The
Huddle
WEEK 13
November 26, 2003
Season Ticket
|
|
| |
|
| New England vs Indianapolis |
Sun, Nov 30; 1 PM on CBS at RCA
Dome |
| |
New
England |
Rush
|
Catch
|
Pass
|
| QB |
Tom Brady |
0 |
0 |
220,2 |
| RB |
Kevin Faulk |
70 |
20 |
0 |
| RB |
Antowain Smith |
20 |
0 |
0 |
| TE |
Daniel Graham |
0 |
50,1 |
0 |
| WR |
Troy Brown |
Q |
Q |
Q |
| WR |
Deion Branch |
0 |
70,1 |
0 |
| WR |
Bethel Johnson |
0 |
40 |
0 |
|
| |
Indianapolis |
Rush |
Catch |
Pass |
| QB |
Peyton Manning |
0 |
0 |
240,2 |
| RB |
Edgerrin James |
70,1 |
20 |
0 |
| TE |
Marcus Pollard |
Q |
Q |
Q |
| TE |
Dallas Clark |
0 |
20 |
0 |
| WR |
Aaron Moorehead |
0 |
40,1 |
0 |
| WR |
Marvin Harrison |
0 |
80,1 |
0 |
| WR |
Reggie Wayne |
0 |
60 |
0 |
|
Game Prediction: NE 20,
IND 27
Update: Peyton Manning felt
pain in his throwing elbow but a MRI did not show any damage.
He is expected to play this week.
Marcus Pollard and Troy Walters have
both returned to practice but are still considered questionable.
They may be able to play on Sunday but I am not including
them in the projections. Clark was upgraded to probable and
is expected to play.
This is a had game to call since both teams have a tendency
to play up or down to their level of competition. So does
that mean the IND offense makes a high game score or that
the NE defense means a low game score?
Played inside a dome between two 9-2 teams with everything
on the line, I like the higher scoring versions of these teams.
IND can score and NE may dominate bad offenses but against
TEN they gave up 30 points. The Colts defense is becoming
legendary for making the offense work harder and with Harrison
back to health, there is no reason why this team cannot post
points even against the vaunted Pats.
New England Notes
The Patriots squeak out a win over the Texans and rise to
9-2 and lead Miami by two games in the AFC East.
Quarterbacks::
The Patriots went into last week worried about the injuries
to starters Troy Brown and Deion Branch (who played) and left
with Tom Brady as the most productive passer for the
week. He ended with 368 yards passing with two touchdowns
against two interceptions. It was his second 300 yard game
of the year and the sixth week that he followed up a no touchdown
game with a multiple score effort.
Running Backs: Kevin
Faulk combined for 188 rushing and receiving yards Sunday
to lead the offense while Antowain Smith only managed
ten yards on eight carries. While Faulk had eight receptions,
Smith never had a pass.
Receivers: With Troy
Brown out and Deion Branch questionable, the offense
moved along well with nine different receivers catching passes.
Branch still managed to post 52 yards on five catches and
the rookie Bethel Johnson had five receptions for 65
yards and his first NFL touchdown.
Throw in Daniel Graham (4-53, 1 TD) and no one misses
Troy Brown. At least not against Houston.
Match against the Defense: The
Colts played good defense last week but had given up passing
scores in the six previous games. Brady should be able to
get a score here but almost all opponents top out at around
200 yards passing. Which receiver that favors not only changes
game to game, but pretty much quarter to quarter with the
complex short game of New England. One reason to increase
expectations a little is that Pennington runs a similar offense
and he had three scores in Indianapolis only two weeks ago.
Faulk could also have a decent showing here since similar
"fast backs" like Domanick Davis and Fred Taylor
turned in 100 yard games with two scores each.
Indianapolis Notes
The Colts rise to 9-2 and remain tied with Tennessee in the
AFC South.
Quarterbacks::
Peyton Manning threw for 229 yards but no scores last
week in his lowest output since week two of the season. It
appeared more of a "get the job" done sort of game
that the Bills allow.
Running Backs: Edgerrin
James comes off his second straight 100 yard effort and
combined with the previous week against the Jets, he has 235
yards and five touchdowns in only two games. Oh look - here
comes his third AFC East opponent.
Receivers: Since Marvin
Harrison had not worked out in two weeks, he was less
"crisp" last week but still managed to pull down
six receptions for 47 yards. Reggie Wayne only had
four catches for 39 yards but bruised his forehead and face
during the game which made him sit out for a time. He returned
to the game later.
A nice surprise was that rookie Aaron Moorehead led
the way with five catches for 71 yards and he is a nice fill-in
for Troy Walters who is out with a hamstring strain.
Dallas Clark had a lower back strain in the second
half last week and will be questionable to play against the
Patriots. Marcus Pollard is still out with a sprained
knee ligament.
