The
Huddle
WEEK 14
December 3, 2003
Season Ticket
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| |
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| Houston vs Jacksonville |
Sun, Dec 7; 1 PM on CBS at ALLTEL
Stadium |
| |
Houston |
Rush |
Catch |
Pass |
| QB |
David Carr |
0 |
0 |
170 |
| RB |
Domanick Davis |
40 |
10 |
0 |
| RB |
Tony Hollings |
30 |
0 |
0 |
| TE |
Billy Miller |
0 |
20 |
0 |
| WR |
Corey Bradford |
0 |
30 |
0 |
| WR |
Andre Johnson |
0 |
50 |
0 |
| WR |
Jabar Gaffney |
0 |
30 |
0 |
|
| |
Jacksonville |
Rush
|
Catch
|
Pass
|
| QB |
Byron Leftwich |
0 |
0 |
230,1 |
| RB |
Fred Taylor |
110,1 |
30 |
0 |
| TE |
Kyle Brady |
0 |
20 |
0 |
| WR |
Jimmy Smith |
0 |
80,1 |
0 |
| WR |
Kevin Johnson |
0 |
50 |
0 |
| WR |
Troy Edwards |
0 |
40 |
0 |
|
Game Prediction:
HOU 9, JAX 20
Update: David Carr is back to
practice and though not 100%, he appears likely to play. Problem
is that he may not play the entire game since his shoulder
still is sore and he already reinjured it last week. I am
leaving his numbers along but realize that there is a chance
he will start and later be replaced by Dave Ragone.
Domanick Davis still has not practiced
and only did light running on Thursday. He is still questionable
to play and if he cannot, then Tony Hollings and maybe also
Jonathan Wells will fill in for him. His ankle has not recovered
quickly from last week and he may still play, but in the best
case he would be limited since he will not be 100% this week
and faces one of the better rushing defenses. I am lowering
his numbers and including Hollings but this may not be resolved
until game time. Regardless, I would expect lowering rushing
numbers from Houston.
These teams played in week four when the Texans won 24-20
with David Carr's dramatic last play leap over the goal line.
This time around the game is in Jacksonville and Leftwich
is better while Carr is banged up. Jacksonville takes on a
whole new look in the passing game this time around with Jimmy
Smith and Kevin Johnson instead of J.J. Stokes and Matthew
Hatchette.
Houston still awaits their first back to back win.
Houston Notes
The Texans rise to 5-7 with their win over the Falcons last
week.
Quarterbacks::
Tony Banks broke his hand last week - the bone was
actually sticking out of his skin which is considered medically
as "a really bad thing" and David Carr had
to come into the game. Carr was only there for a series but
long enough to re-aggravate his shoulder injury. He is expected
to play this week and the rookie Dave Ragone will take
the #2 role.
Back in week four when these teams met, David Carr threw
for 234 yards and one score to Jabar Gaffney. He also rushed
in another game-winning score as the clock ran out.
Running Backs: Domanick Davis
ran for 101 yards and two scores last week but bruised
his right quadricep and sprained his left ankle. He will likely
not practice on Wednesday but is expected to be fine to play
on Sunday. Back when these teams played before, Stacey
Mack was still the starter and gained only 39 yards on
16 carries though he scored once. Domanick Davis had 16 carries
for 53 yards.
Receivers: The injury
to Carr has caused the wideouts to take it in the shorts the
past few games. Last week Andre Johnson led all wide
receivers with 30 yards on his only catch of the game.
In their previous game, Andre Johnson had eight catches
for 97 yards while Gaffney had the lone passing score. That
was his worst game of the season and while Tony Banks was
no boon to Johnson's yardage, at least he had thrown touchdowns
to him in weeks 11 and 12. Carr had only one game with a score
thrown to Johnson.
When these teams last played, Jabar Gaffney had the
lone passing score while Johnson had eight catches for 97
yards but the passing game has gone downhill since week four
while the rushing game takes center stage.
Match against the Defense:
Much of this will depend on the health of Carr and what Ragone
could do if he has to step in. Back in week four Mack was
unable to do much rushing but Davis ran pretty well - 53 yards
on 16 carries in what was to become his march towards a starting
role. The Jaguars rush defense has toughened up since then
though, and no runner has gained over 68 yards in the past
five games and that includes Jamal Lewis, Edgerrin James and
Curtis Martin. Expect a lesser game from Davis.
Davis will get heavier use though in an attempt to keep Carr
from having to do too much so volume could get him respectable
numbers.
Other than one freak gain against Peyton Manning, the secondary
has been pretty solid and has not allowed more than one score
since week five. Since Carr is already banged up and an unknown
rookie is holding the clipboard, expect lower numbers from
the Texans passing attack.
Jacksonville Notes
The Jaguars rise to 3-9 with their win over the Buccaneers.
I still contend they are the best of any bad team out there.
Quarterbacks::
Byron Leftwich turned his season around last
week. After never throwing for more than 208 yards or one
score - including none in the prior two games, he was threatened
with benching and responded by playing one of his best games
this season when he threw 20 of 34 for 224 yards and two scores
against the visiting Buccaneers. Byron Leftwich threw for
231 yards and one touchdown back in week four when these teams
last played.
HC Jack Del Rio made it official Monday that, unless both
Byron Leftwich and David Garrard are hurt, Mark Brunell
has taken his last snap as a Jaguar.
