
---
|
---
|
|
0.4
|
0.6
|
Fumbles
|
0.6
|
0.8
|
|
1.5
|
1.1
|
Interceptions
|
0.9
|
0.5
|
|
0.4
|
0.4
|
Touchdowns
|
0.0
|
0.1
|
|
2.1
|
1.6
|
Sacks
|
1.0
|
1.9
|
|
0.0
|
0.3
|
Safeties
|
0.0
|
0.1
|
|
|
Patriots (8-2) |
| Score |
Opp. |
| 0-31 |
@BUF |
| 31-10 |
@PHI |
| 23-16 |
NYJ |
| 17-20 |
@WAS |
| 38-30 |
TEN |
| 17-6 |
NYG |
| 19-13 |
@MIA |
| 9-3 |
CLE |
| 30-26 |
@DEN |
| Week 10 |
BYE |
| 12-0 |
DAL |
| Week 12 |
@HOU |
| Week 13 |
@IND |
| Week 14 |
MIA |
| Week 15 |
JAX |
| Week 16 |
@NYJ |
| Week 17 |
BUF |
|
|
Texans (4-6) |
|
Score |
Opp. |
| 21-20 |
@MIA |
| 10-31 |
@NO |
| 14-42 |
KC |
| 24-20 |
JAX |
| Week 5 |
BYE |
| 17-38 |
@TEN |
| 14-19 |
NYJ |
| 21-30 |
@IND |
| 14-10 |
CAR |
| 27-34 |
@CIN |
| 12-10 |
@BUF |
| Week 12 |
NE |
| Week 13 |
ATL |
| Week 14 |
@JAX |
| Week 15 |
@TB |
| Week 16 |
TEN |
| Week 17 |
IND |
|
* Fantasy point rankings calculated using standard Huddle
fantasy points |