The
Huddle
WEEK 14
December 3, 2003
Season Ticket
|
|
| |
|
| Arizona vs San Francisco |
Sun, Dec 7; 4 PM on FOX at San
Francisco Stadium |
| |
Arizona |
Rush
|
Catch
|
Pass
|
| QB |
Jeff Blake |
20 |
0 |
240,1 |
| RB |
Emmitt Smith
|
(-2) |
10 |
0 |
| RB |
Marcel Shipp |
40 |
10 |
0 |
| TE |
Freddie Jones
|
0 |
50 |
0 |
| WR |
Bryan Gilmore
|
0 |
30 |
0 |
| WR |
Bryant Johnson |
0 |
50 |
0 |
| WR |
Anquan Boldin
|
0 |
70,1 |
0 |
|
| |
San
Francisco |
Rush
|
Catch
|
Pass |
| QB |
Jeff Garcia |
10 |
0 |
250,2 |
| RB |
Garrison Hearst
|
D |
D |
D |
| RB |
Kevan Barlow
|
100,1 |
10 |
0 |
| TE |
Jed Weaver |
0 |
10 |
0 |
| WR |
Terrell Owens
|
0 |
110,1 |
0 |
| WR |
Tai Streets |
0 |
40 |
0 |
| WR |
Cedrick Wilson
|
0 |
50,1 |
0 |
|
Game Prediction:
ARZ 7, SF 27
This is a replay of week eight when the Cardinals beat the
49ers 16-13. The key here is that both teams have not won
a road game this season and San Francisco has lost only once
at home. They have a score to settle and may not be able to
beat any other teams on their schedule (@CIN, @PHI, SEA) so
this may be as good as it gets.
The 49ers have scored from 24 to 30 points in their last
three home games and the Cardinals have never scored more
than 15 on the road this entire season after week one.
Arizona Notes
Cardinals are yanked down to 3-9 with their drubbing by the
Bears. They have lost their last four games.
Quarterbacks::Jeff
Blake comes off a 163 yard effort in Chicago with no touchdowns
but two interceptions and one lost fumble. In the last seven
games, Blake has either thrown two touchdowns (4) or has no
scores with less than 164 yards passing (3). There is no middle
ground for Blake.
In the previous game against the 49ers, Blake only had 97
yards passing. With him, the question is if he will have a
great game or a stinker.
Running Backs: Marcel
Shipp ran for 165 yards on 35 carries the last time he
faced the 49ers but has not reached the 100 mark in the past
four games. His last two road games have resulted in either
23 or 34 yards rushing.
Emmitt Smith returned last week but only had one carry
for a three yard loss and caught one pass for a five yard
gain.
Receivers: Since the
Bears were able to cover Anquan Boldin (4-33), Blake
resorted to finding Freddie Jones for six catches and
62 yards. No other receiver mattered last week and once Boldin
is stopped the entire scheme falls apart. In week three, the
49ers held Boldin to only 29 yards on three catches which
was tops for any receiver in that game.
Match against the Defense: The
Cardinals are a horrible road team and the numbers always
bear that out. Expect that the Cardinals will be unable to
run against a team that they embarrassed two months ago. The
49ers have never allowed any runner to gain over 64 yards
as a visitor and will certainly have it out for Shipp for
ripping them on the road.
A lack of rushing should perk up the passing numbers and
the 49ers have allowed a passing score to all opponents this
season. That means Boldin has to score since no other wideout
has scored since week seven except Bryant Johnson once a few
weeks ago. Boldin has four scores in that time.
San Francisco Notes
The 49ers fall to 5-7 on the season with their spanking by
the Ravens.
Quarterbacks::
Jeff Garcia finally regained the start last week and
then threw for only 112 yards and four interceptions. The
49ers are continually humbled on the road and Garcia was unable
to do anything against the same defense that Seattle shredded
the previous week.
Still, the 49ers braintrust think that Garcia gives them
the best chance to win so he will get one more start against
the same defense that he only produced 153 passing yards in
Arizona in week eight. Back at home against the Cardinals
he will be better. They always are.
Running Backs: Garrison Hearst
tore the meniscus in his right knee during the second quarter
of the 49ers loss to the Ravens and will not play this week.
Kevan Barlow gets the starting nod this week and should
see ample carries.
Receivers: Obviously
with only 112 yards to share, not much was happening with
this crew last week. Terrell Owens only had 23 yards
on three receptions and failed to score for the first time
in four games. Coincidentally perhaps, those three previous
games were all under Rattay. Owens has not caught a Garcia
pass for a score since week seven. Owens had six catches for
53 yards against the Cardinals a month ago but should see
more numbers this week.
Tai Streets finally bottomed out last week when he
had no catches against the Ravens. In his last six games he
has never had more than 34 yards receiving though he has scored
twice during that time.
Match against the Defense:
You can basically throw out the last game in Arizona as any
clue to this one. Both teams are clueless on the road and
San Francisco has lost only once at home.
