The
Huddle
WEEK 14
December 3, 2003
Season Ticket
|
|
| |
|
| Chicago vs Green Bay |
Sun, Dec 7; 1 PM on FOX at Lambeau
Field |
| |
Chicago |
Rush
|
Catch
|
Pass
|
| QB |
Kordell Stewart |
40 |
0 |
180,1 |
| RB |
Anthony Thomas |
70 |
10 |
0 |
| TE |
Desmond Clark |
0 |
30 |
0 |
| WR |
Marty Booker |
0 |
40,1 |
0 |
| WR |
Dez White |
0 |
30 |
0 |
| WR |
Justin Gage |
0 |
50 |
0 |
| WR |
David Terrell |
0 |
10 |
0 |
|
| |
Green
Bay |
Rush
|
Catch
|
Pass
|
| QB |
Brett Favre |
0 |
0 |
200,1 |
| RB |
Ahman Green |
140,2 |
20 |
0 |
| TE |
Bubba Franks |
0 |
10 |
0 |
| WR |
Javon Walker |
0 |
60,1 |
0 |
| WR |
Donald Driver |
0 |
40 |
0 |
| WR |
Robert Ferguson |
0 |
30 |
0 |
|
Game Prediction:
CHI 16, GB 24
Update: Anthony Thomas has practiced
this week and shows no ill effects from his viral pneumonia
of last weekend. I am slightly increasing his numbers on the
good news.
These two teams already have played in week four when the
Packers won 23-38 in Chicago. The Packers continued to be
hampered by Favre's interceptions and come off a bad loss
but back at home in a divisional game they need and with Ahman
Green able to carve up the Bears defense, the Packers will
take this one.
Chicago Notes
The Bears rise to 5-7 and have won their last two games.
They are only two games out of first in the NFC North.
Quarterbacks::
With Chris Chandler on the shelf, Kordell Stewart had
the start last week and turned in his best game of the season
against the visiting Cardinals. Kordell passed for 284 yards
and two touchdowns and added 26 yards on the ground and scored
once on a run. On one series near the goal line, the Bears
literally allowed Stewart to run three consecutive times.
Chandler may be back from his shoulder injury this week but
until that word is given, I am assuming that Stewart takes
another start. Back in week four against the Packers, Kordell
Stewart was still the quarterback and only had 201 yards and
no scores. Early word is that Stewart's play last week earned
him another start regardless of how Chandler feels.
Running Backs: Since
Anthony Thomas was held out due to viral pneumonia
last week, Brock Forsey was the sudden starter and
turned in the best rushing game by a Bear in the past two
years when he ran for 134 yards on 27 carries and scored once.
HC Dick Jauron was quick to quell the fans call for Forsey
to get another start - Thomas is the #1 when healthy and it
appears for now that Thomas should be back on Sunday.
Last time these teams played, Anthony Thomas ran only 13
times but gained 110 yards and one touchdown.
Receivers: Stewart was
not the most accurate passer last week, but he played much
better than he had (thank you, Arizona cornerbacks). The rookie
Justin Gage had four catches for 100 yards - his first
century mark of his career and fellow rookie Bobby Wade
had a catch for 24 yards. Dez White scored once on
his four receptions for 55 yards. Even Marty Booker
had a touchdown and 44 yards on five catches. The Bears had
a productive receiving corps with Stewart at the helm. Surreal,
eh?
With Stewart as the quarterback, the best receiver in week
four against Green Bay was David Terrell who had seven catches
for 48 yards while Marty Booker only managed 34 yards on three
receptions and Dez White only had two catches for 26 yards.
The receivers will need to mirror last week in order to win
in Green Bay.
Match against the Defense:
Stewart had 201 yards passing back two months ago when these
teams played and that was his high with Chicago until last
week. But the Packer secondary has been far better in the
last month. Their numbers allowed for passing are heavily
slanted up by a three game stretch where they allowed 8 TDs
and big yardage to KC, STL and MIN. The same unit held PHI,
TB, SF and DET to under 200 yards passing and never more than
one touchdown. This means that in Green Bay, Stewart will
have a far tougher time passing than last week and while he
rushed for 71 yards and a score before, the homefield advantage
and weather may take away his apparent improvement.
