The
Huddle
WEEK 13
November 26, 2003
Season Ticket
|
|
| |
|
| Miami vs Dallas |
Thu, Nov 27; 4 PM on CBS at Texas
Stadium |
| |
Miami |
Rush
|
Catch
|
Pass
|
| QB |
Jay Fiedler |
0 |
0 |
180,1 |
| RB |
Ricky Williams
|
60 |
10 |
0 |
| TE |
Randy McMichael
|
0 |
40,1 |
0 |
| WR |
Chris Chambers
|
0 |
60 |
0 |
| WR |
Derrius Thompson
|
0 |
10 |
0 |
| WR |
James McKnight
|
0 |
30 |
0 |
|
| |
Dallas |
Rush
|
Catch
|
Pass
|
| QB |
Quincy Carter |
0 |
0 |
210,1 |
| RB |
Richie Anderson |
10 |
40 |
0 |
| RB |
Troy Hambrick |
40,1 |
10 |
0 |
| TE |
Dan Campbell |
0 |
20 |
0 |
| WR |
Joey Galloway |
0 |
30 |
0 |
| WR |
Terry Glenn |
0 |
50 |
0 |
| WR |
Antonio Bryant |
0 |
40,1 |
0 |
|
Game Prediction: MIA
13, DAL 17
The game favors the Cowboys for several good reasons. First
- the Dolphins have not been playing well and scrambled to
barely win last week at home against a bad Redskins team.
Williams has not ran very well and now on the road against
a tough defense will make him less a factor.
The Cowboys are at home with slightly more preparation time
than the traveling Dolphins and in a game with less time to
prepare, the better defense is almost always on the winning
team since gameplans tend to more generic versions that are
more easily defended.
It should be a lower scoring affair but an entertaining way
to digest that Thanksgiving meal. The last time these two
met on Thanksgiving the Dolphins won thanks to Leon Lett's
slide into the blocked field goal but there is no snow in
the forecast this time.
Miami Notes
The Dolphins rise to 7-4 in an very unimpressive win over
the Redskins last week. They are two games behind the Patriots
in the AFC East.
Quarterbacks::
After Brian Griese had thrown two interceptions last
week he finally got the hook and Jay Fielder came in
to lead the Fins on two touchdown drives to win the game.
Since Fielder had no unusual soreness in his knee after the
game, he is a lock to start this week. Griese started well
with an 80 yard bomb to McKnight last Sunday but was ineffective
from that point.
Running Backs: Ricky Williams
turned in his second straight 100+ yard game and scored
twice last week, looking stronger as the game continued. Perhaps
the defense changes, but he ran far better after Fiedler came
into to the game. Williams now goes on the road where he has
not had a decent game since week two.
RG Todd Perry should be back in the lineup this week but
LG Jamie Nails may not play because of a sprained ankle.
Receivers: The 80 yard
scoring strike last week to James McKnight was the
fourth longest scoring play in Dolphins history but he only
managed two more catches for 16 yards which is much closer
to his average. McKnight only has two games this season over
33 yards receiving.
Chris Chambers ended with only 34 yards and four catches
and though Fielder has moved the offense better than Griese,
Chambers has never been a big beneficiary. Two of his best
games this season came in the first two weeks when Griese
played though he did gain 118 yards and two scores against
the Texans with Fiedler in week two. The Texans and the Cowboys
are quite different in their ability to cover the pass.
Much like Chambers, Randy McMichael did better with
Griese this season than with Fiedler. Problem is that the
running game seems to open up better with Fiedler in the game
though one big qualifier here is that McMichael has had his
better games when the Fins face good cornerbacks so McMichael
will likely come into heavier play this week.
Match against the Defense:
The Dolphins managed to comeback and beat the Redskins last
week but should have pummeled them out right from the start.
Now they face one of the stingiest defenses in the league
with relatively no time to prepare.
The Cowboys have allowed only three passing scores in the
last four weeks and two of those were to Patrick Ramsey in
trash time. When Brady had 212 yards two weeks again in NE,
it was the only time since week four that a quarterback had
exceeded 151 yards passing and Jay Fiedler will find a much
tougher time locating open receivers this week.
With Chambers covered by CB Terrence Newman and Thompson
able to take himself out of the game, it could open up for
Randy McMichael more but Dallas has been very tough on tight
ends the last eight weeks. Both Crumpler and Shockey scored
on them the first two weeks when the defense was still coming
together.
Ricky Williams faces a defense that has been very tough everywhere
and more so at home. Stephen Davis only managed 59 yards last
week and Henry was tops with only 80 yards there. Williams
will dip back under the century mark this week.
Dallas Notes
The Cowboys come off a big emotional win over the Panthers
and rise to 8-3 to remain tied with the Eagles in the NFC
East.
Quarterbacks::
The Cowboys surprised the Panthers last week when they did
not even try to run the ball much. Instead, they allowed Quincy
Carter to throw a season high 44 passes for 29 completions
and 254 yards with two touchdowns. Since the Panthers had
a good run defense anyway, the Cowboys needed to score via
the pass and did exactly that. This should be the case again
this week.
Running Backs: Troy Hambrick
only had 12 rushes for 26 yards last week and outside of his
100 yard game against the Redskins, he has not scored nor
gained over 41 yards rushing since week seven. Since Adrian
Murrell was cut again, Aveion Cason came back into
the game plan and had 26 yards on six carries including a
rushing score. Richie Anderson turned in six catches
for 28 yards.
This is not a rushing team for the most part, at least not
well and the gang will get carries largely to keep the defenses
honest and helps kill the clock later in the game if Dallas
has the lead.