Running Backs: Fred Taylor
comes off his third 100 yard game in the past four weeks
by rushing for 118 yards against the Bucs last week. Taylor
only managed 67 yards on 19 carries when he played the Texans
but scored once.
Receivers: Jimmy Smith
turned in his best game of the season last week when he had
17 passes that resulted in ten catches for 136 yards and one
score. The other receivers mainly watched though Kyle Brady
had his first score of the season.
The receivers are a different crew now than back in week
four when Troy Edwards had 111 yards and one touchdown and
the rest of the receivers - Hatchette, Stokes and Hankton
only had two catches each for less than 25 yards individually
against the Texans.
Match against the Defense:
This could provide a feel good game for the Jaguars. At home,
Fred Taylor faces a defense that has hardly stopped any runner
in the past six weeks. He will have a nice game.
Leftwich can take the small confidence builder from last
week and gain at least one passing score since everyone but
Bledsoe has. The biggest games by wideouts have gone to the
left which favors Smith who Leftwich favors anyway.
Look for a solid offensive showing but likely more rushing
since the Texans will be unable to throw as well and the more
running the Jaguars can do, the better off they will be.
| Team Comparisons - Current team
rankings (1-32) for FF points scored or allowed
by position |
| Rank (1-32) |
QB
|
RB
|
WR
|
TE
|
PK
|
DEF
|
| HOU Scores |
24
|
17
|
18
|
15
|
30
|
32
|
| JAX Allows |
11
|
7
|
14
|
19
|
22
|
18
|
| HOU AP |
-13
|
-10
|
-4
|
4
|
-8
|
-14
|
|
| Rank (1-32) |
QB
|
RB
|
WR
|
TE
|
PK
|
DEF
|
| JAX Scores |
19
|
10
|
20
|
19
|
26
|
30
|
| HOU Allows |
13
|
21
|
25
|
8
|
17
|
23
|
| JAX AP |
-6
|
11
|
5
|
-11
|
-9
|
-7
|
|
Offensive ranks = #1 gains most points, Defensive
ranks = #1 allows least points
AP = Advantage Points, the net difference between a positional
rank gained or allowed by the teams.
|
HOU
|
JAX
|
2003 Game Averages
|
JAX
|
HOU
|
|
Gains
|
Allows
|
QB's
|
Gains
|
Allows
|
|
188
|
214
|
Pass yards
|
212
|
229
|
|
1.2
|
1.2
|
Pass TDs
|
1
|
1.2
|
|
0.9
|
1.1
|
Interceptions
|
1.3
|
0.9
|
|
12
|
6
|
Rush yards
|
5
|
6
|
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
Rush TDs
|
0.2
|
0
|
|
---
|
---
|
RB's
|
---
|
---
|
|
100
|
78
|
Rush yards
|
116
|
107
|
|
0.9
|
0.6
|
Rush TDs
|
0.5
|
0.7
|
|
36
|
42
|
Receive yards
|
41
|
42
|
|
0
|
0
|
Receive TD's
|
0.3
|
0
|
|
---
|
---
|
WR's
|
---
|
---
|
|
121
|
132
|
Receive yards
|
143
|
159
|
|
0.9
|
1
|
Receive TD's
|
0.5
|
1
|
|
---
|
---
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TE's
|
---
|
---
|
|
31
|
41
|
Receive yards
|
28
|
28
|
|
0.3
|
0.2
|
Receive TD's
|
0.2
|
0.2
|
|
---
|
---
|
PK's
|
---
|
---
|
|
0.9
|
1.8
|
Field Goals
|
1.2
|
1.6
|
|
2.2
|
2.1
|
Extra Points
|
1.8
|
2.3
|
|
---
|
---
|
DEF/ST
|
---
|
---
|
|
0.6
|
1.1
|
Fumbles
|
0.8
|
0.6
|
|
1
|
1.4
|
Interceptions
|
1.1
|
1.1
|
|
0
|
0.1
|
Touchdowns
|
0
|
0.3
|
|
1.3
|
1.6
|
Sacks
|
1.2
|
2
|
|
0
|
0
|
Safeties
|
0
|
0.2
|
|
|
Texans (5-7) |
|
Score |
Opp. |
| 21-20 |
@MIA |
| 10-31 |
@NO |
| 14-42 |
KC |
| 24-20 |
JAX |
| Week 5 |
BYE |
| 17-38 |
@TEN |
| 14-19 |
NYJ |
| 21-30 |
@IND |
| 14-10 |
CAR |
| 27-34 |
@CIN |
| 12-10 |
@BUF |
| 20-23 |
NE |
| 17-13 |
ATL |
| Week 14 |
@JAX |
| Week 15 |
@TB |
| Week 16 |
TEN |
| Week 17 |
IND |
|
|
Jaguars (3-9) |
|
Score |
Opp. |
| 23-24 |
@CAR |
| 17-38 |
BUF |
| 13-23 |
@IND |
| 20-24 |
@HOU |
| 27-21 |
SD |
| 10-24 |
MIA |
| Week 7 |
BYE |
| 17-30 |
TEN |
| 17-24 |
@BAL |
| 28-23 |
IND |
| 3-10 |
@TEN |
| 10-13 |
@NYJ |
| 17-10 |
TB |
| Week 14 |
HOU |
| Week 15 |
@NE |
| Week 16 |
NO |
| Week 17 |
@ATL |
|
* Fantasy point rankings calculated using standard Huddle
fantasy points |