Expect that Kevan Barlow will follow the proud tradition
of Brock Forsey and run well against the visiting Cardinals.
This is a golden opportunity for him and a great way to pump
up his name for next season.
Garcia should also score since every road game by Arizona
has yielded more than one touchdown by the pass. They have
yielded 16 passing scores on the road in only six games. They
have not allowed less than 280 yards passing in the last three
games.
Since Owens has been the only receiver to perform well (when
they actually are doing well), he should be a lock for one
score and maybe two since three other receivers have scored
twice against the Cardinals.
| Team Comparisons - Current team
rankings (1-32) for FF points scored or allowed
by position |
| Rank (1-32) |
QB
|
RB
|
WR
|
TE
|
PK
|
DEF
|
| ARZ Scores |
21
|
32
|
25
|
12
|
24
|
22
|
| SF Allows |
23
|
14
|
28
|
14
|
8
|
6
|
| ARZ AP |
2
|
-18
|
3
|
2
|
-16
|
-16
|
|
| Rank (1-32) |
QB
|
RB
|
WR
|
TE
|
PK
|
DEF
|
| SF Scores |
11
|
21
|
15
|
28
|
19
|
13
|
| ARZ Allows |
31
|
16
|
32
|
5
|
32
|
30
|
| SF AP |
20
|
-5
|
17
|
-23
|
13
|
17
|
|
Offensive ranks = #1 gains most points, Defensive
ranks = #1 allows least points
AP = Advantage Points, the net difference between a positional
rank gained or allowed by the teams.
|
ARZ
|
SF
|
2003 Game Averages
|
SF
|
ARZ
|
|
Gains
|
Allows
|
QB's
|
Gains
|
Allows
|
|
185
|
228
|
Pass yards
|
201
|
241
|
|
1
|
1.5
|
Pass TDs
|
1.1
|
1.5
|
|
1.4
|
1.5
|
Interceptions
|
1.2
|
0.9
|
|
17
|
9
|
Rush yards
|
16
|
10
|
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
Rush TDs
|
0.3
|
0.3
|
|
---
|
---
|
RB's
|
---
|
---
|
|
77
|
95
|
Rush yards
|
111
|
94
|
|
0
|
0.6
|
Rush TDs
|
0.3
|
0.6
|
|
24
|
37
|
Receive yards
|
36
|
39
|
|
0.1
|
0
|
Receive TD's
|
0.1
|
0
|
|
---
|
---
|
WR's
|
---
|
---
|
|
123
|
162
|
Receive yards
|
144
|
176
|
|
0.7
|
1.2
|
Receive TD's
|
0.9
|
1.3
|
|
---
|
---
|
TE's
|
---
|
---
|
|
38
|
29
|
Receive yards
|
20
|
26
|
|
0.2
|
0.3
|
Receive TD's
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
|
---
|
---
|
PK's
|
---
|
---
|
|
1.4
|
1.2
|
Field Goals
|
1.5
|
1.9
|
|
1.4
|
2.3
|
Extra Points
|
1.9
|
2.7
|
|
---
|
---
|
DEF/ST
|
---
|
---
|
|
0.4
|
0.3
|
Fumbles
|
0.5
|
0.7
|
|
1.2
|
1.3
|
Interceptions
|
1.5
|
1.2
|
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
Touchdowns
|
0.1
|
0.4
|
|
1.3
|
1.9
|
Sacks
|
2.1
|
1.8
|
|
0
|
0
|
Safeties
|
0
|
0.2
|
|
|
49ers (5-7) |
|
Score |
Opp. |
| 49-7 |
CHI |
| 24-27 |
@STL |
| 12-13 |
CLE |
| 7-35 |
@MIN |
| 24-17 |
DET |
| 19-20 |
@SEA |
| 24-7 |
TB |
| 13-16 |
@ARZ |
| 30-10 |
STL |
| Week 10 |
BYE |
| 30-14 |
PIT |
| 10-20 |
@GB |
| 6-44 |
@BAL |
| Week 14 |
ARZ |
| Week 15 |
@CIN |
| Week 16 |
@PHI |
| Week 17 |
SEA |
|
|
Cardinals (3-9) |
|
Score |
Opp. |
| 24-42 |
@DET |
| 0-38 |
SEA |
| 20-13 |
GB |
| 13-37 |
@STL |
| 7-24 |
@DAL |
| 18-26 |
BAL |
| Week 7 |
BYE |
| 16-13 |
SF |
| 17-14 |
CIN |
| 15-28 |
@PIT |
| 6-44 |
@CLE |
| 27-30 |
STL |
| 3-28 |
@CHI |
| Week 14 |
@SF |
| Week 15 |
CAR |
| Week 16 |
@SEA |
| Week 17 |
MIN |
|
* Fantasy point rankings calculated using standard Huddle
fantasy points |