Green Bay's rushing numbers are also tilted up thanks to
facing Holmes, Alexander and Arlen Harris but no runner has
had over 63 yards against them since week seven except for
Thomas Jones with two 50 yard runs that gave him 134 on the
day. With Thomas returning from pneumonia, he should be able
to turn in an average game but very unlikely to be more than
that.
Green Bay Notes
The Packers fall to 6-6 with their upset loss to the Lions
on Thanksgiving.
Quarterbacks::
Brett Favre threw for his season best 296 yards and
two touchdowns last week and yet had his second game in a
row with three interceptions. The entire game was out of character
for Favre and he completed more passes to his tight ends (9)
than to his wideouts (5). Just as odd he only threw to Ahman
Green for 10 yards on four catches. Favre claims his thumb
is not a problem but six interceptions in the last two games
says otherwise. When the power running game was taken away,
Favre spent most his time throwing interceptions or shorter
passes to his tight ends.
When these teams played in week three, Favre had a stellar
game, throwing 21 of 31 for 179 yards and three touchdowns
with no interceptions.
Running Backs: Ahman Green's
string of four straight games over 100 yards rushing never
saw as far as the pumpkin pie on Thanksgiving. Green ended
with only 57 yards on 13 carries though he did gain a healthy
4.4 yards per carry thanks to one 21 yard run. The Lions were
lying in wait for Green and on last Thursday, were enough
to keep him at bay.
When Green went against the Bears last time, he had 19 runs
and gained 176 yards and three scores.
Receivers: The Lions
magically had a secondary last week, but Javon Walker
still managed to score once on a 45-yard pass and end with
93 yards on three catches to lead all receivers. Walker had
a 66-yard touchdown the previous week against the 49ers and
is developing into one of Favre's favorite targets in the
now rare event that Favre throws downfield.
Bubba Franks scored his third touchdown of the season
last week but Wesley Walls was the most heavily used
receiver by catching five passes for 67 yards. Walls had the
look of Favre's safety blanket when the pass rush drew close
unlike Ahman Green who had been providing that outlet until
the last two weeks of minimal receiving numbers. Franks scored
once against the Bears in week three.
Donald Driver's importance continues to wane and he
only managed 47 yards on four catches. That makes the fifth
straight game of less than 50 yards receiving for Driver.
Back in week three, Favre was still hitting his wideouts
more and scored once with Javon Walker (5-41) while Donald
Driver turned in what was to become his high end - four catches
for 50 yards.
Match against the Defense: Favre
did have a big game in yardage last week, but in his four
previous games he had not exceeded 200 yards and against the
Bears he only had 179 the first time though with three touchdowns.
He will get a touchdown passing - he has every game this season
but for yardage he faces a secondary which is actually above
average. Playing at home, Favre should be good for at least
around 200 yards and at least one score. His numbers could
be lower though if the running game takes off as it should.
Look for the passing score to likely go to Walker who has
been hot lately and scored against Chicago once this season
already.
The last game against the Bears had Green running for 176
yards and two scores and there is little reason to expect
much less this week. Chicago's Achilles heel has been their
run defense this season and they have allowed their unfortunate
tour of the best runners in the NFL this season to produce
big games against them. Top shelf runners have all gained
100 yards or scored a touchdown or both against them this
season.
