VOTED #1 FANTASY FOOTBALL SITE
1998, 1999, 2000, 2001 & 2002
PRIORITY NEWS   MESSAGE BOARDS JOIN   
HOME ARTICLES STATISTICS WEEKLY FEATURES TEAM LINKS NFL RESOURCES  
Predictions & Projections
By David M. Dorey
 
The Huddle
WEEK 13
November 26, 2003
Season Ticket
Thu 12:30 Sun 1 PM Sun 1 PM Sun 4 PM Sun 8:30 PM
GB at DET ARZ at CHI MIN at STL CLE at SEA TB at JAX
Thu 4:05 ATL at HOU NE at IND NO at WAS Mon 9 PM
MIA at DAL BUF at NYG PHI at CAR DEN at OAK TEN at NYJ
*updated CIN at PIT SF at BAL KC at SD Times EST
   
Tampa Bay vs Jacksonville Sun, Nov 30; 8:30 PM on ESPN at ALLTEL Stadium
  Tampa Bay Rush Catch Pass
QB Brad Johnson 0 0 220,2
RB Michael Pittman 60 10 0
RB Thomas Jones 40 10  
WR Charles Lee 0 50 0
WR Joe Jurevicius 0 40,1 0
WR Keenan McCardell 0 80,1 0
  Jacksonville Rush Catch Pass
QB Byron Leftwich 0 0 180,1
RB Fred Taylor 90,1 20 0
TE Kyle Brady 0 10 0
WR Jimmy Smith 0 70,1 0
WR Kevin Johnson 0 70 0
WR Troy Edwards 0 10 0

Game Prediction: TB 14, JAX 17

Bucs come off a big win but have a short week to prepare to meet a team desparate for a win. Quarterback change for Jacksonville could mean good things but at the least the Jags defense is playing well.

Coin toss game that favors the home team against an inconsistent team coming off a win.

Tampa Bay Notes

The Bucs rise to a lofty 5-6 on the season without Keyshawn. What a shock. Not.

Quarterbacks:: Brad Johnson, now the only Buc Johnson, comes off a solid 269 yard, one touchdown effort last Monday night and apparently does not miss Keyshawn.

Running Backs: Michael Pittman had 19 carries against the Giants but only gained 55 yards and Gruden increased the role of Thomas Jones after his big game in week 11. Jones had ten carries for 27 yards and scored the lone rushing touchdown. Look for that 2:1 ratio to continue.

Receivers: Keenan McCardell was the main target on Monday, catching nine of his 13 passes for 83 yards but the most exciting development was the use of Charles Lee with Keyshawn gone. Lee had five receptions for 91 yards and scored the lone receiving touchdown. Lee was a star during training camp but was cut at the start of the season to make room on the roster for other needs.

In his first regular season game, Lee came through with flying colors.

Joe Jurevicius improved from the previous week but only managed to gain 43 yards on three receptions. Both he and Lee had the same amount of passes, Lee just did more with his.

Match against the Defense: The Jaguars have been playing solid defense lately, just not quite good enough to win. They held Pennington to only 236 yards and one score and Steve McNair has twice played them and never had more than 187 yards. Jacksonville also has at least one interception in each of the last six games.

This is a solid defense still working on the spectacular angle. They have only allowed one 100 yard rusher and that was in the opening game.

This game should end up as a low scoring affair and the Bucs are on the road after a short week with a Thanksgiving wedged in there. Johnson should manage at least one passing score since almost all teams have but not much more than that.

The duo of Jones and Pittman could turn in a cumulative 100 yards but half of Jacksonville's games have prevented any ground touchdowns.

Jacksonville Notes

The Jaguars fall to 2-9 with they latest close loss to the Jets.

Quarterbacks:: The growing pains of Byron Leftwich are growing thin since he has given up 12 interceptions and six lost fumbles against only eight touchdowns. He only has three scores in the past six games and the last four losses by Jacksonville have been by a touchdown or less. When you are 2-9, that matters a whole bunch.