Receivers: Terry Glenn
comes off his best game in a month with 74 yards on five catches
against the Panthers and Joey Galloway (3-50) and Antonio
Bryant (3-35) did just enough to keep the chains moving.
Galloway had a touchdown in the game as well.
Jeff Robinson had the other passing score but it was
on his only catch of the season. No wonder he was not covered.
Dan Campbell had six passes and three catches for 22 yards
last week and the rookie Jason Witten had his best game of
his career with six catches for 49 yards.
The passing game worked because it never locked on to any
one receiver and that will again be important this week.
Match against the Defense:
The Dolphins have a top ten rushing defense and the Cowboys
do not run well anymore, so expect another lesser game from
Hambrick. There is a decent chance for a rushing score though
since the Fins have allowed one in four of their last five
games. The scorers were more like Hambrick than Cason, so
while he will have low yardage he could sneak in a touchdown.
The Dolphins have killed opponents when they had an average
quarterback and been killed when the opposing quarterback
was good (Manning, McNair, Brady). Where Carter falls seems
to change but it is a safer assumption that he will not post
big numbers against a secondary that has kept most opponents
under 200 yards passing in the last month.
The most likely wideout to score would be Bryant as the #3.
The good corner play of Miami can hold down Galloway and Glenn
but several #3 receivers have scored against them (Walters,
Givens, Calico). That will be the result of a single long
pass and no receiver should rack up big yards.
| Team Comparisons - Current team
rankings (1-32) for FF points scored or allowed
by position |
| Rank (1-32) |
QB
|
RB
|
WR
|
TE
|
PK
|
DEF
|
| MIA Scores |
30
|
22
|
26
|
11
|
19
|
6
|
| DAL Allows |
1
|
3
|
2
|
1
|
1
|
6
|
| MIA AP |
-29
|
-19
|
-24
|
-10
|
-18
|
0
|
|
| Rank (1-32) |
QB
|
RB
|
WR
|
TE
|
PK
|
DEF
|
| DAL Scores |
25
|
17
|
22
|
22
|
30
|
12
|
| MIA Allows |
8
|
8
|
10
|
7
|
10
|
22
|
| DAL AP |
-17
|
-9
|
-12
|
-15
|
-20
|
10
|
|
Offensive ranks = #1 gains most points, Defensive
ranks = #1 allows least points
AP = Advantage Points, the net difference between a positional
rank gained or allowed by the teams.
|
MIA
|
DAL
|
2003 Game Averages
|
DAL
|
MIA
|
|
Gains
|
Allows
|
QB's
|
Gains
|
Allows
|
|
180
|
151
|
Pass yards
|
188
|
207
|
|
0.9
|
0.7
|
Pass TDs
|
1.1
|
0.7
|
|
1.2
|
0.7
|
Interceptions
|
1.2
|
1.7
|
|
5
|
3
|
Rush yards
|
14
|
10
|
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Rush TDs
|
0.0
|
0.1
|
|
---
|
---
|
RB's
|
---
|
---
|
|
92
|
78
|
Rush yards
|
98
|
80
|
|
0.7
|
0.4
|
Rush TDs
|
0.7
|
0.6
|
|
34
|
30
|
Receive yards
|
48
|
41
|
|
0.0
|
0.2
|
Receive TD's
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
|
---
|
---
|
WR's
|
---
|
---
|
|
102
|
107
|
Receive yards
|
119
|
128
|
|
0.8
|
0.4
|
Receive TD's
|
0.8
|
0.7
|
|
---
|
---
|
TE's
|
---
|
---
|
|
44
|
13
|
Receive yards
|
21
|
38
|
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
Receive TD's
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
|
---
|
---
|
PK's
|
---
|
---
|
|
1.4
|
1.2
|
Field Goals
|
1.0
|
1.6
|
|
1.9
|
1.2
|
Extra Points
|
1.9
|
1.6
|
|
---
|
---
|
DEF/ST
|
---
|
---
|
|
0.9
|
0.6
|
Fumbles
|
0.9
|
1.1
|
|
1.8
|
1.1
|
Interceptions
|
0.7
|
1.1
|
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
Touchdowns
|
0.2
|
0.2
|
|
2.8
|
1.4
|
Sacks
|
2.1
|
1.9
|
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
Safeties
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
|
|
Dolphins (7-4) |
|
Score |
Opp. |
| 20-21 |
HOU |
| 21-10 |
@NYJ |
| 17-7 |
BUF |
| Week 4 |
BYE |
| 23-10 |
@NYG |
| 24-10 |
@JAX |
| 13-19 |
NE |
| 26-10 |
@SD |
| 17-23 |
IND |
| 7-31 |
@TEN |
| 9-6 |
BAL |
| 24-23 |
WAS |
| Week 13 |
@DAL |
| Week 14 |
@NE |
| Week 15 |
PHI |
| Week 16 |
@BUF |
| Week 17 |
NYJ |
|
|
Cowboys (8-3) |
|
Score |
Opp. |
| 13-27 |
ATL |
| 35-32 |
@NYG |
| Week 3 |
BYE |
| 17-6 |
@NYJ |
| 24-7 |
ARZ |
| 23-21 |
PHI |
| 38-7 |
@DET |
| 0-16 |
@TB |
| 21-14 |
WAS |
| 10-6 |
BUF |
| 0-12 |
@NE |
| 24-20 |
CAR |
| Week 13 |
MIA |
| Week 14 |
@PHI |
| Week 15 |
@WAS |
| Week 16 |
NYG |
| Week 17 |
@NO |
|
* Fantasy point rankings calculated using standard Huddle
fantasy points |