| Team Comparisons - Current team
rankings (1-32) for FF points scored or allowed
by position |
| Rank (1-32) |
QB
|
RB
|
WR
|
TE
|
PK
|
DEF
|
| CHI Scores |
17
|
25
|
22
|
18
|
9
|
28
|
| GB Allows |
28
|
17
|
18
|
22
|
29
|
14
|
| CHI AP |
11
|
-8
|
-4
|
4
|
20
|
-14
|
|
| Rank (1-32) |
QB
|
RB
|
WR
|
TE
|
PK
|
DEF
|
| GB Scores |
14
|
1
|
27
|
8
|
15
|
31
|
| CHI Allows |
2
|
19
|
3
|
24
|
16
|
11
|
| GB AP |
-12
|
18
|
-24
|
16
|
1
|
-20
|
|
Offensive ranks = #1 gains most points, Defensive
ranks = #1 allows least points
AP = Advantage Points, the net difference between a positional
rank gained or allowed by the teams.
|
CHI
|
GB
|
2003 Game Averages
|
GB
|
CHI
|
|
Gains
|
Allows
|
QB's
|
Gains
|
Allows
|
|
181
|
222
|
Pass yards
|
199
|
186
|
|
0.7
|
1.2
|
Pass TDs
|
1.9
|
1
|
|
1
|
1
|
Interceptions
|
1.3
|
1.1
|
|
25
|
17
|
Rush yards
|
1
|
7
|
|
0.3
|
0.4
|
Rush TDs
|
0
|
0
|
|
---
|
---
|
RB's
|
---
|
---
|
|
100
|
102
|
Rush yards
|
164
|
103
|
|
0.8
|
0.5
|
Rush TDs
|
1
|
0.6
|
|
12
|
31
|
Receive yards
|
48
|
31
|
|
0
|
0.1
|
Receive TD's
|
0.8
|
0.1
|
|
---
|
---
|
WR's
|
---
|
---
|
|
135
|
149
|
Receive yards
|
114
|
122
|
|
0.6
|
0.9
|
Receive TD's
|
0.7
|
0.5
|
|
---
|
---
|
TE's
|
---
|
---
|
|
34
|
42
|
Receive yards
|
37
|
33
|
|
0.1
|
0.2
|
Receive TD's
|
0.4
|
0.4
|
|
---
|
---
|
PK's
|
---
|
---
|
|
1.9
|
1.8
|
Field Goals
|
1.3
|
1.8
|
|
2
|
2.6
|
Extra Points
|
2.9
|
1.7
|
|
---
|
---
|
DEF/ST
|
---
|
---
|
|
0.3
|
0.6
|
Fumbles
|
0.2
|
0.4
|
|
1.1
|
1.3
|
Interceptions
|
1
|
1.2
|
|
0.2
|
0.2
|
Touchdowns
|
0
|
0.1
|
|
1.2
|
1.6
|
Sacks
|
2.2
|
2.5
|
|
0
|
0
|
Safeties
|
0
|
0
|
|
|
Bears (5-7) |
|
Score |
Opp. |
| 7-49 |
@SF |
| 13-24 |
@MIN |
| Week 3 |
BYE |
| 23-38 |
GB |
| 24-21 |
OAK |
| 13-20 |
@NO |
| 17-24 |
@SEA |
| 24-16 |
DET |
| 20-7 |
SD |
| 10-12 |
@DET |
| 21-23 |
STL |
| 19-10 |
@DEN |
| 28-3 |
ARZ |
| Week 14 |
@GB |
| Week 15 |
MIN |
| Week 16 |
WAS |
| Week 17 |
@KC |
|
|
Packers
(6-6) |
|
Score |
Opp. |
| 25-30 |
MIN |
| 31-6 |
DET |
| 13-20 |
@ARZ |
| 38-23 |
@CHI |
| 35-13 |
SEA |
| 34-40 |
KC |
| 24-34 |
@STL |
| Week 8 |
BYE |
| 30-27 |
@MIN |
| 14-17 |
PHI |
| 20-13 |
@TB |
| 20-10 |
SF |
| 14-22 |
@DET |
| Week 14 |
CHI |
| Week 15 |
@SD |
| Week 16 |
@OAK |
| Week 17 |
DEN |
|
* Fantasy point rankings calculated using standard Huddle
fantasy points |