HC Jack Del Rio has decided not to make a change to David Garrard at starting quarterback this week.

Running Backs: Though he had a sore knee, Fred Taylor still had 32 carries for 119 yards last week which leaves him only 81 yards away from a 1000 yard season in 2003.

Receivers: Though Leftwich only had 172 yards last week, it went directly to the two main wideouts. Jimmy Smith had six catches for 63 yards while Troy Edwards was tossed in the dumpster and had no throws, let alone any catches. Instead, Kevin Johnson took his first start as a Jaguar and led the team with 77 yards on five catches.

Still too early to say that Johnson will finally provide the McCardell role that has been missing the past two years, but it is time to say forget about Troy Edwards.

Match against the Defense: The Bucanneers could be tired and winded from their short week and big win over the Giants.

Tampa Bay still has a top pass defense, so Leftwich will likely not shine too brightly this week and the new duo of Johnson and Smith will have a tougher time meeting the numbers of last week.

Fred Taylor faces an average rush defense, but at home and with plenty of carries he should manage at least respectable numbers.

Team Comparisons - Current team rankings (1-32) for FF points scored or allowed by position
Rank (1-32)
QB
RB
WR
TE
PK
DEF
TB Scores
7
16
9
9
28
4
JAX Allows
19
9
17
27
25
24
TB AP
12
-7
8
18
-3
20
Rank (1-32)
QB
RB
WR
TE
PK
DEF
JAX Scores
21
8
23
24
26
25
TB Allows
6
16
16
3
7
27
JAX AP
-15
8
-7
-21
-19
2
Offensive ranks = #1 gains most points, Defensive ranks = #1 allows least points
AP = Advantage Points, the net difference between a positional rank gained or allowed by the teams.
TB
JAX
2003 Game Averages
JAX
TB
Gains
Allows
QB's
Gains
Allows
247
221
Pass yards
211
199
1.9
1.3
Pass TDs
0.9
1.0
1.2
1.1
Interceptions
1.4
1.7
5
6
Rush yards
5
9
0
0.1
Rush TDs
0.2
0
----- 
---
RB's
---
----- 
102
78
Rush yards
115
93
0.3
0.6
Rush TDs
0.6
0.7
56
43
Receive yards
44
32
0.2
0.0
Receive TD's
0.3
0.1
----- 
---
WR's
---
----- 
162
132
Receive yards
139
143
1.1
1.1
Receive TD's
0.4
0.9
----- 
---
TE's
---
----- 
29
45
Receive yards
27
23
0.4
0.2
Receive TD's
0.1
0
----- 
---
PK's
---
----- 
0.9
1.9
Field Goals
1.2
1.3
2.7
2.2
Extra Points
1.8
1.9
----- 
---
DEF/ST
---
----- 
0.8
1.1
Fumbles
0.9
1.0
1.7
1.6
Interceptions
1.1
1.2
0.3
0.1
Touchdowns
0.0
0.3
2.2
1.8
Sacks
1.1
1.8
0.1
0.0
Safeties
0.0
0
Jaguars (2-9)
Score Opp.
23-24 @CAR
17-38 BUF
13-23 @IND
20-24 @HOU
27-21 SD
10-24 MIA
Week 7 BYE
17-30 TEN
17-24 @BAL
28-23 IND
3-10 @TEN
10-13 @NYJ
Week 13 TB
Week 14 HOU
Week 15 @NE
Week 16 NO
Week 17 @ATL
Buccaneers (5-6)
Score Opp.
17-0 @PHI
9-12 CAR
31-10 @ATL
Week 4 BYE
35-38 IND
35-13 @WAS
7-24 @SF
16-0 DAL
14-17 NO
24-27 @CAR
13-20 GB
19-13 NYG
Week 13 @JAX
Week 14 @NO
Week 15 HOU
Week 16 ATL
Week 17 @TEN

* Fantasy point rankings calculated using standard Huddle fantasy points