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In the NFL, as in life, there are times when losing
a productive part of the lineup can create a better overall
team. This seeming inconsistency usually has more to
do with the attitude of the departing person or portion,
rather than with inherent talent. The lack of team spirit
or mission by one individual can impede the morale of
an entire group. From this fact comes the simple saying "addition
by subtraction".
This fantasy season, we have seen the
paradox played out a few times. Most recently, the Buccaneers
deactivated Keyshawn Johnson for the rest of the season.
This severe action highlights the importance that Jon
Gruden bestows upon congruency within his teams. Tampa
Bay has been the model of inconsistency this season,
showing radical shifts in ability and execution. Coach
Gruden and Johnson have been at odds all season, and
Gruden has apparently decided that it will help the team
in the long run to be without Johnson's production - and
potent dissention. This change makes Keyshawn Johnson
worthless in fantasy circles this season, and gives more
fantasy value to Joe Jurevicius and perhaps Keenan McCardell.
In
Cincinnati, the same type of situation may be occurring.
Corey Dillon had been registering his
displeasure with the losing ways of the Bengals for years,
but was also the team's best offensive weapon and a consistent
player. With a new head coach this year in Marvin Lewis,
and a renewed desire to return to excellence, Dillon's
distractions have been wearing thin in 2003.
When Dillon was injured a few weeks ago, hard-running
halfback Rudi Johnson successfully replaced him. Since
then, Johnson has been impressive in every game, and
the team is winning with him as the tailback. Now there
are speculations that Lewis will jettison Dillon in the
off-season and go with Johnson full time next year. If
the Bengals keep winning against quality teams, like
they did last Sunday by prevailing against the previously
undefeated Kansas City Chiefs, then Dillon will seem
even more unnecessary to have around.
Another situation of subtraction could be a winning
combination for two football teams and many fantasy football
owners. The Cleveland Browns recently released wide
receiver Kevin Johnson, their veteran wideout presence
and a talented player who nevertheless had worn out his
welcome with the club. Team officials apparently believed
that they could not extract all from Johnson that they
expected from him. In the first week without Johnson,
the Browns beat up the Arizona Cardinals 44-6. It
is possible that the Browns will continue to perform
better with Johnson's receptions distributed among other
receivers on the team. Johnson himself was quickly picked
up by Jacksonville, where he could help immediately as
a second target for rookie Byron Leftwich.
Fantasy owners might also become a beneficiary of Johnson's
departure. Last year, and through 10 weeks this year,
the Browns had four decent wideouts. That means that
not one of them was guaranteed to do anything in a particular
week, but any of them could. In fact, it seemed like
most weeks it was a matter of rolling a four-sided die
to see who would come up with starter's stats. Here are
their totals in 2002 and through 10 weeks in 2003:
|
2002
|
Receptions
|
Yards
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Touchdowns
|
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Kevin Johnson
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67
|
703
|
4
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Quincy Morgan
|
56
|
964
|
7
|
|
Dennis Northcutt
|
38
|
601
|
5
|
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Andre Davis
|
37
|
420
|
6
|
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2003 - through 10 games
|
Receptions
|
Yards
|
Touchdowns
|
|
Kevin Johnson
|
41
|
381
|
2
|
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Quincy Morgan
|
26
|
378
|
2
|
|
Dennis Northcutt
|
40
|
417
|
2
|
|
Andre Davis
|
28
|
348
|
4
|
These totals represent good production,
but production spread out among too many players. This
allocation has been frustrating many fantasy owners,
who have been selecting a particular receiver to perform
well. Below are the statistics for the receivers this
last weekend.
|
2003 - Week 11
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Receptions
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Yards
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Touchdowns
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Kevin Johnson
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0
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0
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0
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Quincy Morgan
|
5
|
116
|
1
|
|
Dennis Northcutt
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6
|
56
|
1
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Andre Davis
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7
|
117
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1
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The loss of Kevin Johnson clearly left a couple of more
receptions for each of the remaining receivers. They
all scored a touchdown against Arizona, and both Davis
and Morgan gained over 100 yards. All three of the Browns
receivers suddenly move from backup duty to potential
third and second fantasy wide receivers. A lot of their
success will depend upon the health of Kelly Holcomb,
who played well in his return last weekend. Clearly,
a team can improve when it rids itself of a player who
is not working as hard as he should, or is overly critical
of the direction coaches are coaxing a team. These circumstances
also allow fantasy owners to find sudden new statistical
support.
Joe Levit, based in Boston, writes for www.cnnsi.com and
www.thehuddle.com. He is a member of the Pro Football
Writers of America and a devoted Detroit Lions fan.
He can be contacted at lavishjetpoet@aol.com.
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