Match against the Defense:
The Patriots bring a top ten defense in almost every category
and will provide a challenge for the Colts. Clinton Portis
was the only runner this season that had over 100 yards and
there have only been three rushing scores in the past eight
games against the Patriots. James is likely to dip back under
the 100 yard mark, at least by rushing yards alone.
Manning has a knack for punishing even the best secondaries
and that is what he will be facing this week. Over the past
five games, no opponent quarterback has exceeded 230 yards
passing and no receiver this season has gone over 100 yards
in a game. Last week Andre Johnson had the first receiving
touchdown against the Patriots since week seven.
Still, with Manning and Harrison all things are possible.
| Team Comparisons - Current team
rankings (1-32) for FF points scored or allowed
by position |
| Rank (1-32) |
QB
|
RB
|
WR
|
TE
|
PK
|
DEF
|
| NE Scores |
10
|
14
|
16
|
7
|
5
|
8
|
| IND Allows |
16
|
23
|
14
|
13
|
5
|
2
|
| NE AP |
6
|
9
|
-2
|
6
|
0
|
-6
|
|
| Rank (1-32) |
QB
|
RB
|
WR
|
TE
|
PK
|
DEF
|
| IND Scores |
2
|
9
|
2
|
4
|
2
|
24
|
| NE Allows |
9
|
6
|
4
|
15
|
19
|
11
|
| IND AP |
7
|
-3
|
2
|
11
|
17
|
-13
|
|
Offensive ranks = #1 gains most points, Defensive
ranks = #1 allows least points
AP = Advantage Points, the net difference between a positional
rank gained or allowed by the teams.
|
NE
|
IND
|
2003 Game Averages
|
IND
|
NE
|
|
Gains
|
Allows
|
QB's
|
Gains
|
Allows
|
|
253
|
196
|
Pass yards
|
304
|
219
|
|
1.1
|
1.3
|
Pass TDs
|
2.0
|
0.6
|
|
0.7
|
0.8
|
Interceptions
|
0.7
|
1.6
|
|
4
|
5
|
Rush yards
|
0
|
9
|
|
0.1
|
0.2
|
Rush TDs
|
0.0
|
0.2
|
|
---
|
---
|
RB's
|
---
|
---
|
|
101
|
123
|
Rush yards
|
92
|
76
|
|
0.6
|
0.9
|
Rush TDs
|
1.1
|
0.3
|
|
52
|
37
|
Receive yards
|
37
|
48
|
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
Receive TD's
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
|
---
|
---
|
WR's
|
---
|
---
|
|
148
|
119
|
Receive yards
|
202
|
130
|
|
0.8
|
1.2
|
Receive TD's
|
1.4
|
0.3
|
|
---
|
---
|
TE's
|
---
|
---
|
|
52
|
39
|
Receive yards
|
65
|
41
|
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
Receive TD's
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
|
---
|
---
|
PK's
|
---
|
---
|
|
2.2
|
1.0
|
Field Goals
|
2.1
|
2.0
|
|
2.0
|
2.8
|
Extra Points
|
3.3
|
1.2
|
|
---
|
---
|
DEF/ST
|
---
|
---
|
|
0.4
|
0.7
|
Fumbles
|
0.8
|
0.8
|
|
1.4
|
0.6
|
Interceptions
|
0.4
|
0.7
|
|
0.3
|
0.0
|
Touchdowns
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
|
2.2
|
0.9
|
Sacks
|
2.0
|
2.1
|
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Safeties
|
0.0
|
0.1
|
|
|
Patriots (9-2) |
| Score |
Opp. |
| 0-31 |
@BUF |
| 31-10 |
@PHI |
| 23-16 |
NYJ |
| 17-20 |
@WAS |
| 38-30 |
TEN |
| 17-6 |
NYG |
| 19-13 |
@MIA |
| 9-3 |
CLE |
| 30-26 |
@DEN |
| Week 10 |
BYE |
| 12-0 |
DAL |
| 23-20 |
@HOU |
| Week 13 |
@IND |
| Week 14 |
MIA |
| Week 15 |
JAX |
| Week 16 |
@NYJ |
| Week 17 |
BUF |
|
|
Colts (9-2) |
|
Score |
Opp. |
| 9-6 |
@CLE |
| 33-7 |
TEN |
| 23-13 |
JAX |
| 55-21 |
@NO |
| 38-35 |
@TB |
| 20-23 |
CAR |
| Week 7 |
BYE |
| 30-21 |
HOU |
| 23-17 |
@MIA |
| 23-28 |
@JAX |
| 38-31 |
NYJ |
| 17-14 |
@BUF |
| Week 13 |
NE |
| Week 14 |
@TEN |
| Week 15 |
ATL |
| Week 16 |
DEN |
| Week 17 |
@HOU |
|
* Fantasy point rankings calculated using standard Huddle
fantasy points |